Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Fall Bay Reef.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the next few weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. This spot is a reef break, and it's inconsistent at best, so you need the stars to align. For the first ten days or so, we’re stuck with tiny, weak conditions. The swell energy is just a whisper in the 7 to 64 range, and the wave heights are mostly below 3 ft. It’s the kind of stuff that’ll have you staring at a flat, lumpy ocean. You’ll see a few glassy mornings, like Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th of July, where the wind is a complete dream, but there’s simply no water moving. It’s a frustrating wait.

Then, around the end of July and into the first week of August, we finally get a pulse of energy. The 31st of July sees the swell start to push up, and by the 1st of August, we’ve got a real spike. The combined energy hits a strong 1034, with a swell of 6 ft from the WSW. Problem is, the wind is howling onshore from the S at 16 mph, and the surf quality is described as poor. That’s a lot of raw power, but it’s going to be a messy, blown-out lump. The period is only 9 seconds, so it's not a proper groundswell, and with the wind on it, this is looking more like a day for the kite surfers than us. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

The 2nd of August cleans up a little; the wind goes cross-shore at 12 mph, but we’re still looking at a chunky 6 ft to 6 ft swell that’s a bit cross-chop. It’s still not the clean, lined-up reef wave we’d want, and it’s a bit big for the average punter. After that, the swell fades away again into early August, leaving us with tiny, clean conditions on the 3rd, 4th, and 5th.

So, the standout? Honestly, there isn’t a good, clean, rideable day in the whole 16-day window. The best you can hope for is the 2nd of August, where you’ll find some powerful, but lumpy, waves. If you’re an expert and you just want to get pounded, you might find something there, but it won’t be beautiful. The 1st of August is a total write-off for paddle surfing – that’s a kite session. The rest is just waiting for the next real swell to line up with a clean wind. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, this is a tough run.

Rusty.

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