Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on what’s coming for Scarborough South Bay.

Honestly, the next ten days or so look pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak swell and a lot of wind that’s either onshore or cross-shore. The water temp is sitting at 61° at the start, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, but that’s about the only good news.

From Thursday the 30th of July all the way through to Monday the 10th of August, it’s mostly rubbish. Wave heights are hovering around 1ft to 3ft, with periods as short as 5 seconds, so there’s no power behind them. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the double digits (22 to 101). Thursday morning the 30th is a mess with cross-shore wind, but Thursday afternoon cleans up nicely with a glassy offshore from the WSW, but it’s still only 1ft. Not worth getting wet for. Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August have some clean, glassy moments, but the swell is just too small. There’s a real gap here of about nine days where you’re better off doing something else.

Things start to look a little more interesting on Saturday the 8th of August. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the ENE, with a period of 6 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 143 (moderate energy). That’s still a short period, but the wind is offshore from the WSW, so the waves will be clean. It’s a beach and point setup here, and with the offshore wind, the points might offer a cleaner line. It’s surfable, but it’s ordinary. Sunday the 9th has similar size but the wind is a fresh 18 mph offshore, which is a bit strong and will make it bumpy. Monday the 10th is similar, but smaller.

The real standout, and the only one I’d mark on the calendar, is the period around Thursday the 13th of August. The morning brings a solid 7ft swell from the N, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy hits 548 (strong wave energy). That’s proper size. Now, the wind is cross-shore from the NNW at 12 mph, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s not trashing it either. For a point break, that north swell should wrap in nicely. The afternoon is a bit more onshore, so the morning session is the one to aim for. This is expert territory at 7ft, so keep that in mind if you’re a beginner. The crowd profile here says “often” busy, so expect company.

The Friday the 14th of August sees the swell drop back to 3ft and the energy falls off to 127 (moderate). It’s a lot weaker, but the wind is light, so it might be a fun, smaller option for the longboard.

So, the honest truth: the first week is a total dud. The second week has a brief window of decent, clean waves on the 8th, but the best bet is definitely Thursday the 13th of August for the biggest swell and strongest energy. It’s not a perfect forecast, but it’s the only one that gets the heart pumping a bit.

Rusty out.

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