Fall Bay Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.56° N 4.29° W

Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Fall Bay Reef sea temperature is
19.5°C
3.3° 

Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Fall Bay Reef surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WSW swell with 871 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fall Bay Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Fall Bay Reef in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 5th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 7s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 5th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 7s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 8th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fall Bay Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, gather 'round. Rusty here. I've been staring at the charts for Fall Bay Reef, and I gotta be straight with you – this is a rough patch. We've got a 16-day window, but the first real, even *marginal* chance of a wave doesn't show up until Monday the 7th. Before that, it's a wasteland of strong, cross-onshore winds and messy, lumpy conditions. The water’s a weird 67° right now, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real anomaly.

Let’s walk through it. From Wednesday the 2nd right through to the end of the first week, it's just poor. We’ve got some clouds, some fresh breezes, but the wind is either cross-on or cross-off, and the swell is short-period and weak. The wave energy is low, mostly in the double digits or low triple digits (323, 264). It’s not worth getting wet.

The closest we get to a highlight is on Monday the 7th. The morning shows a pulse of 6ft from the WSW, with a moderate cross-offshore wind and clean conditions. The wave energy jumps up to 706, which is a serious amount of power. But the comment says "marginal surf forecast," and I can see the wind swings back to a nasty cross-onshore 22 mph by the afternoon. That morning window on the 7th is the only thing that even flirts with being a standout, and it's a short, tricky one. The swell is short period at 9 seconds, so it won't have that nice groundswell push.

The rest of the second week is no better. We get a few cleaner windows, like Thursday the 10th morning with 7ft and clean conditions, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off. It's rideable, but far from perfect. After the 11th, the swell just drops off a cliff. We're looking at knee-high dribble for the rest of the outlook, with the occasional strong breeze.

So, what's the call? Honestly, for a surfer, this is a write-off. The setup is a reef, so when it's messy and onshore, it's just a washing machine. With that strong, consistent wind, this spot looks more like a kite surfing or windsurfing zone than a paddle zone for the next two weeks. Keep the board in the car and wait for the next change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu night, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Thu night, calm by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon).

Wed
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
WSW
7
1.9
WSW
7
1.5
WSW
8
1.5
WSW
8
1.8
WSW
7
1.9
WSW
8
1.7
WSW
8
1.3
WSW
7
0.9
WSW
7
0.8
WSW
8
0.6
WSW
9
0.9
SE
4
0.5
W
8
1.3
WSW
5
1.8
WSW
9
2.3
WSW
7
2.5
WSW
8
2
W
8
1.8
WSW
9
1.8
W
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
323
369
256
256
297
427
364
181
84
81
65
27
30
77
544
572
871
576
528
320
Wind (km/h)
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
WSW
30
SW
50
SW
30
WNW
30
W
20
WNW
5
W
10
WSW
15
ESE
30
ESE
15
SE
20
SSW
25
WNW
35
WSW
40
W
35
W
35
W
30
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
10:28PM7.78m
10:51AM7.44m
11:16PM7.20m
11:43AM6.88m
00:16AM6.58m
12:52PM6.37m
1:38AM6.14m
2:24PM6.19m
3:16AM6.18m
3:56PM6.54m
4:36AM6.67m
5:04PM7.20m
Low Tide
4:06PM0.85m
4:28AM1.10m
4:49PM1.33m
5:16AM1.67m
5:45PM1.90m
6:20AM2.24m
7:06PM2.39m
7:55AM2.58m
8:54PM2.45m
9:38AM2.39m
10:25PM1.99m
10:53AM1.83m
11:27PM1.35m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:33
6:35
6:35
6:37
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:01
8:00
7:58
7:54
7:52
7:51
7:49
 mm
1
1
2
3
Temp °C
18
18
18
18
19
16
17
17
15
15
16
21
23
18
17
17
15
16
16
16
Feels °C
14
14
16
15
12
10
12
13
13
13
13
16
20
16
12
11
8
10
9
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Fall Bay Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Fall Bay Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fall Bay Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fall Bay Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fall Bay Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fall Bay Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Fall Bay Reef is 25 km (16 miles) from Swansea. If you plan a holiday in Wales - Gower, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swansea. Swansea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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