Mother Ivey s Spot M Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Mother Ivey’s Spot M.

Honestly, mate, for the first couple of weeks it’s a tough slog. We’ve got a long stretch of mostly poor surf conditions from July 10th right through until July 23rd. The swell is small, the wind is predominantly cross-onshore or onshore, and the wave energy is weak. For example, on the 10th you’re looking at 3ft swell from the west with a 9-second period, but the wind is light cross-onshore and the energy is a paltry 133 (moderate). It’s not worth paddling out. The 11th and 12th are even smaller, with onshore winds and weak energy. There’s a brief moment on July 16th morning where the wind swings north-west cross-offshore and the conditions are clean, but the swell is only 1ft with 20 energy – barely a ripple. That’s not a surf.

The 17th through the 23rd stay small and choppy. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. On July 22nd, we get a couple of glassy windows with the wind dropping to nothing, but the swell is only 1ft from the west with a 8-second period and energy around 12 to 16 – that’s weak, flat, and not surfable. The 23rd has clean cross-offshore winds, but again, 1ft swell with 12–26 energy. It’s a blank run.

Now, the standout – and I mean the only one worth getting excited about – is July 24th (Friday morning). The swell picks up to 4ft from the west at 9 seconds, and the energy jumps to 258 (moderate). The wind is west cross-offshore, so the waves will be clean. For a sheltered spot like Mother Ivey’s, a west swell is right on the optimum direction, and with that cross-off breeze, it’s going to be tidy. July 25th (Saturday morning) also looks promising with 4ft swell from the west, 10-second period, and 279 energy, plus a fresh offshore wind from the southwest. That’s even cleaner. This is the best on offer: pick the 24th morning or the 25th morning for the cleanest, most lined-up waves. The 25th has a stronger offshore wind, so it’ll be glassy.

The break is fairly consistent, but it’s sheltered, so it takes a decent swell to light it up. Crowds are possible, especially on a Saturday morning, so keep that in mind. The 24th morning is the gem – it’s the first real surfable day after a long dry spell.

Rusty.

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