Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight up about the next couple weeks for Avalon 15th Street.

The outlook is bleak for a long stretch. We are looking at a solid two weeks where the swell is tiny and the quality is just not there. You’re going to see a lot of days marked as "poor surf conditions" from now through early August. For the first week and a half, from July 26th right through to August 6th, there’s practically nothing worth getting wet for. The swell is mostly below 2 ft, with short periods around 7-8 seconds, and the combined energy is weak, often less than 100. The winds are mostly onshore or cross-shore, adding chop to an already flat lineup.

There is a slight flicker of hope on Thursday, July 30th morning. The swell picks up to 3 ft from the east, with the period increasing to 8 seconds. The combined energy hits 148 (moderate), and the wind is a clean cross-off from the NNW. It’s not a standout, and the score is still a zero, but it’s the best looking window in that first week. Afternoon is similar, with a 3 ft easterly swell and 166 energy. This is your only real chance to catch a few weak, clean waves in the first ten days.

Things get a little more interesting heading into the second week. On Friday, August 7th, we finally see an uptick. The morning brings a 4 ft south swell (combined energy 138), and the wind is a light cross-off from the north, keeping it clean. By the afternoon, the swell bumps to 5 ft from the south, with 179 energy. The wind goes glassy-light from the WSW. It’s still only “surfable but very ordinary” according to the data, and the period is short at 7 seconds, but this is the best wave height and the cleanest conditions of the entire outlook. The combined energy is now moderate at 179. For a beginner-friendly spot like this, 5 ft will be a fun size, but keep an eye on the short period. This is the one to target if you are desperate.

Water temp sits around 75°F with a 1°F anomaly, so it’s about average for the time of year.

After that, it drops right back off again. From August 8th through the 10th, we are back to tiny, weak swell and onshore breezes. The period dives to 5-7 seconds and the combined energy is below 100 again. The gap is huge: from now until August 7th, there is basically one session worth chasing (July 30th), and then August 7th is the only real window. After that, it's flat again.

Crowds? Avalon 15th Street can get busy sometimes, but honestly, with this forecast, you’ll have the place to yourself mostly.

No standout sessions here. If you have to go, July 30th morning or August 7th are your only real bets, with August 7th afternoon being the best of a bad bunch. But honestly, save your energy. This is a tough run.

Rusty.

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