Fall Bay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.56° N 4.29° W

Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Fall Bay Reef sea temperature is
19.4° C
4.2° 

Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period, E swell with 73 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 1.3m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 13th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.


Alright, the surf outlook for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days is a bit of a tale. We've got a long stretch of pretty quiet conditions to start, but it does get interesting right at the very end for those who know what they're doing.

Right now, for the first couple of weeks, it's a tough go. We kick off on Saturday the 11th with tiny swell, barely 1 ft, and while the water is a wild 4° above average at 67°, the waves just aren't there. It's flat. That carries through most of the next two weeks. We've got periods of clean, glassy conditions like Friday the 17th morning, but the swell is just a whisper at 0.3 ft. There's a lot of cross-shore wind and chop, with combined swell energy mostly staying in the weak range (under 100). For the most part, any recommendation is a big "no" — the surf just isn't happening.

Then, around the 22nd and 23rd of July, things start to build in size but stay messy. The wind is cross-shore and strong, and the swell sits around 4 ft with moderate energy levels (peaking at 186) but the conditions are poor with a cross-chop. It's not until Tuesday the 21st afternoon that we see a bit of a pulse – a 4 ft swell from a variable direction with clean cross-offshore wind and energy hitting 151. That's a little better, but still not a standout.

Now, the real highlight is a two-window event. On Friday the 24th afternoon, we get a modest 5 ft swell from the SW with a 6-second period, but the wind is straight offshore from the North, making it clean. The combined energy jumps to 185. The catch? The wave quality is only rated as very ordinary. It's surfable but not firing.

But the main event is Saturday the 25th morning. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the West, with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is massive at 1031 – that's strong to very strong energy for this spot. However, the wind is cross-shore from the West at 16 mph, which will put a chop on it. This is expert-only territory. If you've got the skills and a big board, you might find some juice, but the conditions are marginal. This is a reef break, and with 8 ft, it's gonna be heavy and could close out quickly without a proper channel.

Overall? The first two weeks are a write-off. There's nothing to get excited about. The last few days have a couple of pulses that are worth a look for experienced surfers. The 24th afternoon for cleaner but smaller waves, and the 25th morning for size and power, but with a caveat for the cross-wind and size. Crowds are possible here, as it's "often" busy, so get in early or late.

This is Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 16°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sat morning, strong winds from the ENE by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WSW
7
0.3
WSW
8
0.2
WSW
8
0.2
W
8
0.7
E
4
0.1
W
16
1.1
E
5
0.8
E
4
0.8
E
4
0.6
E
4
0.2
WSW
11
0.3
WSW
10
0.3
WSW
10
0.3
WSW
9
0.3
WSW
9
0.3
WSW
8
0.3
WSW
8
0.2
W
8
0.2
W
8
0.3
WSW
8
0.5
WSW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
9
13
6
10
14
5
51
21
21
12
12
20
19
16
16
14
14
8
6
11
19
Wind (km/h)
10
E
10
NW
20
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
35
ENE
25
E
15
ESE
25
E
15
E
10
N
15
E
10
ESE
10
NW
15
SSW
10
WSW
20
WSW
10
NW
5
WNW
10
W
15
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
on
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
High Tide
4:12PM6.95m
4:45AM7.15m
5:17PM7.41m
5:48AM7.57m
6:15PM7.91m
6:43AM7.97m
7:07PM8.37m
7:34AM8.27m
7:56PM8.68m
8:21AM8.40m
8:42PM8.78m
9:06AM8.34m
9:27PM8.66m
Low Tide
10:24PM1.63m
10:57AM1.45m
11:30PM1.21m
11:58AM1.06m
00:29AM0.76m
12:52PM0.68m
1:22AM0.39m
1:42PM0.41m
2:11AM0.18m
2:28PM0.29m
2:57AM0.17m
3:13PM0.36m
3:41AM0.35m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:11
5:13
5:13
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:31
9:30
9:30
9:29
9:28
9:27
9:25
 mm
1
1
6
Temp °C
26
30
28
26
30
23
24
28
24
25
30
26
22
25
21
18
19
19
19
20
20
Feels °C
25
27
25
24
27
16
19
25
19
24
27
23
22
25
20
19
17
18
20
22
19
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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