Royal Palms State Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's see what we're working with.

Gotta be honest right now—this stretch is a total dud for Royal Palms State Beach. Over the full 16-day forecast, there’s not a single session I’d call worth paddling out for. It’s a long, dry run with nothing but tiny dribbles and messy wind. The first chance to get wet lands on Sunday the 5th, but it’s a bust. The water’s sitting at 68°, which is about 4° warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s a big deal, feels like a hot tub for July, but that’s the only stand-out thing here.

Let me walk you through it. Sunday the 5th and Monday the 6th bring a weak, long-period swell from the SSW, around 1ft to 2ft, but the wind is all wrong—cross-on at 12 mph on Sunday, then lighter cross-on Monday morning. The combined energy is moderate, hanging between 251 and 383, but conditions are just poor. This reef and point break is sheltered from that swell direction, so it never really gets going. Tuesday the 7th morning is the first time we hit “marginal”—3ft of SSW swell at 18 seconds, with a light S breeze at 3 mph. That’s the cleanest wind we’ll get, but still cross-on and tiny. The energy climbs to 480 (moderate), but it’s not enough to get stoked on.

From there, it’s the same old story. Through the rest of the first week and into the second, we’re stuck with tiny 1ft to 3ft SSW swells, periods bouncing between 14 and 18 seconds. The wind mostly sits in that cross-on zone, with gentle to moderate breezes keeping the surface chopped or rippled. Even the mornings on Wednesday the 8th and Tuesday the 14th go glassy with a slight air, but the swell is just too weak. The energy drops from the 300s and 400s down into the 100s after the 12th—weak stuff.

There’s a tiny bump on Saturday the 18th with a 2ft SW swell and 17-second period, but it’s paired with a 9 mph cross-on wind that kills any chance of clean waves. Honestly, this whole outlook is a miss for paddle surfing. With the poor surf quality, small heights, and persistent cross-onshore wind at a beach-and-reef spot, it’s looking way more fun for kite surfing than anything else. Don’t get your hopes up—forecasts can shift, but right now, I’d find something else to do.

Rusty.

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