New Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty.

Alright, let's be straight with you – the next 16 days are looking like a write-off for a proper paddle session. The models are showing a series of small, weak swells, and the onshore winds are just going to ruin any chance of clean waves. We're looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions, with nothing really worth chasing.

The first flicker of anything remotely surfable is on the morning of Thursday the 30th of July. New Jetty will see a small 2ft SSW swell pushing in. The big news is the water temperature – it's sitting at 72°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That's incredibly unusual, so you'll be needing a spring suit or maybe just a rashie. The swell is long-period groundswell at 16 seconds, which is nice, but with a light onshore breeze, the face is going to be bumpy. The combined energy is moderate (363), but the forecast is already calling it marginal. Honestly, it's just not enough to get excited about.

From Friday the 31st through to the end of the first week, the swell drops off. Expect tiny 1ft to 2ft waves from the SW and SSW. Periods start to drop too, mostly in the 13 to 14 second range, so the energy fades quickly. The wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore, making for bumpy, blown-out conditions. The combined energy drops into the double and low triple digits, confirming how weak it all is.

The second week doesn't offer any relief. There's a slight uptick in swell period around the 7th of August, with a 19-second SSW groundswell, but it's still only 2ft and the wind is cross-onshore. The combined energy climbs back to moderate (299), but it's a tease. The wind remains the problem, with a moderate breeze on the afternoon of the 11th making things choppy. For the rest of the week, it's the same story: small, weak swells and onshore flow.

The best of a bad bunch is the morning of Thursday the 30th of July at New Jetty. The 2ft of 16-second SSW swell is the largest and most energetic of the whole period, and the water is unseasonably warm. But with a light onshore breeze, the quality will be poor. It's a beach and jetty setup, so with the onshore wind and small swell, it might be more interesting for the kite surfers than anyone trying to paddle.

There's a gap of several days with no decent recommendations from the very start, and the forecast never improves. This is a blank run, plain and simple. Don't bother checking the buoys; just wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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