Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it for Fall Bay Reef. It’s a reef break, so it’s got some character, but the next couple of weeks are looking pretty ordinary, honestly. The water temp is about normal for this time of year.

So, the pattern over the next 16 days is mostly a whole lot of nothing, with a couple of glimmers. We start with a real flat, grovelly mess. Monday and Tuesday have some swell, but it’s short-period, weak, and blown out by cross-shore winds. The energy is moderate but messy, with wave heights around `4ft` to `5ft`. Not worth getting wet for.

Midweek, Wednesday the 16th, there's a slight bump – we see a bit of a longer period swell (10 seconds) and cleaner conditions in the morning with a cross-offshore breeze. The swell is around `4ft` and the combined energy reads `313`. It’s marginal, but it’s the best on offer for a few days. Still not a standout, just a “check the cam” kind of morning.

Then things get a bit grumpy. Thursday through to next Tuesday (17th to 21st) we’ve got fresh cross-shore breezes, lumpy conditions and a mix of short-period swell. Even though the swell bumps up a bit – like Thursday morning at `6ft` – the wind just messes it up. The energy picks up on the 19th and 20th (around `363` to `405`), but it’s all cross-chop and poor quality. Not for paddling – you’d be fighting it.

Now, here’s the one real highlight of the whole run. On Tuesday the 22nd of September, we get a taste of something decent. The morning has a light offshore breeze, with a `6ft` W swell and a 7-second period. It’s surfable. But it’s the afternoon that stands out – the wind goes glassy, with a `5ft` W swell and the same short period. The energy is up at `311`, and conditions are clean. This is the pick of the entire outlook. Fall Bay Reef is a reef setup, so it should handle that west swell well. It’s still short-period so it won’t be a long-period gem, but clean and rideable – a rare combo in this forecast.

After that, the wheels fall off again. From the 23rd, we drop right down – small, weak swells with poor energy readings (`41`, `45`, `55`). There’s a notable jump on the 27th with a big `10ft` WSW swell and energy at `1259`, but the wind is cross-onshore and lumpy, so it’s a chaotic mess. By the afternoon it’s still big, and the energy is huge at `1726`, but the conditions are only marginal, and this reef will be a washing machine. Too big, too messy, not for the average punter.

After that, it fades fast – `4ft` to `5ft` and choppy again. Overall, if you’re keen, the 22nd afternoon is the one to chase. Everything else is either flat, blown out, or just plain ordinary. There are long gaps of nothing in there, especially from the 23rd to the 26th. It’s a bleak stretch, but that one Tuesday afternoon session will be worth it.

Rusty.

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