Walcott Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper surf. There’s a long stretch of nothing on the cards before we see any real swell, so if you’re hanging for a wave, you’re gonna need some patience.

First up, Walcott is an inconsistent sort of spot, and that’s being generous. It's a beginner-friendly break, but the word on the street is that it doesn't really fire all that often. And for the first week and a bit, it’s not firing at all. The water is a balmy 67°F, which is a few degrees warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a nice touch for the summer.

From the 15th through to the 21st, we're looking at tiny, weak waves – ankle to knee-high slop at best. Most of the time there's a cross-onshore breeze chopping it all up. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th when the wind goes clean and offshore, which will make the water look pretty, but there’s just no power behind it. It’s a real kick in the teeth. The swell energy is weak too, sitting down at 13 to 60 in the combined energy stakes. There just won't be anything to ride.

As we head into the week of the 22nd, the swell actually starts to build, but it's a cruel joke because the wind goes against it. By the 22nd and 23rd it’s pushing 3ft to 4ft with moderate energy (114 up to 243), but it’s wrapped in a cross-onshore wind, making it choppy and uninviting. There's plenty of water moving, just no quality to it.

Now, things get serious from the 24th onwards. The models are showing a big pulse of energy for the end of the month. On Monday the 24th, the swell is already 8ft and ramping up, and by Tuesday the 25th we’re looking at a solid 13ft of north swell. The combined energy jumps right up into the thousands – we're talking strong to very strong wave energy here, with readings of 2896 on the Tuesday. But before you get too excited, this is where I have to burst your bubble. This is a north swell, which is an onshore direction for Walcott. The wind is going to be screaming out of the north and northwest at 34 to 35 mph, which will just blow the whole thing to pieces. It’ll be a raw, violent, blown-out mess. For any beginner, this is an absolute no-go – that size is well beyond limits, and the conditions will be dangerous. Even for experts, this looks more like a kite-surfing playground than a surf break.

The swell hangs around in the 6ft to 10ft range for the 26th and 27th, but the wind stays strong from the north and cross-onshore. It's a messy, lumpy ocean with a lot of water moving but no shape to it. The quality is just terrible.

After that, the swell fades back down to the 3ft mark by the 28th and down to under 3ft by the 29th and 30th, with fresh cross-onshore winds keeping things bumpy. The period also drops off, so even when there is some size, it's not doing us any favours.

So, the bottom line from me is this: there is no standout surf in the next two weeks. The only notable event is that big, powerful, and completely wind-blown swell around the 25th of August. It’ll be a sight to see, but you won't want to be paddling out for a clean one. This is about as blank a run as you can get for a spot like this. The forecast can change, but as it stands, you might be better off finding another hobby for a while.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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