Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s coming up for Oxwich Point.

First thing you need to know: the water is running at 68°F currently, which is a solid 7°F warmer than the long-term average for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so you can definitely get away with a spring suit or even a shorty if you’re tough enough.

Now, the honest truth is that we’ve got a bit of a flat spell to start. The first few days are small and pretty average. Tuesday morning (11th August) you’re looking at a tiny 0.7ft from the west with onshore ESE wind at 16 mph – not worth paddling out for. The energy is barely a whisper at 12. That theme carries through until Wednesday evening, with swell staying under 3ft and onshore or cross-off winds keeping things messy.

The first real glimpse of anything rideable comes Thursday morning (13th August). We get a 3ft west-southwest swell with a period of 10 seconds, light offshore WNW wind at 6 mph, and the combined energy climbs to 184 – still weak but at least it’s clean. Still, the wave comment calls it “poor surf conditions” so don’t get too excited. Through Friday and Saturday, the swell drops back to 2ft and the period shortens to 7 seconds. The wind does go offshore on Saturday morning from the NNW at 12 mph, and the energy is down to 59: small, clean, but gutless. Sunday morning (16th August) is as glassy as it gets – NNE wind at 3 mph, swell at 1ft – but the energy is only 18, so it’s a flat calm.

We then hit a dry spell from Sunday afternoon right through to Monday (17th August) with swell barely 1.0ft and energy in single digits. That’s a stretch of days with nothing doing.

Things start to change around Tuesday morning (18th August). The swell pushes to 4ft from the west, period 7 seconds, with a fresh offshore NW wind at 19 mph. The energy jumps to 124 – moderate. Still, the rating is “poor surf conditions” so it’s not a standout but it’s a step in the right direction.

Wednesday (19th August) sees the swell build further: 6ft in the morning, 7ft in the afternoon, both from the west with 7 to 8 seconds period. The combined energy hits 326 in the morning and 497 in the afternoon – that’s moderate to strong. Wind is cross-off at 16 mph from the west-northwest, keeping things clean. This is getting interesting for intermediate surfers, but at 7ft it’s starting to push the limits for beginners.

Now, here’s the one window that truly stands out: Thursday afternoon (20th August). The swell is 6ft from the west-northwest with 8 seconds period, and the wind goes glassy from the southeast at 3 mph. The combined energy is 445 – strong. This combo of glassy conditions and a solid 6ft west-northwest swell is the best on offer across the whole forecast. The guidance tells us Oxwich Point is a sheltered reef that works best with swell from the southwest, and the direction here is close enough. This is your session if you can get out – expect good surf conditions, clean faces, and the reef handling the swell well. Crowds are “sometimes” a factor, so you might have company, but it’s worth it.

Thursday morning (20th August) is a write-off with onshore ESE wind, but the afternoon is the one.

After that, Friday (21st August) drops back to 3ft–4ft with short 6-second period and glassy morning wind – but the energy is only 105 to 138, so it’s weak. Saturday (22nd August) is 4ft from the west-southwest with cross-shore wind, and the energy is around 150 – still poor. Then Sunday (23rd August) the swell picks up again to 7ft, but with onshore ESE wind at 16 mph, it’s a mess. The energy hits 486 in the morning and 584 in the afternoon – that’s strong, but the onshore wind kills it.

The final week tails off: Monday (24th August) has 2ft–3ft with cross-shore wind, Tuesday (25th August) is 3ft with strong cross-off wind, and Wednesday (26th August) is back to 2ft with a near gale cross-shore. Nothing worth chasing.

To wrap it up: the standout is Thursday afternoon (20th August) at Oxwich Point. Glassy conditions, a solid 6ft west-northwest swell, and strong energy – that’s the one to aim for. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy. The water is way warmer than usual, so enjoy the comfort while you can.

Rusty.

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