Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you – the next two weeks are looking pretty grim for a paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of very small, weak swell, and the wind is often working against us. The energy is just not there, and the waves are staying small and messy. Honestly, there’s a real gap of days on end here where it’s not worth getting your hopes up. The forecast is a tough one, but that’s the hand we’ve been dealt.

Avalon 15th Street is the only spot on the cards, and it’s a beginner-friendly beach break, but it’s in for a rough patch. The first real surfable moment doesn’t even show up until Wednesday afternoon, July 22nd. That morning, we get a brief window of clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze from the WSW at 12 mph, but the swell is only 3 ft from the south, with a short, weak 7-second period. The combined energy is moderate at best (106). By the afternoon, it’s a bit more organised with an 8-second period (134 energy), but it’s still just “surfable” – not exciting. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The rest of the first week is a write-off. Thursday the 23rd through to Monday the 28th of July is a wasteland of poor surf, with swell heights barely reaching 3 ft, short periods, and cross-onshore or choppy winds. The combined energy drops into the weak double digits or low triple digits. There’s a little ray of hope on Thursday, July 30th afternoon, when a clean cross-offshore breeze from the WNW at 16 mph hits a 4 ft south swell with an 8-second period, giving us a moderate energy reading of 206. That’s our best chance all week, but even then, the forecast says “poor surf conditions.” It’s small, but it’s the most energy we’ll see.

The second week is more of the same. We get a couple of glassy mornings on Friday, July 31st and Saturday, August 1st, with offshore or glassy winds and tiny 2 ft to 2 ft swells. The energy is weak (34-68), and the waves are just too small to get excited about. The only highlight is Friday afternoon, July 31st, when the wind goes glassy from the WSW at just 3 mph, with a 2 ft SSE swell. It’s clean, but it’s tiny. Then it’s back to small, onshore slop through to the end of the run on Wednesday, August 5th, where we finish with a flat, glassy morning of 1.0 ft.

To be honest, if you’re a kite surfer, the stronger cross-shore winds on the bigger, choppier days might be more interesting than what’s on offer for a paddle. For a surfer, this is a hard pass. The standout is the Thursday, July 30th afternoon, with the cleanest 4 ft swell and the best energy (206), but it’s still a long way from good. The forecasts might change, but for now, don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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