Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Newcombs Hollow over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the next 16 days look pretty flat and uninspiring for the most part. We’ve got a real gap here with nearly no surf worth paddling out for. The water is sitting at about 70°F right now, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, a nice little anomaly of 4°F above average, so at least you won’t be freezing your toes off if you do go for a float.

The first surfable hint doesn’t really show up until Thursday morning, September 3rd. Early that morning there’s a small 3ft swell from the SSE with a short, choppy period of 4 seconds. The wind is a cross-offshore from the SSW at 16 mph, keeping things clean, but the wave energy is weak (54). It’s a poor surf conditions call though, so not much to get excited about. Thursday afternoon cleans up a bit more with a WNW offshore breeze at 6 mph, and the swell drops to 3ft from the S, still a short period of 5 seconds. The energy is still low (61). It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Friday morning, September 4th, is the best we’ll see for a while. The wind goes glassy from the WNW at 3 mph, and we’ve got a 2ft wave from the E with a period of 7 seconds. The swell energy is weak (58). It’s clean, but the waves are tiny. Again, it’s surfable but very ordinary.

Then we hit a wall. From Saturday, September 5th, all the way through to Wednesday, September 16th, it’s a write-off. The swell does build a bit on Saturday and Sunday with waves up to 7ft from the NE, but the wind is screaming from the NNE at 22-25 mph, creating lumpy, messy, cross-onshore conditions. The energy spikes up to 352 and 482 (moderate), but the quality is terrible. These are “poor surf conditions” across the board. That 7ft stuff is getting into expert territory with the wind, and the short period (6-8 seconds) won’t help.

There’s a small glimmer on Monday afternoon, September 7th, with a 4ft swell from the NE (9-second period) and a light offshore wind from the W at 3 mph. The energy is moderate (193), and it’s clean. But again, it’s just “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.”

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak waves (0.7ft to 1ft) with poor wind until the very end of the outlook. On Thursday, September 17th, we finally get a proper offshore breeze from the W at 12 mph in the morning, and 6 mph in the afternoon. The swell is 2ft from the ESE with an 8-second period, and the energy is still weak (70-80). It’s clean, but it’s ankle-snappers. “Surfable but very ordinary” is the best we can say.

The standout for the whole period: If you’re desperate, Friday morning, September 4th. That’s your best bet. Glassy conditions, tiny 2ft waves from the east. It won’t be anything special, but it’ll be the cleanest you’ll see. The rest is a long, flat wait.

Stay patient, or go find a lake. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a tough run.

Rusty.

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