New Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first real chance at a wave doesn’t turn up until Tuesday the 21st of July, and even then, it’s a mixed bag. The main event is New Jetty, a beach and jetty spot that catches the swell. The water is a balmy 72°, which is about 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a warm bath.

Tuesday morning the 21st of July brings a 3ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is moderate (485). The wind is light and offshore from the SW, so the surface will be glassy. This is a proper groundswell, so you’ll get those long, powerful lines that work best around the jetty. It’s a fairly consistent break, so there’ll be waves, but expect longer gaps between sets. Crowds are a possibility. This is your best window, but the forecast flags it as marginal surf or questionable tide conditions, so be ready to pick your moment.

Tuesday afternoon the swell drops to 2ft, the wind picks up to 15 mph from the WSW and goes cross-on, ruining the surface. The rest of the week is a write-off.

Wednesday the 22nd through the end of the month is a long stretch of poor conditions. The swell hangs between 2ft and 3ft, mostly from the SSW or S, with periods from 12 to 26 seconds. The problem is the wind. It’s almost always onshore or cross-onshore, blowing 6 to 12 mph. The combined energy stays in the moderate range (270 to 678), but it doesn’t matter when the wind is chopping it up. The forecast calls for “poor surf conditions” or “marginal surf” for days on end.

Thursday morning the 24th of July is a brief glimmer. The wind is light and cross-shore from the SSE, and the swell is a tiny 2ft, but it’s a long-period 24-second SSW groundswell with moderate energy (577). Small and clean enough for a log, but barely.

Saturday the 1st of August morning shows a slight bump: a 4ft S swell at 14 seconds, with a light offshore wind from the SSW. The combined energy is strong (616). But again, the “marginal” tag is there, and the afternoon goes onshore. It’s a tease.

The first week of August is a total dud. Swell drops to 1ft to 3ft, periods shorten, and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. By Monday the 3rd, the wind is 12 mph, the swell is a weak mixed W swell with a 7-second period, and the combined energy is a weak 116. This looks more like a kiteboarding setup than a paddle surf spot.

Tuesday the 4th of August is the bottom. The swell is a miserable 2ft with a 6-second period from the W, and the combined energy is a weak 76. It’s flat.

Wednesday the 5th of August is more of the same: weak, short-period wind swell and onshore breezes.

So, the only real standout is Tuesday morning the 21st of July at New Jetty. After that, it’s a long, bleak run of onshore slop. Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecast – it’s bound to turn around sooner or later.

Rusty.

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