Fall Bay Reef Surf Break

Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 51.56° N 4.29° W

Issued: 6 am 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Fall Bay Reef sea temperature is
19.3° C

4.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, W swell with 57 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 0.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 10th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. It’s a pretty flat outlook for Fall Bay Reef across the whole 16-day window. We’ve got a run of weak, short-period swell that just doesn’t have the beans to make this reef work. The first recommendation doesn’t come through for a reason – there’s nothing worth paddling out for until we see some real change. From now through to the end of the period, the wave energy (combined energy of all swells directed here) mostly sits in the low double digits, barely breaking 74 in the first session and then just falling away. That’s weak energy, I’m talking barely a bump on the horizon.

Let’s take Sunday, July 5th: we start with a tiny 3ft swell from WSW, but the period is a short 6 seconds and the combined energy is only 74. That’s not enough to wrap around into this fairly exposed reef. Wind’s cross-off at 9 mph, which would normally be a plus for clean faces, but with no push behind it, it’s a waste of good wind. The afternoon drops off even more – 1ft and 9-second period. The water’s sitting at a very unusual 67°, a full 8° warmer than average. That’s a big anomaly, almost tropical for this area. The rest of the week just repeats the same story: swell heights under 3ft, periods under 10 seconds, and combined energy barely hitting 50 or 60.

Wednesday, July 8th, sees a rare moment of glassy conditions in the morning (1.0ft, 8-second period), but again, no swell. A 1.0ft wave with 12 combined energy is not surf. You’d be bobbing like a cork. Thursday July 9th is similar – 1.0ft, glassy, combined energy of 16. Clean but empty.

There’s a slight lift around Friday, July 10th, with a 2ft swell from the west, 9-second period, and combined energy of 42. It’s still a dribbler. Winds go cross-off and sometimes glassy, so the few ripples that show will be clean, but it won’t break properly. This reef is inconsistent at the best of times, and right now it’s barely wet.

The only noteworthy shift comes in the second week. Tuesday, July 14th, we see a longer-period 11-second wave from WSW, but it’s only 1.0ft. Combined energy is 36. Again, not enough. And on Monday, July 13th, we get a glimpse of some proper groundswell – a 20-second period from the SW, but the height is a paltry 0.3ft. Combined energy of 23. That’s a tease. Long period like that usually means better shape and energy, but when the wave height is that small, it’s just a long, rolling nothing. It won’t break. The following days repeat this pattern: long periods (18-19 seconds) from the same SW direction, but heights stuck at 0.3ft to 1.0ft.

Later on, Saturday, July 18th, we get glassy conditions with a 1.0ft swell from the west, 8-second period, combined energy of 12. That’s still a flat day. And the last day, Monday, July 20th, brings a 0.3ft swell with a 17-second period, combined energy of 16. That’s still just a faint long-period pulse.

Honestly, there’s not a single standout session here. The combined energy never reaches three digits – it’s all weak, marginal stuff. For a reef that needs a decent push to start breaking, this is a total non-event. If you’re desperate to get wet, bring a longboard for the tiny, clean bumps, but don’t expect to catch a wave. With the low consistency and the constant “poor surf conditions” across every record, I’d say wait for the next change. Forecasts can turn around, but this stretch is a big ol’ blank.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 28°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NW by Fri night).

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WSW
6
0.4
WSW
9
0.5
W
9
0.6
W
9
0.6
W
5
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
9
0.4
WSW
9
0.3
W
8
0.3
W
8
0.4
W
9
0.3
W
10
0.3
W
10
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.6
W
9
0.6
W
8
0.5
W
8
0.7
W
6
0.3
WSW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
46
26
39
55
18
24
26
25
12
12
23
17
16
15
15
42
57
50
33
33
12
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
20
WSW
10
W
15
WSW
20
WSW
10
WSW
10
WSW
20
WSW
5
NW
5
SSE
10
W
10
NNE
5
ENE
15
NW
10
NNE
5
WSW
15
WNW
30
NNW
35
NNW
30
NNW
30
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:24AM7.19m
10:43PM7.42m
11:05AM7.04m
11:26PM7.23m
11:51AM6.87m
00:15AM7.02m
12:45PM6.70m
1:13AM6.82m
1:49PM6.60m
2:21AM6.73m
3:00PM6.67m
3:35AM6.84m
4:12PM6.95m
Low Tide
4:23PM1.43m
4:50AM1.46m
5:04PM1.60m
5:34AM1.61m
5:52PM1.78m
6:26AM1.77m
6:49PM1.95m
7:27AM1.90m
7:57PM2.03m
8:37AM1.92m
9:11PM1.93m
9:49AM1.77m
10:24PM1.63m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:05
5:07
5:07
5:09
5:09
5:11
5:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:36
9:35
9:35
9:34
9:32
9:32
9:31
 mm
2
Temp °C
18
18
16
17
18
17
18
21
20
21
24
24
24
28
23
21
24
17
13
14
14
Feels °C
16
16
15
15
16
16
16
18
18
21
23
23
25
25
20
19
22
13
7
9
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WSW
6
0.4
WSW
9
0.5
W
9
0.1
W
14
0.3
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
9
0.4
WSW
9
0.3
W
8
0.3
W
8
0.4
W
9
0.3
W
10
0.3
W
10
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.6
W
9
0.6
W
8
0.5
W
8
0.2
W
8
0.3
WSW
8
Energy kJ
46
26
39
4
12
24
26
25
12
12
23
17
16
15
15
42
57
50
33
6
12
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WSW
9
0.1
W
14
0.4
WSW
4
0.3
W
4
0.1
SW
12
0.2
W
4
0.3
NW
4
0.3
WNW
4
0.1
NW
8
Energy kJ
28
4
6
3
6
1
2
3
3
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
11
0.1
W
10
0.1
W
17
Energy kJ
2
2
6
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WSW
5
0.6
W
9
0.6
W
5
0.4
WSW
4
0.3
NE
2
0.4
NW
3
0.7
W
6
0.6
NW
4
Energy kJ
22
55
18
6
1
3
33
16
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
Distance (km)
0
124
125
172
172
118
167
181
78
64
143
64
64
181
57
4
358
419
412
756
358
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
2
2
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
7
4
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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