Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Newcombs Hollow over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch. You’ve got a long gap of poor conditions, with only a few windows that might get you wet. The first decent look doesn’t come until Sunday the 6th, and even that’s not a classic. Water temp’s 68°F, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

Let’s break it down. Saturday the 5th is a total wash – tiny swell around 2ft from the east with a short 7-second period and a nasty 25-30 mph cross or cross-on breeze. Forget it. Sunday the 6th, the morning’s still blown out with 6ft from the NE and 35 mph cross-wind, but the afternoon looks better. Wind swings to the NNW at just 10 mph, cross-off, and the swell drops to 5ft from the NE, 7-second period. Combined energy hits 355 – moderate – and the water cleans right up. It’s not a standout but it’s your first real chance. The short period means a bit of chop and less push.

Monday the 7th morning holds some 4ft NE swell at 10 seconds – longer period, more energy, better shape – with a light 15 mph NNW cross-off. Conditions are clean, but it’s marginal. The afternoon drops to 3ft from the ENE with a glassy offshore WSW breeze, but it’s ordinary.

Then it dries up. From Tuesday the 8th right through to Thursday the 17th, it’s a desert. Swell barely pushes 2ft most days, wind’s often onshore or cross, and the energy is weak – often below 100. There’s a small spike on Friday the 11th afternoon with 3ft NNE swell and glassy conditions, but the period’s only 6 seconds, and the combined energy is 100 – weak. Surfable, but nothing special.

The one true standout? Sunday the 6th afternoon. That’s your best bet. Clean, cross-off wind, 5ft NE swell – the biggest and cleanest wave in the whole run. It’s a consistent spot, so there’ll be waves, but it can get crowded sometimes, so don’t expect it to yourself. The swell direction from the NE matches the optimum for the break, so it’ll line up nicely. It’s intermediate-friendly, not too big for most.

After that, it’s a long dry spell. The second week is grim – tiny swell, mostly cross or onshore winds, no energy. A couple of days have glassy or offshore conditions, but with swell barely 0.7ft, you’re not paddling out. The period around the 18th and 19th brings a little 4ft NE swell but with fresh cross-winds and lumpy conditions. Not worth it.

Bottom line: if you’re chasing waves at Newcombs Hollow, Sunday the 6th afternoon is your only real shot. After that, put the board away for a while. Forecasts can change, but this one’s looking pretty locked in for a flat spell.

Rusty.

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