Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next 16 days at Royal Palms State Beach are going to be a real test of patience. This is a sheltered spot, and it shows. For the vast majority of the time, we’re looking at poor surf conditions with tiny, weak swell and unfriendly winds. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 70°, but that’s about the only thing going for it.

The first stretch, from Friday the 21st of August right through to the end of the month, is a write-off. Swell is tiny, mostly around 1.0ft to 1ft, and the wind is constantly cross-on or onshore, chopping things up. The combined energy is weak, hovering between 108 and 146 – there’s just no push. Even the long period swells (13 to 19 seconds) can’t save it because the wind is all wrong.

We get a slight bump in size around Tuesday the 25th and into the 26th, with swell picking up to 2ft to 3ft from the S, and energy climbing into the moderate range (361 to 476). But again, the wind is a mess. Wednesday morning the 26th has a light cross-onshore, and the surf is still rated poor. It’s frustrating.

The only real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Monday the 31st of August. That early session is looking like the best of the whole run, which isn’t saying much, but hear me out. Swell is a weak 2ft from the SSW, period at 14 seconds, and energy is moderate at 239. But the real kicker is the wind: it’s glassy. For a sheltered reef and point break like Royal Palms, glassy conditions are everything. The surf is described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” which is a step up from the constant “poor” we’ve been hearing. This is your one window for a clean, small-wave session.

After that, we slide back into nothing. The first of September brings a 3ft to 3ft windswell from the W with a shocking 6 to 7 second period – that’s just wind chop, not surf. The energy is weak, the wind is cross, and it’s total junk. The rest of the first week of September is a repeat of the same story: small, messy, and not worth paddling out for.

So, the honest truth? There’s nothing here that would make me say “drop everything and go.” The 31st of August morning is your only shot at a clean, glassy wave, and even then it’s tiny. If you’re desperate for a paddle, that’s your window. Otherwise, save your energy.

Rusty.

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