Porth Ceriad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me have a look at what's goin' on. It's a pretty bleak picture for Porth Ceriad over the next couple of weeks. I'm not seeing the kind of setup that gets a local frothing. There are no real standout days, just a long stretch of small, wind-affected, or just plain flat conditions. Let's be honest, if you're hanging your hat on a session here in the next 16 days, you're going to be disappointed most of the time.

We start off this Friday morning, the 11th, with some knee-high, 2ft swell from the southwest. The wind is a cross-off from the northwest at 12 mph, which keeps the surface clean, but the wave energy is weak (47). The water is sitting at 64°, which is about 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's a bit of a surprise. Still, it's just small and weak.

Saturday the 12th is a write-off. That southwest wind is howling at 22 to 25 mph, creating a messy, cross-onshore slop. The swell jumps up to 6ft to 7ft with a short, weak period of 6-7 seconds, creating a moderate wave energy (236-374). It's poor.

Sunday the 13th drops right back down to ankle-biters around 2ft to 2ft. Wind dies off, but the swell is just gone.

Monday and Tuesday (14th & 15th) are more of the same story: tiny, weak swell with the wind ruining any chance of it being surfable. We're stuck below 3ft with weak energy.

There's a tiny flicker on Thursday the 17th, where we see a bit more size, with the swell hitting 5ft to 6ft from the west-southwest. The wind goes offshore from the west-northwest, so it should be clean. It's a moderate wave energy (178-200). But the period is only 6 seconds, so it's going to be a bit lumpy and lack any real punch. It's still marked as poor.

After that, it's a long, slow fade into the abyss. We're talking about days of swell under 3ft, and from the 21st through to the 26th of September, it's basically flat with zero wave energy. There's a 16-second period groundswell on the 26th, but it's a pathetic 0.3ft.

Honestly, for a wave this exposed, the run of poor conditions is unusual, but it's the hand we've been dealt. If you absolutely have to get wet, Thursday the 17th is your best bet for some clean waves that at least have a bit of weight to them, but don't expect anything special. For beginners, the whole window is too small or too messy. For advanced crew, there's nothing to get excited about here.

Rusty.

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