Porth Ceriad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on Porth Ceriad. Let’s cut through the chatter and get into it.

Right off the bat, I’ll be straight with you – it’s a tough run ahead. The first few days are a write-off. We’re looking at a solid gap of about a week with no real surf on offer. The swell is tiny and the wind is a mess. From Friday the 28th through to Thursday the 3rd of September, it’s all poor surf conditions. Onshore winds, chop, and barely a ripple worth paddling for. The combined energy is weak, barely hitting 150 (moderate) at best on the Monday afternoon, but it’s lumpy and cross-onshore, so no good for a paddle.

The first real flicker of hope comes on Friday the 4th of September. The morning session shows a 4ft swell from the WSW, with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the west at 9 mph. The combined energy hits 144 (moderate), and while the conditions are described as "surfable but very ordinary," it’s the first window where you might get a few soft ones. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Now, the real standout – and I mean the only one worth circling on the calendar – is Wednesday the 9th of September. But hold your horses. The swell is pumping: 8ft to 10ft from the SW, with a period of 7 to 9 seconds. That’s a solid, punchy groundswell, but it’s going to be powerful. The combined energy goes ballistic – 742 and 1343 (strong to very strong). This is expert territory. The wind is howling out of the south at 25 to 31 mph, onshore, so it’s going to be messy and ugly. This is a case where the size is there, but the quality is shot. For a beginner, this is a definite no-go. For a seasoned charger, it’s a mission, but conditions are bleak. Honestly, with that much wind and swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The rest of the outlook is a mix of small, clean days with barely any energy – like the 8th of September with a glassy 1ft swell and 7 energy – and then a few more clean offshore days on the 6th and 7th, but the swell is tiny (3ft to 1ft). It’s clean, but you’ll be hunting for knee-high runners.

If you’re a beginner, this whole 16-day window is a wash. The only consistent break here is Porth Ceriad itself, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, but the surf quality just isn’t there. Don’t hold your breath; the forecasts can change, but right now, the surf is flat and the wind is cruel.

Rusty.

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