Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, switching to imperial. Let’s look at Fall Bay Reef.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag – there’s some serious size on the way, but the wind’s going to be fighting us most of the time. The reef likes swell from the SW, but we’ve got a lot of lumpy, cross-shore junk to deal with before we see any kind of window.

The water’s sitting at 67°F right now, which is a massive 6°F above normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, feels more like a warm summer bath than a typical late August session.

We start off with nothing. Tuesday the 25th is flat and poor, with a weak 3ft easterly windswell at 4 seconds and a stiff 19 mph cross-breeze. That’s just messy. Wednesday and Thursday are equally tiny and chop-ridden. The whole first week is a write-off.

Friday the 28th morning brings a slight pulse: 4ft from the SW at 8 seconds, with a moderate onshore wind – combined energy 206 (moderate). It’s still not clean, but it’s something. Saturday the 29th gets bigger but ugliest: 7ft to 8ft from the WSW, but with 19 to 22 mph cross-winds kicking up a lumpy mess (combined energy up to 544 – moderate/strong). That’s more for the thrill-seekers, but the quality is poor. Sunday the 30th stays in the 4ft to 5ft range with cross-onshore winds – still choppy.

Now, Monday the 31st is interesting. Morning delivers 6ft from the West, period 8 seconds, and a strong 25 mph WNW offshore breeze. The wind state says “clean,” and combined energy hits 960 (strong). That’s a powerful, clean-looking swell for a reef. If you can handle the fresh wind, the shape could be there. This is a standout in the entire window.

After that, things go wild but wind-affected. Tuesday September 1st has a solid 10ft SW swell at 8 seconds (combined energy 1070 – strong), but the wind is cross-on at 16 mph. That’s expert-only size, and the chop will make it a battle. Wednesday the 2nd drops to 5ft but stays cross-on.

The next real highlight comes on Monday September 7th. Morning shows 7ft from the West at 8 seconds, with an 19 mph NNE offshore breeze. Combined energy is 992 (strong), and it’s clean. That’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but the offshore wind and solid size make it the best bet of the second week for experienced surfers. The afternoon stays promising with 8ft and the same clean offshore flow.

Other than those two windows – Monday the 31st and Monday the 7th – the rest is either too small, too onshore, or too messy to get excited about. Fall Bay Reef is inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast is testing our patience.

Rusty out.

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