Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let's talk about what's coming. We've got a long quiet spell before a real shot of energy shows up, so you'll need some patience.

The only break in the picture is Fall Bay Reef (reef), and this spot doesn't break all that often – it's inconsistent, so when it does go, it's a bit of a special occasion. The water is sitting at a warm 69°, which is a solid 8° above average for this time of year. Much warmer than you'd expect.

We're looking at a big gap with nothing to ride. Starting Thursday the 23rd through the end of July, the swell is tiny – 0.3ft to 0.7ft – and the wave energy is weak, barely reaching double digits (14, 5, 8). Combined energy is just pitiful. The wind is okay at times, glassy or light offshore, but there's simply no wave to surf. With the stronger cross-off winds that pop up, this setup might actually be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then we get a spark. Sunday the 2nd of August morning is the clear winner. Swell hits 7ft from the WSW with a combined energy reading of 614 (moderate wave energy). That's a big swell, so this is for experienced surfers only. The wind is light from the NNW and offshore, which means the surface will be clean. The period is 8 seconds, which is average, but the size and the clean wind make this the standout. The afternoon of the same day drops to 7ft, but the wind goes cross-shore, so it won't be as good.

Monday the 3rd of August morning is even bigger at 10ft from the WSW, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore breeze making it messy. The combined energy is 1071 (strong wave energy). The forecast says marginal, so it's an expert-only kind of day, and even then, you'll be battling the chop. The afternoon is similar – 8ft with cross-on wind and light wind ripples. Not worth the hassle.

By Tuesday the 4th of August, the swell backs off to 6ft in the morning. Period is still 7 seconds, and the cross-shore wind is messy. Combined energy is 300 (moderate). The afternoon is smaller at 5ft with cleaner cross-off winds, but it's still ordinary.

After that, it fades again. From Wednesday the 5th of August onward, it's back to small, weak swell – mostly 2ft to 3ft – with combined energy dropping back to double digits (65, 54). There's a glassy moment on the 5th afternoon, but the swell is only 2ft. A couple of glassy mornings on the 6th and 7th, but the swell is tiny at 0.7ft. Nothing to get excited about.

So here's the takeaway: sit tight, wait for that Sunday the 2nd of August morning. That's the one. Big, clean, and a rare day at a spot that doesn't always deliver.

Rusty.

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