Porth Ceriad Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Porth Ceriad. Honestly, it’s a bit of a rough stretch ahead. The overall pattern is a whole lotta wind and messy, lumpy conditions that are just gonna make things tough. There’s wave energy around, but the quality is missing for most of the period. We’ve got a massive gap here – almost no decent surf at all from the start until the very end of the 16-day window. It’s not going to be pretty.

Looking at the first week, we start on Monday the 7th with a WSW breeze already at 15 mph making a mess of a tiny 1ft SW swell. That’s a total no-go. The whole of that first week is plagued by strong onshore and cross-shore winds, with the swell jumping up a bit but always getting torn apart. By the afternoon of Tuesday the 8th, we see 5ft from the west, but it’s lumpy and cross-shore. Nothing to get excited about. The combined wave energy is fluctuating, hitting a moderate 121 on Tuesday afternoon, but it’s never clean enough. The wind just won’t give us a break.

We finally get a little glimmer of hope right at the end. On the morning of Tuesday the 22nd, the stars briefly align. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell coming from the southwest with a seven-second period, and here’s the game-changer: a light offshore breeze from the north at just 12 mph. That is going to clean it right up and offer some proper, rideable waves. The combined energy is still weak at 71, so don’t expect power, but for a beginner spot like this, clean conditions trump size every time. It’s not a standout for power, but it’s the only true standout for quality in the whole run. Bring a log. Porth Ceriad is exposed to the SW, and this direction works fine. Expect some crowds if you’re out there when it’s clean, it’s a popular little wave when it’s on.

Other than that, there are a couple of mornings with a cross-off breeze on the 9th and 11th, but the swell is tiny – under 3ft – and the energy is nearly non-existent. The afternoon of the 22nd cleans up further with a gentle offshore, but the swell drops right off. The rest of the second week just looks like more wind, more chop, and periods of strong breeze and near-gale conditions, especially on the 20th and 21st. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing strange there.

So, the one to go for is Tuesday the 22nd morning. It’s a long way off, so keep an eye on the forecast, but it’s the only moment where it’ll be worth getting wet.

Rusty.

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