Flies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on the table for the Flies break over the next couple of weeks.

Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – the 16-day window gets off to a pretty ordinary start. We’ve got a real flat spell, no real swell to speak of and the wind is all over the shop. It’s a bit of a tough one to call.

From Wednesday the 5th right through until Saturday the 8th, it’s just not on. The swell’s tiny, maxing out around 4ft, but it’s short-period windswell coming from the south-west and the wind is cross-shore, making for a choppy, bumpy mess. Not worth paddling out for. The wave energy is pretty weak too, often below 100 (57-114).

We finally see a tiny window of something on Sunday morning the 9th. The swell holds at 4ft from the SSW with a 7-second period, wind turns light and cross-offshore from the WSW – that’s the magic word: clean. The combined swell energy bumps up to 229 (moderate), and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions” so it’s a solid 2 out of 10. It’s not a giant, but it’ll be your best bet for the whole first week. It’s still an intermediate level spot, so it won't be a total washout for those with a bit of experience.

After that, from Monday the 10th through to Wednesday the 19th, it’s a real slog. The swell drops right off, down to 1ft and 2ft at times, and honestly, most of it gets a big zero in the ratings. There’s a few sessions where the wind goes offshore and it’s clean (like the 12th afternoon or the 16th morning), but the swell is just so small – 2ft to 3ft - that it’s barely surfable. The energy readings are pathetic, often under 60. You’d be going for a paddle, not a surf. There’s a glimmer on Wednesday afternoon the 12th when it gets a 1 out of 10 for "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" but that’s not getting me excited.

Then, as we push into the second week, there’s a bit more size on the charts, but the wind is the enemy. Wednesday afternoon the 19th shows 6ft from the SSW, but it’s a 6-second period, and the wind is a strong, lumpy cross-onshore. It’s messy. The energy jumps to 199 (moderate), but with that wind, it’s a write-off. Then on the 20th, the swell sticks around 5ft to 5ft from the SSW, with 7-second periods, and energy is up to 269 (moderate), but again it’s cross-shore or cross-onshore. You might see some bigger, lumpy waves, but don't expect anything clean.

Overall, this forecast is a real waiting game. Don’t be surprised if you find better things to do. The one standout in the whole run is Sunday morning the 9th at *Flies* (Flies). It’s not massive, but with the clean conditions and the cross-offshore wind, you'll get the best shaped, cleanest waves of the whole period. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but the crowds can turn up “sometimes” so keep an eye out. The water temp is sitting at a normal 72°, so it’s average for this time of year.

Rusty.

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