Surf Forecasts:
Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period, W swell with 43 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 0.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s break it down. Right now, the surf is flat, and it’s gonna stay that way for a solid stretch. We’re looking at a long run of tiny waves and poor conditions, so don’t rush to wax up just yet.
For the next couple of weeks, Fall Bay Reef is the only spot in the picture. It’s an inconsistent reef break that needs a specific SW swell to fire, and for the first week and a half, it’s barely showing a pulse. You’ll see a few days of 1ft to 2ft waves from the W and WSW, but combined energy is weak, reading between 12 and 56 (weak energy). Periods are short, mostly 5 to 9 seconds, so no push or shape to speak of. The water temperature on Sunday afternoon July 5th is sitting at 67°, which is a massive 8° warmer than normal—very unusual for this time of year.
There’s a glimmer of cleaner conditions around Wednesday July 8th into the weekend, with some glassy mornings and light offshore breezes, but the swell is so small it’s barely rideable. By Sunday July 12th, things get a bit weird: a 2ft east windswell with only 4 seconds of period pops up, but it’s still poor quality.
The real shift doesn’t come until the weekend of July 18th and 19th. On Saturday July 18th afternoon, we see 4ft from the WSW, with moderate wave energy (115). Then Sunday July 19th morning jumps to 4ft and a combined energy of 258 (moderate to strong), but the period is still short at 7 seconds, so the waves will be choppy and weak. The wind is cross or light cross, so it won’t be totally clean. This swell is too small for experts but might be just okay for intermediate surfers looking for something—though the quality is still listed as poor.
Monday July 20th morning pushes up to 5ft from the W, with energy hitting 255, but the wind turns onshore and the period stays short at 7 seconds. It’s messy and not worth getting excited about.
Standout? Honestly, there isn’t one. If I had to pick the least terrible window, it would be Saturday July 18th afternoon or Sunday July 19th morning—at least the swell height is near 4-5ft and the wind is light. But “best on offer” here is a low bar. If you’re a kite surfer, the bumpy conditions from July 18th to 20th might look more interesting than anything paddle surfing.
This is a classic quiet run for Fall Bay Reef. It doesn’t stay dead forever, but right now, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the N by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 5 | W 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | E 4 | E 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 26 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 23 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 39 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:43PM7.42m | 11:05AM7.04m | 11:26PM7.23m | 11:51AM6.87m | 00:15AM7.02m | 12:45PM6.70m | 1:13AM6.82m | 1:49PM6.60m | 2:21AM6.73m | 3:00PM6.67m | 3:35AM6.84m | 4:12PM6.95m | 4:45AM7.15m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:23PM1.43m | 4:50AM1.46m | 5:04PM1.60m | 5:34AM1.61m | 5:52PM1.78m | 6:26AM1.77m | 6:49PM1.95m | 7:27AM1.90m | 7:57PM2.03m | 8:37AM1.92m | 9:11PM1.93m | 9:49AM1.77m | 10:24PM1.63m | 10:57AM1.45m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 |
 | — | 9:36 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | 9:30 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 32 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 12 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 27 | 30 | 22 | 28 | 31 | 24 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 5 | WSW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 |
| kJ | 26 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 24 | 7 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 23 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 39 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 14 | W 14 | — | WSW 9 | SW 12 | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | WNW 4 | W 17 | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 16 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | 26 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | W 17 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WSW 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | — | E 3 | E 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | E 4 | E 4 |
| kJ | 22 | 11 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 288 | 124 | 172 | 172 | 132 | 181 | 181 | 78 | 64 | 180 | 118 | 183 | 181 | 48 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 180 | 139 | 57 | 418 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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