The Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get honest about the next couple of weeks at The Jetty.

Right off the bat, I have to tell you, the outlook is flat and grim. We’re looking at a long, painful stretch of small, weak, and messy surf. From now through the first week of August, nearly every day is a write-off. The swell is tiny, the period is short, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, just making things choppy. You’ll be staring at a lot of knee-high slop with pitiful energy readings. For instance, the “surf” on Sunday the 26th is a measly 2 ft from the SE with a combined energy of just 49, and conditions are rated as poor. It’s the same story for the next several days: wave heights barely reach 2 ft, and the energy stays in the 30s and 40s. There’s a gap of almost no real surf for the first four days straight.

The first hint of something borderline surfable comes on Wednesday the 29th. The morning shows a 3 ft SSW swell, period around 7 seconds, and the wind goes cross-offshore from the WNW. The combined energy bumps up to 102, which is finally in the moderate range. The water is about 75°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. While it’s not a day to call in sick for, it’s the cleanest we’ll see for a while, with clean conditions. The afternoon is blown out.

Thursday the 30th morning has a similar 2 ft swell, but the wind is offshore from the NNW, so the surface will be glassy. The energy is 60, so it’s still weak. The break is a sandbar, fairly consistent, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot. The optimum swell direction is SE, and we’re getting SSE, so it’s a bit off. Crowds are "sometimes" a factor, so you might have it to yourself on a weekday morning.

Friday the 31st morning sees the swell increase to 4 ft from the ENE, with a period of 7 seconds. The energy jumps to 139. The wind is cross-off from the NNE, keeping it clean. This is the standout of the whole forecast period. It’s the biggest we get, and it has the most energy. It’s still only a short-period swell, but if you’re a beginner, this is your window. The sandbar will be breaking, and the early session will be clean.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. The first week of August is a barren wasteland of tiny, weak waves with choppy onshore winds. The swell barely hits 3 ft and the energy is mostly in the 20s and 30s. The recommendation is zero for the entire run. The occasional clean moment on the 4th or 9th is still just a ripple of 2 ft to 2 ft with no power.

So, the honest truth? Don’t get your hopes up for much of anything. The best of the worst is Friday the 31st morning. That’s your one realistic chance to get a few fun, small waves on a clean bank. Otherwise, we’re looking at a long, blank run that’s pretty normal for this stretch of the year. The wind machine is just not cooperating. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a tough watch.

Rusty.

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