The Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break this down. I'm Rusty, and I've been watching this stretch like a hawk. To be straight with you, this 16-day window is a real tough one for The Jetty. We've got a long, long dry spell ahead.

The forecast kicks off with practically nothing for the first nine days. From Saturday the 15th right through to Sunday the 23rd, it’s all low energy, weak swell, and poor conditions. You're looking at wave heights under 3 ft for most of that, with the combined swell energy barely climbing above 60. Winds are mostly onshore or cross-shore, chopping things up. Not a single standout in that whole first stretch. It’s a real bummer.

Things finally show a tiny pulse of life on Monday the 17th morning. A small 4 ft swell from the South with a short period of 7 seconds creeps in, and the combined energy hits 113 – that's moderate but still weak. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the WNW, so it’ll be clean. But honestly, it’s a beach-and-reef setup with short-period S swell; it's not going to hold much shape. Might be more interesting for kite surfing than a proper paddle session. The afternoon sees the wind go offshore from the NW, but the swell drops back to 3 ft and the energy tanks.

The most promising moment in this whole outlook lands on Wednesday the 26th morning. A 3 ft swell from the South, period 6 seconds, with a combined energy of 83. Not huge, but the wind will be glassy – a calm 3 mph from the WSW. That means super clean conditions, no chop. It’s surfable, just not a classic. If you’re desperate for a slide, that’s your window. The afternoon gets a bit more energy (173) with a 4 ft S swell, but a cross-shore wind messes it up.

There’s also a chance on Thursday the 27th morning. A 2 ft SE groundswell with a long 11-second period and clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is still weak at 84, but the long period will give it some shape. But remember, long-period groundswell on a sandbar setup can be a bit tricky. Still, it’s the cleanest option that week.

So, the top nod goes to Wednesday the 26th morning for that rare glass. It’s not a pumping day, but it’s the cleanest we’ll see in a bleak outlook. The Thursday morning is the backup – smaller, but clean and with longer lines. Just don't expect any crowd tolerance; it’s often busy here.

Hang in there. This stretch is lean, but it won't stay this way forever.

- Rusty

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