Surf Forecasts:
Avalon 15th Street surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 5s period, SSW swell with 117 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avalon 15th Street this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Avalon 15th Street in the next 16 days are 1.4m 5s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avalon 15th Street over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about it.
Honestly, the next week and a half looks flat and pretty grim for any real surfing. We’ve got a whole lot of nothing on the menu at Avalon 15th Street. From Thursday the 10th all the way through to Monday the 21st, it’s a real desert out there. We’re talking tiny, weak swell – nothing over 3ft, most of it below that – mixed with a lot of cross-onshore and onshore wind. The water’s about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Every single session in that stretch is scored as poor surf conditions. There is nothing worth paddling out for. You’d be chasing whitewash and dribble.
Now, as we get into the back half of the month, things start to rumble to life. The first real sign of something is on Tuesday the 22nd. We start to see some energy building – the combined energy jumps to 158 in the morning, then up to 485 in the afternoon. Swell pushes to 4ft at 7 seconds in the morning, and then 5ft at 8 seconds by the afternoon, coming out of the east-southeast. The problem? It’s still onshore and choppy. Wind is cross-onshore at 12 mph. The energy is there, but it’s raw and unrefined. Still poor surf conditions per the model.
Wednesday the 23rd morning is the standout of the whole period. The swell builds to 6ft at 10 seconds, out of the east. The combined energy is strong at 942. That’s real, proper beach-break swell. But the wind is cross-onshore at 16 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy, messy, and all over the shop. 6ft at a beach break with that wind? It’s going to be a close-out mess. For experienced guys only. Beginners need to steer well clear. This is the best looking stretch, but the conditions are gonna make it a battle.
After that, it fades pretty quickly. Thursday the 24th drops back to 3ft, and by Friday the 25th we’re back down to 2ft with strong cross-shore winds at 25 mph. That’s just ugly.
So, the bottom line is this: the next ten days are a write-off. Then we get a bump of energy mid-week, but it’s not clean. The best bet, if you’re desperate, is Wednesday the 23rd. It’s got size and power, but honestly, with that wind, it’s looking more like a kitesurfing day than a proper surfing day. It’s a long-range call, so fingers crossed the wind backs off, but as it stands, there’s no clean, quality surf on the horizon.
Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 21°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed night, calm by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 23°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | S 6 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 6 | E 4 | SE 9 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SSE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 121 | 30 | 77 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 111 | 30 | 16 | 13 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:58AM1.40m | 8:13PM1.48m | 8:44AM1.45m | 8:58PM1.45m | 9:27AM1.47m | 9:41PM1.39m | 10:10AM1.45m | 10:24PM1.30m | 10:54AM1.40m | 11:09PM1.21m | 11:38AM1.34m | 11:57PM1.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:48AM-0.10m | 2:00PM-0.05m | 2:33AM-0.12m | 2:50PM-0.06m | 3:16AM-0.11m | 3:36PM-0.05m | 3:56AM-0.07m | 4:20PM-0.01m | 4:33AM-0.01m | 5:02PM0.06m | 5:10AM0.08m | 5:45PM0.14m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | 7:16 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 11 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 21 | 23 | 30 | 30 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 27 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | E 4 | ENE 5 | — | — | — | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 30 | 17 | 18 | 22 | 10 | 5 | — | — | — | 30 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | SSE 6 | SSE 5 | — | — | — | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | — | E 15 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | 15 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 7 | W 3 | SE 10 | E 8 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | — | — | — | E 7 | — | — | — | S 5 | — | E 15 | — | SE 14 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | WSW 4 | SSW 6 | — | ENE 4 | — | — | SE 4 | SE 5 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 5 | — | SSE 4 | S 4 |
| kJ | 121 | 17 | 77 | — | 7 | — | — | 12 | 41 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 9 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1526 | 10 | 0 | 62 | 12 | 122 | 269 | 1124 | 1173 | 48 | 5 | 12 | 124 | 46 | 253 | 522 | 2344 | 1174 | 1173 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Jersey | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Avalon 15th Street Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avalon 15th Street provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avalon 15th Street can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avalon 15th Street surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avalon 15th Street) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avalon 15th Street may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avalon 15th Street is 23 km (14 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in New Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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