Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let's have a proper look at what's on the cards for our little corner. I gotta be straight with you, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim. We've got a real flat spell on the way, but there is a tiny glimmer of something right at the very end of the forecast period.

Looking at the whole picture, this is a long, dry run of tiny surf. For days on end, we're looking at waves barely a whisper, mostly around 0.3 ft to 1.0 ft. The energy in the water is almost non-existent, with combined swell energy figures sitting in the single digits and low teens for most of the time. It's going to be a frustrating watch for anyone wanting a proper paddle.

Water temperature at Oxwich Point is currently around 68°F, which is a massive 9°F warmer than usual for the time of year. That's very unusual and you won't need a thick suit, just don't expect any waves to go with it.

Now, let's run through it. Wednesday the 15th starts things off with a tiny 1.0 ft WSW swell, but the morning is a write-off with a cross-on breeze. The afternoon goes glassy, but the swell's still too small to do anything with. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th are much the same, with tiny 0.3 ft to 0.7 ft waves, though we do get some periods of clean conditions. Saturday the 18th morning goes glassy, but again, it's just tiny. This pattern of tiny surf and clean but unrideable conditions rolls right through the next week.

There's a proper blank run here. From the 19th of July right through until the morning of the 30th of July, there's nothing but 0.3 ft to 0.7 ft swells with barely any energy. The models are just showing flat, clean but empty water. It's one of those periods where the ocean looks pretty but offers nothing for a surfer. For a spot that is *fairly consistent*, this is a very poor run.

Then, on the morning of Thursday the 30th of July, we finally see something with a bit of puff. A 4 ft swell from the west-southwest is due to roll in, with a short period of 6 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 116, which is in the moderate range. The wind looks clean, with a light cross-offshore breeze. This is the only standout in the whole 16 days. At 4 ft, it'll be fine for most intermediates. Given the swell direction is west-southwest and Oxwich Point's optimum direction is southwest, it's a decent match. The 6-second period means it'll be a bit soft and crumbly, typical of a short-period wind swell, but at least there'll be something to ride. The wind looks clean, so the surface should be smooth. Just keep in mind, that pointing this far out, it's a promising sign but nothing's set in stone. The good news is the consistency is *fairly consistent* here, so when it does come, it usually keeps coming for a bit.

The afternoon of the 30th keeps a similar 4 ft swell from the west, with a clean cross-off breeze again, so you could get a solid session in if the morning doesn't do it for you.

So, for the next two weeks, keep your board waxed but don't hold your breath. The only real chance for a surf is that window on the 30th of July. It's a long way off, but it's all we've got.

Rusty

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