Avalon 15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the cards for Avalon 15th Street. It's a bit of a quiet story, so I'll give it to you straight from the jump.

Right now, and for a long stretch, we have got practically nothing on offer. There’s a big empty gap of tiny, weak surf through the first week and a half. The first time we see anything that might get you in the water is on Wednesday the 19th. Until then, the swell’s barely a ripple, with heights hanging around between 0.3 ft and 2 ft, and what little energy there is usually sits in the teens or lower (combined energy of all swells directed here of just 13 to 52). The wind is mostly fine enough, often offshore or cross-off, but the ocean just ain’t got any push. You’d be sitting there waiting for a ride that never comes.

Now, the standout moment of the whole 16-day window arrives on the afternoon of Wednesday the 19th of August. It’s not a world-beater, but it is the one and only time we get close to something worth paddling for. The swell picks up to a clean 5 ft from the S, with the period fading to a very short 5 seconds. The wave energy jumps notably to 183 (combined energy of all swells directed here). The wind swings light WSW, so it'll be cross-off, which cleans things right up. Look, for this spot, that's the pick of the period. It's small and short-period, so it might be a little bumpy and won't hold a great shape, but for a beginner-friendly break like this, that's the best condition we see. The water is a warm 77°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

That brief moment of hope fades fast. By Thursday the 20th, we’re back to tiny waves (2 ft to 3 ft) and low energy. There’s a small bump on the 18th with a longer period (10-11 seconds) swell coming from the SE, but the wind is all over the place, from fresh cross-onshore to stormy onshore, making a mess of it. The long period from the SE might give a tiny bit more push, but the onshore wind kills any chance of decent surf for a paddle surfer. That setup really just looks more interesting for the kite crew.

So to wrap it up: we’ve got a massive, quiet gap for over a week, then one clean afternoon of small, weak surf on the 19th, and then it’s back to tiny, poor conditions. Nothing big, nothing consistent. You just have to pick that Wednesday afternoon window if you’re desperate for a splash.

Rusty.

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