Surf Forecasts:
Abereiddy surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 5s period, N swell with 65 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Abereiddy this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Abereiddy in the next 16 days are 1.1m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Abereiddy over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the situation for Abereiddy over the next couple of weeks.
To be brutally honest, it's a pretty grim picture for the whole 16-day window. We're looking at a long stretch of flat, choppy, and unrideable conditions. For the first week and a half, from Wednesday the 15th right through to the morning of Monday the 28th, there's absolutely nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the wave energy is pitifully low. It's a complete blank run.
The only slight glimmer of hope, and I do mean slight, comes right at the tail end of the forecast. On the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July, the swell finally bumps up a bit. We're looking at a 5ft swell from the west, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is a moderate 274, which is better than anything else we've seen. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the WNW at 5 mph, which is about as good as it gets for this stretch. The water temp is sitting at 61°F, which is pretty usual for this time of year.
That Wednesday morning is the only real standout, the only one that scrapes a score of 1 out of 10. It's a beginner-friendly break, fairly consistent, but be aware it can get crowded sometimes. For the rest of the forecast, it's just cross-onshore wind and small, energy-less waves. The whole period after that Wednesday morning drops back off again.
So, if you're a paddler, you're going to be waiting a long time. The setup on the 29th might be more interesting for kite surfing than for a paddle surfer, given the light wind and small swell. It's a tough one, but it tends not to stay this poor for long and forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed night, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Sat night, fresh winds from the N by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | W 9 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | N 5 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | SW 11 | N 5 | N 4 | NNE 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | NNE 5 | N 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 6 | 20 | 21 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 24 | 64 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 24 | 17 | 49 | 42 | 28 | 10 | 12 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:40PM4.40m | 9:06AM4.03m | 9:27PM4.47m | 9:51AM3.97m | 10:11PM4.41m | 10:35AM3.84m | 10:55PM4.22m | 11:18AM3.65m | 11:38PM3.95m | 12:02PM3.44m | 00:23AM3.62m | 12:48PM3.21m | 1:11AM3.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:14AM0.04m | 3:24PM0.18m | 4:00AM0.06m | 4:06PM0.22m | 4:43AM0.17m | 4:47PM0.35m | 5:25AM0.37m | 5:29PM0.55m | 6:06AM0.63m | 6:11PM0.79m | 6:49AM0.90m | 6:58PM1.05m | 7:35AM1.15m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 |
 | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:27 | 9:25 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 20 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | NNE 4 | WSW 14 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 13 | SW 5 | SW 11 | SW 11 | N 6 | SW 19 | W 19 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 4 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 6 | W 8 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 6 | SW 13 | SW 5 | W 7 | SW 11 | SW 10 | W 9 | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 17 | SW 16 | W 7 | W 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | 12 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | SSW 6 | W 8 | SW 12 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 11 | W 8 | W 21 | W 7 | — | S 10 | — | — | W 12 | — | S 11 | W 10 | W 7 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | — | NNE 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | — | N 5 | N 4 | NNE 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | NNE 5 | N 4 |
| kJ | 8 | — | 6 | 14 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 24 | 64 | — | 18 | 11 | 24 | 17 | 49 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 12 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 142 | 131 | 131 | 237 | 237 | 1303 | 302 | 332 | 425 | 372 | 171 | 208 | 311 | 311 | 326 | 129 | 152 | 171 | 156 | 208 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Abereiddy Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Abereiddy provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Abereiddy can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Abereiddy surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Abereiddy) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Abereiddy may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Abereiddy, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Fishguard which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 32 km (20 miles) away, Pembroke, Aberporth and Carmarthen.
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