Oxwich Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've gotta be straight with you—this stretch of the Gower coast at Oxwich Point is looking pretty flat and uninspiring for the next week and a half. The water's running at 68°F which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, a solid 7°F above average, so that's a bit of a novelty if you're just floating about.

Right now, for the first week of August, it's a write-off. Sunday the 2nd sees tiny 1ft swell from the WSW with a short 8-second period and onshore ESE wind. The combined energy is a measly 22 (weak energy). Monday the 3rd is barely better with 3ft and 84 (weak energy). Tuesday the 4th sees a bump to 5ft swell from the SW, but the period drops to 7 seconds, and onshore winds and cross-chop will make it a messy, lumpy affair with moderate energy (189). Wednesday the 5th brings the biggest swell of the first week at 6ft to 7ft from the WSW, period still short at 7 seconds, and although the wind is cross-offshore, the energy is moderate (360-529) but the surf quality is still rated poor. That's a lot of water moving but no shape to it. Thursday the 6th drops off quickly, with only 4ft in the morning and then a tiny 0.3ft afternoon. The rest of the week and into the second week is a mix of 0.3ft to 3ft slop with very weak energy, rarely cracking 100. The wind is often cross-off or offshore, keeping the water clean, but there's just no swell to work with.

There's a massive gap in quality surf until the 16th of August. The morning of Sunday the 16th is the only real standout in the entire 16-day window. It's still a long way off, so take it with a pinch of salt, but the models are showing a 6ft swell from the WSW with an 8-second period, offshore wind from the NW, and the combined energy jumps to 589 (strong energy). The guidance says this spot is a reef, intermediate-level, fairly consistent, and it needs a swell from the SW. The forecast direction is WSW, which is close enough to work. The wind is offshore, which is a major positive, meaning clean faces. The 6ft swell is getting into the bigger range for a sheltered reef, so it'll be a step up in power. The surf is expected to be good, so that's your window. Monday morning the 17th still has a clean 4ft swell with offshore wind, but the energy is back down to 215 (moderate energy), so the 16th is the clear pick.

The afternoon of the 16th sees a bigger 7ft swell but the comment flags it as marginal, possibly due to tide or the wind turning cross-off and freshening up. For a decent wave, point your board at the 16th morning session.

Rusty

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