Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a proper look at what’s on the cards for Oxwich Point over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, it’s a bit of a frustrating start. We’ve got a heap of days kicking off with poor surf conditions – light rain and a fresh W breeze on Friday the 4th kicking up messy 7 ft cross-off swell, and then straight into a run of small, junky waves through the weekend. The 5th and 6th are a total write-off, with tiny 2 ft to 3 ft stuff and onshore or cross-off winds. Not worth paddling out for.

Now, if you’ve got patience, Monday the 7th is the real standout. That morning, a proper 7 ft SW groundswell rolls in with a juicy 13-second period and clean offshore WNW wind. The energy’s pumping (1614), and that long-period swell is going to wrap beautifully around this south-west facing reef. For an intermediate crew, this is as good as it gets – expect well-shaped, powerful lines with clean conditions. Crowds are possible here sometimes, and on a morning like that, you won’t be alone, but it’ll be worth sharing for. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Monday afternoon drops off a bit with the wind swinging cross-off, and conditions become more marginal. Tuesday the 8th still has some size (7 ft to 8 ft) but it’s a shorter-period, wind-affected mess with fresh cross-off winds – steer clear. The rest of that week through to the 11th is mostly poor, with moderate to fresh breezes and only small, weak swell.

There’s a flicker of hope on Monday the 14th: another morning pulse of 8 ft WSW swell with light offshore NW wind and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (570), but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit fat and lumpy. Still, out of the second week, that’s the best you’ll get. The afternoon sees the swell bump to 8 ft, but the wind goes cross-off and it’s more marginal. After that, the long-range window fades into a week of tiny, 2 ft to 2 ft dribble with only the occasional glassy spell – Saturday the 19th morning shows a pathetic 2 ft with light cross-on wind. That’s barely a paddle.

So, to sum it up: the entire 16-day window has a big gap of flatness or rubbish conditions. Monday the 7th is your one true standout for a proper, clean, long-period groundswell session. The 14th is a back-up but much shorter period and less reliable. For the rest, keep your board in the car and your expectations low.

Rusty.

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