Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk Royal Palms State Beach—it’s the only game in town for this forecast, a little reef-and-point break that’s sheltered, inconsistent, and needs the right combo to fire. We’ve got a 16‑day window starting now, and honestly, most of it is a bust. The water’s a touch warmer than normal for July at 68°F, but that’s about the only bright spot.

Monday 6 July: tiny 2‑ft SSW groundswell, 16-second period, combined energy 312 (weak). Wind onshore from the SW at 6 mph—poor surf. Monday afternoon gets cross‑onshore from the W at 12 mph, choppy and ugly. Tuesday 7 July morning sees a slight bump to 3 ft with an 18-second period, energy up to 480 (moderate), but the wind is still onshore (SW 3 mph) and the forecast calls it marginal—score 1 out of 10. Not worth it.

Then Wednesday 8 July morning—this is your standout. Swell holds at 3 ft from the SSW, 16 seconds, energy 513 (moderate). The wind goes glassy—dead calm, 3 mph from the SW—so even though it’s technically onshore, it’s clean as a whistle. That long period groundswell (16 seconds) will wrap around the reef nicely. This is your best shot all forecast. But remember, this break is inconsistent, so you’ve got to be on it early. Crowds are possible (sometimes).

After that, it’s a long stretch of poor conditions. Thursday 9 July through the weekend: 2–3 ft swells, period dropping to 14–15 seconds, energy between 199 and 370, but cross‑onshore or cross‑shore winds mess it up. By Monday 13 July swell drops to 2 ft and keeps fading. The second week (from 14 July) is even worse—swell heights barely 1–2 ft, energy often below 200, and wind always onshore or cross‑onshore. There’s a tiny bounce on 19 July afternoon with 3 ft SW, 17 seconds, energy 390, but again light cross‑onshore wind keeps it poor. Last few days (20–21 July) are also poor.

So bottom line: Wednesday morning 8 July is the only real highlight—small, clean, glassy, with a nice long‑period groundswell at Royal Palms. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a write‑off. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, this dry spell is pretty normal. Forecasts can shift, but right now it’s a one‑session call.

Rusty

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