Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Newcombs Hollow has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a tough stretch. The forecast is a real mixed bag, and for the first week and a half, you’ll be battling more than you’ll be riding. We’re looking at a long, dry gap with no decent surf on offer from Wednesday the 26th of August all the way through to the end of the first week of September. The swell is small, the wind is messy, and it’s just not worth paddling out for the scraps on offer. The best you’ll see in that first week is a tiny 1.0ft of weak, short-period slop, with the odd clean window but nothing with any punch. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is about normal for this time of year, so that’s one small comfort.

That long wait finally looks like it might pay off around Friday the 4th of September. A big pulse of swell is forecast to roll in, with a solid 8ft of NE swell showing up. But – and it’s a big but – the wind is going to be a real problem. We’re looking at strong cross-onshore and onshore winds, turning the ocean into a choppy mess. The combined energy here is strong to very strong, hitting 650 and 670 (moderate to strong), but the quality is shot. Honestly, with that much wind and that kind of raw power, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s too big and blown out for anyone but the most experienced, and even then, it’s not going to be pretty.

The wind eases up a touch into the weekend of the 5th and 6th, but we’re still dealing with severe gale and near-gale force winds. The swell drops to a more manageable 5ft to 4ft, but the conditions will be so rough it’s a write-off. This is a stretch for the hardcore only.

The standout, if you can call it that, is a very brief window on Tuesday the 8th of September. The swell is tiny, only 2ft from the ENE, but the wind goes glassy. That’s right – glassy. The combined energy is weak (60), but for a spot that’s been getting hammered, a 2ft glassy wave is a rare treat. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Don’t expect anything special, just a clean, small wave for a longboard or a fun log. The consistency is listed as "consistent" here, so you’ll get a few, but it’s a true micro-swell.

After that, we’re back to small, weak windswell for the rest of the outlook. The windows of clean, offshore wind on the 10th of September (Thursday) are a tease, but the swell is only 3ft of short-period SE junk. It’s clean, but it’s a total scratch-fest.

So, the bottom line: It’s a lean 16 days. The only real blip of interest is that tiny, glassy window on the 8th of September. If you’re desperate, that’s your spot. Otherwise, save your energy and wait for a better forecast.

Stay salty,
Rusty.

Read more