Tenby (South Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks look like a bit of a mixed bag around here, but there’s a few windows where you’ll want to have your wetsuit ready.

Right off the bat, Wednesday morning at Tenby (South Beach) is about as good as it gets in this stretch. We’ve got a clean 4ft swell pushing in from the WSW with a light offshore NW wind. It’s a bit small, but it’s got some punch for a beginner-friendly wave. The water is sitting at a warm 66°F, which is a couple of degrees above normal for this time of year – that’s a bonus. The energy is moderate, coming in at (202), which backs up the idea that there’s a bit of life in the water. Sure, it’s not a monster, but it’s your best chance for a proper surf this week. The crowd factor is only ‘sometimes,’ so you might get a few waves to yourself if you’re early.

Thursday is a write-off. The wind swings around to the SSW and picks up to 19 mph, blowing cross-onshore and making a mess of things. Friday morning looks salvageable again with a similar 5ft WSW swell and offshore NW winds. It’s clean, but very ordinary. The afternoon goes a bit cross-off, still rideable but nothing to get excited about.

Saturday brings some rain and a bit of a bump, but there’s a 7ft swell in the afternoon. That’s enough to get the heart rate up, but the accompanying cross-off wind and lumpy conditions will have it looking more like a wrestling match than a smooth ride. It might be one for the more experienced heads who don’t mind a bit of chaos.

Sunday settles down a touch, with a clean 5ft swell in the morning, but the winds are more cross-off than offshore. It’s okay, but not a standout.

And then… the taps basically turn off. From Monday the 14th onwards, we’re looking at a slow, steady decline. There’s some small stuff – knee to waist high – but the writing’s on the wall. There’s a few days with light winds and clean conditions, but the swell just isn’t there. The energy readings drop right off, getting into the weak category (anything from 40 to 130). It’s a real grovel fest.

There is one interesting note for the 20th – we get a glassy morning, but the swell is almost non-existent at 1ft. It’s flat out, not worth the paddle.

So, looking at the whole 16-day window, the standout is definitely Wednesday morning. If you can get out then, do it. There’s a promise of a bit more size on Saturday for the brave, but it’s not going to be pretty. For the rest, it’s a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly forgettable surf. It’s one of those periods where you just have to be patient and pick your moments. The good news is, it never stays flat forever – a change is always around the corner.

Rusty

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