Jax Beach Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for the next couple of weeks. I’ll tell you straight—it’s a lean stretch for most of the run, with a couple of windows that’ll get the heart pumping.

For the first week or so, we’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. The surf is tiny, and the energy is just flat-out weak. The combined energy starts in the low hundreds at best, but mostly it’s down in the low double digits and single digits for days on end. Saturday the 8th, Sunday the 9th, Monday the 10th – all poor, with light cross-shore winds and small, crumbly waves in the 2ft to 4ft range. It’s not even worth paddling out for. The water temp at Jax Beach Pier is running about 82°, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing crazy.

We’ll see a few more days of this through the middle of the week. Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are dead flat, with glassy mornings but nothing to ride. The swell direction is all over the place, and the periods are short, so even the little bumps we get are weak and messy. Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th see a bit of a pulse, but it’s still under 3ft with poor shape. Just a lot of whitewater and chop. Honestly, it feels like the ocean’s holding its breath.

Then around Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th, things start to get a little more interesting. We’ve got some cleaner lines showing up, with ESE swell and a slightly better period. The heights are still small, around 2ft, but the energy is building. The combined energy jumps into the 50s, then the 80s, and by Tuesday afternoon it’s crossed into the low 100s. The wind is light and offshore for the mornings, so it’ll be glassy and clean. It’s not going to be a day to call in sick for, but the shoulder-high sets are starting to look possible if the sandbars are holding.

Now, keep your eyes on Wednesday the 19th. That’s when we get our first real push. The morning shows a 4ft swell from ENE with a period of 7 seconds, and the energy jumps to 222. The wind is offshore and light, so it should be pretty clean at the pier (Jax Beach Pier). It’s a beach/pier setup, and it can get a bit crumbly, but this is the best we’ve seen in a while. It’s still small enough for the groms to have fun, but bigger than the dribble we’ve had. The afternoon looks a bit more mixed with a longer period swell, but the wind swings cross-shore and the size drops. Morning is the call.

The next real standout is a week later, on Saturday the 22nd. That morning we’re looking at 4ft from ENE with a short 7-second period, and the energy is up at 200. It’s glassy with barely any wind. This one has the best combination of size and clean conditions we’ve seen in the whole run. It’s not huge, but it’s a proper surfable wave. The period is short, which means it’ll be a bit softer and more crumbly, but at a spot like the pier, that can be fun as it holds its shape. The beach breaks might be a bit sectiony, but the pier’s structure helps a lot. This is your best bet for a proper session, though it’s still a long way out, so treat it as promising, not set in stone.

After that, Sunday the 23rd sees the swell drop back down, and the wind goes onshore, so we’re chasing leftovers.

So, there you have it. A whole lot of flat and small, with two real windows of opportunity. Don’t get your hopes up for the early days, but mark the 19th and especially the 22nd on your calendar. Stay patient, and I’ll see you out there when it shows.

Rusty.

Read more