Scarborough North Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Scarborough North Bay.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day stretch is a tough one for North Bay. There’s a long, flat gap right at the start, from now all the way through to the 7th of August. The ground is just not waking up. We don’t see a single decent recommendation until the end of the first week.

The real story here is the water temp: it’s sitting at 62°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a small comfort, but it’s about the only comfort for a while.

Things finally get a little interesting from Friday morning, the 7th. We’ll see a small NNE swell around 3ft to 4ft pushing in, with a period of 8 seconds – that’s a short-period windswell, so the shape won’t be world-class. But the key here is the wind is offshore from the WSW. That’ll clean it right up. There’s moderate wave energy (157), and it’ll be surfable, but don’t expect any barrels. It’s just something to get wet on after a long wait.

Friday afternoon holds similar conditions: 3ft and clean offshore wind. The energy drops a bit (127), but it’s still okay for a wave that’s been missing all week.

Now, if you can wait, the one true standout in this whole outlook is the very end of the run – Wednesday morning, the 19th of August. That’s over a week and a half away, so treat it as promising but not locked in yet. We get a jump in size to 5ft from the north with a period of 6 seconds. That wave energy is a solid 189, so there's actually some push behind it. More importantly, it’s clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW. That’s the best combo we see in the whole 16 days. For a reef and point setup like North Bay, that’s your moment. It’s big enough to be fun for most, but not so big it’s scary for the beginners. Keep an eye on that date.

Other than that, you’re mostly looking at tiny waves under 2ft or choppy onshore junk. The 9th of August is glassy but absolutely flat. The 14th glassy but tiny. There’s just not much to get excited about.

So, to wrap it up: hold tight through a painful flat spell until the 7th for a small, clean session. If you’re patient, the 19th of August morning is your best bet. Don’t hold your breath for anything else.

Rusty.

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