Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on offer for the next sixteen days.

To be straight with you, it’s a tough stretch. The first recommendation doesn’t come until Wednesday the 5th of August, and even then, it’s a bit of a struggle. The real story here is a long, flat run with barely a ripple to get excited about. We’ve got a gap of several days with nothing worthwhile, and honestly, the whole period looks bleak.

We’ll kick things off at Avalon 15th Street. The water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort. On Wednesday morning, the 5th, we’ve got a tiny 2ft SE swell with a period of just 6 seconds – that’s short-period, weak windswell, and the combined energy is a measly 33. The wind is light from the SE, but it’s onshore, and the wave comment spells it out: poor surf conditions. That afternoon, it goes cross-onshore with a moderate breeze, and the swell barely nudges up to 3ft. It’s just not worth getting wet.

Thursday the 6th is more of the same: 3ft to 3ft of weak, short-period SSE/S swell, with cross-shore and cross-onshore winds. The wave energy maxes out at a weak 50. The water is still warm, but the surf is rubbish.

Friday morning the 7th is the closest we get to a clean window. The swell is 3ft from the S, with a period of 6 seconds, and the wind goes light cross-offshore from the WSW. The wave energy is 86, which is still weak, but the conditions are clean. It’s tiny and gutless, but for a learner on a foamie, it might be a fun little paddle. Beginner-friendly size, for sure. The crowds are sometimes around, so you might have some company. Still, it’s a poor surf conditions call. Friday afternoon gets choppy again.

The weekend (Saturday 8th and Sunday 9th) offers some clean mornings with light winds, but the swell is tiny – 1ft to 2ft. The energy is pitiful, in the 30s and 40s. It’s glassy or clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

The whole of the second week, from Monday the 10th right through to Thursday the 20th, is a write-off. We’re looking at swell heights mostly below 2ft, with periods of 4 to 7 seconds, and combined energy values that rarely break 60. There are a few clean mornings, and even a glassy moment on Saturday the 15th, but with a 2ft SSE swell of 5 seconds, it’s just a flat lake. Later in the week, there’s a brief uptick in energy to 71 on Monday the 17th with a 1ft SE swell and a 9-second period, but it’s still too small to be anything but frustrating.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. Nothing is even close to being good. For a beginner, the cleanest, smallest days early on might be a safe place to learn, but for anyone looking for a proper wave, this is a long, dry spell. It’s one of those periods where you’re better off checking the forecasts for a change, because it can’t stay this flat forever.

Rusty.

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