Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – looking at the shop for the next couple of weeks, it’s a tough one. We’re staring down the barrel of a long, quiet spell with hardly anything worth paddling out for.

Right now, into the first week and beyond, it’s all pretty grim. The biggest issue is the wind. We’ve got a constant cross-onshore or onshore breeze messing up the surface, making everything choppy. The swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft from the SW with a long period that just doesn’t have enough push. The combined wave energy is weak, barely cracking 100 (131) at the start. The water is a notable 70°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, almost 3° above average.

Going into the second week around the 21st of July, we see a little bump in size to 3ft, but it’s still accompanied by those messy onshore winds. The energy picks up a bit into the moderate range (399), but the quality is still poor. The real tease comes on the 24th of July morning – the swell jumps to 3ft from the South with a light offshore wind, and the energy gets strong (621). But it’s still only rated as marginal. The following days, the 25th and 26th, see the biggest swell of the outlook, hitting 5ft from the South on the 25th morning. That’s a solid size and the energy is very strong (1424), but the wind is a cross-onshore, churning it up into a choppy mess. For a break like Royal Palms, a sheltered reef and point, this onshore flow is a killer. It doesn’t get the juice it needs to clean up.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. The best chance is the morning of the 24th of July with that 3ft South swell and light offshore wind, but it’s still a marginal call. The 25th has the size but the wind ruins it. This is a long stretch of poor conditions, and it’s a real bummer. We’re stuck in a pattern that looks more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.

Rusty.

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