Mother Ivey s Spot M Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Well, let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf around here. I’ve been staring at the charts, and honestly, there’s not a single day in the next 16 that I’d call a real winner. It’s a long, flat, and messy stretch, especially for a sheltered spot like Mother Ivey’s Spot M. We’re looking at a serious dry spell, with only a few tiny, weak pulses that barely qualify as waves.

The ocean is just not cooperating. The energy is mostly weak, and the winds are all over the place, rarely giving us that clean, offshore magic we need. We’ll see a few days where the swell bumps up a bit, but the wind will be chopping it up or it’ll be too small to do anything with. It's one of those frustrating periods where you’re better off doing a beach cleanup than paddling out.

Let’s break it down. The first real sign of any size shows up on Wednesday the 12th, with a slight bump in energy (142). But it’s just ordinary, glassy conditions with a weak 3ft swell. The 13th sees a bit more size, around 3.5ft, but the north-west cross-shore wind (moderate energy, 277) is going to make it a messy, cross-chop mess. Not worth the paddle.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th gets a bit lumpy with onshore winds, but the swell is still small and poorly organized. By the following week, the 19th and 20th, we get some cleaner conditions with light offshore breezes, but the swell has dropped right back down to around 2ft. It’s tiny, but at least it’s clean. Still, it’s not going to get anyone excited.

The one day that might get your hopes up is Monday the 24th. The models are showing a jump in energy (432) with a 5ft west swell. But, and it’s a big but, the wind is onshore and the period is short, which means it’s going to be a choppy, messy close-out. For a sheltered spot, this looks more like a washing machine than a surf break. It’s over 5ft, so it’s too much for beginners, and the quality will be poor. I’d say this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The water temp is sitting at 65.8°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit. But you will need a lot of patience. This is a blank run, and for this area, a quiet spell like this is pretty normal. It tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it. But right now, I’d honestly find another hobby for a bit.

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