Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and frustrating around Newcombs Hollow. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messy surf ahead, and you’ll need to pick your moments carefully if you want to get wet. The water’s sitting at 71°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s firing.

The whole 16-day window kicks off with a real dud. Saturday the 15th has a piddly 1ft of windswell from the north-northeast, with a short 4-second period. The light cross-onshore breeze just adds a bit of chop. It’s not even worth paddling out for. Sunday and Monday only get worse, with the wind swinging southerly and picking up hard. We’re talking 22-25 mph cross-shore winds and surf under 3ft. That’s a mess. You’d be fighting a washing machine out there.

There’s a brief glimmer of energy around Tuesday the 18th when the combined swell energy jumps to 103, but the swell is still under 3ft and coming from the southeast. The wind turns northerly, which chops it up again. Not great, but at least the ocean has a pulse. From the 19th through the 22nd, it’s back to knee-high slop with periods of 4-7 seconds. The winds are all over the place, cross-shore and cross-on, and the wave comment on the 21st says it all: “poor surf conditions.”

The 23rd and 24th see the swell drop to 1ft, but there’s a bit of hope in the longer period. That 11-12 second groundswell from the east-southeast is pushing in weak energy, and with light cross-offshore winds on the 23rd morning and the 24th morning, the surface is clean. But honestly, 1ft is barely a ripple. You’re not surfing, you’re floating.

Now, the one real standout in this whole period comes on the 27th of August, which is a Thursday morning. It’s still small, just 1ft from the east, but the period is a long 12 seconds, and the combined swell energy reads 96. More importantly, the wind is light and cross-offshore from the northwest. That’s the cleanest the surface will be all window. The wave comment even says it’s “surfable” but “very ordinary.” Don’t get excited—it’s not a proper wave—but if you’re desperate for a splash, that’s your best bet. The long period means it might have a bit more push, but at that size, you’re just bobbing around.

Beyond that, the final few days of the month just fade away. The 28th through the 30th have clean conditions with cross-offshore winds, but the swell is only 1-2ft and the energy drops right off into the low 20s. By the 30th, it’s barely there.

So, what’s the call? There’s no day here that’s worth a proper surf check. Honestly, the only thing that looks remotely appealing is the 27th morning if you’re a complete junkie, but even then, it’s marginal. Don’t go expecting any barrels or decent rides. The spot is consistent in name, but the ocean isn’t delivering. Might be a better time to wax the longboard and just enjoy a paddle.

Remember, this is a blank run for the area. It happens. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say give it a miss unless you’re happy with flat, clean conditions.

Rusty out.

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