Fall Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what Fall Bay Reef has in store over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you – it’s a bit of a dry spell for most of the run, but there’s a light at the end of the tunnel if you’re patient.

The forecast kicks off with a real nothing-burger on Wednesday the 2nd. We’re looking at a lumpy 4ft SW swell, but with a southerly wind blasting at 18 mph, it’s a write-off. The combined energy is a weak 107, and conditions are just poor. That theme carries on through Thursday and Friday. There’s some size on Friday morning – 6ft from the WSW (406 combined energy) – and the wind is a moderate cross-offshore, keeping it clean, but the forecast still calls it “poor surf conditions.” It’s just not coming together right. Saturday morning the 5th is a little tease: a clean 3ft from the west with a slight air, and the score just edges up to “surfable but very ordinary.” It’s rideable, but nothing to write home about.

Then we hit a real quiet patch. From Saturday afternoon all the way through to Monday the 14th, it’s mostly tiny, weak, or onshore junk. Swell drops below 2ft for days at a time, combined energy plummets into the double digits. There’s a brief moment on Monday the 7th with a 4ft WSW groundswell at a very long 13 seconds, pumping 470 combined energy and clean with a cross-offshore, but even that only gets a “marginal” score. The afternoon turns fresh and lumpy. It’s a frustrating stretch.

Just when you think it’s all over, we get a couple of glimmers. On the morning of Sunday the 13th, a clean 4ft WSW swell shows up with nearly no wind (ENE at 3 mph), and it’s rated “surfable but ordinary.” It’s not a standout, but it’s a paddle. The real highlight, though, is the end of the run. On Thursday the 17th of September, Fall Bay Reef finally lines up. The morning brings a solid 5ft WSW swell with a moderate 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 813. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the northeast at just 6 mph, keeping it clean. This is the only session in the whole outlook that forecasts “very good surf conditions.” If you’ve been waiting, that’s your window. After days of barely a ripple, this one has proper push and shape for the intermediate crew.

Overall, it’s a long, lean period with one clear standout right at the end. Keep an eye on that Thursday the 17th. The rest? Maybe bring a fishing rod.

Rusty.

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