Abereiddy Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf around here. There's no denying it's a flat, or near-flat, spell ahead. We're looking at a good long stretch with nothing worth paddling out for until the very end of the window, so don't hold your breath for anything in the next week or so.

We start off with a bit of southwest swell on Tuesday the 8th, but it’s cross-onshore at 19 mph and lumpy, so that’s a write-off. The weak swell energy (231) just isn't doing anything for us. Wednesday the 9th through the weekend are all poor, with onshore winds and chopped-up conditions. There is a brief pulse of energy on Thursday afternoon, with a 8ft southwest swell. But it's accompanied by a strong cross-offshore wind, making it messy. Even though the energy jumps up to 527, it's not clean surf.

The following week is more of the same. A mix of small swells but mostly blown out or just plain gutless. We get a little taste of glass on Sunday the 13th afternoon, but only a 3ft swell at 9 seconds. It’s surfable, but it’s the definition of "very ordinary" with weak energy (128). Honestly, it’s a day for the longboard and a lot of patience, with clean conditions being the only saving grace.

The frustrating part is seeing that swell direction sitting in the southwest, but the size and energy just aren't there to push it into the bay properly. The conditions stay mostly clean during the mornings from the 15th to the 17th, but the swell is just too small to matter. After the 17th, the swell drops right off a cliff.

Then, finally, on Sunday the 20th, we see a long-period southwest swell peeking through, but it's tiny, just 0.3ft at 14 seconds. The energy is basically nothing (16). It's a tease. It's not until Tuesday the 22nd that we see anything resembling a wave. A 2ft southwest swell at 10 seconds with a gentle offshore wind, giving us clean conditions. The energy is only 91, so it's weak, but it could be a tiny, glassy day for the logs. The 23rd looks small and wobbly again.

So, looking at the whole run, there's no standout day. The only days that are even worth mentioning are the 13th and the 22nd, and even then, we're just scratching the surface. It's a flat and unremarkable stretch. It doesn't tend to stay poor for long around here, though, so keep the faith. Forecasts can change.

For the water temp, we're sitting at 62°, which is about normal for this time of year, so you won't need a thicker suit just yet.

There are no good surf options on offer in this 16-day window, plain and simple. Keep the board in the car, but maybe don't wax it yet.

- Rusty

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