Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. Honestly, I’m looking at the whole 16-day window and it’s a tough one. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions ahead, so don’t go getting your hopes up too early. The first real chance to paddle out for anything decent doesn’t show up until the very end of the run.

The water is sitting at 69°F right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least the wait won’t be a cold one.

We’ve got a dry spell from now all the way through to the start of the last week of July. The forecast is full of tiny, weak swells – nothing over 1 foot for days on end. The wave energy is basically non-existent, reading at single digits and low teens (like 13, 6, 8, 4). It’s just flat. A few sessions have glassy or clean winds, but with no swell, it’s just a flat lake out there.

The first sign of life comes on Sunday, 26 July, with a small pulse of swell at Oxwich Point. It’s only 3 ft from the west, with a short period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is still weak (45). The wind is a cross-off from the north, keeping it clean. It’s not a standout, but it’s the first thing that’s been moving.

The real standout, and the only one worth circling on the calendar, is Monday, 27 July. Oxwich Point sees a jump in swell to 5 ft from the west. The period is still short at 7 seconds, but the combined energy is moderate (247). The wind is cross-off, so it’ll be clean. This is a solid intermediate wave. It’s not huge, but 5 ft is enough to get some fun turns in. It’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent, and it’s sheltered from the south-west, which is the optimum direction for this spot. It’s a west swell, so it’s working. You might have some company, as crowds are sometimes an issue here.

Tuesday, 28 July, still has some push with 4 ft to 4 ft from the west, and the energy is still moderate (186 and 152). The wind stays offshore or cross-off, keeping it clean. This is a good follow-up session.

After that, the swell fades again. Wednesday, 29 July, drops to 2 ft and then tiny 0.3 ft, and the energy falls off a cliff. The rest of the run into early August stays small, with a slight bump back to 4 ft on Saturday, 1 August, but the energy is only just tipping into the moderate range (93 to 100). It’s a tease.

So, to wrap it up: the first 9 days are a write-off. Your best bet is the 27th and 28th of July, with Monday the 27th being the pick of the bunch. Get out there and enjoy it while it lasts, because the flat spells are long.

Rusty.

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