Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. Honestly, this is a tough one. The outlook for Fall Bay Reef is a real mixed bag, and for the most part, it’s a frustrating watch. This reef break is inconsistent at the best of times, and this run doesn’t look like it’s going to be firing much. The water is a wild sixty-eight degrees, which is a full six point seven degrees warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, you’ll be in boardies for sure.

The first real chance of anything decent comes on the afternoon of Thursday the 27th of August. We’ve got a bit of a pulse showing with a 4ft swell from the SW, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s not going to have much punch. The energy is moderate (330), and there’s a light cross-shore wind. The score is still the lowest end of marginal, so it's not one to get excited about.

The whole following week is a real grind. Most days are either too small, blown out, or just messy. The wind is a persistent problem. The morning of Saturday the 29th of August sees a 5ft W swell with a clean cross-offshore breeze, but the period is still short, and the combined energy is moderate (245). It’s a step in the right direction, but it’s still a “poor” tag.

The real standout window, if you can call it that, is the first week of September. The morning of Thursday the 3rd of September looks promising. We have a 5ft swell from the WSW with a better 8-second period, and a clean, gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NW. The energy is moderate (241). It’s the cleanest the surf will be for a while, but we’re still only in marginal territory.

Then, things get a bit hectic. The morning of Saturday the 5th of September sees a 7ft WSW swell, but the wind is howling cross-onshore, making it a lumpy, messy mess. That’s too big for beginners and the conditions will be ugly. The energy is strong (551), but it’s for the kites, not the paddle crew.

The biggest swell of the window shows up on the morning of Sunday the 6th of September. A 8ft W swell with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the NE. The energy is strong (712). This is the best on offer, but it’s a full week and a half away, so it’s a long-range call and less certain. The 8ft height is expert territory, and for a reef break, it’s going to be a serious session. The wind is clean, but that swell size will be a handful.

So, to sum it up: the two standouts are the morning of Thursday the 3rd of September for a cleaner, smaller window, and the morning of Sunday the 6th of September for the biggest, cleanest waves, but that’s for experts only. The rest is a long stretch of waiting and hoping. Keep your eyes on the forecasts.

Rusty.

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