Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch for Newcombs Hollow. The next two weeks have very little to offer a surfer, so don’t get your hopes up.

The first real chance you’ll have is Sunday afternoon, the 6th of September. The morning is a write-off with a strong cross-shore wind and lumpy, poor surf. But by the afternoon, the wind swings to a light WNW breeze, making it a clean cross-off. The swell is a modest 5ft from the NE, with a short period of 7 seconds, so it’s pretty weak and won’t have much punch or shape. The combined energy is moderate (301). It’s surfable, but nothing to rush out for.

After that, things drop off a cliff. From Monday the 7th right through to Tuesday the 15th of September, it’s tiny. We’re talking swell heights from 0.7ft to 2ft for most of that period. The combined energy is weak, often in the single digits or low tens. There are some clean-looking windows, like Monday morning the 14th with a light offshore wind and 2ft from the ESE, but it’s just too small to get excited about. You’d be fighting for scraps.

The only other flicker of life is on Tuesday the 15th of September. The morning is a messy 3ft from the NE with a super short 5-second period, and the wind is a light cross-shore. Then in the afternoon, the wind drops to glassy, calm conditions. The swell drops to 3ft, still from the NE with that same short 5-second period. The combined energy is weak (53). It’s a very ordinary, surfable wave, but it’s clean. If you’re desperate, that afternoon glass-off might be your only window for a paddle.

The real kicker comes later in the window. The 17th and 18th of September see a big pulse of energy. By Thursday the 17th, we’re looking at 5ft to 5ft from the E, with combined energy hitting moderate (152) and then strong (203). On Friday the 18th, it pumps up to 8ft from the E, with combined energy going through the roof – strong to very strong (897 and 1057). That’s a solid amount of water. But the problem is the wind. It’s a moderate to fresh cross-onshore the whole time from the ENE, making it choppy and lumpy. The forecast says “poor surf conditions.” For a beachy setup like this, that’s a complete mess. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

The 19th of September is similar, with a 7ft to 6ft east swell and a strong cross-onshore wind. Again, lumpy and poor. It’s a long wait for a clean, rideable wave. The best bet, if you can call it that, is the glassy afternoon of the 15th for a tiny, clean go-out. Otherwise, keep your board in the car and wait for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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