Jax Beach Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. This is a tough one to write. Right now, the outlook for our local waters is looking pretty grim across the entire 16-day window. There are no true surfable options on offer at all, and the forecast is a long, flat drag.

We’re looking at a solid run of poor surf conditions from the start of August right through to the 16th. The only break we have data for is Jax Beach Pier. It’s a very consistent spot, so when it’s flat, it’s flat. The water is sitting at a warm 84°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first few days of August are a write-off. You’ll see tiny, weak ripples of 0.7ft to 1ft through the 1st and 2nd. The energy is pathetic, with combined swell energy readings barely scraping double digits (10, 21, etc.). The wind is offshore out of the SW, but with such a tiny, short-period swell (7 to 9 seconds), there’s nothing to wrap it. It’s basically a lake.

Through the 3rd and 4th, it completely flatlines, with zero energy readings. Then, from the 5th to the 8th, we see a tiny bump to 3ft–4ft, mostly from the ESE. The combined energy finally gets into the three-digit range, hitting 155 and 191 on the 8th. But here’s the kicker: the period is a pathetic 5 to 7 seconds. That’s pure wind swell, chopped up and messy. The wind on those days is a mix of cross, cross-on, and onshore, which just ruins what little shape there is. The wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions” across the board.

Looking further out, the second week of August is even worse. From the 9th to the 16th, it’s back to tiny, inconsistent dribbles. You’ll see 0.3ft to 2ft, with energy levels dropping back to single and low double digits. There are a few moments of glassy or offshore winds, particularly on the 12th, 13th, 14th, and 15th, but without any swell to work with, it’s just a flat, clean ocean. There’s a brief moment of a 12-second period on the 12th morning, but it’s only pushing 0.3ft, so it’s all show and no go.

For the whole 16 days, there is not a single standout, not a single session worth chasing. This is just one of those stretches where the ocean is off. Given the spot is usually very consistent, this is a frustrating run, but it won’t last forever. Forecasts change. For now, the board stays in the car.

Rusty.

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