Porth Ceriad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let's have a look at what's on offer for Porth Ceriad. I gotta be straight with you, this stretch of the 16-day window is a real struggle. There are no standout sessions, no green lights, nothing that gets the heart pumping. The whole forecast is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. The swell is either too small, too wind-chopped, or just plain messy. The first few days are a complete loss.

We kick off on Friday the 4th with a cloudy, windy mess. A 6ft WSW swell is being shredded by a 25 mph cross-wind, making for poor surf. Combined swell energy is only 173 (moderate), but it's all over the shop. The water is a balmy 64°, which is 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's a bit of a bonus for a paddle, but the surf is unsurfable.

Saturday the 5th is clear but tiny, with 2ft to 2ft SW swell and cross-shore winds. No good.

Sunday the 6th brings a bit more size, 4ft, but it's onshore and choppy.

Monday the 7th is interesting in a cruel way. A 3ft WSW groundswell with a very long 14-second period rolls in, and the combined energy jumps to 485 (strong energy). But the wind is cross-shore, ruining the potential of that long-period energy. It's a tease.

Tuesday the 8th is a no-go with 7ft of lumpy, cross-shore chop. That's too big for beginners and the conditions are foul for everyone.

The rest of the first week is more of the same; small, onshore, or cross-shore junk. There's a hint of a clean window on Friday the 11th morning with a 3ft SW swell and a cross-offshore breeze, but it's just too small to get excited about.

The second week starts with a couple of days of offshore winds on Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th, but the swell is basically non-existent – 1.0ft and 0.3ft. Glassy, but flat.

Then on Monday the 14th, a strong 28 mph onshore wind blows through with a 5ft swell – a total mess again.

On Tuesday the 15th, things look a touch better on paper. A 7ft WSW swell with a clean cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is 443 (strong). But the period is only 7 seconds, so it's a windswell, not a proper groundswell. It'll be lumpy and won't have any real push. It's big enough for some experienced surfers to get a few close-outs, but nothing to write home about.

The final few days are tiny and clean, with a 2ft on Thursday the 17th and a glassy 0.3ft on Saturday the 19th. The 19th afternoon is flat calm, glassy, but barely a ripple.

So, to sum it up: there's no best session, no real standouts. The entire 16-day forecast is a dud for quality surf. If you're a kite surfer, the strong cross-shore winds on the 8th and 14th might be worth a look, but for a paddle surfer, leave the board at home. The forecasts can change, but right now, this is a blank run.

Rusty.

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