Mother Ivey s Spot M Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Mother Ivey’s Spot M has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Overall, it’s a pretty quiet run for this sheltered spot. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and messy wind for most of the first week and a half. The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until the very end of the run, on the 22nd of August, with a bit of a pulse. Before that, it’s mostly a waiting game, so don’t rush to check it every day.

The first week, from the 8th right through to the 15th of August, is a write-off for any decent surf. Swell heights are barely scraping 1 ft, with short periods under 9 seconds, and the combined energy is weak, sitting in the double digits (19-85). The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, which just adds chop to the already tiny lumps. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report.

Things start to get a *little* more interesting around the 12th and 13th of August. The swell bumps up to 3 ft on the 12th with a 10-second period, and the energy climbs into the moderate range (130). The wind goes cross-off in the afternoon, which cleans it up, but it’s still only scoring a 1 out of 10 at best. The 13th brings a 4 ft wave from the west with a 10-11 second period (275 energy), but that cross-onshore wind keeps it choppy and ugly.

Now, the 17th of August is where it gets a bit of a tease. Monday morning sees a 4 ft swell from the west (240 energy) and a clean cross-off wind. The afternoon is even cleaner, with a 5 ft W swell (310 energy) and a moderate offshore breeze. The wind is clean, but the swell is still a bit short-period at 8-9 seconds, so it’s not going to have that real push. The breaks are fairly consistent, so there’s a chance of a few lumpy but rideable ones if you’re keen.

The 18th of August is the biggest day of the forecast, but it’s a tough one. The swell hits 8 ft from the WNW, with energy jumping to 784 (morning) and 987 (afternoon). That’s strong wave energy, but the period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a windswell, not a proper groundswell. The wind is middling cross-shore, creating a cross-chop. At 8 ft, that’s expert territory only, and the short period will make it a bit of a washing machine. For most surfers, this one is a pass.

Finally, the standout – and it’s a long way off. On Saturday the 22nd of August, the morning shows a solid 6 ft swell from the WNW (310 energy) with a 7-second period. The wind is light and cross-off, which should give you clean, glassy conditions. The afternoon keeps the clean cross-off breeze, with a 5 ft wave (366 energy). The combined energy is moderate, and the light wind is the real winner here. Crowds are possible at Mother Ivey’s Spot M, so get there early if you can. This is the best bet of the whole 16-day window, but being that far out, treat it as a promising lead rather than a guarantee.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half are a bust. The 17th offers a shot at something, and the 22nd of August looks like the one to pencil in. For now, don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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