Porth Ceriad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right now, it’s looking pretty flat and sad out here at Porth Ceriad. The water’s come up to 66°F which is a solid 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so if you’re just keen for a paddle and a float, you’ll be stoked. But for actual waves? There’s basically nothing on offer for the next couple of weeks.

The first real glimmer of interest doesn’t show up until Thursday the 27th. The morning brings some light rain and a weak, onshore bump of 4ft at 4 seconds, with only moderate energy (47). Not worth getting wet for. The afternoon is where it gets a touch more interesting – the swell bumps up to 5ft from the SSW at 6 seconds, and the energy jumps to a moderate 188. It’s glassy, which is a massive plus, and while it’s still pretty ordinary, it’s the first thing that’s even surfable. For a beginner-friendly break, 5ft is right at the limit of comfortable, so you’ll want to pick your moments.

But honestly, the real story here is what’s brewing for Friday the 28th. The forecast is showing a big pulse of groundswell rolling in. It’s still a week and a half out, so treat it as promising rather than a sure thing, but if it lines up, we’re looking at a solid 12ft of WSW groundswell with a 10-second period. The energy is through the roof – 2371 in the morning and building to 2697 by the afternoon. That’s strong to very strong, no doubt. The wind’s offshore and fresh, which will keep things clean. But here’s the catch: this break is a beach setup, and a long-period swell like this can make it break a bit too straight and shut down. More importantly, at 12ft, this is way over the 8ft mark. This is strictly for experts only – if you’re not confident in serious, heavy surf, give this one a wide berth. Beginners should not even think about it.

Saturday the 29th sees it dropping, but it’s still big. You’ve got 10ft of WSW swell in the morning, still pushing strong energy (1085), with clean offshore winds. Again, this is an expert-only situation. By the afternoon, it drops to 8ft with the period shortening to 8 seconds, and the energy backs off to a moderate 707. The wind goes a little cross-off, so it’s still clean, but the conditions are flagged as marginal with questionable tide. Just be careful out there.

So, to sum it up: we’ve got a long, flat run until that Thursday bump, which is your only window for anyone who isn’t a pro. Then Friday is the true standout if you’ve got the skills and the nerve – it’ll be huge, powerful, and clean, but it’s no place for the faint-hearted.

Rusty.

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