Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking pretty flat and sad around here. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much worth paddling out for. The first recommendation for a surf doesn’t kick in until the 30th of July, but honestly, even then the conditions are junk. The whole run from the 30th of July through to the 14th of August is filled with "poor surf conditions" labels, so don’t get your hopes up.

Looking at Royal Palms State Beach, which is a sheltered reef and point, it’s a beginner-friendly spot that’s inconsistent, so it takes a lot to get it going. The water temp is a wild 72°F, which is a massive 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, almost like wearing a spring suit in summer.

The first few days, from the 30th of July through the 1st of August, we’ve got a tiny long-period groundswell coming from the SSW at 2 ft to 3 ft, with a 16-second period. That’s a long, clean line, but it’s just too small. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s bumpy, and the combined energy is weak to moderate (363 down to 152). Not worth the drive.

From the 2nd of August through the 6th of August, it drops even more – 1 ft to 2 ft, with periods around 13-14 seconds. The wind is still on or cross-onshore, and the energy is weak (93 to 117). Honestly, it’s a long gap of nothing.

Then on the 7th of August, we get a little spike in period – 19 seconds – but still only 1 ft of swell. The energy picks up a bit (231), but it’s still tiny and cross-onshore. This pattern keeps up through the 11th, with the swell staying around 1 ft to 2 ft, and periods up to 20 seconds, but the wind is always messing it up. The energy is moderate at best (138 to 216).

The best you’re going to see is on the 12th and 13th of August. The swell bumps up to 2 ft from the SSW, with a 17-18 second period, and the energy gets into the moderate range (260 to 265). The wind is onshore, though, so it’s not clean. But if you’re desperate, that’s the best on offer. The long period means it’ll be better shaped at this point break, but it’s still tiny.

Overall, there’s no standout day. The swell is too small, wind is always onshore or cross-onshore, and the break is inconsistent. It’s a tough run. The second week (from the 7th of August onwards) is a bit more promising with the longer periods, but still not enough size. Don’t plan a trip around it.

Rusty

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