Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Royal Palms State Beach over the next 16 days is a bit of a tough pill to swallow. Honestly, it's a pretty grim run of small, messy conditions. Right from the start on Thursday, July 30th, we've got a 2ft SSW swell at 15 seconds, but the wind is cross-on from the WSW at 9 mph, and the wave energy is weak (330). The water is sitting at 72°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a very unusual anomaly. But the surf is just poor.

The whole first week, from July 30th right through to August 6th, is a write-off. Swell heights stay tiny, between 1.0ft and 3ft, and the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore almost every session. The energy's weak, with values mostly sitting between 94 and 148. There's no clean window to speak of. It's the kind of flat spell where you're better off finding something else to do. The spot is inconsistent at the best of times, and this run is a perfect example of why.

We get a little bump in energy around August 7th and 8th, with a long-period SSW groundswell pushing 19 seconds, and the swell height only creeping up to 1ft to 2ft. But here's the kicker – the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the surf is still poor. The energy does climb a bit, hitting 205 on the Friday morning and 214 on the Saturday morning, but it's all for nothing because the conditions are too choppy and messy. Even with that long period, which normally would mean better shaped waves, the wind just ruins it.

The following week, from August 9th through to the 14th, is more of the same. Small, weak swells, cross-onshore winds, and a consistent "poor surf conditions" tag. The longest period we see is 20 seconds on the afternoon of August 10th, but the swell is only 1ft and the wind is howling from the W at 12 mph. The energy numbers are moderate, hitting 240 on the afternoon of the 13th, but it's all cross-on and choppy. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.

There's not a single standout session in the whole 16-day window. No clean glassy mornings, no decent swell direction matching the optimum SW, no real quality. For a sheltered spot like this, it's a genuine blank run. The forecasts can change, but right now, I'd say save your energy and wait for the next proper system to roll through. This is one of those stretches where the ocean just doesn't want to play ball.

Rusty

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