Duckpool Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Rusty here with the full 16-day picture for us, and I gotta say, it’s one of those outlooks that takes its time getting warmed up. We’ve got a lot of days with nothing much happening before a potential little window late in the run.

The first swell we can actually talk about shows up on Friday the 11th of September at Duckpool Bay. We’re looking at 5 ft of swell coming from the west, but the wind is blowing cross-on from the northwest at 9 mph, making a mess of things. The water temperature is about average for this time of year which is fine, but the surf itself is labelled poor. Not the kind of session you paddle out for.

This kind of mediocre, onshore-affected surf is pretty much the story right through the next week and a half. We see a mix of cross-on and onshore winds from all different directions, mostly moderate to fresh breezes keeping the surface chopped up and lumpy. There’s wave energy in the water, but the wind just ruins the shape every time. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, it’s a tough run.

Now, if you’re patient, there’s finally a shift around the 19th of September. On Saturday morning, we get a light cross-on breeze from the west-southwest at only 6 mph, and the swell picks up to 8 ft from the west with a short period of 8 seconds. The conditions are described as marginal, but at least the wind is light. That afternoon, the swell drops a little to 7 ft with the same light wind. It’s not perfect, but it’s the first time the wind isn’t howling.

The real standout, though, looks to be much further out. Hold onto your boards for Thursday the 24th of September. Duckpool Bay gets an absolutely glassy start to the day. The wind is almost non-existent from the east-northeast and the water will be like a mirror. Swell hits a solid 8 ft from the west with an 8-second period. The wave energy reading is strong. We are looking at what the data says is “very good surf conditions.” That’s the one to circle on the calendar right now. The afternoon is still clean with a light cross-shore, but the morning glass is the pick.

Just when you think it can’t get any better, the forecast for Friday the 25th of September is huge. We’re talking a 10 ft west-southwest swell with a 9-second period and the combined energy reading is massive. The wind is dead calm, glassy. But here’s the catch: the forecast itself warns the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. 10-foot waves are hefty. That is strictly for experts only. If you aren’t confident in big, powerful waves, this is a spectator day. The same conditions carry into Saturday the 26th of September.

So there you have it. A long dry spell, a little bump in the middle that’s still average, and then a fantastic but potentially heavy finish. Keep an eye on that Thursday the 24th.

Rusty.

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