The Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu at The Jetty.

Right now, it’s pretty flat and messy, and that’s going to stick around for a good while. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year at 77°, which is pretty unusual, but it won’t help the surf.

We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and choppy conditions. From Sunday afternoon the 13th through to Saturday the 19th, the swell is tiny – mostly around 1ft to 2ft – and the energy is very weak (combined energy between 18 and 54). Winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore, so nothing’s cleaning up properly. Even when the glassy patch hits Sunday afternoon the 13th with a 3 mph ENE breeze, the swell is only 1ft and the period is a short 10 seconds, so there’s just no power.

The first real change doesn’t come until Sunday the 20th afternoon. We finally get a clean, offshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph, and a little bump of swell – 3ft from the NE with a period of just 4 seconds. The combined energy is 60, still weak. The notes say “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” so it’s a small, weak, and short-period wave. Not a standout.

Monday the 21st morning sees a jump in size – 5ft from the east – but the wind is a cross-shore mess at 16 mph from the NE, and the combined energy jumps to 299 (moderate). Still, it’s poor surf with a cross-chop.

Then we hit a stretch of stronger wind and rain. Tuesday the 22nd is a write-off with 25 mph cross-onshore winds and rain, making it messy and blown out. The swell is 4ft but the energy is moderate (204-177), and it’s not worth it.

Thursday the 24th morning is the best bet in this whole outlook. We get a clean 5ft swell from the ENE, with a period of 8 seconds, and a nice cross-offshore wind from the west at 9 mph. The combined energy hits 439 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The notes say “marginal surf forecast,” but with clean conditions and that push of energy, this is the pick of the period for stronger surfers. The 5ft height means it’s getting into the expert-only range, so beginners should sit this one out. The east-northeast swell direction is a good match for the optimum SE direction for The Jetty.

After that, Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th mornings both offer clean, offshore winds (WNW and NW, 12-16 mph) and surfable 3ft to 3ft east swell with periods of 9 seconds. Energy is moderate (173 and 144). These are alright, but nothing special.

By Sunday the 27th, it fades back to small, weak conditions and stays that way through the end of the outlook.

So, the only real standout is Thursday the 24th morning. It’s over a week away, so don’t lock it in, but if it holds, that’s your window for some proper, clean, stronger waves. For the rest, it’s a long wait for small, ordinary stuff.

Rusty.

Read more