The Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for The Jetty and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a pretty bleak run ahead. We’re looking at a solid stretch of poor surf, with only a couple of fleeting moments that might get you a grovelly wave if you’re desperate. The water’s sitting at a warm 76°F, which is about 1°F warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing to write home about, just a touch above average.

The whole 16-day window is a write-off for any real quality. We start on Sunday the 2nd with a tiny 3ft SSE swell, but the wind is cross-onshore at 12 mph and it’s choppy – zero score. That theme carries through the next few days. Monday the 3rd sees the swell bump up to 5ft from the SSE (energy reading a moderate 256), but the wind is cross-shore and there’s a storm risk – it’s just messy and uninviting. Tuesday and Wednesday drop back down to under 3ft with cross-onshore winds, so it’s all closeouts and whitewash.

Thursday the 6th has the strongest energy of the early week, hitting 110 with a 3-4ft south swell, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. Even with a bit more push, the conditions ruin it. Friday the 7th is more of the same – weak and wind-blown.

Now, here’s the one tiny glimmer in the whole mess: Saturday morning the 8th. The swell is small, just 2ft from the south with a 6-second period, but the wind goes light and cross-offshore at 6 mph from the WSW. It’s clean, the only “surfable” window in the forecast. The energy is weak at 59, so it’s not going to be anything special, but if you absolutely need a paddle, that’s your moment. The crowds are “sometimes” around, so you might have some company, but it’s far from packed. It’s a sandbar here at The Jetty, so it’s not a consistent spot, and it’s fairly exposed, so that light wind is key. Don’t expect any power; it’s a longboard or funboard wave at best.

After that, it’s back to the grind. Sunday the 9th through to Thursday the 13th is all poor – small swells, cross and cross-on winds, and energy readings that drop from 65 down to a pathetic 16. The swell gets tiny, down to 0.7-1ft, and with a short period, it’s basically flat. Friday the 14th has a moment of glassy conditions in the morning – wind drops to 3 mph – but the swell is only 0.7ft, so there’s literally nothing to ride. The energy reading is 11, which is as weak as it gets.

The last couple of days, the 15th through the 17th, tease with a small 3-3ft south swell, but the winds are cross-onshore and choppy, so it’s just messy again. Energy readings hover in the 40-50 range, but with poor quality, it’s not worth your time.

So, bottom line: there is one clean-ish, small wave early on Saturday the 8th. That’s your best shot, and even that’s marginal. The rest is a blank run of closeouts, chop, and flat spells. It’s a frustrating outlook for a spot that can be fun, but this stretch looks more like a week for doing something else. I’ll keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty, out.

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