Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I'm looking at this forecast and feeling a bit flat. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a struggle. We're looking at Royal Palms State Beach, a sheltered reef and point break, but the conditions just aren't coming together for anything worthwhile. It's a consistent run of poor surf, so I'll walk you through the best of a bad bunch, but don't get your hopes up too high.

The real kicker is the wind. It's coming from the wrong quarters—cross-on or onshore—for most of the period. That's going to mess up the surface. We start off on Thursday, the 6th of August, with a tiny 1 ft SW swell. The combined energy is weak, only 105. The water is a very warm 72° and 6° above normal, which is a real standout for the area, but with a 12 mph cross-on wind, it's just choppy.

Friday the 7th has a bit more energy in the water, hitting 202 with a 1 ft SSW swell, but the period is a very long 19 seconds. That's a groundswell, which is great for a point break like this, but the light offshore morning breeze is spoiled by a 12 mph cross-on in the afternoon. It's not clean enough.

The best chance we get is really on Monday the 10th of August. The morning shows a light breeze, but it's cross-on, so not ideal. The afternoon, however, has a light onshore wind and combined energy jumps to 228. The swell is small at 2 ft, but it's a SSW direction which is what this spot likes. That onshore wind is light, so it might be glassy enough for a longboard. It's not a standout, it's just the least bad option.

We see a similar pattern for the next week. The swell stays tiny, rarely cracking 3 ft, and the wind continues to be a problem. The period stays long, between 14 and 19 seconds, which is a positive for the wave shape here, but the wind is always cross-on or onshore. A few mornings, like the 11th, 13th, and 18th, have a light onshore breeze, but the swell is so small it's barely rideable.

The later part of the window, from the 15th of August onward, the swell does nudge up to 3 ft, and the combined energy gets into the 300s, which is moderate. But the wind is still cross-on and choppy. It's a classic case of the energy being wasted.

If you're a beginner, the swell never gets over 5 ft, so it's not too big, but the choppy, messy conditions make it a tough paddle for anyone. Honestly, with the cross-on wind and small swell, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for most of the run.

So, to be blunt, there's no real standout session here. The entire 16-day forecast is a gap where the surf is poor. It's a blank run. The only faint glimmer is that Monday afternoon, 10th of August, if the wind stays light. Don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more