Surf Forecasts:
Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 9s period, WSW swell with 16 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 0.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, for a good stretch, it’s looking pretty bleak. There’s nothing worth paddling out for until the very end of the month at Fall Bay Reef. This spot is a reef setup, intermediate level, and it’s inconsistent, so it doesn’t break often. When it does, it’s fairly exposed to the swell, and the optimum direction is from the SW. The water right now is sitting at 68°F, which is 8°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, you’ll feel it.
We are looking at a long, quiet run with no real surf from the 15th of July right through until the 29th of July. Through that whole period, the swell is tiny, mostly 0.3ft to 1ft, with weak combined energy (values between 2 and 55). The wind is often offshore or clean, but with no wave energy, it’s just a flat, glassy lake.
Things finally start to show a pulse on Wednesday the 30th of July. By Thursday morning on the 30th, the swell picks up to 4ft from the W, with a short period of 6 seconds. The combined energy climbs to a modest 116. Still, it’s a short-period windswell, and the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, making it a bit choppy. By Thursday afternoon, the swell holds at 4ft from the WSW, with a similar short period, and the energy is 119. The wind turns to a gentle cross-shore, which will clean it up a little, but it’s still a messy, weak swell.
So, the only real standout, and I’m using that term loosely, is Thursday the 30th of July. That’s the only time we get any real wave height. The swell direction (WSW) is close to the optimum SW for Fall Bay Reef. The wind is light, but the period is very short at 6 seconds, so the waves will be weak and crumbly. It’s not going to be great, but it’s the only surf on the table.
Everything else in the 16 days is a write-off for paddle surfing. The swell is too inconsistent and small to get excited about.
Stay tuned, forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | S 12 | E 3 | W 19 | W 19 | W 9 | SW 18 | W 18 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 19 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 7:56PM8.68m | 8:21AM8.40m | 8:42PM8.78m | 9:06AM8.34m | 9:27PM8.66m | 9:50AM8.11m | 10:10PM8.34m | 10:33AM7.74m | 10:54PM7.85m | 11:17AM7.27m | 11:38PM7.27m | 12:02PM6.78m | 00:26AM6.68m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:42PM0.41m | 2:11AM0.18m | 2:28PM0.29m | 2:57AM0.17m | 3:13PM0.36m | 3:41AM0.35m | 3:56PM0.60m | 4:24AM0.69m | 4:39PM0.98m | 5:07AM1.15m | 5:22PM1.45m | 5:51AM1.66m | 6:09PM1.94m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 19 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | NW 4 | SSW 6 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | — | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | E 3 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 19 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 14 | ESE 3 | SSW 7 | W 8 | SW 6 | W 8 | — | S 5 | S 12 | — | W 7 | W 7 | — | SW 18 | W 11 | W 7 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 7 | SW 7 | W 8 | — | SW 13 | SW 6 | SW 5 | S 11 | — | — | W 19 | W 19 | — | W 11 | W 18 | — | W 7 | W 7 |
| kJ | 2 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | — | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 7 | 7 | — | 3 | 6 | — | 1 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 3 | E 4 | E 3 | E 3 | — | ENE 2 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | N 4 | E 3 | NNE 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | — | — | N 3 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 326 | 54 | 139 | 288 | 203 | 78 | 191 | 1440 | 395 | 418 | 429 | 87 | 118 | 191 | 364 | 377 | 395 | 78 | 125 | 132 | 125 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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