Surf Forecasts:
Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, W swell with 836 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks at Fall Bay Reef are looking pretty grim for paddle surfing. We’ve got a lot of wind and messy conditions to wade through before we see anything worth getting excited about. This is a reef break that’s inconsistent and often crowded, so when the stars do align, you need to be ready. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is a massive 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real anomaly, so you won’t need the thickest wetsuit.
The action starts this Friday afternoon, August 28th, with a small 5ft SW swell rolling in, but a 25 km/h cross-on SW wind is making a choppy mess. The combined wave energy is weak at 133, and the wave comment is plain: poor surf conditions. Not worth paddling out.
Saturday the 29th is no better. Morning brings an onshore SSE breeze at 30 km/h and a 4ft SW swell. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-off WNW breeze at 20 km/h, and the energy picks up to 138, but the swell is still weak and short-period at 7 seconds. The wave comment still says poor.
Sunday the 30th has swell building to 4ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon from the WSW, but we’re looking at onshore winds at 30-35 km/h. Afternoon energy hits 635 (moderate), but the wind is onshore and it’s described as poor.
Monday the 31st finally shows a glimmer. Morning sees a 7ft WSW swell with a cross-off WNW breeze at 25 km/h, giving us clean conditions and moderate energy at 673. The wave comment improves to "marginal" – not great, but it’s the best so far. Afternoon holds similar with a 6ft swell and 20 km/h cross-off wind, energy at 477. Not a standout, but a possible sneaky session if you’re desperate.
From Tuesday September 1st through Thursday September 3rd, the wind swings back and forth, mostly cross or cross-on, with choppy, lumpy conditions. Swell hovers around 3ft to 6ft, but the quality is poor.
Friday September 4th brings another decent window. A 7ft WSW swell with a fresh cross-off WNW breeze at 30 km/h. Clean faces, moderate energy at 480. Still, the wave comment is poor. This is a pattern of "almost but not quite."
Now, here’s the real standout: Tuesday September 8th. Swell jacks up to a massive 16ft from the WSW, with a period of 11 seconds – that’s groundswell with serious energy – the combined energy is a powerful 5628. Wind is a cross-off WNW at 35 km/h, so the faces are clean. This is expert-only territory though – over 8ft, it’s big, and this reef can get nasty. If you’ve got the skills and the nerve, this is the best on offer. Wednesday the 9th drops back to 4ft and weaker energy.
After that, from Thursday September 10th onward, the swell dies off, wind turns onshore or strong from the south, and conditions are poor through to Saturday September 12th. There’s a real gap here – nothing worth chasing for the rest of the second week.
Overall, the only real standout is Tuesday September 8th, but it’s for experts only. The rest of the window is filled with poor surf conditions, cross-onshore winds, and weak swells. Hold tight, mate.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 36mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
133 | 95 | 80 | 137 | 470 | 273 | 408 | 627 | 673 | 477 | 235 | 197 | 57 | 67 | 77 | 260 | 440 | 268 | 214 | 186 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:31PM8.20m | 7:48AM8.10m | 8:03PM8.47m | 8:20AM8.30m | 8:36PM8.58m | 8:54AM8.35m | 9:11PM8.50m | 9:30AM8.21m | 9:48PM8.23m | 10:08AM7.90m | 10:28PM7.78m | 10:51AM7.44m | 11:16PM7.20m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:41AM0.55m | 1:52PM0.48m | 2:11AM0.34m | 2:22PM0.33m | 2:42AM0.28m | 2:54PM0.34m | 3:14AM0.38m | 3:28PM0.51m | 3:49AM0.66m | 4:06PM0.85m | 4:28AM1.10m | 4:49PM1.33m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
8:13 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | |
mm | 1 | 7 | 10 | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
— | — | 80 | 137 | 470 | 273 | 227 | 422 | 673 | 477 | 235 | — | 12 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | SW 16 | W 16 | — | — | — | — | SW 15 |
— | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 10 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 6 | SE 4 | — | — | — | SW 8 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
133 | 95 | 6 | — | — | — | 408 | 627 | — | — | — | 197 | 57 | 67 | 77 | 260 | 440 | 268 | 214 | 186 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 286 | 403 | 403 | 31 | 135 | 64 | 64 | 33 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 138 | 311 | 124 | 418 | 776 | 259 | 896 | 358 | 259 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











