Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf at Oxwich Point. We’re staring down a long, flat spell, so don’t get your hopes up for any real waves for a while.

We’re looking at a big gap with nothing on the cards. From now through the 17th of August, it’s mostly tiny, weak, and messy. You’ll see some knee-high slop with short periods, and the wind is mostly cross-off or onshore, which isn’t doing us any favors. The energy is weak, with values mostly in the single or low double digits, just a sign of how limp everything is. A few of those days will have the odd cleanish look, like the 10th with a gentle offshore, but there’s simply no swell behind it. It’s a frustrating stretch for anyone wanting to paddle out.

But hang in there. There’s a light at the end of the tunnel, even if it’s a bit far off.

The real action starts to build on Monday the 18th of August. That morning, we finally see a pulse of proper swell. The wind is looking good, a gentle offshore from the WNW, which will keep things clean. The swell is coming from the WSW at a solid 8ft, with a period of 8 seconds. That’s a good sign, bringing the energy up to a strong 781. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so it’s not particularly warm or cold. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The swell direction is right on the money for the point. That afternoon, the swell pushes even bigger, up to 10ft with the same WSW direction, but the wind swings fresh from the west and there’s a risk of thunderstorms, so it’ll be a bit more of a handful, more for the experienced crew. The energy is very strong at 1232.

Then, on the 19th of August, there’s another solid window. The surf is still up at 6ft from the west, and the morning looks absolutely perfect, with glassy conditions and just a slight air. That’s about as clean as it gets. The energy is strong at 875. It’s another great morning to be out there.

So, the call is simple: ride out the flat spell, and mark your calendar for the morning of the 18th for the biggest, most powerful swell, and the 19th for what could be the cleanest, most user-friendly conditions of the whole window. These are the days you’ve been waiting for. The long-range call is a bit less certain, but it’s all we’ve got, and it looks promising.

Keep the faith.

Rusty

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