Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, mate, I’ll be straight with you – this is a tough one. We’re looking at a pretty grim run for the next 16 days, with barely a window of decent surf. There’s a massive gap of nothing but poor surf conditions from the start of the forecast right through to the very end of the period. The only real chance we get is a single morning window, and even then, it’s marginal.

The first decent look comes on the morning of Monday, 21 September at Royal Palms State Beach (reef and point). The water temp is a wild anomaly – sitting at 72°, which is 6° above normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so expect bathwater conditions. The swell is coming from the SW at 3 ft with a 17-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is good for this reef and point setup, but it can make the wave a bit too straight and fat if it’s not hitting the perfect spot. The combined swell energy is moderate, at 382. The wind is forecast to be glassy – and that’s the big selling point. Glassy wind is a major positive, meaning the surface will be clean, smooth, and inviting. It’s surfable, but the conditions are described as very ordinary, so don’t expect perfection. The break is inconsistent, and it only works with a NE offshore. The morning glass-off will be the best chance to get a few clean ones, but the crowds are a possibility here, so don’t expect to have it all to yourself.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The afternoon of the 21st turns choppy with cross-onshore wind, and the rest of the forecast days are a write-off. The combined energy drops off, and the wind never cooperates. For most of the 16 days, the wind is cross-onshore or onshore, and the swell is either too small or too short-period to make anything of it. The 1 ft to 3 ft range with short periods and poor wind just isn’t going to produce anything worth paddling out for.

If you’re really keen, that Monday morning glass-off is your only real shot. But honestly, there’s not much to get excited about. The break is inconsistent, and the forecast is a long stretch of nothing. It’s a pretty normal run for this area when the conditions are this flat and wind-affected, so don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, it’s a long, dry spell.

Rusty.

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