Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Fall Bay Reef. I gotta be straight with you, this is a tough stretch to call. The finder isn't showing any green lights across the whole 16-day window, so we're looking at a long run of flat or poor conditions. Every single day is tagged with "poor surf conditions" and scores of zero, so there's no standout session to point you toward. That's unusual, but it happens. The good news is the consistency of the break is listed as "inconsistent" anyway, so a blank run like this isn't totally out of character for the area. Forecasts can always change though.

Let's walk through it. Starting off on Wednesday the 12th, we have tiny 2ft swell from the WSW with a cross-on breeze. The combined energy is weak at 75, and it's just not worth paddling out. Thursday the 13th morning sees a little bump to 3ft from the WSW, and the wind goes glassy – that would normally be magic – but the wave quality is still rated as very ordinary. Combined energy is moderate at 184, but the swell period is 10 seconds, so it's not groundswell. The water temp is 68° which is 7° warmer than usual – that's very unusual for the time of year, so you might not need a thick suit.

The pattern just doesn't improve. Friday the 14th offers similar small swell but with a cross-shore wind. Saturday the 15th has clean offshore winds from the N and NNW, but the swell drops to a pathetic 1ft. By Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th, we're looking at 1ft dribble. There's a long gap with nothing worth mentioning.

Things try to pick up a bit around Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th, with swell creeping up to 4-4ft from the W, but the wind is cross or cross-on and choppy. Combined energy stays moderate, peaking at 119 on the 19th afternoon. Still, the conditions are poor.

The biggest swell of the period shows up on Thursday the 20th of August: 5ft from the W, with combined energy jumping to 258 – that's moderate wave energy, not weak. The wind is cross-off and clean, which is promising. But the swell period is only 7 seconds, so it's short-period windswell. At 5ft, that's getting a bit much for beginners. For experts, the clean conditions could make it rideable, but the quality is still rated poor, so don't expect any gems.

After that, it fades back down. Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd see a return to tiny waves, though Sunday the 23rd morning is glassy with 3ft and a combined energy of only 48. Then Monday the 24th shows another bump to 5-5ft from the WSW with onshore wind from the SSE – that's choppy and not great. The combined energy hits 293, but it's blown out.

The last few days from the 25th to the 27th are small again, with clean winds but no real size. Honestly, if you're desperate for a paddle, the cleanest windows are Saturday the 15th, Thursday the 20th morning, and the 27th morning, but the swell is tiny. This setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on the bigger, windier days. Stay tuned, things might shift.

Rusty.

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