Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper surf, to be honest. There are waves on the charts, but the quality just isn’t there for most of the run. We’re looking at a lot of onshore and cross-onshore winds, which is going to keep things messy. The water is running a warm 72°F here at Royal Palms State Beach, which is 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a seriously unusual warm patch, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

The first week is a write-off. We’ve got some small swell pushing through starting Wednesday the 26th, with 3ft of south swell, but a 10 km/h cross-breeze from the SSE is going to have it all chopped up. The energy is weak, around 338, and the period is 12 seconds, but it just doesn’t matter with that wind. It stays poor through the end of the month. By the 29th, the swell builds a touch to 3ft with a 17-second period from the SSW, and the energy kicks up to 456, but the wind is cross-on and it’s still going to be lumpy. There’s a slight chance on the morning of the 30th as the wind drops to 5 km/h, but it’s still cross-on, so it’ll be rippled.

The first real standout in this otherwise dull stretch is the morning of Saturday, September 5th. The wind goes glassy, absolutely dead, with only a 5 km/h breeze from the SW. That’s the cleanest we’ll see for a while. We’re getting 3ft of SSW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the energy is moderate at 332. It’s not big, but it will be clean. This is a reef and point break, so that long-period swell is going to wrap in a bit better here than it would at a beach break. Just note, this spot is inconsistent, so it might not be reeling all day, but when it does, the conditions will be perfect. The crowd factor is a bit of a lottery, marked as “sometimes,” so you could have it to yourself or share it with a few.

The second week is a bit more of a tease. The middle of the week sees a pulse of energy. On the 2nd of September, the swell bumps up to 3ft with a 13-second period, but the wind is onshore and cranking to 20 km/h in the afternoon, and the energy jumps to 661, which is strong, but it’s going to be a washing machine. The 3rd looks bigger too, with up to 5ft of SSW swell, but again, cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions will ruin it.

There is another interesting window on the 10th of September. The morning has 2ft of SW swell with a 16-second period and a light 5 km/h cross-on breeze from the WSW. It’s not glassy like the 5th, but light enough to be workable. The energy is moderate at 296. This one is further out, so treat it as promising but less certain. But for a spot that rarely gets clean, the 5th of September morning is your best bet. It’s the only day I’d really plan around. The rest of the time, you’re fighting the wind.

Rusty.

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