Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Scarborough South Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The first real chance of a wave comes early on Friday morning, the 3rd of July. We’ve got a 4ft swell rolling in from the north with a 9-second period. The combined energy is sitting at 356 (moderate), and the wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the WNW at 9 mph. That’s clean enough to have a decent session. It’s a beach and point setup, fairly exposed to the north, and the optimum swell direction is from the north, so that’s a good match. But be ready for the crowds, because this spot does get busy.

After that Friday morning window, it’s a heartbreaking sight. From Friday afternoon, the 3rd, all the way through to Thursday morning, the 17th of July, we’re looking at a proper drought. That’s nearly two weeks of tiny, weak waves (energy readings barely breaking 100 most days, often single digits to zero) with poor conditions. The wind is all over the shop – onshore, cross-onshore, strong – and the swell just vanishes. A few glassy moments on Tuesday afternoon the 7th and Wednesday the 15th of July, but with wave heights of 1ft to 3ft and energy in the teens or 30s, there’s just nothing to ride. It’s a classic flat spell.

Now, there is a glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel. On Friday the 17th of July, things start to change. The morning brings a clean 4ft swell from the north with offshore west wind at 6 mph. The energy picks up to 57 (still weak, but moving in the right direction). The afternoon is even better: 5ft from the north-northeast, a 6-second period, and 137 energy (moderate). It’s surfable, but the conditions are still just ordinary. For the real standout, you have to look at Saturday morning the 18th of July. The swell jumps to 6ft from the north-northeast, with a 7-second period and a combined energy of 306 (strong). The wind is a cross-offshore from the SSW at 9 mph, keeping it clean. At 6ft, it's solid, but not too big for a strong intermediate. This is the best on offer, and with the wind being clean, it could be a proper session. But being this far out, treat it as a promising lead rather than a lock.

To sum it up: don't bother checking the forecast until the 17th of July. If it all holds together, the morning of Saturday the 18th of July is your target.

Rusty.

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