Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the 16-day picture for Avalon 15th Street.

Honestly, mate, the cupboard is pretty bare. We’re looking at a long, quiet stretch with no proper swell to speak of. The whole 16-day window is a flat spell, so don’t be holding your breath for any waves worth paddling out for. The good news is that spots like this can flick on quickly with a change in the forecast, so don’t write it off completely.

The water temperature is sitting at 78°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so if you’re just wanting a float, it’s pleasant enough.

The first real chance of anything happens on Sunday the 16th, but it’s a write-off. We’ve got a tiny 1 ft SSE swell with a 3-second period, weak energy (5), and a cross-on wind from the SSE at 12 mph. It’s just choppy, messy, and no good. That theme continues right through the rest of August and into the start of September.

Monday the 17th sees a tiny bump to 2 ft from the SSE, but the period is still short at 6 seconds. The wind is better in the afternoon – a clean offshore from the WNW at 9 mph – but the swell is just too weak (39) to bother with.

From there, we’ve got a solid week of nothing. The swell stays below 2 ft for most of it, with the occasional glassy morning like Wednesday the 19th (1 ft, 10 seconds, glassy) and Sunday the 23rd (1.0 ft, 7 seconds, glassy). The conditions are clean, but there’s no wave energy to push anything.

The only real standout – and I’m using that term loosely – comes late in the forecast. On Thursday the 27th of August, the combined energy finally climbs to 80–84, with a 1 ft swell from the SE and a period of 12 seconds. The wind is clean in the morning, cross-off from the NNE at 12 mph. That’s the best window we’ll see, but it’s still tiny. For a beginner spot like Avalon 15th Street, that might be enough for a wobbly pop-up on a foamie, but for anyone else, it’s flat.

After that, the last few days of August and into the 31st are just more of the same – small, weak, and cross-shore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

So here’s the bottom line: if you’re desperate for a surf, your best bet is the Thursday the 27th morning session, with the cleanest conditions and the highest energy of the whole run. But don’t expect much. Everything else is a flat, glassy paddling session at best.

Rusty.

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