Holden Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.91° N 78.18° W

Holden Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Holden Beach sea temperature is
27.8°C
0.4° 

Holden Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Holden Beach surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, E swell with 132 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Holden Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Holden Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Holden Beach in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Wed 16th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 6s
Best Surf 2AM (Wed 16th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 6s
Most Powerful 8AM (Tue 15th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Holden Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks. Let's talk about what's coming for Holden Beach. It's a slow start, but there's a proper pulse building toward the end. I'll walk you through it.

We kick off on September 12th with next to nothing. You're looking at a tiny 1 ft swell from the southeast, with a short 8-second period, and a risk of thunderstorms. The energy is weak (31). Not worth a paddle. This same flat, crappy pattern holds through the weekend and into Monday the 14th. The wind does go glassy on Monday morning, but there’s no wave to push you.

Tuesday the 15th sees a bump to 4 ft from the east, but the period is a weak 7 seconds (energy 128). The wind is clean cross-offshore in the morning, so the shape isn't terrible, but the swell is too weak to get excited about. Not a standout.

From the 17th through the 20th, it’s back to flatness with onshore winds and storms. A real lull.

Then, on the 21st of September, the energy picks up. Monday afternoon brings a 6 ft swell from the east, but it’s a short, junky 7 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-off, so it’s rideable, but it’s a messy, lumpy wave. Not quality.

Here’s where it gets good. Tuesday the 22nd is the switch. We get a 6 ft, 7-second easterly swell with a fresh *offshore* wind from the north at 19 mph. Energy jumps to 348. It’s still peaky, but that offshore wind will hold the face up. This is the first real chance.

The standout is Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th of September. Wednesday morning gives you a clean 7 ft swell from the ESE with an 8-second period. Gentle offshore wind from the NNW. Energy is 560. Solid, good surf.

But Thursday the 24th is the day. The morning has a solid 8 ft swell from the ESE with a longer 10-second period (energy 1338). That’s a lot of water. The wind is light offshore from the NNE. This is powerful, clean, and will be pushing hard. It’s in the "experts only" range, but for the right person, it’s a proper session. It might break a bit straight on a beach, but the period gives it shape.

Friday the 25th holds a 7 ft wave, but it gets messy in the afternoon as the wind swings onshore. Saturday the 26th is similar: glassy morning with a 7 ft swell, but expect the afternoon to get blown out.

So, bottom line: a dead flat first week, then a clean window from the 22nd to the 26th. Thursday the 24th morning at Holden Beach is the best on offer — big, clean, powerful surf from the ESE. Get on it if you’re comfortable with size. Water temps are about average for this time of year. The break is inconsistent and exposed to the south, so you need the right direction.

For the rest, it’s mostly small and weak.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 32°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 28°C on Mon night, min 20°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
7
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.9
SSW
5
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.2
SSW
5
1.2
E
7
1.1
E
6
1.2
E
6
1
E
6
1.1
E
6
1
E
6
0.9
E
6
0.7
ESE
5
0.5
ESE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
18
25
27
30
33
31
37
27
28
3
128
74
109
74
88
71
52
29
38
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
10
SW
10
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
SSW
15
WSW
5
WNW
10
S
25
ENE
20
NE
20
E
15
NE
20
NE
20
ENE
20
NE
20
NE
15
E
5
ESE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
8:22PM1.56m
8:46AM1.58m
9:05PM1.49m
9:31AM1.58m
9:47PM1.40m
10:16AM1.54m
10:29PM1.31m
11:02AM1.49m
11:12PM1.23m
11:49AM1.42m
11:57PM1.15m
12:39PM1.36m
00:47AM1.09m
Low Tide
2:34AM0.10m
3:00PM0.13m
3:14AM0.11m
3:46PM0.19m
3:54AM0.15m
4:33PM0.26m
4:34AM0.20m
5:20PM0.35m
5:16AM0.26m
6:10PM0.42m
6:02AM0.33m
7:06PM0.49m
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:24
7:23
7:22
7:21
7:19
7:17
7:16
 mm
3
1
1
1
3
1
3
Temp °C
28
29
29
27
28
29
28
29
32
28
23
26
25
22
26
24
25
28
26
Feels °C
31
32
31
29
30
31
30
32
35
29
19
23
23
21
24
23
25
29
28
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Holden Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Holden Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Holden Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Holden Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Holden Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Holden Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in North Carolina? If you are looking for accommodation near Holden Beach, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in North Carolina, consider staying in Wilmington which is 48 km (30 miles) away. Other places in and around North Carolina where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Myrtle Beach which is 70 km (43 miles) away and Socastee, 80 km (50 miles) away.

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