Porth Ceriad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Grab a coffee, because we’ve got a look at Porth Ceriad for the next 16 days. I’ll be straight with you – the Finder has thrown up a bit of a blank here. The whole 16-day window shows zero recommendations, meaning there’s not a single session that ticks all the boxes for a good wave. The guidance file tells me this spot is a beginner-friendly, exposed SW swell magnet, but the forecast is a frustrating run of messy conditions.

The water temperature is sitting at 65°, which is a notable 4° warmer than usual for this time of year. You’ll be in boardies or a very thin spring suit, which is a bonus, but the waves won't be your friend.

The pattern starts with a rough first week. From Tuesday the 1st right through to the end of the first week, it’s a story of strong cross-onshore winds, lumpy, choppy surfaces, and weak, short-period swell around 4 to 6 seconds. The combined energy is weak, staying between 15 and 233 (moderate), but the wind just ruins it. A couple of days in the middle of the first week, like Wednesday the 2nd afternoon, bump up to 6ft (216 energy) but it’s a fresh cross-onshore mess. The water is messy and lumpy, not surfable.

There’s a brief window of clean conditions on Monday the 7th afternoon with a cross-offshore breeze and a very long-period, 11-second groundswell from the WSW. But the swell height is only 2ft (84 energy) – it’s clean but tiny. Wouldn’t bother paddling out for that.

The second week offers a glimmer. We see very clean conditions pop up on Friday the 11th, with a moderate cross-offshore breeze. The swell is tiny, 1ft, with a period of 4-5 seconds (4-6 energy). Clean, but absolutely flat. Sunday the 13th morning sees a strong cross-offshore breeze and clean surf, but again, only 3ft (40 energy) from the SW. On Wednesday the 16th afternoon, we get a glassy, clean spell with a 10-second swell from the west, but it's a pathetic 0.3ft (2 energy). Not even a ripple.

Given the persistent poor surf quality, strong winds, and the fact that this is a beach break, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the vast majority of the period. The combination of the onshore winds and the lumpy water will be a challenge for a surfer, but a kiteboarder might find some play.

The seventh day (Monday the 7th) and the 13th are the cleanest, but the swell is too small to be worth a mention as a standout. There’s no true highlight here. We’re looking at a long, blank run. It’s one of those stretches where the forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but right now, I’d find another hobby for a couple of weeks.

Rusty.

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