Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, surfers! Rusty here, let's talk about what's cooking at Newcombs Hollow over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the water's sitting at a warm 68°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Not bad on the skin.

Alright, so the outlook gets going on Friday, September 4th. It's a slow start. The morning has some weak energy with a combined swell energy of just 50, and a knee-high 2ft swell out of the ESE. The period is a short 7 seconds, so not much push. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW, so the surface is clean, but honestly, it's surfable but very ordinary. The afternoon is even worse – a light cross-on breeze messes it up.

Saturday the 5th sees a bump in size but the wind turns mean. A morning cross-shore at 16 mph and an afternoon cross-on at 22 mph turn the 3ft to 4ft swell into a lumpy, choppy mess. The energy starts to build, hitting 127 in the PM, but the conditions are a hard pass.

Sunday the 6th is the same story. A morning strong cross-shore wind at 25 mph makes the 7ft swell (energy of 490) unsurfable. But hold up, Sunday afternoon brings a real chance. The wind swings to a light cross-off from the NW at just 6 mph. That 6ft swell from the NE gets cleaned right up. This is the standout session of the first week. It's a bigger wave, over 5ft, so it's more for the intermediate crew. The period is a short 8 seconds, so it'll be a bit sectiony, but the clean face makes it worth the paddle.

Monday the 7th is decent. The morning has a clean 4ft NE swell (260 energy) with a light cross-off. The afternoon is even better – a glassy offshore wind from the WSW at only 3 mph polishes a 4ft NE swell with a longer 10-second period, energy of 233. That's a solid, clean afternoon session for an intermediate.

After Monday, things drop off. Tuesday the 8th is tiny, and from Wednesday the 9th through until Monday the 14th of September, the swell is basically flat. A long gap of surf drought.

We get a pulse back for the second week. Tuesday the 15th of September looks interesting but marginal. A 6ft N swell (286 energy) with a moderate cross-off. The wind is clean, but the period is a short 6 seconds. Not ideal.

The real second-week highlight is Wednesday the 16th of September. The morning shows a solid 6ft NNE swell with a combined energy of 370. It's a short 7-second period again, but the wind is a light cross-off from the WSW. The forecast says "expect good surf conditions." That's a big wave day – definitely for experts only as it's getting towards that 8ft mark. Keep an eye on it, but you know, long-range forecasts have their uncertainties.

The rest of that week fades out to small, windy and poor conditions by Friday the 18th.

For the standout of the whole outlook, I'm going with Sunday afternoon, September 6th. That first clean, punchy swell with the light cross-off is where you want to be. The Monday afternoon the 7th is the close second, with that glassy offshore wind. Get on it.

Stay salty.
Rusty.

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