Abereiddy Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a good look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with ya – it's a rough start. We're looking at a long, quiet stretch with hardly a ripple to get excited about.

The water's sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, at 63°F, but that's about the only good news for a while. From Tuesday the 25th right through to the end of August, it's flat. Tiny little knee-high wobbles at best, with no real energy to speak of. The combined swell energy is barely hitting double digits (10), which tells you everything. You're better off taking the dog for a walk. This gap runs for a solid six or seven days of nothing.

We finally see a pulse of life showing up around Friday the 28th of August. Abereiddy (Pembrokeshire) picks up a bit of a south-west swell, pushing to about 4ft. The combined energy climbs to a moderate 165. The winds are moderate but cross-off, so the surface might have a bit of texture. It's honestly just okay – not a standout, but the first real sign of life.

Saturday the 29th gets bigger but real ugly. That SW swell jumps to over 7ft, with combined energy hitting a strong 393, then 535. The problem is the wind – a strong breeze tearing in from the WSW, making a mess of things with a cross-onshore chop. For a beach setup, this is looking more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day. The size alone pushes it well beyond beginner territory.

There's a spicy little window on Monday morning, the 1st of September. The swell pumps up to a solid 12ft from the SW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is massive at 1676. But – and it's a big but – the wind is a fresh cross-shore, lumping up the surface. It's a raw, powerful, messy beast. That's expert-only territory, and even then, you'll be battling the chop. Not a recommend for anyone wanting a clean wave.

Later on, Wednesday the 9th of September shows some promise on the charts. Another big pulse of SW groundswell, hitting 10ft with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is enormous at 2548. The wind is a moderate cross-shore. It could offer up some heavy, powerful walls. If you’re an expert with a thick-skinned board and patience, keep an eye on this one as it gets closer. It’s a long-range promise, nothing nailed down yet.

Truth is, there isn't a single true standout in this 16-day window. The best you can hope for is the 4ft on Friday the 28th with clean-ish conditions, or the huge, messy peak on the 9th of September for the brave and foolhardy. Otherwise, it's a lot of waiting.

Rusty.

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