Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next two weeks are looking flat and grim for Avalon 15th Street. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak waves and mostly ordinary conditions, so don’t get your hopes up too high.

The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 77°, so at least the paddle won’t be a shock to the system.

Right now, through the first week and a half, it’s all small stuff. Friday the 7th kicks off with tiny 2ft S swell and a short 5-second period, with a cross-shore wind making for some chop. The combined energy is a paltry 22 (22). That’s basically a lake. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are tiny and clean, but the swell is barely there – 1ft from the SE with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is still weak, around 41-45 (41-45). You’ll be scratching for anything rideable. The whole week from the 7th to the 14th is a write-off: mostly small, weak swells, and the combined energy never gets above 26 (26). There’s a brief moment on the morning of the 15th with glassy conditions, but the swell is still only 1.0ft. It’s a long, dry spell.

Things finally start to wake up a bit around the 17th and 18th. The morning of Monday the 17th sees a 2ft SE swell, and it’s clean. The combined energy is still just 39 (39), so not great. But the real “best on offer” – and I use that term loosely – comes on Tuesday the 18th. We get a 4ft ESE swell, with a period of 7 seconds, and clean cross-offshore winds. The combined energy finally climbs into the moderate range at 149 (149). It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. The swell direction is from the ESE, and the optimum here is SE, so it’s a bit off. For the experienced, there might be a few fun ones, but beginners will find it a little punchy at 4ft. The crowds are possible at this spot.

After that, the 19th and 20th see a bump in energy, but the wind gets messy. The 20th brings a 5ft S swell with a 6-second period and a fresh breeze, pushing the combined energy to 354 (354), but it’s too windy and the swell quality is poor. It’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

The last few days of the outlook, from the 21st to the 22nd, are back to tiny, glassy conditions, but the swell is only 1ft to 2ft.

So, the only real standout is Tuesday the 18th, and even that’s just “surfable but very ordinary.” Don’t plan a trip around it. The rest of the time, you’re better off finding another hobby for a bit.

Rusty.

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