Flies Surf Break

Lat Long: 40.84° N 72.47° W

Issued: 7 am 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Flies sea temperature is
22.2° C

1.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Flies surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Flies surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, ESE swell with 138 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flies this week:

The surf forecast for Flies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Flies in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Fri 10th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Best Surf11AM (Fri 10th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Mon 6th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flies over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, let's take a look at what's happening. This is a tough stretch, I won't lie to you. Looking at the whole picture, we’ve got a long, quiet spell before a significant pulse of southwest swell shows up late in the period. The first real chance to get wet won't come around until the second weekend, maybe even later, so be patient.

Here at Flies, the start of the outlook is a write-off. Sunday the 5th is glassy with calm winds and a tiny 1ft southeast swell, but the energy is weak (20) and the conditions are just poor. Nothing to get excited about. We roll into Monday the 6th with a fresh 22 mph onshore wind and rain, and that pretty much sets the tone for the next week. The surf is either non-existent or blown out.

We finally get a flicker of hope on Friday the 10th in the morning. The wind is light and cross-off, cleaning up a 3ft swell from the SSW with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 210 (moderate) and the water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 72°. It’s a glimmer, but the surf quality is only marked as "expect good surf conditions" with a low score, so keep expectations in check. The afternoon paddles back into mediocrity.

From there, it’s another flat or messy run until we get to the standout window. Saturday the 18th starts to build, but the wind is cross and funky, so it’s not worth the effort. The real deal looks like Sunday the 19th morning. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the SSW with 8-second period. The energy is massive (1674), so there’s serious power in the water. That size is pushing into expert territory, so leave the foamie at home. The wind is cross and gentle, but the forecast calls it "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions," so it might not be as clean as we’d hope. This is the pick of the whole 16-day run, but it’s over a week away, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

After that, the swell drops back, but Monday the 20th still has some 4ft SSW swell with clean cross-off winds in the morning and some manageable energy (193). It’s not a head-turner, but it’s ridable after the dry spell.

Overall, this is one of those blank periods where you just have to wait it out. Sunday the 19th is the only true standout, and even it comes with caveats. Don't hold your breath on anything before that.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 17°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the ESE by Mon morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 28°C on Fri night, min 17°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu night).

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SE
8
0.4
SSW
5
0.4
SSE
5
1.5
ESE
6
0.4
SSW
5
0.5
SSW
5
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
1
E
6
0.3
SE
9
0.5
S
7
0.6
S
7
0.6
S
7
0.7
SSW
7
0.9
SSW
4
1
SSW
8
1.1
SSW
8
0.9
S
8
0.7
S
8
0.6
S
7
0.6
S
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
11
7
7
138
9
15
15
14
71
13
23
32
33
45
22
133
128
103
55
37
46
Wind (km/h)
0
S
10
SE
15
ESE
35
ESE
25
SE
20
E
25
NNE
25
NNE
25
NNE
10
NNE
20
SSW
20
SW
25
SW
30
SSW
20
SW
15
W
10
W
15
NE
20
ENE
15
ESE
30
E
Wind State
glassy
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
12:08PM0.92m
00:19AM0.94m
12:55PM0.94m
1:08AM0.90m
1:48PM0.97m
2:04AM0.87m
2:45PM1.01m
3:05AM0.85m
3:45PM1.06m
4:08AM0.85m
4:44PM1.12m
5:09AM0.87m
5:40PM1.18m
Low Tide
5:29PM0.13m
5:57AM0.05m
6:23PM0.14m
6:45AM0.05m
7:20PM0.15m
7:37AM0.05m
8:21PM0.15m
8:32AM0.05m
9:24PM0.14m
9:29AM0.04m
10:30PM0.11m
10:30AM0.02m
11:37PM0.07m
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:22
5:24
5:24
5:24
5:26
5:26
5:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:23
8:23
8:23
8:22
8:22
8:22
8:22
 mm
5
8
15
7
3
1
1
22
Temp °C
22
23
23
21
21
21
20
19
17
18
21
21
24
23
24
24
27
28
21
23
22
Feels °C
25
25
24
19
20
19
19
18
13
17
19
20
23
21
26
26
29
30
18
23
21
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
5
0.4
SSW
5
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SSW
5
1.5
ESE
7
1
ESE
6
0.8
ESE
6
0.5
S
6
0.8
E
7
0.6
E
7
0.6
S
7
0.6
S
7
0.4
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.8
SSW
7
0.3
SE
10
0.9
S
8
0.7
S
8
0.6
S
7
0.6
S
8
Energy kJ
8
7
19
9
181
85
51
15
61
34
32
32
23
15
50
14
103
55
37
46
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.3
SSW
5
0.1
SE
10
0.5
SSW
5
0.5
S
5
0.5
S
5
0.3
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.5
S
7
0.5
E
6
0.4
ESE
7
0.3
E
7
0.3
E
6
0.3
S
8
0.2
E
8
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.4
ENE
5
0.3
SE
10
Energy kJ
11
18
4
4
15
13
14
13
13
23
21
15
8
7
12
5
14
14
9
14
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
6
0.1
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.3
SSW
6
0.3
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.4
SE
10
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.3
SE
10
0.1
E
7
0.1
E
9
0.3
SE
9
0.3
SE
10
Energy kJ
1
4
15
14
30
6
13
13
33
2
2
15
1
1
14
15
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSE
5
1.5
ESE
6
1.5
ESE
6
0.4
NNE
3
1
E
6
1
ENE
7
0.3
SSW
3
0.4
SSW
3
0.7
SSW
7
0.9
SSW
4
1
SSW
8
1.1
SSW
8
0.4
NNE
3
0.5
NE
4
0.4
SE
3
Energy kJ
7
138
170
5
71
96
1
4
45
22
133
128
4
9
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
850
1777
1338
2619
779
75
76
75
104
1
205
191
140
1163
265
0
0
0
72
100
147
Best forecast wave conditions in Long Island New York
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
6
5
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
6
7
8
8
6
9
6
4
9
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Flies Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Flies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Flies is 32 km (20 miles) from Mastic. If you plan a vacation in Long Island New York, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mastic. Mastic has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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