Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the charts for Newcombs Hollow. The word is, it’s going to be a long, quiet stretch with very little to get excited about. The start of the outlook is rough – we’re talking about a gap of several days with no real surf to speak of. The water is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 70°, which is a nice little anomaly but doesn’t help the waves.

The only faint glimmer in this whole 16-day window is actually the very first session. Friday morning, August 28th is the best on offer, and it’s not saying much. We’ve got a small 3ft swell from the southeast, with a short period of 8 seconds, so it’s weak and a bit messy. The combined energy is a weak 93, so it’s barely a pulse. The real story here is the wind – a light 3 mph cross-offshore from the southwest. That’s the cleanest we’re going to see all period. The waves will be small and ordinary, but if you’re desperate for a paddle, it’s the only window where it’s not blown out.

After that, it’s a long, grim walk. Saturday the 29th through to the end of the period is a total write-off. The swell drops to 1ft to 1ft for days, and the wind shifts around, mostly onshore or cross-shore, making it choppy and messy. There’s a bit of a bump in size around Wednesday, September 2nd, with a 4ft swell from the southeast, but the period is a pathetic 4 to 5 seconds. That’s straight-up wind chop, and combined with the cross-onshore breeze, it’s just a washing machine. The combined energy climbs to 98, but it’s all wind, no shape. For a spot that’s usually consistent, this is a real flat spell. It’s the kind of setup that’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, if you ask me.

The last week of the forecast, from September 8th onward, the swell stays tiny, between 1ft and 2ft. There are a few moments with a longer period (10 to 11 seconds) and clean offshore winds, like on Tuesday afternoon, September 8th, where it goes glassy, and Wednesday and Thursday morning, September 9th and 10th, with a moderate offshore. But the wave height is just too small to do anything with. It’s basically a flat spell with a few clean, tiny bumps. The combined energy in those sessions is still weak, between 50 and 87. The crowds at Newcombs Hollow can be around sometimes, but you won’t have to worry about that this time. The bottom line: don’t plan your week around it. Forecasts can change, but this one needs a big injection of south swell to wake up.

Rusty.

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