Surf Forecasts:
Avalon 15th Street surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, E swell with 156 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Avalon 15th Street this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Avalon 15th Street in the next 16 days are 0.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Avalon 15th Street over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for our local stretch.
To be straight with you, the next 16 days are a real struggle. We’ve got a long, barren stretch ahead with no decent surf on offer. The first few days are a total write-off, and it doesn’t really get going until the second week, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about. The break we’re watching is Avalon 15th Street, a fairly exposed beginner spot that’s fairly consistent, but the conditions are just not playing ball for a long time.
The water temperature is sitting at 77°F, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s really notable, the ocean is feeling more like a bath than the surf zone.
Through the end of August and into the first week of September, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell. The combined wave energy is barely a whisper, with values like 37 (weak energy) on Saturday the 29th and 25 (weak energy) that afternoon. The swell heights are a measly 1ft from the SE, with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind is mostly cross or onshore, putting a chop on it. It’s just poor surf. This continues day after day – Sunday the 30th, Monday the 31st, Tuesday the 1st of September – all the same story: small, weak, and messy. The combined energy doesn’t even crack 100 until the 2nd of September, and even then it’s only 96 (weak energy). Honestly, it’s a kite surfer’s setup more than a paddle surfer’s, with those onshore winds and small, weak waves.
There’s a gap of nearly a week of this poor quality. We don’t see any real change until the 8th of September. On Tuesday the 8th, the afternoon shows a bit of life with a combined energy of 129 (moderate wave energy), but the swell is still only 2ft from the ENE with a short period. The winds are light cross-onshore, so it’s still not clean.
The only point that might get a bit of a pulse is the 9th of September. On Wednesday morning, we see a combined energy of 330 (moderate wave energy) with a 3ft swell from the SSE and a period of 12 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, and it’s decent quality. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it could be okay, but it’s still far from a standout. The afternoon turns choppy again.
The 12th of September, a Saturday, is the closest we get to a highlight. The morning is glassy, with a 3ft swell from the ENE, but the period is only 5 seconds – that’s super short period windswell, so it’ll be weak and fat. The combined energy is only 66 (weak energy). The afternoon picks up a bit to 5ft (combined energy 146, moderate), but the wind goes cross-onshore and chop comes in. For a beginner spot, that 5ft is on the upper end of what’s comfortable, but the quality just isn't there.
So, overall, if you’re desperate, the morning of the 12th of September might be worth a look for a glassy paddle, but don’t expect much. The rest of the window is a real bummer. The ocean is warm, but the surf is cold. We’re just waiting for the next system to change things up.
Stay patient,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Warm (max 30°C on Tue night, min 21°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 4 | S 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 4 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
22 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 75 | 35 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 12 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 9:22AM1.30m | 9:35PM1.36m | 9:57AM1.34m | 10:13PM1.32m | 10:36AM1.36m | 10:56PM1.26m | 11:19AM1.37m | 11:45PM1.19m | 12:09PM1.36m | 00:42AM1.13m | 1:06PM1.35m | 1:44AM1.09m | 2:08PM1.33m | 2:50AM1.06m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:36PM0.05m | 3:54AM-0.04m | 4:16PM0.05m | 4:28AM-0.02m | 4:58PM0.07m | 5:03AM0.00m | 5:42PM0.11m | 5:42AM0.05m | 6:34PM0.16m | 6:29AM0.11m | 7:40PM0.21m | 7:31AM0.17m | 8:58PM0.22m | ||||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 28 | 30 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 21 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 29 | 32 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | ENE 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 4 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
22 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 75 | 35 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 12 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | SE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 6 | E 5 | SE 8 | S 4 | S 4 | — | SE 8 | S 4 | S 5 | S 6 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | S 6 |
2 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | S 5 | S 5 | E 9 | E 6 | E 9 | — | — | — | SE 15 | SE 13 | — | — | E 8 | S 5 | — | SSE 4 | S 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 6 |
4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | — | — | S 2 | S 4 | S 4 | — | — | — | SSW 3 | S 4 | SSW 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | — | S 3 | — | NNW 2 | NNW 2 | — | SW 3 |
9 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 24 | — | — | — | 3 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 17 | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 190 | 357 | 303 | 394 | 2287 | 9 | 303 | 981 | 394 | 394 | 477 | 0 | 267 | 348 | 190 | 269 | 372 | 0 | 394 | 190 | 190 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Jersey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Avalon 15th Street Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Avalon 15th Street provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Avalon 15th Street can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Avalon 15th Street surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Avalon 15th Street) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Avalon 15th Street may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Avalon 15th Street is 23 km (14 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in New Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











