Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a look at the surf ahead for the Newcombs Hollow zone. Let’s be straight with you: it’s shaping up to be a pretty lean stretch. The ocean’s got the plug pulled for most of the next sixteen days, so we’re gonna have to be patient.

We start off on Wednesday, 29th July, and it’s a rough one. A strong cross-onshore wind from the ESE at 22 mph is whipping up a lumpy, messy 4ft to 5ft swell. The combined energy is just on the edge of moderate at (138) in the afternoon, but that wind is a killer. The water’s sitting at 69°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. This is not a day for a paddle, it’s a day to watch, maybe for the kites if the wind holds.

Thursday, 30th July, offers a blink of hope. The morning glass off – a light S wind at 3 mph – turns the ocean to glass. The swell is a small, clean 3ft rolling in from the ENE. The combined energy is weak (64), but the conditions are clean. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. A short period of 6 seconds means the waves aren’t packing much punch. The afternoon sees a cross-offshore wind, but the quality drops off.

From Friday, 31st July, through the entire first week of August, it’s a long, dry spell. The swell drops to a mere 2ft or less, and most days the combined energy sits in the weak double digits. The wind is all over the place, but mostly cross-shore or cross-offshore, keeping things clean but tiny. There’s a brief pulse on Friday morning with a 10-second period from the SE giving a combined energy of (119), but the swell height is only 2ft and the wind is up. By Sunday, 2nd August, the swell is practically gone. This is a real gap in the action.

The second week, from 6th August onward, is a wasteland. Combined energy readings are mostly in the single digits or very low double digits. The swell is virtually non-existent, with heights of 0.3ft to 1.0ft. There’s a glassy moment on Monday, 10th August, in the afternoon, but the swell is only 0.3ft. It’s flat. The pattern of poor surf conditions is consistent.

The only real standout, if you can call it that, is the Thursday 30th July morning session at Newcombs Hollow. It’s the only window where the stars align for a clean, glassy wave. The swell is small at 3ft from the ENE, but the wind is completely off. It’s a beginner-friendly size, and the lineup might be quiet, though crowds are only "sometimes" an issue here. Don’t expect anything epic, but it’s the best on offer.

For the rest of the forecast, it’s a waiting game. The ocean is just not giving us anything to work with. Keep the board waxed and watch the horizon.

Rusty.

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