Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Royal Palms State Beach over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you—it’s a pretty bleak run. This spot is a sheltered reef and point, inconsistent as they come, and it really needs the right combo to fire. We’re looking at a long, dry stretch with barely a glimmer of hope.

The water’s running at 74° which is a massive 8° warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s very unusual. Makes for a nice dip between sessions, I suppose.

Thursday the 3rd kicks off with tiny, weak swell at 1 ft from the SW, period a long 15 seconds, but with a cross-onshore wind it’s just messy. Poor surf. The combined swell energy is weak (187). That’s the story for days: small, messy, or both. Friday and Saturday see the swell bump up slightly to 3 ft - 3 ft, but the wind stays cross or cross-on, so it’s still marginal at best.

Now, here’s the one window that could be alright. Sunday morning, the 6th of September. The wind goes glassy—dead calm, 3 mh from the west, which is offshore for this spot. Swell bumps to 3 ft from the S with a period of 14 seconds (long period groundswell). Combined energy is moderate (476). The surf should be clean and have some shape, especially for a point. This is the standout. The wind will likely swing cross-onshore in the afternoon though, so get on it early.

After that, it’s back to the grind. Monday the 7th through Wednesday the 10th sees swell holding around 3 ft to 4 ft, but the wind is consistently cross-on or onshore, making it choppy and poor. By Thursday the 11th, the swell drops again.

There’s a small pulse of short-period windswell on Saturday the 12th of September—5 ft from the W but only 7 seconds. That’s peaky, weak energy and too short to be fun here, especially with cross-on wind. It’s a write-off.

From the 13th onward, we’re back to tiny 1.0 ft to 2 ft swell with long periods (16-22 seconds). That’s pretty, but without size or good wind, it’s just a flat, wobbly lake. Combined energy dips right down to weak levels (134-200). The wind stays on or cross-on most days.

Honestly, the only real chance for a decent surf in this whole 16-day window is that Sunday morning, the 6th. The rest of the run is a washout. If you’re desperate, paddle out then, otherwse save your energy.

That’s all I’ve got for you. Keep an eye on the sky, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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