Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get stuck into what we've got for the next couple of weeks. I'm looking at the data for Oxwich Point, and honestly, it's a frustrating picture right now. The swell is weak and the wind is just not cooperating for most of the run. We're in for a long stretch of small, unexciting waves, so temper your expectations.

We're starting off the forecast period now, and the first thing I see is a bit of a dud. The swell is pushing 6 ft, but it's a short-period wind swell from the W with a period of just 7 seconds. The wind is a strong 19 mph, which is cross-off, so it's clean, but the wave quality is poor. The combined energy is only 271 (moderate), but it's not translating into anything rideable. It's basically a choppy, bumpy mess despite the clean look. This pattern continues into the end of July and the first week of August. There's a real gap here with no surf worth recommending. The swell drops to nothing, with periods as low as 5 seconds and energy values like 14 (weak) and 7 (weak). Even when the wind goes glassy on the morning of Friday 31 July, the swell is a pathetic 2 ft from the W with a 6-second period. It's a non-event.

The only glimmer of hope, and it's a distant one, shows up on the afternoon of Saturday 1 August. The swell builds to 5 ft from the WSW, with a period of 7 seconds and a combined energy of 188 (moderate). The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off, which will keep it clean. Look, Oxwich Point is a reef break, and it's fairly consistent, but it's sheltered. A 5 ft WSW swell with light wind is about as good as this run gets. It's a stand-out for the wrong reasons, but it's the best we've got. The swell direction is close to the optimum WSW, which is a plus. Don't expect perfection, but it's the one session worth planning for.

After that, the forecast goes back to being a letdown. The wind picks up again, the swell drops, and we get into more poor conditions. There's a strong wind warning for Tuesday 4 and Wednesday 5 August, with WSW winds hitting 31 to 34 mph. That's near gale force, and even though it's cross-off, it's just too much for any paddle surfing. The swell is tiny and the energy is low (61 and 15). It's a write-off. The very end of the run, around Sunday 9 and Monday 10 August, shows a return to light winds and glassy conditions, but the swell is still small and inconsistent. The energy is a bit higher at 75 (weak) but still nothing to write home about.

So, here's the bottom line: there's a long, dry spell ahead. The stand-out window is the afternoon of Saturday 1 August. If you're keen, you might get a few clean, chest-high waves at Oxwich Point. For everything else, it's a case of "check again later." The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no worries there. But for the most part, the setup looks more interesting for a kite than a surfboard, honestly.

Rusty.

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