Tower Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are going to be a real mixed bag. For the most part, we're looking at small, messy conditions that'll have you staring at the ocean from the beach rather than charging out there. But hold on, because there’s a big pulse of energy on the horizon that’s going to flip the script. It’s going to be a waiting game, but there’s something to get excited about if you're an experienced surfer.

Right now, and for the foreseeable future, it’s pretty gutless. Friday morning starts things off with a weak 1ft swell with a short 6-second period and a moderate NE breeze. The combined energy is weak at 23, and it’s just not doing anything for us. The water temp is sitting at 77°, which is a hefty 5° warmer than average for this time of year, so you won't need a hood, that's for sure. Friday afternoon won't change things much, with the swell dropping even further.

The weekend doesn’t offer any relief. Saturday brings a cross-onshore wind and even less energy, just a bump of 3ft with a 4-second period. It’s chopped up and a mess. Sunday is a little cleaner with a light offshore wind, but the swell has backed right down to 1ft and while it’s glassy in the afternoon with light winds, there’s simply no power behind it. You’d be fighting for a dribble.

The start of the next week sees a bit more size on Monday, with that ENE wind blowing straight onshore and making things lumpy. Not good. This pattern of small, wind-affected waves carries right on through until the 21st. It’s a long stretch of nothing. We’re talking a week of poor, unrideable conditions where you’re better off doing anything else.

Then, around the 22nd, the ocean starts to wake up. We get a jump in energy, with the swell picking up to 6ft and the energy values jumping into the three-digit range (381). The problem is, it's still coming with an onshore wind, so it will be messy, and it's still not quite enough to get the blood pumping.

Here’s where things get interesting. Get this: the early morning of the 24th of September is looking like the standout of the entire run. We have a 7ft ENE swell with a 7-second period, but the real kicker is that the wind is due to go glassy, with just a slight air from the north. The combined energy is strong at 547. But, and this is a big but, that size is predicted to be too big for Tower Road. It’s an expert-only situation, and even then, it could be messy. The forecast energy is solid, but that wave height is over the 8ft mark by the afternoon, hitting 8ft with a jump in energy to 1121. This is a case where the quality of the wave is a little questionable.

And it only gets bigger. The morning of the 25th of September sees the swell peak at a solid 10ft from the E with a 10-second period and a light SSW wind. The energy is up to a very strong 1752. This is serious, powerful surf. The wind is clean, but again, at this size, Tower Road will be a washing machine. It's a show for the experts and definitely not for the faint of heart or beginners. The period is just over that 11-second threshold, giving it that long-period groundswell feel, which can be a bit too straight for a sandbar, so be mindful of that if you're charging.

By the 26th, the swell drops back to 7ft but the wind swings onshore again, and it looks like it will get messy.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. The highlight window is the 24th and 25th of September, when we see a significant pulse of strong, long-period energy. It’s a promising forecast for the skilled surfer, but the size is the main issue. It might be better to just watch this one from the sand with the size it’s showing.

Take it easy.

- Rusty

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