Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this forecast for Scarborough South Bay is a tough one to call a "surf outlook" because, honestly, there’s no real surf on offer for the entire 16-day window. Every single session in the data comes back with a "poor surf conditions" rating, so we’re looking at a long, flat spell.

We kick off Monday, July 6th, with tiny waves. The first recommendation is a pathetic 0.7ft windswell from the north, with a short period of 5 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 2, so there’s barely a ripple. A moderate 12 mph W wind is blowing cross-offshore, keeping the water clean, but with that little height, it’s not even worth paddling out for. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

The pattern continues day after day. Tuesday, the 7th, sees a slight bump to 2ft on the afternoon, but with a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore wind, it’s just a messy, blown-out look. Wednesday morning the 8th offers a moment of glassy conditions with a light NW wind, but the swell is still only 1ft – flat, flat, flat. The energy is stuck in the teens and twenties for the first week, never getting past 69 on the 8th. It’s a washout.

We move into the second week, and things get a little more energetic but not better. From July 13th through the 16th, the swell picks up to around 3ft, coming from the north and northeast, with periods still short (5-7 seconds). The combined energy finally climbs into the high double digits, hitting 88 on the 13th. But the wind is a killer – a fresh to strong breeze from the north, blowing cross-onshore or cross-shore, making it lumpy and choppy. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one. The swell is too small and short for the power it has, and the wind just ruins the surface.

The very end of the window, July 20th, shows the biggest energy reading of the whole period: 187 from a north swell at 4ft and 8 seconds. But again, a strong cross-off wind from the NNW keeps it clean, but the period is still short, and the rating is still zero. The rest of the month is more of the same – small, wind-affected, and lifeless.

So, there’s no standout. No hidden gem. The best you can hope for is the Wednesday morning glass-off on the 8th, but you’ll be bobbing on 1ft dribble. For a break that is fairly consistent normally, this is a blank run. It happens. Forecasts change, and the water is clean, but for now, leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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