Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ at Newcombs Hollow.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 69°F – that’s right around average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest wetsuit just yet.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you. The outlook for the next 16 days is a real quiet one. The data shows a long stretch of small, often weak surf with not much energy to get excited about. The combined energy readings are mostly in the double digits, topping out only in the low hundreds for a brief moment, and that’s telling the story: we’re in a flat spell.

The first solid chance of anything worth paddling out for is on Wednesday, 26 August. That morning, we’ve got a 2ft swell from the ESE with a period of 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period windswell. The combined energy is a weak 64 – not much push. The wind is coming from the NW at 9 mph, blowing cross-offshore, which will keep the surface clean. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. If you’re just dying to get wet, you could, but it won’t be anything special.

The only real standout in the whole window is the afternoon of Wednesday, 26 August. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the ESE, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy hits 132 – that’s the highest we see in the whole 16 days. Still, it’s not big. The wind is light from the SSE at 9 mph, but it’s cross-onshore, making it fairly choppy. The waves themselves will have a bit more shape and power than the rest of the period, but the wind will mess with the surface. If you’re determined, it’s the best of a bad bunch.

After that, it’s a long, dry run. The surf drops off and stays tiny – we’re talking 0.7ft to 2ft for days on end, with very weak energy readings (mostly under 100). The wind is often moderate to fresh, but the swell just isn’t there. There’s a 10-day gap with no real recommendation. The next time the surf is even described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” is again on Sunday, 6 September, in the morning. A 2ft ESE swell, period 9 seconds, energy of 52, with light SW wind blowing cross-offshore. That’s clean, but it’s tiny.

For the rest of the 16 days, it’s all small, weak, or poor surf. The wind is often cross-offshore or offshore, keeping the surface clean, but the waves just don’t have the size or energy to make it worth the drive. This is a classic summer flat spell – the kind where you’re better off checking the forecast for a change rather than forcing it.

Stay patient, keep your eyes on the charts, and maybe spend the time on the sand instead of the lineup.

Rusty.

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