Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, looking you straight in the eye. I've got to be honest with you, the next 16 days are looking pretty grim for our stretch of coast. I'm not seeing any bright spots, no solid standouts to get excited about. We're in for a long, flat spell.

Let's break it down. Starting now, there's just nothing on offer. The surf is tiny, and the energy is weak. The combined energy of all swells is only a measly 76 (weak energy), and it doesn't get any better. The water temperature is sitting at 69°, which is a huge 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – a very unusual anomaly.

We're looking at a gap of several days here, with only tiny ankle-biters and poor conditions. Friday the 14th starts with a 2ft windswell from the west at 9 seconds, but it's messy with a cross-offshore wind. That sets the tone for the whole first week. Saturday and Sunday bring tiny 1ft to 2ft waves, all with short periods, and the wind is never quite right. The best wind we see is a light offshore on Sunday morning, but the swell is just too small to do anything with.

Monday the 17th is a joke – a 0.3ft wave with a 5-second period? That's not even a ripple. Tuesday the 18th has a bit more height, 4ft from the west, but it's still a weak 6-second period, and the energy is only moderate (105). The offshore wind is nice, but it's not enough to save the day. Wednesday the 19th has a 6ft afternoon swell, the biggest of the week, with moderate energy (300), but it's a short period 7-second slop and the wind is cross-off.

The whole first week is a washout. The swell is small, short-period, and the wind is rarely clean. It's just not worth paddling out. The only thing to note is that on Tuesday morning the 18th, there's a 4ft west swell with a gentle offshore wind, but it's still a 6-second period, so it's not going to be anything special.

Looking into the second week, it's more of the same. The 25th of August has a promising 3ft swell from the west with a 237 (moderate energy) and a light offshore wind, but it's still a short 8-second period. The 28th of August has a 6ft swell from the west-southwest with a fresh offshore wind and a 331 (strong energy), but again, it's an 8-second period. The wind is clean, but the swell is just not well-formed.

So, what's the call? The truth is, there's no real standout window. The whole period is filled with poor surf conditions. The waves are too small, too short-period, and the wind is rarely optimal. If you're a beginner, there's nothing to learn on. If you're an expert, there's nothing to get excited about. The only thing that might be of interest is for kite surfers, given the strong wind and messy, bumpy conditions, especially on the 27th of August.

I'm sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but it's a flat, poor run. Sometimes it's like this. The forecasts can change, but right now, I'd say don't get your hopes up. The best thing to do is wait for the next swell.

Rusty.

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