Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days are a flat spell for Scarborough South Bay. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions with no real standouts to get excited about.

Right out of the gate, from Thursday the 30th of July through the entire first week, the swell is tiny. We’re talking ankle-snappers in the 0.7ft to 2ft range, mostly from the north or northwest. The combined wave energy is weak, barely cracking 20 or 30 (22) on the best days, and often sitting in the single digits. For a beach and point setup like this, that’s pretty much a non-event. The wind is a mixed bag – we get a bit of glass on Thursday afternoon, and some clean offshore breezes on Friday, but there’s just no push to work with. It’s a frustrating start.

Moving into the start of August, the pattern doesn’t improve. The swell tries to pick up a little around the 4th and 5th, with some easterly windswell hitting 4ft to 5ft, and the combined energy jumping into the moderate range (196 to 240). But the wind is squarely onshore from the northeast and east-northeast, blowing 9 to 19 mph, making a mess of things. The wave comment says “poor surf conditions” all the way through. This is the kind of setup that might be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers, with strong onshore winds and a bumpy, choppy ocean.

The second week is more of the same. From the 6th of August onwards, the swell drops back to dribble, with heights mostly under 3ft and energy levels falling back under 100. The wind is a persistent cross-onshore or onshore from the north-northeast, keeping it choppy and uninviting. By the 12th and 13th, we’re down to 0.7ft and 0.3ft, with combined energy of 4 or 2 – basically a lake. There’s a brief window on the morning of the 12th with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the south, but there’s no swell to make it count.

Honestly, there’s no one day to point to as the best on offer. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for surfable waves. Keep the board in the car, but don’t expect much. The forecasts can always change, but for now, it’s a blank run.

Rusty.

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