Porth Ceriad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Porth Ceriad.

Honestly, it’s a tough run ahead. For the next sixteen days, there’s no surf worth paddling out for. The swell that does show up is small, short-period stuff, and when it does get a bit of size, the wind is all wrong. You’d be better off keeping the board in the van for most of this stretch. The water temperature is sitting at 64°, which is a good 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s noticeably balmy if you do go for a swim.

The first proper pulse of energy arrives on Tuesday the 15th. On Tuesday morning, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the WSW, with a combined swell energy of 130 and a period of 6 seconds. The wind is cross-off from the WNW at 22 mph, so it’s clean-looking, but that short period means it’ll be a bit weak and crumbly. By Tuesday afternoon, the wind shifts onshore from the W at 12 mph, and it gets lumpy. Nothing to get excited about.

Thursday the 17th morning sees another bump: 5ft from the W, period of 6 seconds, energy of 121, and cross-off wind from the WNW at 22 mph. Again, clean but short-period. The afternoon gets messy with cross-shore wind.

Now, Saturday the 19th is the biggest swell of the whole period. We’re talking 8ft from the WSW on Saturday morning, period of 7 seconds, and a strong combined swell energy of 595. That’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is a strong cross-shore from the W at 25 mph, creating messy, lumpy conditions. At 8ft, it’s in the “experts only” territory for size alone, but with that wind, it’s honestly more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session. Saturday afternoon is similar at 7ft and 22 mph cross-shore wind.

After that pulse, the swell drops right off. From Sunday the 20th onwards, it’s a long, drawn-out fade. The waves shrink to under 3ft, and by Wednesday the 23rd, we’re down to a tiny 0.3ft with offshore wind – clean, but there’s no wave to ride. The last twelve days of the forecast are almost completely flat, with lots of zeros and only tiny 0.3ft to 1ft swells. A couple of those days have glassy conditions, but you’d need a paddleboard, not a surfboard.

The worst part is that Porth Ceriad is rated as fairly consistent, so this blank run is not typical. It’s just one of those stretches where Mother Nature isn’t playing ball. Keep an eye on the charts, it tends not to stay poor for long.

Rusty.

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