Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s keep it real – this 16-day stretch for Avalon 15th Street is a tough one. The surf machine is pretty much switched off, and what little energy shows up is messy and weak. The first real glimmer of anything rideable isn’t until Wednesday, July 22nd, but even then, it’s a struggle. You’ll be waiting a long time for a decent wave.

The water temp is sitting at 77°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t freeze while you’re staring at flat water.

Let’s start with the one period that might get you out of bed. The best chance you’ll get is Wednesday morning, July 22nd. We’ve got a 4 ft swell out of the S, with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is swinging cross-offshore from the WSW at 15 mph. The combined energy (224) is the highest we’ll see, but it’s still only moderate. The surf is gonna be small and a bit weak, but those winds will keep it clean. It’s the standout, but only because everything else is so poor. The swell direction from the S isn’t ideal for this spot, which prefers SE, so it’ll be a bit hit-and-miss. Crowds are *sometimes* an issue here, so you might have a few others out hunting the same scraps.

By Wednesday afternoon, the swell drops to 3 ft. The rest of that week and into the next is a depressing run of tiny, short-period slop with cross-shore winds. Thursday morning, July 23rd, has clean conditions (2 ft, S swell, 8 secs) with a light NNE breeze, but the wave energy is barely there (123). Saturday and Sunday, July 26th and 27th, are basically flat – we’re talking 1 ft to 2 ft with no push.

The second week is a write-off. The swell stays tiny, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore. There’s a brief moment on Sunday, August 2nd, when the wind goes offshore from the WNW at 12 mph, and the swell bumps up to 4 ft out of the ENE with a 6-second period. The combined energy (122) is moderate, but it’s a short-period wind swell that’ll be chopped up and messy. Not a day for beginners.

Then on Monday, August 3rd, we get a glassy morning with 2 ft on the SE swell, but it’s just not enough to get excited about. The rest of the week is flat and forgettable.

Honestly, if you’re desperate, the Wednesday morning, July 22nd is your only real shout. Otherwise, this is a classic summer flat spell. The best thing you can do is wait for a change in the forecast.

Rusty.

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