Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next 16 days at Oxwich Point are a tough read. We’re looking at a long, flat stretch with no real surf to get excited about. The first decent recommendation isn’t coming until the second week, and even then it’s not much.

Right now, through the first week of August, we’ve got dribbles of weak, short-period swell. The water is a balmy 68°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a very unusual warm spell, but it won’t help the waves. The wind is a problem, mostly onshore or cross-shore, with a moderate breeze or stronger. The combined swell energy is in the double digits, which is weak (85), and it just doesn’t get any better. Tuesday the 4th sees a bump to 4 ft from the SW, but with a 7-second period and a stiff crosswind, it’s messy. Wednesday the 5th actually pushes up to 6 ft from the WSW, and the combined energy hits 369 (moderate), but the wind is still a fresh 21 mph cross-off. It’s clean, but for a sheltered reef break, that’s a lot of wind. Honestly, if you’re a kite surfer, Wednesday afternoon might look more interesting than a paddle session.

After that, the swell drops off a cliff. From Thursday the 6th onwards, we’re looking at knee-high slop, if that. There’s a two-day gap from the 15th to the 16th with pretty much nothing. The whole period is littered with “poor surf conditions” on every single forecast.

If you’re desperate for a paddle, the only glimmer comes on Sunday the 9th. The morning is a write-off with onshore wind, but the afternoon shifts to a light offshore breeze from the NW at 6 mph. The swell is only 3 ft from the WSW with a 7-second period, but combined energy is a paltry 56. It’s clean, but it’s tiny. The break is "fairly consistent" and "sometimes" crowded, but with waves this small, crowds won't be a problem.

For the rest of the second week, through the 10th to the 18th, we’re stuck with tiny, weak, short-period leftovers. The 10th of August might offer a glassy morning on a 1.0 ft dribble, but it’s not worth paddling out for. The 17th has a light offshore wind again, but it’s the same story – ankle-high and weak. The combined energy rarely breaks 30. This is a tough run for a spot that’s already a "sheltered" reef. It’s not unusual for this area to have quiet spells, but this one feels like a long one.

Hang in there, folks. The forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a sitting-on-the-beach-and-watching-the-horizon kind of week.

Rusty.

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