Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s break it down.

For Fall Bay Reef, we are in for a long, quiet spell. The water is 66°F – running much warmer than usual for the time of year, so it’ll feel nice, but that’s about the only upside.

For the first five days straight, starting Monday the 6th, we’ve got tiny surf – wave heights from 0.3m to 0.5m (roughly 1 ft to 2 ft). Combined wave energy is weak, barely hitting 40. There’s mostly a W or WSW swell direction, but the periods are short – under 10 seconds. Winds: Tuesday the 7th morning has a clean cross-off breeze, and Thursday the 9th morning goes glassy flat. But again, there is no swell to ride. Crowds are often here, but that’s no issue when there’s nothing.

Things don’t get much better in the second week. On Sunday the 12th, there’s a tiny 0.7m (about 2 ft) east wind swell with a period of 4 seconds – that’s pure chop. No good. The conditions are marked as poor every single time. It’s a long blank run, and for this area, that’s pretty standard when the swell window goes quiet.

Later on, around the 19th and 20th of July, we see a slight improvement. Swell direction swings to WSW, and the periods climb to 10–13 seconds. Heights stay around 0.4m to 0.6m (1 ft to 2 ft), but the combined energy gets to 74 then 64 (moderate). Still tiny, but those longer periods mean there’s some order to the lines. Winds though – on the 19th there’s a moderate cross-shore with chop, and by the 21st the wind picks up again.

If I had to pick a best moment, it would be the morning of Tuesday the 21st: 0.6m (2 ft) WSW swell with an 8-second period, combined energy of 61 (moderate), and just a light cross-shore breeze. It’s still a very marginal wave, but it’s the cleanest of the bunch.

So overall, no real standouts. No good surf on offer over the full 16 days. For this spot, that’s just how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, but right now, there’s nothing calling me in.

Rusty.

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