Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the outlook for Fall Bay Reef is a bit of a mixed bag with a whole lot of waiting. The first surfing window doesn't really open up until Monday, the 7th of September, but even then it's not a straightforward call. The water is sitting around the average for this time of year, so nothing wacky on that front.

The first real chance to get wet is Monday morning. We've got a solid 5 ft swell rolling in from the WSW, and the combined energy is a strong 1352. That's a lot of power in the water. The wind is a clean cross-off from the WNW, so the surface should be looking alright. But the report flags it as marginal, so don't expect perfection. This is an inconsistent reef break, so you'll be waiting for the sets, and when they come with that much energy, it could be a handful. The following days are a write-off – Tuesday through Thursday are a mess with strong winds and no quality surf to speak of.

Friday the 11th morning is the next one to look at. The swell drops to 5 ft from the WSW, but the energy is down to 301. The wind is a perfect cross-off from the WNW and light, so conditions should be clean. The report says "expect good surf conditions," so this could be your best bet for a decent session in the first week, even if the swell isn't huge.

Then we get another big gap. The next flicker of hope comes on Tuesday, the 15th of September. The morning is looking glassy with no wind, and a 4 ft W swell. The energy is weak at 173, and the report says it's "surfable but very ordinary." It's a chance to get a few, but it's not going to be epic.

The long-range stuff is a bit chaotic. We see a big pulse of energy on Thursday the 17th with a 10 ft W swell and a combined energy of 2163, which is massive. The period is 10 seconds, which is good. But the wind is a messy cross-shore, making it poor for paddle surfing. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler. The same goes for the following Saturday with a 7 ft swell.

The standout for the entire forecast window, if you're patient, comes on Tuesday, the 22nd of September. The morning shows a clean 6 ft WSW swell with a 7-second period, and the wind is pure offshore from the NNE at just 9 mph. The report says "expect good surf conditions." This is the one. It's a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt, but if that holds, it'll be the best day of the lot because the wind will be clean.

So, plan your life around Friday the 11th morning for a clean, smaller session, and keep an eye on Tuesday the 22nd for the best chance of a proper, clean swell. The rest of the time, you're better off on the couch waiting for the charts to change.

Rusty.

Read more