Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Newcombs Hollow over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a tough stretch. We're looking at a long dry spell before any real surf shows up. The water is sitting at 70°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing too wild, just a nice little bonus if you're in the water.

We've got a solid run of poor surf conditions from the get-go. Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th are both write-offs, with tiny, weak swell and messy winds. The combined wave energy is only 79 (weak) and 84 (weak) on those two days. Friday afternoon on the 28th does show a brief moment of clean conditions with a 2 ft swell from the SE, but it's so small and weak (energy 51) that it's barely worth a paddle.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th offer nothing better—the swell stays under 3 ft, and the wind is all over the shop. The energy drops to as low as 13 (very weak) by Sunday afternoon. Monday the 31st is glassy early but with a piddly 1 ft swell—energy of just 11. That's about as flat as it gets.

The first week of September is more of the same. Tuesday the 1st has fresh onshore winds and lumpy conditions, Wednesday the 2nd is onshore, and Thursday the 3rd, though clean, still has a swell under 2 ft. The combined energy barely cracks 50–70. We finally see a bit more oomph on Sunday the 6th, with a 4 ft swell from the ENE and energy up to 210 (moderate), but the wind is cross or cross-onshore, and the wave comment is still "poor surf conditions." The same goes for Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th—swell energy in the 165–210 range but wind is a messy cross-shore, and the surf is lumpy and choppy.

Then, we hit a real standout. On Friday the 11th of September, in the morning, Newcombs Hollow finally delivers. We've got a 5 ft swell from the east, with a period of 7 seconds—short period, sure, but the wind is a light southerly cross-offshore, and the conditions are clean. The combined wave energy hits 248 (moderate), and the wave comment is "expect good surf conditions." That's the best on offer by a long shot. The swell is chest to head-high, and with the offshore wind, the waves will be nicely shaped. It's an exposed spot, and the optimum swell direction is NE, so the east swell is a decent angle. The crowd profile says "sometimes," so you might have a few others out, but it's worth it. The only bummer is that by the afternoon, the wind picks up to a fresh 30 km/h, and the conditions go back to poor.

The rest of the second week? More of the same small, wind-affected slop. Nothing to write home about. So, mark your calendar for Friday the 11th of September, get up early, and you'll score some clean, fun waves at Newcombs Hollow.

Rusty.

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