Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good hard look at what's on offer at Avalon 15th Street over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, this run is looking pretty flat and quiet. We've got a solid 16-day window in front of us, but for the most part, it’s going to be a struggle to find anything worth paddling out for. The first week is particularly lean. We're looking at tiny little waves that won't push you around, but the problem is there's just no power or size to them. The water temp is about where you'd expect it to be for this time of year, nothing wild there.

Let's start at the beginning. Friday the 4th of September, we see a small SE swell, just 1ft to 1ft with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind is offshore from the WNW, which will keep it clean, but with wave energy sitting around 14 to 25, it's weak and the report sums it up best: poor surf. That pretty much sums up the weekend too. Saturday the 5th is tiny, 0.7ft to 1ft, and Sunday the 6th sees a bit more size at 4ft but it's onshore and choppy from the ENE. Not great.

The only real glimpse of something different comes on Monday the 7th morning. The swell bumps up to 2ft from the east with a longer period of 10 seconds. The energy jumps to a moderate 113, and with a light NNE cross-offshore breeze, it's clean. It’s still small, but for a beginner-friendly spot like this, that’s probably the pick of the first week—clean little runners with some shape.

After that, we slip back into the doldrums. From Tuesday the 8th right through to Saturday the 12th, it’s back to tiny stuff, mostly under 1ft, with a mix of onshore and cross-off winds. There’s a long stretch here where you’d be better off doing something else.

We get a slight pulse again on Sunday the 13th of September. The swell pushes to 3ft from the ENE, with the wave energy hitting 124. That's moderate energy, but here's the kicker: the wind is onshore from the SE, which will blow it out. Plus the period is only 8 seconds, so it'll be a bit jumbled. It’s a frustrating tease. Not really a standout, just a bigger version of poor conditions.

Monday and Tuesday of the second week drop back down into mediocrity. Then on Wednesday the 16th, we have a clean 3ft at 5 seconds from the NE with a light WSW cross-off. It’s clean, but the period is way too short to generate any push. Look for a knee-high bump at best.

Finally, on Saturday the 19th of September, the last day in the window, there is a pulse. We see 4ft from the ESE with a short period of 6 seconds, but the wind is a clean cross-off from the WNW. The wave energy is at 100, so it's on the lower end of moderate. But with that period, it’s going to be a messy, weak wall of water. For a beach break, that short-period swell won't hold up. It might look more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers.

To be honest, folks, there’s no true standout in this 16-day window. The whole forecast is "poor surf conditions" across the board. If you’re desperate for a splash, the clean conditions on Monday the 7th morning or Saturday the 19th are your best bets for a clean, small session on a foamie. But don’t expect anything with real power or a proper wave face.

Rusty.

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