Abereiddy Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let's have a look at the Abereiddy forecast. It's a bit of a flat spell ahead, to be honest. I've scanned the whole 16-day window and there's nothing that's going to get the heart racing. For the first week, we're looking at tiny, weak surf, mostly under 3 ft, with a lot of cross-onshore wind messing things up. The energy is real low, single digits and weak two-digit numbers in that combined swell energy bracket – like 76 and 26 – it's just not doing anything.

The water temp is sitting at 62°, which is pretty much average for this time of year. The anomaly is only 1°, so nothing weird there.

That first proper chance doesn't even appear until Wednesday the 12th, and even then it's small. We get a little pulse on Wednesday morning, 2 ft from the WSW, but it's clean with a cross-off breeze. That's the best of a bad bunch. The energy is still low at 56. Thursday the 13th sees a slight bump to 3 ft, but the wind swings cross-on and it gets lumpy.

The one day that stands out early on is Monday the 17th afternoon. We finally see some proper swell showing up – 4 ft from the WSW, with a period of 10 seconds and the energy jumps to 289, which is moderate. The wind is cross-off and it's clean. That's your pick of the whole run, but it's still not huge. The caveat is the swell direction isn't exactly matching the optimum, but the clean conditions will make it feel better than it is.

After that, the wind gets messy. Tuesday the 18th has strong onshore and cross-onshore winds with that same 4 ft of short-period slop from the north, and it's going to be a washing machine. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kiting than paddle surfing.

There's another little glimmer on Wednesday the 19th morning with some long-period groundswell, 15 seconds, but it's only 0.3 ft – just a pulse of energy, nothing to ride. And then it pretty much fizzles out for the remainder of the window.

So, if you're desperate, look at Monday afternoon the 17th. Snag a board and get out there when that cross-off wind hits. It's all about small, clean waves at Abereiddy (Abereiddy) – it's a fairly consistent spot, so a blank run like this is a bit unusual, and things can change. But for the next two weeks, keep your expectations low.

Rusty.

Read more