Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: if you're looking for a proper wave around Avalon 15th Street over the next couple of weeks, you're gonna be doing a lot of staring at flat, bumpy water. This isn't one of those windows where you need to be checking the forecast every five minutes.

Right off the bat, things are small and pretty ordinary. The water's a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in around 77°, so that's a small win if you're just having a splash about. But for surfing, it's a no-go. Saturday the 15th sees a tiny 0.3ft of swell from the southeast with a long period, but there's just no energy behind it, and you've got a light cross-shore breeze messing with the surface. It's a big old skip.

The next few days don't offer much more. We're looking at small, weak swells, all under 3ft, with periods that are all over the shop. The wave energy is weak, with values like 16 and 43 in the mix. There's a bit of clean surf on the morning of Monday the 17th with a light cross-offshore wind and a 3ft SSE swell, but trust me, it's still not worth getting wet for. The conditions are just too poor.

The only thing that even comes close to being interesting is the late burst around Friday the 21st. The swell bumps up to a whole 3ft from the east, but the period is a short 4 seconds and the wind is a cross-shore breeze. It's still poor, but it's the biggest we'll see in the first week. That's not saying much.

We go through a real dry spell after that. There's a gap of a few days where there's simply nothing on offer, with swells dropping back down to 0.7ft and 1ft. The energy just isn't there. A beginner ankle-slapper at best, and even that's a stretch.

Towards the end of the window, around the 30th of August, we see the swell size creep back up, with a 4ft east swell on Sunday afternoon. But that's about it. The period is a short 6 seconds, the wind is a cross-onshore 25 km/h, and it's all surfacing as choppy, bumpy lines. It's still not a recommendation; it's just less terrible.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day stretch, there is not one standout day. Not a single one. The break is fairly consistent, but it's consistently bad. With these small, weak swells and mostly onshore or cross-shore winds, the setup here looks far more interesting for the kite crew than for us paddle surfers. You'd be better off doing anything else. Keep the board in the car and the wax in the bag.

Rusty, out.

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