Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, E swell with 164 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's break it down in feet and knots.
Looking at the 16-day window for Freshwater Bay, it's a tough one. The water is sitting at 70°F – that's a huge 8°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so you'll be in boardies for sure. But the swell? It's just not playing ball for a long stretch. There's a big gap of nothing worth paddling out for from the 7th of August all the way through until the 14th of August. You're looking at a week of flat or choppy, messy conditions with hardly any energy.
The first real flicker of hope comes on the morning of Thursday the 14th of August. The wind is light and offshore from the north, cleaning up a tiny 1ft swell from the WSW. The period is a solid 9 seconds, so there's a bit of shape to it, but the combined energy is only 50 – weak stuff. It's a clean, glassy morning, but you're scratching for small waves. That afternoon the wind swings to a cross-shore, bumping the energy up to 104 (moderate), but with a 2ft swell and a cross-chop, it's not the cleanest.
The only standout, and I mean the only one that gets my blood pumping, is the morning of Wednesday the 19th of August. We've got a 5ft swell from the WSW pushing in with a combined energy of 164 (moderate). That's the biggest swell of the entire period. The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the ENE, which isn't perfect, but it's not a full-on onshore mess. The catch is that 5ft swell is right on the edge of being too much for beginners. For the more experienced crew, this is the best on offer. The downside is that crowds are "sometimes" a factor at Freshwater Bay, so you might have to share it. The optimum swell direction for this reef and point break is SW, and this swell is WSW, so it's close enough to be working well.
Beyond that, the rest of the window is a write-off. The 20th and 21st bring some onshore wind and chop, and the 22nd is just a lumpy, cross-onshore mess. It's a tough forecast, but that Wednesday morning session on the 19th is your best bet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Tue night, calm by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | WSW 4 | W 6 | W 6 | ESE 4 | W 9 | WSW 3 | W 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | E 3 | E 5 | E 5 | W 13 | E 5 | E 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 74 | 3 | 85 | 46 | 18 | 31 | 64 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | on | on | cross-off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 5:54PM2.10m | 6:32AM1.97m | 7:11PM2.09m | 8:12AM2.02m | 8:42PM2.17m | 9:39AM2.20m | 9:56PM2.34m | 10:41AM2.41m | 10:52PM2.52m | 11:32AM2.60m | 11:40PM2.65m | 12:17PM2.72m | 00:23AM2.72m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:51PM0.73m | 12:27PM0.72m | 1:17AM0.62m | 1:46PM0.63m | 2:24AM0.40m | 2:48PM0.47m | 3:18AM0.15m | 3:39PM0.31m | 4:06AM-0.07m | 4:26PM0.17m | 4:51AM-0.23m | 5:11PM0.08m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 30 | 21 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 24 | 26 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | WSW 4 | — | — | W 7 | ESE 4 | E 4 | W 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 11 | WSW 10 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 10 | W 6 | W 6 | W 9 | SW 7 | — | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | — | W 10 | W 10 | — | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | E 4 | WSW 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 1 | 32 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 6 | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | W 13 | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | — | — | ESE 2 | ESE 4 | — | WSW 3 | NNW 3 | NE 3 | — | E 3 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | — | NNW 2 | WSW 8 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 8 | 48 | 74 | 273 | 85 | 46 | — | 1 | 64 | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 371 | 343 | 306 | 282 | 282 | 622 | 343 | 282 | 276 | 282 | 282 | 430 | 343 | 198 | 168 | 116 | 173 | 169 | 341 | 116 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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