Flies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a pretty quiet stretch ahead. The waves are just not showing up with any real intent. We're looking at a long, dry run with nothing worth paddling out for until the middle of next week. From now until the 14th of July, it's flat or near-flat, with small, weak, and mostly messy conditions. The combined swell energy barely cracks triple digits, and most of the time it's sitting in the 20s or 30s, which is just not enough to get excited about. The wind is mostly cross or onshore, and the period is short, so there's no power behind it.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Wednesday, the 15th of July. Flies (beach/jetty) will see a bump in swell. Wednesday morning brings a 4ft swell from the SW with a period of 6 seconds, combined energy of 133 (moderate), and the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WSW. It's not huge, but it will be the cleanest wave we've seen by far. The afternoon gets a bit bigger, hitting 6ft from the SSW, but the period is still short and the wind turns cross-shore, which will add a little bump. The wave energy jumps to 281 (strong), but it's still a short-period swell, so it won't be the cleanest. The water temp is about 72°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

If you're an intermediate, Wednesday morning is your best bet. The afternoon could be a bit of a handful for beginners, as 6ft starts to get a bit punchy, but it's still manageable. The crowd factor is a "sometimes" at Flies, so you might have company, but it won't be a zoo.

The rest of the week after that drops off again. The 16th and 17th have some small, weak swell, but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so it's a no-go. The 18th and 19th have tiny, clean waves, but they're barely knee-high. The 20th of July is a standout for the wrong reasons – it's glassy, with a 1ft swell from the SE, but it's just too small to do anything with.

The 21st and 22nd are back to the same story: tiny, weak, and onshore wind. The 23rd is a write-off with a strong onshore breeze and nothing on the swell.

So, the only real highlight is Wednesday, the 15th of July. The morning session at Flies is the pick of the forecast. The rest is a waiting game. It's a lean run, but it won't stay like this forever. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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