Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We're looking at a pretty bleak stretch ahead for Scarborough South Bay. The pattern is a long, drawn-out period of poor conditions. The opening days are a write-off, and it's not until Friday the 24th that we get a little window of something surfable.

Right now, Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th, we've got a 5ft to 7ft north-northeast swell coming in, but a fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind is just tearing it up, turning it into lumpy, choppy mess. The water's sitting at 60°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The wave energy is moderate but the quality is just not there. That swell is over 7ft on Sunday, which is getting into expert territory, but with the wind, it's not even worth a look for anyone.

Monday the 20th through Thursday the 23rd is a continuation of the same story – a mix of small to moderate north-northeast swell, but with persistent onshore and cross-shore winds. The energy is moderate, but the conditions are "choppy" and "poor". It's a frustrating pattern.

The only real standout, and it's a modest one, is Friday the 24th. We get a small drop in swell to 3ft from the north-northeast, but the wind switches to a light, clean cross-offshore in the morning and goes glassy in the afternoon. The wave energy is weak, so it's not going to be big, but for the first time in the forecast, the conditions will be clean. This is your best shot for a small, clean, glassy session on a log or a mid-length. With the crowds being "often" here, expect a few others to have the same idea.

After that, we slide back into a long weekend of almost nothing. From Saturday the 25th through to Wednesday the 29th, we're looking at tiny swell (0.7ft to 2ft) and strong offshore winds. It's clean, but there's simply no wave energy to work with.

Thursday the 30th offers a tiny bit of hope, with a glassy 3ft northwest swell, but it's very small.

Then, on Saturday the 1st of August, we see a spike in the energy with a 7ft north swell. That's a strong pulse of energy. However, the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, and the conditions are described as "fairly choppy" and "marginal". For experienced surfers, this could be a raw, powerful, but messy day. The size is pushing into expert-only territory (over 8ft), and the wind isn't doing it any favours.

Overall, it's a grim run. The one clear window is Friday the 24th for a small clean wave. The bigger pulse on the 1st of August is a gamble for experts willing to deal with the chop.

Rusty.

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