Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, I've had a good look at the charts for Oxwich Point. Straight up, the 16-day window is a tough one. The finder shows a massive run of zero scores, so there's no proper surf on offer for a long, long time. We're looking at a gap that runs from now, the 25th of August, all the way through. The only real pulse of energy comes much later, and even then it's a messy story.

The water temperature is a full 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, hitting 68°. That's very unusual and stands out, but it's not going to save the surf.

Let's break it down. From the 25th through the 5th of September, it's flat or tiny. A few small pulses come through, like a 7 ft south-west swell on the afternoon of the 29th of August and another 8 ft one on the 3rd of September, but the wind is terrible – strong cross-shore or cross-on. Combined energy hits 466 and 575 (moderate), but the wind state is "messy cross-chop" and "lumpy cross-chop." Not worth paddling out for.

The 4th of September shows a 4 ft west swell with an 11-second period, a proper groundswell, but the wind is cross-shore on it. It's just not clean. The 5th sees some cleaner offshore winds from the north-northwest and northwest with a 3 ft and 2 ft west swell, but that's tiny for this reef setup.

The real stand out, the only one worth mentioning, is the morning of the 7th of September. It's coming in big – 8 ft from the south-west with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1620 (very strong). But here's the killer: the wind is a strong cross-onshore from the south-southwest at 25 mph. The description is "strong cross-onshore and messy." That's going to be a washing machine. The afternoon of the same day gets even wilder, with 12 ft swell from the west-southwest and a 34 mph near-gale cross-shore wind. The energy reading is 2067, the biggest in the whole run, but it's for expert chargers only, and with conditions like that, it's more of a kitesurfing devil's brew than a clean surf wave.

After that, things clean up a touch. The 8th and 9th of September have 7 ft to 7 ft west-southwest swells with clean cross-off winds from the west. The periods are a mix of 8 and 10 seconds. The combined energy is strong (703 to 768). This is actually the best chance you'll get. It's still big and powerful, not for beginners, but the wind is clean. You'll have to deal with the crowds at Oxwich Point though, as it's a fairly consistent spot that draws a crowd sometimes.

In short, there's nothing for the next week and a half. The only real window is that 8th and 9th of September set-up. It's promising but it's a long way out, so don't bank on it. A long period groundswell like that on a reef should set up nicely if the wind holds.

Rusty.

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