Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve got the long-range look for Royal Palms State Beach. Straight up, this is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window where the surf just doesn’t show up. The first real nod to anything surfable doesn’t come until Tuesday, August 25th, and even then, it’s a whisper, not a roar.

The overall pattern is dominated by weak, onshore or cross-onshore winds, and small, long-period SW swells that just don’t have the grunt to organise clean waves at this sheltered reef and point. For the first 13 days of this forecast, from the 12th of August, it’s a desert. Day after day of “poor surf conditions” and zero scores. The swell energy is there, but it’s a messy, weak energy, with values mostly hanging around the 150 to 390 mark (moderate) but completely ruined by the wind. The water, by the way, is a notable 3° warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a treat for the skin, but not much else.

Then we get to Tuesday, August 25th. The afternoon shows a glimmer. A 2ft SW swell, 16-second period, but the wind goes glassy. That’s the only time in the entire 16 days the wind goes completely neutral. The energy is weak (169), but it’s the only time the conditions are described as “glassy.” It’s surfable, but very ordinary. No highlight to be had.

Thursday, August 27th morning offers a similar story: another glassy window with a 2ft SW swell from 14 seconds, and slightly stronger energy (329). But again, it’s just a brief moment of clean, small waves.

Honestly, for a spot that’s already inconsistent and sheltered, this is a blank run. There are no standouts. The best on offer is a couple of small, glassy mornings with knee-high, long-period swell. If you’re desperate for a paddle, those Tuesday afternoon and Thursday morning windows on the 25th and 27th are your only real shot. For anyone else, keep the board in the car.

Rusty.

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