Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the 16-day outlook for Newcombs Hollow.

First things first, I gotta be straight with you – this stretch of days is looking pretty grim. The waves are small, the wind is often messy, and the quality just isn’t there. The water temperature is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 69°F.

We kick off on Thursday, September 3rd with a tiny 1ft swell from the southeast, but with a cross wind and a 16 mph breeze, it’s a total write-off. The combined energy is a weak 34. Friday the 4th shows a bit more promise, but it’s still very ordinary. The morning has a glassy 2ft wave from the ESE with a short period of 7 seconds, and the wind is dead calm – that’s about as clean as it gets. Combined energy is only 54 though, so it’s small and weak. By afternoon, the wind swings onshore and kills it.

Saturday the 5th is a mess with strong onshore winds and a lumpy 3ft to 4ft wave. Sunday the 6th sees a bigger bump of 7ft from the NE with a combined energy of 484, but it’s a strong cross-shore wind with a messy cross-chop. That’s not fun paddle surfing – that’s a kite day if anything. Period is only 8 seconds, so it’s just windswell.

Monday the 7th is a slight reprieve. The morning has a clean 3ft wave from the ENE with a 10-second period and a moderate cross-offshore wind. Combined energy is 182. It’s surfable, but “surfable” is about the best you can say. The afternoon stays clean but drops to 3ft.

After that, it’s a long, bleak stretch. From Tuesday the 8th all the way through Friday the 18th of September, the swell barely gets above 2ft, and most days the combined energy is under 30. The wind is often clean, but there’s just no wave energy to work with. The period does get long on the 18th – 12 seconds – but the swell is only 1ft. That’s a long wait for a 1ft wave.

Honestly, the only window that’s even worth a look is Friday morning, September 4th, with that glassy 2ft ESE swell. It’s clean, small, and for a beginner or a longboarder, you might snag a few. The other faint glimmer is Monday morning, September 7th, with a clean 3ft ENE swell. That’s the biggest clean wave in the whole forecast, but it’s still very ordinary. Nothing here is a standout. The best on offer is just “not terrible.”

This is a tough run for Newcombs Hollow. It’s a consistent spot, but the forecasts have let us down. Don’t hold your breath for the second week – it’s tiny and quiet.

Rusty.

Read more