Fall Bay Reef Surf Break

Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 51.56° N 4.29° W

Issued: 6 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Fall Bay Reef sea temperature is
18.9° C

4.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, W swell with 81 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 1.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 5th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 4AM (Sun 5th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Most Powerful 4AM (Sun 5th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you – this forecast for Fall Bay Reef is a pretty bleak stretch. We’re looking at a full 16-day window, but honestly, there’s not a single session I’d recommend paddling out for. The whole period is a write-off for surf.

The first few days start with a total dud. Saturday afternoon, July 4th, has a tiny 2ft swell from the west, but it’s a cross-shore mess with a 16 mph wind, and the combined energy is weak (179). The water temperature is a very unusual 66°F – that’s a massive 7°F warmer than normal for this time of year, which is wild. The conditions are just poor.

We go through the entire first week, and into the second week, with nothing but tiny, weak swells – mostly under 2ft. The wind is almost always cross or cross-shore, ruining any chance of a clean wave. The energy readings are all in the double digits, which is about as weak as it gets. There’s a brief moment on Sunday, July 12th, when the wind goes glassy, but the swell is a pathetic 0.3ft. That’s not a surf, that’s a lake.

Then we get into the second week and it doesn’t improve. By Saturday, July 18th, we’ve got onshore winds and almost no energy (6). The very last day, Sunday the 19th, shows a slight bump to 4ft, but it’s a short-period, 4-second wind swell from the ESE, with a cross-onshore wind. It’s still marked as poor surf conditions. The combined energy is a weak 48.

For a reef break that’s already inconsistent, this is a blank run. There’s no standout, no silver lining. The spot is fairly exposed to the swell, but the direction and strength just aren’t lining up. This stretch is a total bust. Honestly, if the wind stays this strong and the swell this small, it might be more interesting for a kite than a paddle.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
W
10
1
W
6
0.8
W
6
0.4
WSW
9
0.6
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.4
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
9
0.4
WSW
9
0.3
WSW
8
0.3
W
8
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
10
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.6
W
9
0.6
W
8
0.5
W
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
96
73
44
28
56
14
22
24
26
25
13
12
13
17
16
15
15
42
56
50
33
Wind (km/h)
25
WSW
10
W
15
WNW
20
WSW
15
W
15
WSW
20
WSW
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
WSW
5
NNW
5
ESE
10
WNW
10
NNE
10
ESE
10
NW
10
NE
15
ESE
10
N
15
ENE
10
E
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
10:04PM7.56m
10:24AM7.19m
10:43PM7.42m
11:05AM7.04m
11:26PM7.23m
11:51AM6.87m
00:15AM7.02m
12:45PM6.70m
1:13AM6.82m
1:49PM6.60m
2:21AM6.73m
3:00PM6.67m
3:35AM6.84m
Low Tide
4:12AM1.34m
4:23PM1.43m
4:50AM1.46m
5:04PM1.60m
5:34AM1.61m
5:52PM1.78m
6:26AM1.77m
6:49PM1.95m
7:27AM1.90m
7:57PM2.03m
8:37AM1.92m
9:11PM1.93m
9:49AM1.77m
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:05
5:07
5:07
5:09
5:09
5:11
5:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:36
9:36
9:35
9:35
9:34
9:32
9:32
9:31
 mm
Temp °C
16
17
19
19
17
18
18
17
19
22
21
22
25
24
24
29
24
26
30
26
25
Feels °C
13
16
17
17
16
16
16
16
18
19
19
22
24
24
24
27
21
26
28
24
23
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
W
10
1
W
6
0.8
W
6
0.4
WSW
9
0.6
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.4
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
9
0.4
WSW
9
0.3
WSW
8
0.3
W
8
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
10
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.3
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.6
W
9
0.6
W
8
0.5
W
8
Energy kJ
96
73
44
26
56
13
22
24
26
25
13
12
13
17
16
15
15
42
56
50
33
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
10
0.4
WSW
9
0.1
W
14
0.1
W
14
0.3
W
4
0.3
W
4
0.1
SW
12
0.2
W
4
0.1
W
17
Energy kJ
47
28
4
4
3
3
6
1
6
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
11
0.1
W
10
Energy kJ
2
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
WSW
6
0.7
WSW
5
0.4
WSW
5
0.5
W
5
0.5
W
5
0.4
WSW
4
0.3
NNW
2
0.4
NW
3
0.2
NNW
2
0.2
WNW
3
0.4
NNW
3
0.5
NNW
4
Energy kJ
83
28
7
14
12
6
1
2
1
1
4
7
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
338
0
0
124
130
161
172
118
167
180
64
64
64
64
64
180
64
4
4
5
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
5
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
6
6
5
5
4
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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