Surf Forecasts:
Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 18 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, W swell with 369 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 18 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 1.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Fri 18th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 18th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here.
Let’s be straight with you – the next couple weeks are looking pretty lean for a decent surf. The only spot with any kind of a nod is Fall Bay Reef, and it’s a tricky one. It’s a reef break, inconsistent, and it really only works when the swell is coming from the south-west. We’ve got a long dry spell ahead before anything gets close to being worth it.
The water temp at Fall Bay Reef is 65°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – nearly four and a half degrees above average.
Right now and through the rest of today, it’s a mess. Swell is from the WSW at about 4ft, but the wind is a messy cross-on from the SW at 12 mph, making for choppy, poor conditions. That carries through the afternoon.
Tuesday the 15th looks cleaner with a cross-offshore wind from the WNW, but the swell has dropped to around 4ft and the period is a weak 7 seconds. The water’s still warm, but the waves just don’t have any energy.
Wednesday the 16th morning is the only real bright spot. We get a 5ft swell from the W with a longer 10-second period, giving a moderate combined energy of 369. The wind is cross-offshore from the NW, so it’ll be clean. But it’s still rated as marginal at best. For an inconsistent reef break, this is a gamble. The crowds are often there too, so you won’t have it to yourself.
After that, from Wednesday afternoon all the way through to the end of the month, it’s a total flat spell or pure junk. We’re talking swell heights under 3ft, short periods, and mostly cross or onshore winds. There’s a day on the 22nd with a 12-second period from the W but only 2ft of swell – not enough to get excited about. The 28th and 29th see some easterly windswell kick up to 4ft and 5ft, but the period is a dismal 5 seconds, so it’ll be lumpy and weak.
If you’re a kite surfer, the stronger winds on the 15th, 16th, and 17th with that cross-offshore flow might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, this is a tough run. The inconsistency of this break makes these gaps feel even longer.
Best bet? If you’re desperate, Wednesday morning the 16th at Fall Bay Reef is your only shot at something clean. Get in early.
Stay patient.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat night, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 7 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 227 | 181 | 123 | 266 | 247 | 121 | 369 | 136 | 255 | 226 | 186 | 181 | 147 | 128 | 200 | 177 | 167 | 110 | 60 | 64 | 52 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 9:07PM8.36m | 9:23AM8.05m | 9:41PM7.85m | 9:57AM7.56m | 10:15PM7.24m | 10:31AM6.98m | 10:52PM6.59m | 11:11AM6.37m | 11:36PM5.96m | 12:03PM5.79m | 00:42AM5.44m | 1:27PM5.41m | 2:25AM5.26m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:53PM0.34m | 3:10AM0.55m | 3:25PM0.72m | 3:41AM1.03m | 3:58PM1.23m | 4:14AM1.59m | 4:33PM1.81m | 4:50AM2.19m | 5:15PM2.43m | 5:38AM2.77m | 6:18PM2.98m | 6:58AM3.22m | 8:06PM3.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 12 | WSW 8 | — | — | WSW 7 | W 10 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 10 | — | W 9 | WSW 7 | W 12 | W 12 | SW 16 | W 16 | WSW 9 | W 9 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 23 | — | — | 121 | 369 | 136 | 200 | 17 | — | 45 | 147 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 38 | 64 | 52 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 12 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | W 17 | W 13 | — | — | W 16 | — | — | SW 14 | W 15 | W 14 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 8 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 13 | W 14 | SW 14 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 8 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | W 6 | WSW 10 | W 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | — | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | — | — |
| kJ | 227 | 181 | 123 | 266 | 247 | 10 | 10 | 80 | 255 | 226 | 186 | 181 | — | 128 | 200 | 177 | 167 | 110 | 60 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 124 | 124 | 124 | 358 | 358 | 31 | 10 | 322 | 322 | 425 | 358 | 31 | 0 | 286 | 124 | 124 | 124 | 68 | 124 | 124 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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