New Jetty/South Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks at New Jetty/South Jetty.

First thing ya gotta know: the water right now is sittin’ at a balmy 70°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s really unusual, so you’re gonna be shedding the thick wetsuit for sure.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with ya – this forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a long stretch of pretty poor surf conditions ahead. The first real flicker of hope doesn’t even show up until Sunday the 26th of July, and even then it’s only marginal. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are a write-off, with tiny, messy waves and cross-on winds. The swell is there, but it’s weak and the wind just chops it all up.

Saturday the 25th is more of the same – a bit of a letdown. We finally see a glimmer of something on Sunday the 26th, with a light breeze and the swell bumping up to about 2ft from the SSW. The period is a juicy 19 seconds, which is proper groundswell, but it’s just not enough size to make it happen. The combined energy is moderate (361) but the wave comment says “marginal.” That’s the best we’ve got for a while, and it’s not sayin’ much.

Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 30th of July is a real grind. The wind stays onshore, the swell stays small, and the energy just dribbles away. Then on the 31st of July (Friday), the combined energy jumps up to 627 and the swell hits 4ft from the S, but it’s a short 15-second period with a cross-on breeze. That’s a lot of energy goin’ into a messy, choppy wave. Not a good look for a point break.

The first week of August isn’t any better. The swell drops off a cliff, the period falls to 8 seconds on the 3rd, and the combined energy sinks to weak two-digit numbers like 64. By the 6th and 7th of August, we’re talking about ankle-slappers at 0.7ft and 1ft. The wind is all over the place, mixin’ it up.

So, what’s the standout? Honestly, there isn’t one. If I had to pick the least-bad session, it’d be the Sunday morning (26th July) or the Monday morning (27th July) when the wind is light and onshore, but the wave is still tiny and marginal. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, but with this kind of forecast, I don’t think you’ll be fightin’ for waves.

Bottom line: for the next 16 days, the surf at New Jetty/South Jetty is lookin’ real flat and messy. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on those light wind mornings around the 26th and 27th of July, but don’t expect much. The long-range stuff is too far out to get excited about. Keep your stick on the rack for a while.

Rusty.

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