Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Newcombs Hollow over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you, it’s a pretty flat and quiet run for the most part. The first couple of weeks aren’t offering much in the way of proper waves, but there’s a flicker of something later on that’s worth keeping an eye on.

The overall pattern is one of small, weak swells and plenty of days where you’d be better off leaving the board in the shed. The combined energy is mostly in the single digits or low double digits for the first week, which is very weak. It’s not until we get into the second half of the forecast that we start to see a bit of a pulse.

The water temperature is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 71°F, with the anomaly at 3°F – so it’s a bit bath-like, but nothing too wild.

Now, for the first few days, we’ve got nothing. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are essentially flat with tiny, wind-affected slop. Tuesday the 11th has a bit of offshore wind but still only 0.3ft to 0.7ft of swell – not worth the paddle.

Wednesday the 12th morning is interesting for a moment – glassy conditions with a light northerly, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft from the NNW with a period of just 4 seconds. It’s clean but there’s no push. The energy is only 9, so it’s a lake.

Thursday the 13th morning has some offshore wind and a 14-second period swell, but the height is still only 0.3ft. That long period means it’s got a bit of travel behind it, but the size just isn’t there. Energy is 7.

Friday the 14th is the same story – 0.7ft to 1ft, clean but tiny.

Saturday the 15th sees a slight bump, with 3ft from the NNE on the morning, but the period is a short 5 seconds and the wind is cross-shore. Energy climbs to 49, which is still weak. The afternoon turns onshore, so no dice.

From the 16th through to the 20th, it’s more of the same: small, weak, and often messy. The 17th has a 37 energy reading with a long 18-second period from the east, but the height is only 0.7ft and the wind is strong. Not a surfer’s window.

Then we get to Friday the 21st of August. This is the one that stands out. The morning shows 3ft from the north, with a short period of 5 seconds, but it’s clean with a cross-off southwest wind at 12 mph. The energy jumps to 69 – the highest we’ve seen – and while it’s not a big swell, it’s the best on offer. The break is consistent and the wind is offshore, so you’ll get clean, workable waves. It’s not for beginners though – that 3ft is at the upper end of manageable for an intermediate crew, and the short period means it’ll be a bit crumbly.

After that, the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd drops back down to 1ft and cross-on winds. The 24th Monday morning sees a clean cross-shore wind with 1ft and a 12-second period, energy of 48, but it’s still small.

So the standout is Friday the 21st morning at Newcombs Hollow. It’s the only real window where the swell, wind, and conditions line up. It’s not a classic, but it’s the best we’ve got. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so you might have company.

Other than that, it’s a long, flat stretch. If you’re itching for a paddle, keep an eye on the forecast – it tends not to stay this quiet forever.

Rusty.

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