Surf Forecasts:
Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 12s period, WSW swell with 1,480 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight up—this 16-day stretch for Fall Bay Reef is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a long run of poor conditions and small, weak surf, so don’t go getting your hopes up. There’s one morning that might be just worth a paddle, but honestly, this is a lean spell.
We kick off on Saturday the 5th of September morning. Fall Bay Reef is a reef break, inconsistent, and it often gets crowds, so you won’t be alone even when it’s ordinary. The water’s sitting at 66°F—that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, a solid 5°F anomaly. Swell is 1.0ft from the W with a short period of 7 seconds, and the combined wave energy is weak (153). Wind is WNW 9 mph, clean cross-off, so the surface looks alright, but the waves are just surfable—nothing to write home about.
From Saturday afternoon right through to Tuesday the 8th of September, conditions go downhill fast. Winds shift onshore or cross-shore, picking up to 12-19 mph, and the swell stays small or gets messy. The best of the bunch is Monday the 7th morning, when a bigger pulse hits: 6ft from WSW, period 13 seconds—that’s long-period groundswell. Energy jumps to 1590, so there’s juice, but with wind at 16 mph cross-shore, it’s lumpy and only rated marginal. For experts only, and even then it’s a battle.
After that, from Tuesday the 8th afternoon through to the end of the forecast on Sunday the 20th of September, it’s a write-off. Swell drops below 3ft, often down to 0.7ft or 0.3ft, with periods that are sometimes long (14-16 seconds) but no height to back them up. Winds are mostly clean or offshore after the 13th, but there’s simply no wave energy—most energy readings are under 100, some as low as 6. The best you can say is the 16th and 17th have 0.7ft swell with fresh offshore winds and a period around 10 seconds, but that’s not surfable for a paddle board.
To be honest, with such weak swell and frequent cross-onshore or fresh cross-shore wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on many of these days. There are no standout sessions. The only highlight is a brief window Monday morning the 7th, but it’s for experts only due to size and lumpy conditions. This is a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the W on Wed morning, strong winds from the SW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 6 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 92 | 97 | 86 | 19 | 57 | 111 | 1229 | 1275 | 1237 | 523 | 435 | 132 | 130 | 81 | 94 | 286 | 393 | 346 | 267 | 282 | 263 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:52PM6.37m | 1:38AM6.14m | 2:24PM6.19m | 3:16AM6.18m | 3:56PM6.54m | 4:36AM6.67m | 5:04PM7.20m | 5:34AM7.31m | 5:56PM7.89m | 6:21AM7.90m | 6:40PM8.44m | 7:02AM8.34m | 7:20PM8.77m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:06PM2.39m | 7:55AM2.58m | 8:54PM2.45m | 9:38AM2.39m | 10:25PM1.99m | 10:53AM1.83m | 11:27PM1.35m | 11:47AM1.20m | 00:15AM0.74m | 12:31PM0.65m | 00:56AM0.29m | 1:10PM0.27m | 1:33AM0.05m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | |  |  | | |  | | | |
 | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:42 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 16 | W 13 | — | W 8 | W 10 | — | W 9 | W 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | W 12 | — | W 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 92 | 97 | 86 | 19 | — | 53 | 361 | — | 314 | 434 | — | 43 | 130 | 22 | 18 | 3 | — | 279 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 9 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | — | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 54 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 297 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 2 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 6 | — | W 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | 57 | 111 | 1229 | 1275 | 1237 | 523 | 435 | 132 | — | 81 | 94 | 286 | 393 | 346 | 267 | 282 | 263 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 104 | 2 | 261 | 172 | 124 | 358 | 358 | 33 | 134 | 358 | 31 | 154 | 322 | 322 | 259 | 322 | 403 | 358 | 358 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Gower | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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