Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk surf at Scarborough South Bay.

First thing, the water’s a bit warmer than usual for this time of year, about 62°F. That’s a nice bonus.

The forecast starts off real slow. From Friday the 31st through the weekend, we’re looking at waves around 1 foot, maybe 1 feet, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak, like 14 to 30. Winds are light and clean at times, but there’s just no swell to work with. Saturday morning has clear skies and offshore wind, but with only 1 foot of swell, it’s a flat spell.

Monday the 3rd of August, the swell starts to show. By the afternoon, we’re at 5 feet from the east, but the period is short, 6 seconds, and the combined energy is 164 (moderate). The problem is the wind is onshore from the ENE at 15 mph, so it’s choppy. Tuesday the 4th has similar energy, with 5 feet in the morning, but again, onshore wind. Not great.

Wednesday the 5th of August gives us a little window. The morning has 3 feet from the NE, period 6 seconds, combined energy 72 (weak), but the wind shifts to a cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph. The report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s clean, but it’s small and weak. That’s the best we’ve seen so far, but it’s not a standout.

The middle of the week gets blown out by strong north winds, and the swell drops. Poor conditions through Thursday and Friday.

Now, the real highlight. Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning is clean, with 4 feet from the north at 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 191 (moderate). The wind is a cross-off from the south at 9 mph. That’s surfable. But the afternoon is the one. The swell bumps up to 6 feet from the north, period 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 400 (strong). The wind is a clean cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph. The report says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” but the energy is strong. At 6 feet, it’s for intermediate and up, and with those clean winds, this is the best session of the whole 16 days.

The next day, Wednesday the 12th, still has some push. The morning brings 4 feet from the north, period 8 seconds, combined energy 195 (moderate), and offshore wind from the southwest. The report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” but with offshore wind and a consistent swell, it’s worth a paddle.

After that, the surf fades out. The second week is small, weak, or blown out. By Saturday the 15th, it’s back to 1 foot and messy.

So, the standout is Tuesday the 11th of August, especially the afternoon. That 6 feet north swell with clean cross-off wind and strong energy (400) is the best bet. Wednesday morning is also a solid option. The rest of the 16 days is mostly flat or poor. Don’t expect much until that Tuesday.

Rusty.

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