Mother Ivey s Spot M Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s talk about Mother Ivey’s Spot M. I’ve got to be straight with you—this 16-day window is a real bust. There’s nothing on the menu worth paddling out for. The forecast shows poor surf conditions from July 19th all the way through to August 3rd. That’s a solid two weeks of flat, choppy, and messy. The water is sitting at 64°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s the only bright spot.

The first week is a write-off. Starting Sunday morning, July 19th, we’ve got a tiny 0.7 ft swell from the west with a weak 7-second period, and a cross-off wind from the SSE at 12 mph. The combined energy is just 7—barely a ripple. Afternoon gets even smaller: 0.3 ft from the southwest with a 19-second period (that’s long period but almost no height). Through Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, it’s mostly cross-onshore winds, small southwest-to-northwest swells under 3 ft, and periods under 11 seconds. The energy stays in the teens and seventies. Thursday morning, July 23rd, sees a 4 ft north swell with a 6-second period and 94 energy, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore—still choppy, no good.

Friday, July 24th, briefly offers glassy conditions in the morning with a 1.0 ft west swell at 8 seconds, but it’s too small. The afternoon turns cross-onshore again. Saturday and Sunday, July 25th–26th, bring a bit more size: Saturday is 0.3–0.7 ft, Sunday morning jumps to 5 ft from the west (6 seconds) with 206 energy, but it’s cross-shore with moderate winds and light rain. Sunday afternoon 6 ft at 7 seconds and 316 energy—still cross-shore and lumpy. Monday, July 27th, peaks at 6 ft from the west-northwest, 7 seconds, 348–369 energy, but the wind is cross-onshore or cross-shore, fresh breeze, making it choppy and messy. Nothing clean.

The second week stays poor. Tuesday, July 28th, through Friday, July 31st, sees swell dropping from 4 ft to 2 ft, with cross-on or cross-off winds. The water’s still warm, but the surf is tiny and wind-affected. A few morning sessions on July 30th and 31st have clean-looking conditions with cross-off winds, but the swell is only 2–2 ft at 9 seconds—too small to get excited about. Energy is in the 60s and 80s. Then August 1st through 3rd: a little 4 ft north swell on Saturday morning with 139 energy, but cross-shore and messy. After that it’s back to 1 ft and under.

So, nothing. Mother Ivey’s is a sheltered spot that normally gets fairly consistent surf, but this forecast is a total dud. The break is intermediate-friendly, but with no rideable swell and winds that are mostly cross or onshore, you’re better off staying home. The only silver lining: forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this flat for long. Keep an eye out, but for now, don’t bother.

Rusty

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