Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks at Newcombs Hollow are looking pretty grim. It’s one of those stretches where you’d be better off doing anything else than checking the surf. We’ve got a solid run of days with virtually nothing on offer, and the swell that does show up is mostly junk – small, short-period windswell, with poor conditions tagging along.

The water is sitting at 72°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – about 3°F above the norm. That’s a bit of a silver lining if you’re keen for a paddle, but you won’t be riding much.

The long and short of it is: there are no good surf options in the entire 16-day window. The first real hint of anything surfable doesn’t even pop up until Sunday the 23rd, and even then it’s barely a ripple – 1 ft of east-southeast swell at 12 seconds, with a light offshore wind. The energy there is weak too, only reading 58 in the combined swell energy bracket. It’s “surfable but very ordinary,” and I’d say that’s being generous.

Before that, the story is all about tiny waves and poor conditions. From the 12th through the 22nd, we’re looking at swell heights of 0.3 ft to 2 ft at best, with periods mostly under 10 seconds – that’s just wind chop, not real surf. There’s a slight bump on the morning of the 21st with 5 ft of north swell, but it’s short-period (6 seconds) and the wind is a fresh cross-offshore. That’s about the only time the size gets even remotely interesting, but the quality is still poor, and the energy is only moderate at best (166).

The week after that, from the 23rd onwards, stays in that same underwhelming range – 0.7 ft to 2 ft, mostly short-period junk, with onshore and cross-shore winds keeping things choppy and messy. There’s one morning on the 23rd where it’s clean with a light offshore, but the swell is tiny and weak.

So here’s the deal: this is a blank run. Newcombs Hollow isn’t known for staying flat forever, so forecasts can change, but as it stands, I wouldn’t be waxing up for anything. If you’re desperate, you could look at the windier days – there’s plenty of breeze – but that’s more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing. Save yourself the trouble, keep the board in the car, and wait for the ocean to wake up.

That’s it from me.
Rusty

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