Mother Ivey s Spot M Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down for Mother Ivey’s Spot M. The next week and a half is looking pretty bleak, with a long stretch of flatness and poor conditions. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until the end of July and into the start of August.

The water is sitting at a mild 64°, a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit. The wind is mostly from the north, which is a cross-on breeze here, and combined with tiny swell heights and weak energy, it’s a total loss. Wednesday the 22nd has a 3ft swell from the north with a short period of 5 seconds and weak energy (73), with a 25 km/h cross-on breeze making it choppy. Not worth a look.

Thursday the 23rd morning is glassy, but the swell is only 1.0ft from the west with a period of 9 seconds and energy of just 22. Clean but nothing to ride. Friday and Saturday are similarly tiny, with wind from the north and west-northwest keeping things rough or just too small.

Then on Sunday the 26th, we get a pulse. The height jumps to 7ft from the west-northwest, with a period of 7 seconds and moderate energy of 482. But the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-shore, making it lumpy and messy. The surf quality is poor, so it’s a messy option.

Monday the 27th is cleaner with a light breeze, but the swell drops to 3ft from the west and the energy is back down to 127. Very ordinary. The rest of the week stays small, with a few cleaner cross-off days but nothing to get excited about.

Now, the real standout is the first weekend of August. On Saturday the 1st of August, we’ve got something promising. The morning shows a 5ft swell from the west with a period of 10 seconds and strong energy of 522. The wind is a gentle 15 km/h cross-off from the west-southwest, keeping the surface clean. The afternoon sees a consistent 5ft from the west, period still 10 seconds, and energy of 424. The wind stays light and cross-off. This is a good, solid groundswell with clean conditions. It’s the clear pick of the forecast. The period is around 10 seconds, so it’s a well-formed, rideable wave, not too fat, not too hollow. For intermediate surfers, it’s just right. It’s a couple of weeks out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s got promise.

Sunday the 2nd of August has a bit more size, with 6ft to 6ft from the west-southwest, but the period drops to 7-8 seconds, and the wind picks up from the south-southeast to 25 km/h in the afternoon. That’s a cross-off, but the shorter period and building wind mean it’ll be less refined. The morning is still rideable, but Saturday is the day to aim for.

After that, the beginning of the following week sees a moderate 5ft to 4ft swell from the west, with a period of 8-9 seconds and energy around 300-350. The wind stays cross-off and clean, but the quality is just ordinary. It’s surfable, but not special.

The very end of the run on the 5th of August has a tiny 3ft west swell with a period of 10 seconds, but the morning is dead flat calm and glassy. You’d be lucky to get a knee-high runner.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a bust. The standout is Saturday the 1st of August. That’s your best shot for decent, clean, chest-to-head-high waves with a good westerly groundswell and light offshore winds. Get on it if you can.

Rusty.

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