Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is a tough one to call. I've been staring at the charts for Scarborough South Bay, and honestly, it's a pretty bleak run we've got in front of us. The swell is just tiny for the bulk of the next two weeks, and what little bump we do get is often fighting against the wind. It’s a classic beach and point setup, fairly exposed to the north, but we just aren't getting the energy.

Right now, water temp is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing your arse off while you're waiting for something to ride.

The first few days are a total write-off. Saturday and Sunday the 1st and 2nd of August are offering ankle-snappers around 1ft to 1ft – just not worth paddling out for. The energy is pathetic, with combined readings in the teens (14-30). The wind is a mixed bag; Sunday morning goes glassy, but there's simply nothing to push you around.

Monday the 3rd sees a small spike, with the swell pushing up to 5ft by the afternoon. That combined energy hits 169 (moderate) which is the most we'll see for a while, but it's short-period, wind-swell at 5-6 seconds coming from the ENE. The wind is onshore and strong (15-16 mph), making for a messy, blown-out mess. Not one for the longboarders, and honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We drop back down into the doldrums after that. Tuesday the 4th through to the 10th of August is a grim stretch. The swell hovers around 0.7ft to 3ft, and the combined energy is weak (mostly under 60). The winds are a bit of a lottery but never really align for clean, ridable waves. Thursday the 7th of August offers a glimmer of hope with 3ft from the north and a clean, light offshore from the NW in the morning, but the wave comment says it's "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" – you might get a few grovelly ones on a log.

There's a little more life in the water around the 11th and 12th of August. Tuesday the 11th has 4ft from the north with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the WNW in the morning. The energy is back up to 150 (moderate). Still, it's not a standout. Wednesday the 12th is similar with 4ft from the NNE and a light cross-offshore wind. Both are "surfable but very ordinary" – you could get a few soft ones, but don't expect anything firing.

The final days of the outlook fizzle out again. The swell is small, the wind is onshore or cross, and the energy is low. The 14th of August has a little pulse of 3ft in the afternoon with a light cross-offshore, but it's another "surfable but ordinary" day.

The only real standout, if you can call it that, is Monday the 3rd of August, but only for the size. It has the biggest swell of the period. But the onshore wind and short period mean it's a messy, choppy mess. It's a poor surf conditions day, so I'd sit it out.

In short, there are no good options in this 16-day window. It's a blank run. The water is warm, but the waves are just not cooperating. Keep an eye on the forecasts, it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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