Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright gang, Rusty here, breaking down Fall Bay Reef.

Let’s be real – this 16-day forecast is a slow one. There’s a few days of nothing before we even get a sniff of a wave. The first one worth mentioning comes on Thursday, July 30th.

The morning is your move. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell out of the west, with a moderate cross-offshore breeze from the WNW. The water temp is 68°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a huge anomaly, so you’re in for a weirdly warm swim. The combined energy is weak, only 41.

Friday, July 31st morning is next. The swell drops to 2ft, but it’s completely glassy – no wind at all. That’s a massive win for clean, smooth conditions, even if the waves are tiny. The energy is a paltry 14.

For beginners, this is perfect. None of the swell heights hit 5ft, so nobody’s in over their head. The waves are just small.

Now, looking into the second week, the best pulse shows up on Sunday, August 9th in the afternoon. We’re looking at a 5ft swell from the WSW with a 10-second period, and a fresh cross-offshore breeze from the WNW. That’s clean and punchy. The combined energy hits 377 – that’s moderate energy and the best we’ll see all period. This is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not a sure thing. The size is still under 5ft, so it’s good for everyone.

A few things to remember: Fall Bay Reef is a reef break, and it’s inconsistent – it only fires every now and then. Crowds are “often,” so you’ll likely have other surfers out. The ideal swell direction is SW, and our best swells are coming from WSW or W, so it’s a little off-angle but still rideable.

Bottom line: a quiet stretch. The energy is low, the swells are small, and the consistency is lacking. But that glassy Friday morning and that promising Sunday in the second week are your two best bets. Keep an eye on that August 9th window.

Rusty, out.

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