
Surf Forecasts:
Abereiddy surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, N swell with 165 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Abereiddy this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Abereiddy in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Abereiddy over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let me be straight with you – I'm lookin' at Abereiddy over the next couple weeks and, honestly, my heart's not in it. There's nothin' here that even twitches the needle for a decent paddle. The finder basically draws a blank for the whole 16-day run, so let me talk you through the situation.
Right off the bat, from Sunday July 5th through to Monday July 20th, we've got a long, flat gap of basically no worthwhile surf. The longest stretch of anything with a pulse comes on Sunday July 12th and Monday July 13th, when a northerly swell pushes wave heights up to around 4.3 ft to 4.6 ft and the combined swell energy hits moderate levels (138 to 145). But here's the kicker – every single time that swell shows up, we've got a fresh cross-onshore wind, in the 18.6 mph range, that's gonna be lumpy and chopped to bits. That ain't surfable; it's just messy whitewater.
For the beginner-friendly, fairly consistent little cove here, the optimum swell direction is WSW, and you will see a few tiny pulses from that direction early on. On Sunday morning July 5th, we've got 2.3 ft from the WSW, but with 9.3 mph winds onshore and only 45 units of weak energy, it's not going to offer anything rideable. The water's about 61°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, but that's cold comfort when you're staring at a lake.
Later in the run, we get a couple of glassy moments on Sunday July 19th afternoon, but with only 0.7 ft from the west and 7 units of wave energy, that's barely a ripple. If you're really keen for a dip, that's your best shot for clean conditions, but don't expect to catch a wave.
The whole outlook is just a blank run, which is not unusual for this spot – it tends to go quiet for long stretches. For paddle surfing, there's nothing to get excited about. If the wind holds and the swell picks up a bit more size, this setup could get more interesting for the kite crew, but for a surfer? I'd wait for the next forecast update. This one hurts.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | W 4 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 11 | W 8 | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 5 | N 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
27 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 33 | 165 | 13 | 12 | 11 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 11:05AM3.43m | 11:24PM3.74m | 11:46AM3.36m | 00:07AM3.64m | 12:34PM3.28m | 00:56AM3.52m | 1:30PM3.20m | 1:56AM3.41m | 2:35PM3.17m | 3:06AM3.35m | 3:48PM3.23m | 4:21AM3.39m | 4:59PM3.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:12PM0.76m | 5:49AM0.78m | 5:51PM0.87m | 6:32AM0.85m | 6:38PM0.98m | 7:23AM0.92m | 7:37PM1.08m | 8:25AM0.99m | 8:49PM1.12m | 9:38AM0.99m | 10:10PM1.05m | 10:53AM0.91m | 11:28PM0.86m | ||||||||
5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:42 | — | — | 9:40 | — | — | 9:39 | — | — | 9:39 | — | — | 9:38 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:37 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 6 | W 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | WSW 4 | W 8 | WSW 3 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
27 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 6 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 9 | SW 12 | W 8 | W 3 | — | SW 11 | SW 12 | W 9 | S 12 | W 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
8 | — | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | W 10 | — | SW 12 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 10 | — | SW 12 | W 18 | S 11 | S 11 | — | SW 17 | — | — |
9 | 8 | — | — | 2 | — | 6 | — | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | 11 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | W 4 | — | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 5 | N 6 | NNW 6 | N 7 | N 6 |
1 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 17 | 14 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 22 | 17 | 33 | 165 | 320 | 356 | 272 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 75 | 155 | 156 | 193 | 193 | 152 | 190 | 204 | 126 | 113 | 171 | 113 | 113 | 204 | 119 | 67 | 400 | 466 | 460 | 703 | 302 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Abereiddy Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Abereiddy provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Abereiddy can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Abereiddy surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Abereiddy) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Abereiddy may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Abereiddy, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Fishguard which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 32 km (20 miles) away, Pembroke, Aberporth and Carmarthen.










