Duckpool Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a long stretch of mostly poor surf at Duckpool Bay, with the odd flicker of very ordinary conditions. The first proper chance to get wet doesn’t even come until the 18th, so we’re looking at a solid ten-day gap with nothing worthwhile on offer. It’s the kind of quiet spell that can test your patience, but hang in there.

The pattern starts with a pulse of 6ft west swell on Tuesday the 8th, but it’s completely blown out by a strong cross-onshore wind. The wave energy is moderate (627), but the wind is just too raw to make it work. That theme continues through Wednesday and Thursday as the swell drops right off – we’re seeing heights down to 2ft and energy levels falling into the double digits (67). The wind stays messy, either cross or cross-on, with periods as short as 6 seconds. Not a lot to get excited about.

Friday the 11th sees a push back up to 5ft from the west, with moderate energy (439), but again the cross-shore chop ruins the ride. Saturday and Sunday are a similar story, though Sunday morning the 13th offers a brief moment of hope with 5ft west swell and offshore wind. The conditions are rated as marginal, and the crowd is sometimes there. It’s the best of a bad bunch in the first week, but it’s far from a standout.

Monday the 14th through Wednesday the 16th sees the swell drop to under 3ft, with energy in the 100 to 180 range, but the wind is a mess – cross-on or cross-shore, often fresh to strong. The period on the 15th and 16th stretches to 10-11 seconds, which is a longer period signal, but the wind is ruining the surface.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. On Friday the 18th, things start to clean up. The swell is 3ft to 4ft from the west, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The conditions are described as clean, and the wave energy is moderate (146 to 286). It’s still only surfable with very ordinary conditions, but it’s a step up. Saturday the 19th is similar, with 2ft to 3ft west swell, light cross-offshore winds, and clean conditions. Energy is light to moderate (101 to 136).

Sunday the 20th gives us a tiny 1ft west swell and clean conditions, but it’s really small. Monday the 21st brings a massive burst of energy – 420 to 448 – from a 15-16 second period west swell, but the wind is screaming onshore at 25 mph. It’s a total mess and would be more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session.

The best on offer in this whole 16-day window is the morning of Friday the 18th. It’s not perfect, but it’s the closest we get to surfable. The 3ft west swell with a 6-second period is short, but the light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE makes the surface clean. The break is inconsistent, so don’t expect a wave every minute, but the water temperature is about average for the time of year. If you’re keen, that’s the session to aim for.

Saturday the 19th morning is the second pick, with a similar setup – 3ft west swell, clean, and light wind. It’s small, but it’s clean.

We’ve got a long wait, but the forecast can change. Stay optimistic.

Rusty.

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