Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get stuck into what's happening at Oxwich Point for the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, so let's keep it real.

First off, the water temperature is sitting at 66°, which is a massive 6° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's seriously unusual, so don't expect the usual autumn chill in the water.

Right now, we're looking at a bit of a dry spell. The surf is poor through the first few days, with a messy 7ft cross-swell from the WSW on Thursday the 10th, kicked up by a strong 25 mph SSW wind. Not worth paddling out for. Friday the 11th cleans up with a light offshore NW wind, but the 4ft swell is still carrying that poor rating. We're in a holding pattern until we get to the good stuff.

The real standout window kicks off on the morning of Tuesday the 15th. We've got a clean 4ft swell from the WSW, but the energy is weak (111). Not huge, but the offshore NW breeze at 16 mph will have it looking tidy. The first proper highlight arrives Wednesday afternoon, September 16th. It's a moderate offshore breeze from the NNW at 16 mph, cleaning up a 4ft swell from the west. The combined energy jumps up to a solid 456 (moderate wave energy), and the 10-second period means it'll have some push. It's the only time in the whole run where the conditions are actually expected to be good. This is your moment. Get on it.

After that, the surf drops away quickly. Thursday the 17th is tiny, with 1ft waves and a 10-second period. The energy is practically nothing at 52. A bit of wind and lumpy chop returns Friday the 18th, and Saturday the 19th brings a clean but strong 28 mph offshore wind that will make paddling out a mission.

Looking into the next week, there's a distant possibility on Monday the 21st. It's a clean, fresh offshore NNW wind at 19 mph, but the 5ft swell from the WSW is short period (6 seconds), so it won't have much shape. The energy is moderate at 168. It's rideable, but nothing to write home about.

The only other potential standout is way off on Wednesday the 23rd. It's a long way out, so take this with a pinch of salt, but the forecast shows a glassy morning with a 8ft swell from the WSW. The combined energy is strong at 962, and the period is 8 seconds. That's going to be a big, powerful wave. However, at 8ft, this is strictly for experienced surfers only. The break is a sheltered reef at Oxwich Point, and with a 10ft reading the day before, the swell direction from the WSW matches the optimum. It looks promising, but it's over a week away.

For the most part, there are long gaps of several days with no real recommendations. It's a quiet spell for the area. The best advice I can give is to keep an eye on Wednesday the 16th for the cleanest, most surfable window.

Rusty, signing off.

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