Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, WSW swell with 173 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking at Freshwater Bay.
Right off the bat, things are looking pretty lean. For the next couple of weeks, the swell is weak and the wind is messy. There’s a long stretch of over a week with nothing worth paddling out for. The only real pulse shows up way out near the end of the period.
Our only spot is Freshwater Bay, a reef and point break that is fairly consistent, but that doesn’t mean much when the ocean is this quiet. The water is sitting at 68°, which is about 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that is very unusual.
Let’s take it day by day. Starting Thursday the 10th through the weekend, the swell is tiny. Friday morning the 11th sees a 0.9m (3ft) swell, but the combined energy is only 81 (weak). It’s clean with a cross-offshore wind, but the waves are ordinary. Saturday the 12th is smaller with lumpy cross-chop. Sunday the 13th has a clean 0.2m (0.7ft) long-period swell, but the energy is just 11 – no grunt.
Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th stay clean but tiny. Tuesday afternoon offers a brief clean window with a 0.8m (3ft) swell, but it’s still weak (25 energy). Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th finally see some offshore wind from the NNW, which is good, but the swell is barely 0.5m (2ft). The period is 10 seconds, but there’s no power.
From Friday the 18th right through to Monday the 23rd, it’s flat. Swell heights drop to 0.1m (0.3ft), with energy in the single digits. Clean conditions, but no surf.
Then we get the one real event. On Thursday the 24th of September, a 1.9m (6ft) swell arrives from the WSW with a 6-second period. The combined energy hits 290 (moderate). Friday the 25th sees a 1.7m (6ft) to 1.5m (5ft) swell from the same direction, with energy up to 322. That is the only decent size in the whole 16 days. The catch? The wind is cross or cross-onshore, and the period is short. It’s going to be bumpy and choppy. That kind of swell, with that short period and lumpy wind, is more suited for kite surfers than paddle surfers at this beach and reef setup. It is also too big for beginners – definitely only for experienced surfers.
So, if you are holding out, circle Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th of September on your calendar. It won’t be pretty, but it will be the only size we get. The rest of the time, the surf is a no-go.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu night, light winds from the W by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 11 | WSW 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | S 4 | SW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 34 | 32 | 156 | 59 | 90 | 30 | 15 | 54 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 12 | 34 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 49 | 39 | 52 | 41 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 11:13AM2.63m | 11:22PM2.63m | 11:54AM2.71m | 00:02AM2.67m | 12:32PM2.73m | 00:41AM2.65m | 1:07PM2.67m | 1:17AM2.57m | 1:40PM2.56m | 1:52AM2.45m | 2:11PM2.41m | 2:26AM2.29m | 2:43PM2.25m | 3:02AM2.13m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:11PM0.17m | 4:33AM-0.18m | 4:52PM0.05m | 5:12AM-0.23m | 5:32PM-0.00m | 5:50AM-0.19m | 6:10PM0.01m | 6:28AM-0.07m | 6:47PM0.10m | 7:05AM0.11m | 7:24PM0.25m | 7:41AM0.33m | 8:02PM0.44m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |  | | |  | | |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:19 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SE 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 |
| kJ | 16 | 3 | 9 | 59 | — | 30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 49 | 39 | 52 | 41 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | — | — | W 12 | W 11 | SW 11 | — | — | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | — | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | — | — | — | — | S 4 | SW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NE 3 |
| kJ | 34 | 32 | 156 | — | 90 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 111 | 66 | 30 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 110 | 168 | 187 | 0 | 32 | 108 | 24 | 268 | 211 | 141 | 109 | 112 | 187 | 152 | 116 | 169 | 1341 | 169 | 155 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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