Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
19.5° C
4.0° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, E swell with 203 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10PM (Mon 13th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let's see what's up for Freshwater Bay.

We're looking at a pretty bleak stretch ahead, to be honest. The bay is a reef and point setup that wants a good SW swell to get going, and the wind needs to play nice. For the next couple of weeks, it's mostly just not happening. The majority of the forecast is a write-off, with tiny, wind-affected dribble or flat spells. There's a huge gap from the start of the forecast right through until the morning of July 27th where there's just nothing worth paddling out for. The odd little spike in energy, like the 4 ft swell on July 12th, was completely ruined by a howling 19 mph cross-shore wind, making it a lumpy, chopy mess. The water temp is 67°F at the start, which is 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a very unusual and noticeable anomaly, feels more like a bathtub than a winter lineup.

The only real glimmer of hope, and I mean the only one, lands on the morning of Monday, July 27th. The combined energy of all swells directed here will be strong at 527, pushing a solid 7 ft swell out of the SW. The wind is forecast to be glassy, from the NNW at just 3 mph. That is a golden ticket. 7 ft is a solid size, getting into the territory where it's best for the experienced crew, but with that kind of wind and a decent 8-second period, the point should be offering up some proper, clean lines. The afternoon of that same day, however, the wind swings around to the SW again and the conditions get messy, so it's a real short window. It's a long way out, so don't get your heart set, but if that forecast holds, that morning is your only real shot at a magic session.

Stay salty,
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun night, light winds from the ESE by Tue afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
E
6
2.5
E
7
2
E
7
1.5
E
6
0.1
W
13
1.1
ENE
6
0.7
E
5
1
E
5
0.9
ENE
5
0.9
E
5
0.1
W
9
0.1
W
9
0.5
SW
9
0.9
WSW
4
0.4
SW
7
0.7
SW
4
0.3
SW
7
0.4
SW
7
0.6
WSW
7
0.4
WSW
4
0.7
E
4
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
86
0
0
0
4
83
23
51
41
41
2
2
39
26
14
16
7
11
29
6
19
Wind (km/h)
30
E
40
ENE
35
ENE
30
E
30
NE
25
ENE
15
SE
20
NE
20
NE
15
ENE
10
NE
10
ESE
15
SW
10
NNW
15
NW
30
WSW
10
NNE
10
NNW
10
SSE
20
NE
15
NE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
on
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:01PM2.36m
10:49AM2.38m
11:02PM2.50m
11:44AM2.55m
11:54PM2.62m
12:34PM2.68m
00:42AM2.69m
1:21PM2.73m
1:27AM2.69m
2:05PM2.71m
2:10AM2.63m
2:48PM2.64m
2:53AM2.50m
Low Tide
3:30AM0.12m
3:51PM0.23m
4:19AM-0.08m
4:40PM0.13m
5:06AM-0.23m
5:26PM0.09m
5:52AM-0.29m
6:12PM0.10m
6:37AM-0.26m
6:57PM0.18m
7:21AM-0.15m
7:42PM0.30m
8:05AM0.03m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:07
5:07
5:09
5:09
5:11
5:13
5:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:15
9:15
9:14
9:13
9:12
9:10
9:09
9:08
 mm
4
Temp °C
28
21
25
26
21
27
28
24
25
27
24
23
24
22
23
22
19
23
23
22
21
Feels °C
24
12
20
20
15
24
25
20
24
26
24
23
23
21
21
21
17
22
22
19
19
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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