Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, folks, Rusty here. Look, I've scanned the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I've got to be straight with you: it's looking pretty grim for a proper paddle at Avalon 15th Street. There's just nothing on the menu that's going to get the heart racing. We're in for a long, flat stretch with nothing worth your board wax.

The water temps are sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which would be nice if there were any waves to enjoy. But the problem is the size – we're mostly looking at knee-high slop, with the biggest reads barely pushing 3 feet. The swell energy is weak, mostly stuck in the double digits, with only a few brief moments in the low hundreds. It's honestly a desert out there.

We've got a long dry spell from now right through the coming week. August 15th and 16th see a bit of a bump from the east and southeast, but the wind is cross-shore or cross-on, and with the onshore chop, it’s going to be a mess – that's a hard pass. There are some cleaner windows on the 17th and 18th with a light cross-off breeze and the water smoothing out, but we're still talking about ankle-biters under 2 feet. Not worth the drive.

The 20th to the 26th keeps repeating the same dull story: a mix of weak, short-period swells, mostly from the east and southeast, with winds that just can’t seem to get it together. There are a few clean moments, like the 23rd and 24th, but the size is just too small.

Now, hold on. Around the 27th of August, something finally stirs. We see the combined energy start to build into the double digits – 87 and 67 – as a southeast swell with a bit more period (12-13 seconds) fills in. It's still only a foot and a half, and the wind is messy, but you can at least see a pulse. Then, on the morning of the 28th, the wind finally goes offshore from the northwest, and we get a clean, 2 foot wave from the southeast. The energy is up at 90. It's small, but if you’re desperate, it might be the most rideable sliver of the whole run.

The final day, the 29th, the swell from the east bumps to 2 feet with light winds and the energy hits 107, but by then the week's hope is fading.

So, bottom line: don't get your hopes up. This is a flat spell for the books, and for anyone who isn't a complete beginner, it’s not worth suiting up. For the true groms, the 28th morning might just be enough for a few white-wash rides, if you're really keen. But for the rest of you, save your energy.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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