Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

It’s a real quiet stretch, I’ve gotta be honest. The first bit of the run isn’t really offering much, and the whole 16-day window looks pretty flat and underwhelming. You’ll be waiting a while before anything even gets close to worth paddling out for.

Royal Palms State Beach is a reef and point setup, sheltered from a lot of the juice, and it’s inconsistent to begin with. The water is a very unusual 72°F right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. The swell energy is moderate at best, with a combined energy reading of 640 on Monday afternoon, but the wind is cross-onshore from the W at 9 mph, making it choppy. The swell is only 3 ft from the SSW, and while it’s a long period groundswell at 19 seconds, the conditions are just poor. This isn’t the kind of spot to get excited about with that wind.

The whole week stays pretty much the same. On Tuesday, the 28th of July, you get a morning window with a cross-shore breeze from the SE at 9 mph, which cleans it up a little, but the score is still a marginal call. The swell is 3 ft and 17 seconds from the SSW. Tuesday afternoon sees a brief window of onshore wind from the SW at 6 mph, but the quality is still poor. Wednesday morning the 29th is similar – cross-shore from the SSE at 9 mph, 3 ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, but still marginal. After that, it’s a string of poor conditions with light onshore and cross-onshore breezes, and the swell drops to 2 ft through to the end of July.

By the 1st of August, the swell is still around 3 ft from the SSW, but the wind is onshore and the energy is dropping. The 2nd of August sees a big drop to 1 ft. The combined energy plummets to 118 and then 98, which is weak. The rest of the first week of August is a slow grind of 1 ft surf with onshore and cross-onshore wind, and the energy stays well under 200. It’s a real lull.

There’s a tiny flicker around the 6th of August – a very long period 21 second groundswell from the SSW, but it’s only 1 ft. The combined energy is 150, still weak, and the wind on the morning is light onshore, so it’s unlikely to be rideable. The 7th brings a cross-shore breeze from the NW, but with 1 ft and a 19 second period, that’s a long wait for a tiny wave. The 8th and 9th of August stay in the 2 ft to 2 ft range, with moderate cross-onshore winds making it choppy.

The 10th of August has a 2 ft swell from the SW at 20 seconds, but the afternoon is chopped up by a 12 mph WSW wind. The 11th is similar, with onshore wind and a 2 ft, 20 second swell. The energy readings are still moderate, in the 200s, but the wind and size just aren’t there.

Honestly, there’s no standout day in this whole run. The best you could hope for is a marginal session on the 28th or 29th of July morning, but that’s a stretch. If you’re a beginner, the swell is small enough at 3 ft, but the quality is poor, and long period swells like this tend to break too straight at beach breaks, making it tricky. This spot is a reef and point, so it might handle the long period a little better, but the inconsistent nature and the poor wind mean it’s not worth the drive. For a kite surfer, the persistent cross-onshore wind and small swell might look more interesting than it does for a paddle surfer.

Blank runs like this are more normal for this sheltered area, so don’t lose hope. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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