Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. You’re gonna need some patience if you’re looking at the next couple of weeks. There’s nothing that’s gonna make you sprint for the car, and we’ve got a lot of flat, messy water in between. There’s one window that’s worth a look, but it’s a tease.

Starting this Friday the 11th, Fall Bay Reef (West Coast) has a little WSW swell showing at 1.4m. The wind’s cross-off from the NW at 20 km/h, so it should be reasonably clean, but the tide is questionable and it’s just not consistent. It’s a “maybe” session, not a “must-go” one. The water’s at 65°, which is a solid 5° warmer than average for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest suit.

Saturday the 12th is a washout. The wind swings onshore from the SW and picks up to 30-35 km/h, and the swell jumps a bit but it’s going to be lumpy, cross-on, and just plain messy. Not worth the beating.

Sunday the 13th starts a little cleaner with a cross-off breeze and 1.3m, but the energy is weak. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. The afternoon drops off.

Monday and Tuesday are poor. The swell’s there, but the wind is all over the place, and the period is short. By Tuesday the 15th, the swell drops off, and we’re looking at a small morning that gets even smaller.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. From Wednesday the 16th into Thursday the 17th, there’s a bump. The swell pushes up from the W, and Thursday morning looks like the pick of the whole stretch, with 1.9m and a 7-second period. The wind is NW at 30 km/h and cross-off, so it’ll be blown clean. The energy is moderate. Then Thursday afternoon it gets bigger, up to 2.1m, with a jump in energy. That’s the most powerful we’re going to see. The wind eases a touch to WNW at 25 km/h, still cross-off and clean. This is the standout, but take it with a grain of salt. The period is short, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and peaky, and at 2.1m, it’s not a beginner wave. It’s for the experienced crew who know how to handle a reef. It’s an inconsistent spot, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but when they come, there’s some push.

After that, it’s a slow slide into flatness. Friday the 18th drops off, and then we’re scratching around for the rest of the week. The wind stays cross-off for a bit, but there’s just no swell. The 24th is glassy but basically flat, and the 26th has a 16-second period on the forecast, but only 0.1m. That’s a real tease. Long period, no power behind it.

So, bottom line: if you have to get wet, that Thursday the 17th is your shot. The rest is a waiting game. It’s a pretty typical blank run for this area, honestly. Forecasts can change, but I wouldn’t hold my breath.

Rusty.

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