Newcombs Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Newcombs Hollow has in store for us. I'll be straight with you – it's been a tough stretch lately, and this outlook isn't much different. The entire 16-day forecast is a real struggle, with nothing but small, weak, and often messy conditions dominating. We're looking at a long, dry spell of poor surf.

Kicking things off on Monday the 7th, it's flat and ugly. A tiny 2 ft ENE swell with a weak 60 combined energy and a cross-shore wind. That's a hard pass.

The whole first week, from the 7th right through to the 14th, is a write-off. We're stuck with ankle to knee-high dribble, mostly under 2 ft. The energy is consistently weak, with two-digit values in the teens and twenties. Winds are all over the shop – cross, cross-off, cross-on – but it doesn't matter because there's no swell to work with. Tuesday the 10th through Friday the 11th sees clean conditions with offshore winds, but with a combined energy of just 10 or 11 and waves barely breaking, it's a total flat spell.

We finally see a pulse of energy on Tuesday the 15th, with a 5 ft southerly swell and a combined energy hitting 119. That's moderate energy, but the wind is howling onshore from the ESE at 19 mph, making a mess of it. This is more of a kitesurfing breeze than a paddle session. The same goes for Wednesday the 16th – a 5 ft NNE swell with 156 energy, but it's wind-affected and the short 6-second period makes it lumpy and weak. Too big for beginners and not clean enough for anyone else.

Saturday the 19th afternoon brings the biggest swell of the outlook: a 6 ft NNE swell with 178 combined energy. That's a solid pulse, but the period is a pitiful 5 seconds. That's windswell, not groundswell. It'll be soft, weak, and won't hold up. Still, with a gentle cross-shore breeze, it's the most interesting option for experienced surfers who just need to get wet.

The only real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Sunday the 20th. We get a 3 ft ENE swell (65 energy) and glassy conditions. That's the standout. It's small, but clean. For a longboard or a funboard, you might find a few little peelers. The water is about average for this time of year, at 68°F, feeling a touch warmer than normal.

After that, it's back to the doldrums. The 21st and 22nd see some moderate energy pulses (136-139) from the north, but the period is short and the winds are either cross-off or cross. It's a frustrating end to a frustrating outlook.

To be honest, if you're desperate, the glassy morning of the 20th is your best bet. The 6 ft on the 19th afternoon is the most size, but it's a short-period mess. Otherwise, the kites are going to have more fun than the surfers. This is just one of those stretches where you wait for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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