Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this is a tough one. The forecast is pretty grim for a long stretch, and it’s going to take a while before we see anything worth paddling out for.

The first real chance of a surf comes on Saturday, August 29th, but don’t get your hopes up. Royal Palms State Beach is the only break on the cards, and it’s a sheltered reef and point setup that’s inconsistent and best for beginners. The early morning has a small 3ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is moderate (403). The water is a balmy 74°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. The problem? The wind is light and variable, but the conditions are just marginal, with questionable tide making it a write-off. The afternoon gets worse with a strong cross-onshore wind and choppy conditions. It’s not a goer.

From Sunday, August 30th, right through to Friday, September 5th, it’s a flat, blown-out mess. The swell stays tiny, between 1ft and 3ft, and every session is ruined by cross-onshore winds. The energy is weak to moderate, but it doesn’t matter because the wind chops it all up. There’s nothing to recommend. Just a long, frustrating gap of poor conditions.

Finally, on Saturday, September 5th, we get a tiny window. The morning at Royal Palms shows a glassy surface with that same 3ft, 16-second SSW swell. The energy is moderate (363). The wind is dead calm – glassy. This is the one standout of the whole forecast. It’s still small, and the break is inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but if you’ve got a longboard and just need to get wet, this is your only chance for clean waves. The crowd situation is “sometimes,” so you might have it to yourself.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. From Sunday, September 6th, all the way to the end of the outlook on Sunday, September 13th, the wind is almost always cross-onshore, the swell stays small and weak, and the conditions are poor. The energy levels drop into the low triple digits (between 111 and 388), which is just weak, and the period goes from long to short, so the waves that do show up won’t have any shape.

The only other day that might catch your eye is Tuesday, September 8th, with a slightly bigger 4ft swell, but it’s a short 13-second period and the wind is howling cross-onshore again, making it choppy and messy.

Honestly, if you’re a kite surfer, the consistent cross-onshore winds and small, choppy waves might look like a fun playground. For a paddle surfer, this is a long, frustrating wait for a single glassy morning.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts. Things can always change.

Rusty.

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