Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with each other. I’ve combed through everything for Avalon 15th Street, and the honest truth is that the whole 16-day stretch is looking dead flat. There’s no proper swell energy to get you excited about anything. The wave heights are barely cracking 1 foot, and the energy readings are mostly weak – I’m talking values like 10, 21, 28 on that scale; the only one that pushes into moderate territory is a 141 on the 13th, but the winds are junk, straight onshore from the ESE. That’s not a wave you paddle out for, it’s a choppy mess.

The first recommendation we get is from Tuesday the 8th. We’re looking at a tiny 0.7ft easterly dribble with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is a weak 10. That’s not surf, that’s a lake ripple. The water temperature is reading 78°, which is over 6° warmer than normal – that’s a very unusual spike, so it’ll feel like a warm bath, but you won’t be riding anything.

We grind through Wednesday and Thursday. Swell stays pathetic, mostly 2ft to 3ft. The wind is cross-off from the WSW and WNW, so it’s clean, but there’s simply no power. Friday the 11th delivers a glassy moment in the afternoon with the wind dropping to just 3 mph from the south, but it’s still just 1ft of swell. You could sit out there on a longboard and feel the ocean breathe, but you won’t be getting a wave.

There’s a brief spike on Sunday the 13th morning – swell hits 2ft from the SE with a period of 10 seconds and energy jumps to 141 (moderate). But it’s coming with a risk of thunderstorms and onshore wind. It’s not a standout, it’s just the least-bad moment. After that, it’s back to tiny waves and mostly onshore or cross-shore breezes.

The tail end of the outlook, from the 19th through the 23rd of September, offers a few clean pockets, but the swell is still 2ft at best. There’s nothing here that will get a surfer out of bed.

Honestly, for this stretch, the beach looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. If you’ve got a kite, there’s enough wind on the 9th (19 mph from the SSW) and the 22nd (19 mph from the NE) to have some fun. For the rest of us, it’s a blank run. This is the kind of dead spell that’s normal for the area when there’s no proper swell pushing in. It tends not to stay this poor forever, but for now, my advice is to wax the longboard, maybe grab a camera, and wait for the next pulse.

Rusty.

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