Mother Ivey s Spot M Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. The surf forecast for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a mixed bag, with a slow start and a few flickers of hope if you're patient. We're looking at Mother Ivey's Spot M, and honestly, the first week is a grind. The water temperature is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won't need a thick suit, but that's about the only easy thing.

The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th have tiny, short-period wind swell with cross-onshore and cross-shore winds, making for poor, choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out. Wednesday the 12th afternoon shows a glimmer with a glassy 3 ft swell from the west (9-second period), and the combined energy is moderate (139). The conditions are glassy, so it's surfable, but the waves are "very ordinary." It's a tiny window for a grovel session.

Thursday the 13th through to the weekend of the 17th and 18th is a real struggle. The swell bumps up a bit, around 3 ft to 4 ft, and the combined energy gets into the moderate range (267, 276), but the wind is a constant problem. It's mostly cross-on or cross-shore, and at times fresh (19 mph), making it choppy and lumpy. On the 17th and 18th, we get some clean conditions with cross-offshore winds, but the swell is tiny, just 1 ft to 3 ft, and the energy is weak. Not enough push for a proper ride.

Then we hit a big gap. From the 19th through to the 22nd, it's all poor surf conditions with small, weak swell and onshore winds. A real doldrum period.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. On the 23rd of August, a big pulse of swell arrives. We're talking 10 ft swell from the west-northwest with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1436, which is strong to very strong. Sunday morning will be choppy with cross-onshore winds, but by Sunday afternoon, the wind shifts to cross-offshore from the west-northwest at 16 mph, giving us clean conditions. The swell drops to 8 ft, but that's still a serious size. This is expert territory, as it's well over 8 ft. For the experienced crew, this is the standout session of the whole forecast. It's a big, powerful, clean swell, but it's a long way out, so treat it as a promising but not guaranteed call.

After that, the 24th and 25th see the swell drop back down to small, weak waves with moderate cross-shore winds. The 25th does have a very long-period swell (15 seconds) from the west, but the height is only 2 ft, so it's all period and no power. The combined energy is moderate (308), but at this size, it's a tough one to make work.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a no-go, with a long gap of poor conditions. The only real standout is the Sunday, the 23rd of August, for the big-wave hunters. If you're an expert and you can wait, that's the one to circle. For everyone else, it's a case of checking back next week—forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this quiet forever.

Rusty.

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