Tower Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long hard look at what’s on the menu for Tower Road over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – this isn’t one of those weeks where you set the alarm. There’s a lot of sitting and staring at a flat, bumpy ocean ahead. The first real chance to slide comes mid-week next week, but even then, it’s a tricky situation.

Right now through the rest of this week and into the weekend, it’s pretty grim. We’ve got tiny swell, mostly under 2 ft, coming from the SE or E with short, weak periods. Winds are messy – cross-shore or onshore with a fresh breeze – creating nothing but lumpy or choppy conditions. The combined wave energy is barely registering (49), which is about as weak as it gets. This stretch feels like a write-off. You’d need a microscope to find a wave worth paddling for.

We have a quiet few days here until we hit Monday the 21st of September. That’s when the ocean finally wakes up, but it’s a rude awakening. A big pulse of swell rolls in from the ENE, pushing 8 ft in the morning with a solid 595 energy reading. Problem is, it’s wrapped in a strong onshore wind at 19 mph, making it a lumpy, choppy mess. That’s not surfable; it’s a washing machine. This energy sticks around through Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd, with significant swell heights hanging over 7 ft.

Now, Wednesday the 23rd is where it gets interesting. We’ve got a 7 ft swell from the E, period around 9 seconds, but the wind swings offshore from the WSW in the morning, going light. The energy is cranked up to 736. The note says it’s clean with favorable wind and tide, but here’s the catch: the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, scoring an 11 out of 10 for the conditions but flagged as a problem for Tower Road. For a beginner-friendly sandbar, 7 ft is going to be intimidating, messy, and probably closing out. If you’re a confident surfer who knows the sandbanks, you might find a few, but the average punter should park on the beach. The afternoon stays clean but still too big.

The rest of that week sheds size, but the wind doesn’t play nice. Thursday the 24th is still big but cross-onshore, and by Friday the 25th a strong SSE cross-shore wind at 22 mph is just ruining the 5 ft swell. It’s lumpy cross-chop again. Not worth it.

We start to see some hope around the weekend of the 27th. Sunday the 27th looks like our best bet overall. The swell drops to a more manageable 3 ft from the E, period around 11 seconds, and the wind goes offshore from the WSW in the morning at 12 mph. The energy is down to 195, but it’s described as surfable with moderate offshore and clean conditions. That’s the window. It’s not going to be epic, but for a sandbar that’s been mostly flat or blown out, a clean, waist-high wave with an offshore breeze is a gift. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.

After that, it trails off quickly into tiny, clean but small waves under 2 ft as we head into the 29th.

So, if I’m picking a standout: Sunday the 27th of September. The 3 ft ENE swell with that moderate offshore wind and clean conditions is the one. It won’t be huge, but it’ll be the most fun, user-friendly wave of the entire outlook. Don’t sleep on it, and don’t waste your time on any of that over-sized, blown-out earlier stuff.

Stay frothy.
Rusty.

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