Mother Ivey s Spot M Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one. For Mother Ivey’s Spot M, we’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf that’s just not going to get the heart pumping. The first real chance to paddle out doesn't come until Tuesday, August 4th, but even then, it’s not anything to write home about. The whole outlook is basically a series of small, inconsistent waves with a lot of time in between.

Starting off, Monday the 3rd is a total write-off. You’ve got a tiny 3ft swell from the WSW with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is a measly 99 – that’s weak. The water’s sitting at 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort, but the surf itself is poor. The morning has a light cross-off breeze, but it’s just not enough to make it worthwhile. By afternoon, it goes glassy with 2ft, but it’s still poor.

Tuesday the 4th brings the first real attempt at something. The morning has a 3ft WSW swell, but the period drops to a short 7 seconds. The wind is a moderate offshore from the SW at 16 mph, which is good for cleaning it up, and the energy climbs to 122. The wave comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" – I’ll take that as a 1 out of 10, meaning it’s barely worth it. The afternoon stays similar but the wind gets stronger at 19 mph, making it less appealing.

Wednesday the 5th is the biggest swell of the whole period, with 7ft from the west, but it’s a messy one. The period is 8 seconds, and the energy jumps way up to 453, which is moderate to strong. But the wind is a fresh cross-off from the WNW at 19 mph, and the conditions are poor. At 7ft, this is starting to get a bit much for beginners, and with that wind, it’s not going to be pretty. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.

From Thursday the 6th all the way through to the end of the forecast on August 18th, it’s a desert. We’re talking tiny waves – mostly between 1.0ft and 3ft – with short periods and weak energy. The wind is all over the place: cross, cross-off, onshore. There’s a day here and there with clean conditions, like Friday the 7th morning with a 1.0ft W swell and offshore wind, but it’s so small it’s not worth getting wet for. The combined energy values are mostly in the teens and twenties – that’s just not enough to push a surfboard.

The best of a bad bunch? I’d have to say Tuesday morning, August 4th. It’s not good, but it’s the least bad. A 3ft WSW swell, moderate offshore wind, and the energy is just into triple digits. If you’re desperate, you might get a few crumbly little waves. But don’t expect any standouts – this is a blank run for the area, and it’s going to stay poor for a while. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the horizon.

Rusty

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