Surf Forecasts:
Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 15 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 0.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, looking at the 16-day window for us. Let's get into it.
Straight up, this is a tough one to call. The entire 16-day forecast is a ghost town for surf – every single entry is marked as poor surf conditions. We’re looking at a streak of quiet days that stretches from the start of the outlook all the way through to the end of July, with only a whisper of swell appearing in the final week.
The only spot we’ve got to talk about is Fall Bay Reef. It's an inconsistent reef break, only rated for intermediate surfers, and it can get crowded. The water temperature is sitting at 68°F with a massive anomaly of 8°F warmer than usual, which is very unusual for this time of year. That’s a real talking point down at the beach.
For the first nine days, from Thursday the 16th right through to the morning of Friday the 24th, the swell is tiny – mostly 0.3ft to 1.0ft. The combined wave energy is in the single digits (2 to 15), which is weak. It’s basically a flat spell. The winds are often clean, sometimes glassy, but there’s just no swell to work with.
We finally see a bit of life on Saturday the 25th of July afternoon. The swell picks up to 2ft from the west, with a period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 30. That’s still weak. The wind is cross-off, keeping it clean. This little pulse continues into Sunday the 26th, with the swell holding at 3ft from the west, period still 6 seconds, and energy at 54. Morning looks clean, but the afternoon gets a fresh cross-shore wind that will chop it up.
The best chance in this entire outlook lands on Wednesday the 30th of July. The morning brings a 4ft west-southwest swell, with a period of 6 seconds and a combined energy of 195 (moderate). The wind is a clean cross-off. That’s the biggest swell of the window, and under that offshore breeze, the waves will be shaped up. It’s still not huge, but for a reef that’s been starved, it’s the standout. The afternoon gets lumpy as the wind swings cross-shore. The next day, it drops back down to 3ft from the west-southwest.
So, to be honest, there’s no real classic day here. The best you’ll find is that Wednesday the 30th morning, with clean 4ft surf at Fall Bay Reef. It’s a poor run for the area, but it tends not to stay this quiet forever. Keep an eye on the forecasts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the N by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SW 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | S 12 | E 3 | W 19 | W 19 | W 9 | SW 18 | W 18 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 8:42PM8.78m | 9:06AM8.34m | 9:27PM8.66m | 9:50AM8.11m | 10:10PM8.34m | 10:33AM7.74m | 10:54PM7.85m | 11:17AM7.27m | 11:38PM7.27m | 12:02PM6.78m | 00:26AM6.68m | 12:53PM6.31m | 1:21AM6.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:57AM0.17m | 3:13PM0.36m | 3:41AM0.35m | 3:56PM0.60m | 4:24AM0.69m | 4:39PM0.98m | 5:07AM1.15m | 5:22PM1.45m | 5:51AM1.66m | 6:09PM1.94m | 6:39AM2.15m | 7:04PM2.39m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | 9:27 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:20 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 23 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | NW 3 | SSW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | NNW 4 | W 7 | — | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 11 | W 10 | WNW 4 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 |
| kJ | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 7 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 5 | S 5 | W 8 | — | W 7 | W 7 | — | SW 18 | W 11 | W 7 | — | W 10 | W 16 | — | W 15 |
| kJ | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 12 | 2 | 1 | — | 8 | 5 | — | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 8 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 13 | S 11 | S 12 | — | W 19 | W 19 | — | W 11 | W 18 | — | W 7 | SW 16 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | 7 | 7 | — | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | 10 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 2 | NE 2 | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | ENE 4 | E 3 | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNE 3 | E 3 | — | N 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 2 | — | 5 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 2 | — | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 203 | 299 | 299 | 1680 | 377 | 403 | 429 | 366 | 383 | 180 | 364 | 364 | 395 | 48 | 125 | 180 | 367 | 423 | 574 | 429 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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