Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the next couple weeks for Newcombs Hollow. Let’s be straight up – it’s pretty bleak for paddle surfing. The first few days have a bit of size but the wind and conditions just murder it, and then it just fades into tiny, messy nothing. We’re lookin’ at a long run of poor surf, more than a week of it, before it even thinks about a whisper of a wave again.

Our only real shot at anything ridable is the opening of the period. Wednesday morning the 8th of July has the biggest swell of the whole outlook at 7ft from the ENE, but the wind is a nasty cross-shore from the north at 22 mph, turning it into lumpy, choppy junk. The combined swell energy is moderate at (475), so there’s grunt there, but it’s just not gonna be clean. That afternoon the wind backs off a bit to a gentle cross-shore, and the swell drops to 5ft from the east, still only producing marginal surf. Thursday morning the 9th of July is the closest we get to a window: offshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph, clean faces, with a small 3ft east swell. The period is a short 7 seconds though, so the waves will be weak and a bit crumbly, but at least it’s surfable. It’s not a standout by any stretch – more of a grovel on a longboard.

After that, it’s all downhill. Thursday afternoon the wind swings and strengthens, and from Friday the 10th of July all the way through to at least Tuesday the 21st of July, the swell just disappears. For days on end we’re looking at swells under 2ft, mostly in the 0.7ft to 2ft range, with periods all over the shop and wind that’s either cross or onshore. The combined swell energy drops to weak levels, often below (50). There are a couple of clean-looking moments, like Tuesday morning the 21st of July when it’s glassy with 0.3ft, but there’s nothing to ride.

Water temp at Newcombs Hollow is 68°, which is a solid 4° warmer than average – much warmer than you’d expect, so a spring suit or maybe a shorty will be fine for the small stuff.

There’s a little flutter right at the very end. On Tuesday afternoon the 21st of July the swell bumps up a touch to 4ft from the south, but it’s a short 5-second period and cross-onshore wind from the southeast at 12 mph, so it’s choppy and blown out. Not worth getting excited about.

Honestly, if you’re itching to get wet, Thursday morning is your only real option with a clean, small wave. Otherwise, this is a dead period. For kite surfing, the Wednesday morning and some of those windy afternoons with a bit of swell might look more interesting, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a long wait. Forecasts can always change, but as it stands, it’s a tough stretch.

Rusty

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