Surf Forecasts:
Abereiddy surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, WSW swell with 1,694 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Abereiddy this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Abereiddy in the next 16 days are 3.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Abereiddy over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me tell you, it’s been a lean stretch. We’re looking at a real quiet spell ahead for the 16-day window, with a whole lot of nothing before we finally see a flicker of life. There’s a solid gap of no real surf action until the second week, so don’t be in a rush.
Looking at the whole picture, most of the entries are marked as poor surf conditions, with a score of 0 for the first 13 days. The combined energy is mostly weak, often under 100. The first sign of anything surfable comes on the 14th of September, Monday afternoon, with a "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" call. That’s where we’ll focus.
The standout in this quiet window is Abereiddy on Monday the 14th of September. By the afternoon, we’ve got a clean 1.5m swell from the WSW, with a period of 7 seconds. That’s a short-period windswell, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but the wind is light offshore from the SE (10 km/h), making for clean conditions. The combined energy is 229 (moderate energy). It’s not a classic, but it’s the only game in town. The water temp is 17°C, which is about 0.9°C warmer than average for this time of year, so nothing unusual. Abereiddy is a beginner spot and fairly consistent, but crowds are “sometimes” an issue, so you might find a few mates out. It’s a fairly exposed break needing a WSW swell, and that’s what we’re getting.
The rest of the window is a write-off. Strong winds, cross-chop, and blown-out conditions dominate. The 8th of September sees a 2.5m swell from the WSW, but with a 40 km/h cross-shore and a messy cross-chop, it’s a total mess. The 15th of September has some clean cross-off winds, but the swell is weak and ordinary. The 16th of September has a clean morning but tiny 0.2m waves.
So, to sum it up: if you’re desperate for a paddle, Monday the 14th of September is your best bet. Otherwise, the forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu night, min 16°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Tue night, strong winds from the SW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun night, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 5 | SW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 9 | SW 13 | SW 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 12 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 52 | 52 | 49 | 0 | 317 | 343 | 217 | 230 | 269 | 310 | 169 | 86 | 36 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 95 | 143 | 560 | 537 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:11AM4.01m | 10:29PM4.13m | 10:49AM3.86m | 11:10PM3.87m | 11:32AM3.63m | 11:58PM3.55m | 12:24PM3.34m | 00:59AM3.20m | 1:36PM3.09m | 2:25AM2.95m | 3:12PM3.03m | 4:07AM2.97m | 4:45PM3.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:17PM0.30m | 4:41AM0.40m | 4:53PM0.49m | 5:18AM0.65m | 5:35PM0.74m | 6:03AM0.95m | 6:33PM1.04m | 7:11AM1.25m | 8:08PM1.28m | 9:04AM1.40m | 10:12PM1.23m | 10:50AM1.23m | 11:37PM0.93m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:54 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | — | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 9 | N 4 | — |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 10 | — | 10 | 21 | 21 | 35 | — | 310 | 169 | 86 | 36 | 36 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 143 | 3 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | N 5 | N 5 | SW 13 | WSW 9 | SW 13 | — | SSW 6 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 32 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | — | 26 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 18 | — | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 13 | — | SW 13 | — | — | WSW 12 | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 17 | — | 7 | — | — | 89 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 5 | SW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | SW 7 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 52 | 52 | 49 | 224 | 317 | 343 | 217 | 230 | 269 | — | — | 12 | — | — | 23 | 62 | 111 | 95 | 7 | 560 | 537 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 155 | 168 | 139 | 345 | 338 | 168 | 155 | 368 | 376 | 46 | 110 | 67 | 24 | 118 | 11 | 73 | 329 | 157 | 155 | 155 | 184 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Abereiddy Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Abereiddy provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Abereiddy can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Abereiddy surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Abereiddy) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Abereiddy may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Abereiddy, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Fishguard which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 32 km (20 miles) away, Pembroke, Aberporth and Carmarthen.
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