Three Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this forecast for Three Peaks is a tough one to swallow. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, and the honest truth is there’s barely a session worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak, and most days are a write-off. We’re looking at a long gap of poor conditions right from the start, with only a couple of moments in the second week that might give you a mediocre wave.

Let’s get into it. The water’s sitting at 69°F which is a solid 7°F warmer than average for this time of year – that’s very unusual, like swimming in a bath. But that’s where the good news ends.

From Saturday the 15th of August right through the whole first week, it’s a dead zone. The wave heights are stuck between 1.0ft and 4ft, barely cracking 3ft most days. The combined swell energy is a pitiful 35 to 150 (weak to moderate at best), and the period is short, mostly 5 to 8 seconds – that’s windswell junk, not real groundswell. The wind is all over the place: cross-off, cross-on, cross – it’s rarely clean, and when it is, the swell is too small to do anything with. Monday the 17th has a 2ft W swell with a 5-second period and cross-off wind in the morning, but it’s just a dribble. Tuesday the 18th morning sees a 4ft W swell, the biggest of the week, with a 6-second period and moderate energy (150), but the wind is cross-shore with a chop – messy, onshore, and not worth the drive. The rest of the week is more of the same: tiny, choppy, and poor. There’s a clean spell on Friday the 21st morning with 3ft WSW swell and cross-off wind, but the energy is only 83 and the period is 6 seconds – it’s a marginal mushburger.

Now, into the second week, things get even smaller. From Saturday the 22nd of August through to Wednesday the 26th, the swell drops to 0.3ft to 1ft, with energy between 11 and 34 (very weak). The period does stretch out to 13-14 seconds on Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th, but that’s a 0.3ft long-period groundswell – it’s a ghost, barely a ripple. The wind is clean (offshore or glassy) on several mornings, but there’s simply no water moving. For a break like Three Peaks, which is an exposed beach break, this long-period stuff will just break too straight and close out – not that you’d even get a ride.

The only glimmer comes on Thursday the 27th of August morning. We’ve got a 2ft WSW swell, 8-second period, clean cross-off wind from the ESE at 10 km/h, and an energy of 45 (weak). The guidance says the conditions are “surfable but very ordinary” – that’s the best we’ve got. Then Friday the 28th morning is glassy, with 2ft WSW swell, 9-second period, and energy of 49 – again, just surfable. But these are tiny waves, and the wind turns onshore in the afternoons. For a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent, it’s a real bummer. The crowds are possible here, but with conditions this poor, you’ll probably have the place to yourself.

That’s your lot. Nothing to get excited about. Keep your eyes on the forecasts – things can change.

Rusty.

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