Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. The next 16 days for Fall Bay Reef are a real tough one. I’m looking at the whole run and it’s pretty flat, with hardly any swell to get excited about. The water is running at 68°F which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, about 7°F warmer than usual – that’s very unusual.

We kick off on Saturday 25 July with a tiny 0.3ft SW swell in the morning, period at 12 seconds, but it’s coming from the wrong direction for this reef and the combined energy is a weak 13. The wind is cross-off but no point even thinking about it. This is a reef that’s inconsistent and it rarely gets a proper run, and this stretch is a prime example.

Sunday 26 July brings a bit more size – 5ft from the WSW in the morning, period 7 seconds, combined energy 186 (moderate). The wind is cross-off from the NW at 19 mph, so it’ll be clean, but the swell is short period and pretty disorganised. It’s still classed as poor surf. The afternoon sees 5ft from the west, period 7 seconds, energy 220, but again, it’s not doing anything for the reef.

Monday 27 July drops right back to 3ft, and from there it’s a slow downward slide. The whole week after that is tiny – 2ft, 2ft, 0.7ft – you get the picture. The wind does swing offshore on a few mornings, like Thursday 30 July morning with glassy conditions and a 2ft west swell, but there’s just no power in the water. The combined energy barely gets above 45.

There’s a gap of several days here with nothing worth mentioning. The next blip comes on Tuesday 4 August morning. A 3ft SW swell, period 8 seconds, combined energy 120 (moderate). The wind is offshore from the north at 16 mph, so it’s clean. But it’s still a small swell and the period is short, so the waves will be weak and close out. It’s still poor surf.

The rest of the run into the second week is just tiny dribbles – 1.0ft, 0.7ft – with a stiff cross-off wind on 8 August but no swell to back it up. The longest period we see in the second week is 10 seconds on 2 August, but that’s paired with a 0.7ft swell, so it’s irrelevant.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. If you’re desperate, Tuesday 4 August morning has the best chance of a clean 3ft wave, but it’s not going to be a surf you’ll remember. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the days with stronger wind and some swell. The reef is inconsistent and rarely breaks, and this 16-day window is a blank run. Still, it tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change.

Rusty

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