Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for Fall Bay Reef.

Honestly, mate, this 16-day window is a tough one. We’ve got a stretch of poor to marginal conditions, and really no standout days where everything lines up nicely. There’s a bit of a pulse of swell mid-to-late next week, but the wind doesn’t play ball.

Starting from Sunday the 13th, it’s a write-off. Light rain and a 12 mph WSW breeze has us onshore, with a weak 5ft WSW swell at a short 7 seconds. Combined energy is weak at 263. It’s choppy and messy. That trend sticks through Monday and into Tuesday morning, though Tuesday the 15th sees a bump in size – 6ft from the W at 7 seconds, and the wind swings WNW at 19 mph, giving us a cross-off breeze. It’s clean, but the period is short, so waves are weak and crumbly. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen so far, with combined energy at 270.

Wednesday morning the 16th is marginal – 4ft from the W at 10 seconds, clean with cross-off NW wind at 12 mph. The longer period (10 secs, borderline groundswell) helps shape it up a bit, but it’s still not cracking a solid recommendation.

Thursday and Friday are more of the same: inconsistent swell around 5ft, short period, and cross or cross-onshore winds making a mess.

Saturday the 19th sees the biggest swell of the period – 7ft from the WSW at 7 seconds, but the combined energy jumps to 367-420, moderate to strong energy. Problem is the 19-22 mph cross-shore wind and very short period. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing – it’ll be lumpy and raw.

Sunday the 20th offers a brief flicker of hope: clean, 4ft from the WSW at 7 seconds, with a light 6 mph WNW breeze. It’s surfable but ordinary. The swell is weak at 186 combined energy, and the period is short.

After that, from Monday the 21st through to the end of the outlook, it dries up fast. Swell drops to 2ft by Tuesday the 22nd, with offshore wind but tiny, weak waves. By Wednesday the 23rd, we’re looking at 1ft. There’s a 5-day flat spell from the 24th to the 28th, with virtually no swell – we’re talking 0.3ft waves, very long periods from the W (12-17 seconds) but no energy at all (combined energy is in the single digits). Glassy conditions on the 28th afternoon with a 0.3ft ghost swell, but it’s flat.

So in short: a quiet, mostly forgettable forecast. The only half-decent windows are Tuesday the 15th and maybe Wednesday the 16th, but that’s about it. We need a proper groundswell and some luck with the wind, but for now, Fall Bay Reef remains inconsistent and not worth rushing out for.

Rusty.

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