Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for this stretch of coast.

Honestly, it’s a flat spell that just won’t quit. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for decent surfing. We’re looking at a long, drawn-out gap with no real recommendations. The opening week is a total bust with tiny, weak waves and dodgy winds. There's a pulse of bigger energy around Monday, September 21st, but the wind is a mess, and the quality is shot. Don't get your hopes up.

Let’s break it down. Starting Monday, September 14th, the water is a warm 76°, which is much warmer than normal for the time of year – feels like a summer holdover. But that’s where the good news stops. The swell is tiny, around 1.0ft to 1ft from the SE with a long-ish 9-second period, but there’s just no power behind it, with combined energy readings barely cracking 24. It doesn't get any better through the week. Tuesday and Wednesday see small, choppy windswell from the ENE and E around 2ft to 3ft, but the wind is on it, making for poor, crumbly conditions.

By the weekend of September 19th-20th, we see a small spike in energy on Saturday afternoon, with combined wave energy jumping to 125 from a 2ft, 12-second SE swell, but again, the wind is cross-onshore and the surf quality is still rated poor.

Then comes Monday, September 21st. The swell jumps up, with wave height hitting 7ft from the E with combined energy of 422 (moderate wave energy). This is the biggest swell of the entire period, but it’s let down badly by the wind. It’s cross-onshore and choppy on Monday afternoon, and stays bumpy through Tuesday, September 22nd with energy still in the 220-247 range. With the onshore wind and lumpy conditions, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session at Avalon 15th Street.

After that, it fades back into the doldrums. From Wednesday, September 23rd right through to the end of the month, we’re back to ankle-biters, below 3ft, with energy levels dropping into the double digits and teens. The winds occasionally go offshore or cross-offshore, but there just isn’t enough swell to do anything with it.

So, to sum it up: no standouts, no hidden gems. It’s a 16-day bust for any real surf. The only thing breaking is the monotony of the flat spell. Let’s hope the forecasts change for the better.
Rusty.

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