Scarborough South Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let's have a look at Scarborough South Bay.

To be straight with you, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty slim. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell with mostly ordinary conditions. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t pop up until Thursday the 14th. Before that, it’s mostly small waves with poor surf quality, so you’re better off waiting.

Thursday the 6th starts off with a tiny 2ft cross-off wind from the WNW, but the energy is low (51) and the swell is short period at 7 seconds. The water is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year at 62°. Not worth a paddle.

Friday the 7th is a bit better with a clean, offshore wind from the WSW. The morning has 4ft from the north, but it’s still just ordinary surf, and the energy is weak (161). The afternoon drops to 3ft. It’s clean, but nothing to get excited about.

The rest of the first week and into the second is a mix of tiny swells, poor conditions, and onshore winds. Saturday the 8th, Sunday the 9th, and Monday the 10th are all below 2ft with very low energy. You’d be chasing ripples.

The standout moment, and I mean the only real standout in the whole 16 days, comes on the morning of Thursday the 14th. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, with a 2ft north swell. The period is a solid 11 seconds, which is proper groundswell, and the energy is moderate (102). It’s not going to be big, but for a clean, glassy morning with a bit of push from the north, it’s your best bet. The break is a beach and point setup, so that longer period will be better on the point or the river outlet if there is one. It’s also an intermediate spot, so this is fine for most. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

Other than that, we see a bit of a bump on Tuesday the 18th with a strong 5ft north-northwest swell and a fresh offshore wind from the west. The energy is strong (257), but the period is only 6 seconds – short period wind swell. That’s messy, and with the wind being fresh offshore, it’ll be clean but choppy. It’s an expert-only kind of day if you’re out there, but the quality is still poor according to the numbers. The afternoon drops to 4ft. Not a standout.

The last few days of the forecast, into the 21st, remain small with 2ft to 3ft. The glassy morning on the 21st might offer a fun little session, but it’s not a highlight.

So, to sum it up: the 14th is the day to circle. Glassy, clean, and a proper groundswell. Everything else is small and ordinary. There’s a gap of about a week of poor surf before that, so don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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