Surf Forecasts:
Abereiddy surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, WSW swell with 562 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Abereiddy this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Abereiddy in the next 16 days are 1.9m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Abereiddy over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, alright, let’s have a look at what we’ve got for Abereiddy over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with ya – this isn't looking like a classic run by any stretch. The whole 16-day window starts off pretty bleak. I’m seeing a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions right through until the end of the third week of September.
For the first week, from Thursday the 10th to Wednesday the 16th, we’ve got a real mixed bag of wind and swell but nothing that’s going to get you out of bed early. The water temp is sitting at about 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a little treat for the skin, but that’s where the good news stops.
Let’s talk about the standout, because there is a glimmer of hope later on. The best bet of the entire window looks to be Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th of September. On Thursday the 24th, we see a pulse of energy roll in. The morning shows a clean 8ft swell from the WSW, with a period of 7 seconds and a combined energy of 542 (moderate wave energy). It’s clean but the cross-shore wind kicks in by the afternoon making things a bit lumpy. However, the real gem is Friday the 25th of September. We’ve got offshore winds from the SE, blowing light at 9 mph in the morning, and that 8ft WSW swell is going to be groomed nicely. The period is still short at 7 seconds, so it won’t have that long-period grunt, but with those clean offshore conditions, the lines should be pretty tidy for a beach break setup. Combined energy is a solid 512, so there’s a decent amount of push. That 6ft in the afternoon with light offshore winds is also a good shout. Just keep in mind, that 8ft is pushing into more experienced territory; beginners might find it a handful.
Before that, there’s a big gap of nothing really worth paddling out for. From the 10th to the 23rd, the scores are all zero – just poor surf with onshore, cross, or strong winds messing things up. There is a tiny window on the 13th and 14th with some clean, but tiny 2ft to 4ft swell, but it’s weak, short period stuff. Not worth the rubber.
For the second week, after that Friday the 25th high point, it looks like we drop back down to tiny, weak surf again. The 26th and beyond have nothing to write home about. So, if you’ve got a window, pencil in that Friday the 25th of September. It’s the only time in this forecast where it all comes together for a proper session.
Stay salty.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Fri afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Thu morning, light winds from the NW by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun night, min 14°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | WSW 5 | SW 5 | SW 12 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 8 | N 6 | WSW 9 | NW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3 | 544 | 449 | 211 | 132 | 129 | 209 | 323 | 270 | 123 | 138 | 118 | 47 | 58 | 6 | 162 | 135 | 176 | 144 | 88 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:26PM4.30m | 7:49AM4.04m | 8:05PM4.46m | 8:26AM4.16m | 8:42PM4.49m | 9:00AM4.18m | 9:17PM4.38m | 9:34AM4.10m | 9:51PM4.16m | 10:06AM3.93m | 10:24PM3.87m | 10:39AM3.69m | 10:58PM3.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:29PM0.31m | 1:58AM0.06m | 2:06PM0.12m | 2:33AM-0.03m | 2:40PM0.04m | 3:05AM0.00m | 3:12PM0.07m | 3:35AM0.13m | 3:44PM0.19m | 4:03AM0.34m | 4:14PM0.39m | 4:31AM0.60m | 4:46PM0.66m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |
 | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:34 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | N 4 | — | SW 15 | W 15 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | N 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | S 11 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | N 6 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 211 | 132 | 1 | — | 8 | 4 | 123 | 138 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 176 | 144 | 94 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | SW 15 | — | — | SW 13 | NNW 4 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | SW 12 | — | SSW 7 | S 6 | WSW 9 | W 10 |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | — | 6 | — | 8 | — | — | 7 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | 5 | 1 | 88 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | NNW 4 | — | SW 8 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | NW 4 | — | SW 9 | WSW 5 | SW 5 | SW 6 | W 6 | W 6 | NNW 5 | N 6 | — | NW 5 |
| kJ | 115 | 544 | 449 | 5 | — | 129 | 209 | 323 | 270 | 3 | — | 118 | 47 | 58 | 146 | 162 | 135 | 49 | 141 | — | 32 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 350 | 367 | 121 | 41 | 41 | 151 | 168 | 240 | 184 | 41 | 41 | 144 | 72 | 168 | 112 | 110 | 1295 | 46 | 138 | 75 | 75 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Abereiddy Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Abereiddy provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Abereiddy can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Abereiddy surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Abereiddy) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Abereiddy may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Abereiddy, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Fishguard which is 20 km (12 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 32 km (20 miles) away, Pembroke, Aberporth and Carmarthen.
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