Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you what I’m seeing for the next couple of weeks here. It’s a bit of a frustrating stretch, to be honest.

We’re looking at Oxwich Point as the only real game in town, and the story is pretty simple: the surf is just not cooperating. The water temp is sitting at about 69°, which is a good 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s seriously unusual, you’d be leaving the steamer at home.

The whole first week, starting from Monday the 27th of July and running right through to the end of the first week, is a write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly under 1.0ft, and the energy is pathetic. We’re talking combined energy values as low as 5 to 70, which is just weak. The wind is a mix of cross and cross-off, but it doesn’t matter because there’s nothing to ride. It’s a flat, clean puddle out there.

We head into the second week, and it’s the same story. Tuesday the 4th of August through to Friday the 7th of August is still showing those tiny waves, with the swell barely cracking 2ft and energy values staying under 73. The wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, making it messy. Even the glassy mornings on the 3rd and 6th of August don’t help because the swell is just too small.

Now, there is a brief moment of interest on Saturday the 8th of August. We see a big jump in swell – 6ft on the morning hitting 7ft in the afternoon from the WSW, with a solid 8 second period. The combined energy jumps to 485 and then 528, which is moderate to strong. But here’s the catch: the wind is howling, with a fresh breeze from the SSW and rain showers. It’s a lumpy, cross-chop mess. That size is getting into expert territory, but honestly, the wind is going to make it a battle. The swell direction is WSW, which is a good fit for the optimum SW at Oxwich Point, but the conditions are just too rough for a good paddle.

After that, it drops off again. Sunday the 9th of August has 5ft to 6ft swells, but the wind is still strong, and the energy is dropping. By Monday the 10th, we’re back to 3ft and fading fast.

So, the honest truth? There are no standout days. The best of a bad bunch is the morning of Saturday the 8th of August, with that 6ft WSW swell, but you’ll be fighting the wind. For a clean, rideable wave, we’re looking at a long gap of about 12 days of nothing. Because of the strong winds and the beach-and-reef setup, this stretch might be more interesting for the kite crew than for us paddlers.

Stick with it, though. Forecasts change.

Rusty

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