Fall Bay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.56° N 4.29° W

Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Fall Bay Reef sea temperature is
19.4° C
4.2° 

Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period, E swell with 73 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 1.3m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 13th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. This 16-day run is a real bummer for surfers. We’re looking at a long, dry stretch with barely a ripple worth paddling for. It’s a proper blank run. From now through the 25th of July, the swell is puny and weak, with the combined energy mostly stuck in the double digits – that’s flat spell territory. It’s only really on the 26th of July that we see a bit of a pulse, but even then, the conditions are messy.

Let’s start with the first recommendation, which is a bit of a stretch. The only spot we’ve got is Fall Bay Reef. This is a reef break, and it’s inconsistent, which is a big caveat right now. For the first week, from the 11th of July through to the 19th, it’s a painful story. Swell heights are mostly below 2 ft, and the combined energy is a paltry 19 on the 11th. The water temperature is 67°F, which is a massive 8° warmer than normal – that’s a very unusual anomaly for the time of year, almost like a warm bath. Don’t expect any decent waves; the wind is glassy on the 11th, but there’s just no swell to work with.

The whole of the following week, from the 12th to the 25th, is a washout. There are gaps of days with nothing. On the 12th, we see a 0.3 ft swell with a 16-second period – that’s a very long period, but it’s so tiny it only reaches 25 combined energy. While the wind is offshore from the east at 12 mph, the wave height is just not there. The 13th sees a 4 ft swell from the east, but it’s a short period of 5 seconds and the wind is a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph, making it lumpy. This is not for paddling. The 19th of July afternoon shows a slight improvement with a 3 ft swell from the west (combined energy 85) and a clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s still tiny and the break is inconsistent.

The only real standout that catches my eye is the 26th of July. On that Sunday morning, we get a 5 ft swell from the west, with a combined energy of 250 – that’s moderate wave energy finally. The period is 7 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, but at 5 ft, it’s a bit too big for beginners but still manageable for most. The problem is the wind: it’s a light cross-onshore from the ESE at 3 mph, with small ripples. It’s not clean, but it’s the best we’ve seen in two weeks. The afternoon bumps up to 5 ft, but the wind picks up to 16 mph from the SE, making it choppy and cross-onshore. For a reef break, that’s rough. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, given the gusty and messy conditions.

So, overall, the next 16 days are a struggle. The long-range standouts on the 26th are promising but less certain, and the inconsistent nature of Fall Bay Reef means you’d have to be lucky. It tends not to stay this poor for long, but this blank run is a bit more normal for this area in this period. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, I wouldn’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the ENE by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 32°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Tue night, calm by Wed night).

Sat
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WSW
8
0.2
WSW
8
0.2
W
8
0.7
E
4
0.1
W
16
1.2
E
5
0.8
E
4
0.1
SW
15
0.2
W
11
0.2
WSW
11
0.2
WSW
10
0.3
WSW
10
0.3
WSW
9
0.3
WSW
9
0.2
WSW
8
0.3
SW
7
0.3
SW
7
0.3
SW
6
0.3
SW
7
0.4
SW
6
0.3
SW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
13
6
10
14
5
60
21
8
12
12
10
19
16
16
8
8
8
6
7
15
6
Wind (km/h)
5
NNW
20
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
35
ENE
30
E
10
ENE
25
ENE
15
E
10
NW
30
E
10
SE
15
SE
0
SE
5
E
10
W
5
SW
10
SW
15
WSW
10
WSW
10
SSW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
4:12PM6.95m
4:45AM7.15m
5:17PM7.41m
5:48AM7.57m
6:15PM7.91m
6:43AM7.97m
7:07PM8.37m
7:34AM8.27m
7:56PM8.68m
8:21AM8.40m
8:42PM8.78m
9:06AM8.34m
9:27PM8.66m
9:50AM8.11m
Low Tide
10:24PM1.63m
10:57AM1.45m
11:30PM1.21m
11:58AM1.06m
00:29AM0.76m
12:52PM0.68m
1:22AM0.39m
1:42PM0.41m
2:11AM0.18m
2:28PM0.29m
2:57AM0.17m
3:13PM0.36m
3:41AM0.35m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:13
5:13
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:18
5:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:31
9:30
9:30
9:29
9:28
9:27
9:25
9:24
 mm
1
1
2
Temp °C
29
28
26
31
25
24
28
24
24
31
27
26
32
25
22
21
22
18
19
18
17
Feels °C
27
25
24
27
18
19
25
18
23
27
24
24
30
25
21
20
22
18
17
18
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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