New Jetty/South Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window but there’s a massive gap at the start with no decent surf on offer. The first real chance of a wave doesn’t show up until Monday, September 7th, and even then it’s a marginal call. For the next week and a half, the poor surf conditions just keep rolling in. From Monday the 7th right through to Thursday the 17th of September, it’s a long, flat, and choppy stretch. You’d be better off polishing your board than paddling out.

The only spot on the radar is New Jetty/South Jetty, a beginner-friendly break that’s fairly consistent. The water temp is nothing unusual for the time of year, so don’t stress about a thick wetsuit just yet.

Let’s start with the first glimmer of hope. On Monday morning, September 7th, we get a 3 ft swell from the south, with a solid 13-second period. The combined swell energy is moderate (364). The morning starts with a light cross-onshore breeze at 10 km/h, but it’s not clean – it’s described as light cross-onshore with small wind ripples. The afternoon gets worse; the wind picks up to 20 km/h from the west, making it choppy. Not the day to get excited.

Tuesday the 8th is even smaller – 3 ft to 2 ft from the south-southwest and south, with periods dropping to 11 seconds. The wind stays light cross-onshore in the morning, but the afternoon is choppy. Poor surf, mate.

Wednesday the 9th sees the swell drop to 1 ft, but look at the period – 19 seconds! That’s a very long period groundswell from the southwest. The morning has an onshore wind, but it’s light at 10 km/h. The combined energy is weak (170). This is one of those long-period swells that might break too straight at a beach break, but at a jetty, it could offer a rare, clean little wave. Still, the score is poor, so I wouldn’t cancel plans.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are more of the same – tiny 2 ft to 2 ft swells with long periods (16-17 seconds), but the wind is light onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy stays weak (153-229). It’s surfable for a beginner on a foamie, but nothing to write home about.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th are flat – 1 ft to 2 ft with light onshore winds. The afternoon of the 13th sees a 3 ft west swell with a short 7-second period, but the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, making it choppy. Poor.

The real standout? It’s got to be Saturday morning, September 19th. That’s over a week away, so keep it in the back of your mind. The swell jumps to 5 ft from the west-northwest, with a short 6-second period. The combined energy is strong (302). The wind is light onshore from the southwest at 10 km/h. The conditions are described as “marginal” due to questionable tide, but for a beginner-friendly break, 5 ft is on the edge of being too big for newbies. The short period means it’ll be a bit messy and choppy, but it’s the biggest energy we see in the whole run. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so you might have company.

After that, Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st drop back to tiny 1 ft to 2 ft swells with long periods (18-19 seconds), but the wind is light onshore. The energy is weak (156-182). Tuesday the 22nd is another 2 ft from the southwest with a 16-second period and light onshore wind.

So, to sum it up: the entire 16-day window is a barren stretch for decent surf. The only day that even looks worth a mention is the 19th of September, but it’s far out and the short period messes with the quality. Until then, keep the board in the garage and watch the forecasts. It tends not to stay this flat forever, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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