Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period, WSW swell with 86 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it.
Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a rough stretch for Freshwater Bay. The whole sixteen-day window is a write-off for decent surf. We’ve got a reef and point break that normally knows how to handle a south-west swell, but it’s just not getting the love it needs.
The first entry we see is for Friday the 11th of September. Swell is a weak 3 ft from the west-south-west, period a short 8 seconds. Combined energy is a paltry 90, which is barely a whisper. The wind is a cross-shore 12 mph from the south-west, and the water temp is a very unusual 67 °F, much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only notable thing. The call is poor surf conditions.
From there it just gets sadder. Saturday morning the 12th drops to 2 ft, and the afternoon bumps up to 4 ft but with a horrible 5-second period and cross-shore winds picking up to 19 mph. Choppy, lumpy, no good.
Sunday morning the 13th sees a bit of hope with a 4 ft swell but that 5-second period is still junk. At least the wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but there’s no power behind it. The combined energy is only 86. The whole next week through to the 18th is a mess of tiny swell, strong winds, and zero energy.
The only faint flicker is on Saturday the 19th of September afternoon. We see 5 ft from the west-south-west, but it’s still a short 6-second period. The wind is a strong 25 mph cross-offshore, so it’s clean as a whistle, but that’s kite-surfing wind, not solid surfing wind. The combined energy finally hits 135, which is moderate, but with that wind and short period, it’s a bumpy, blown-out mess for a paddle surfer. For a kiteboarder, maybe it’s game on.
After that, the second week is even thinner. Tiny 0.3 ft to 1 ft swells with long periods up to 16 seconds, but the energy is in the single digits or low teens. There is one glassy moment on Saturday the 26th of September afternoon – 0.3 ft and glassy wind from the south-south-west at just 3 mph – but that’s a lake, not surf.
Honestly, if you’re waiting for a good wave at Freshwater Bay, you’re waiting a while. It’s a blank run for the whole sixteen days. There are no standout sessions. The best I can give you is a shrug.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri night, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Mon night, strong winds from the WSW by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 10 | WSW 6 | W 8 | WSW 11 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 90 | 67 | 37 | 52 | 0 | 86 | 64 | 34 | 13 | 27 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:02AM2.67m | 12:32PM2.73m | 00:41AM2.65m | 1:07PM2.67m | 1:17AM2.57m | 1:40PM2.56m | 1:52AM2.45m | 2:11PM2.41m | 2:26AM2.29m | 2:43PM2.25m | 3:02AM2.13m | 3:18PM2.09m | 3:44AM1.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:52PM0.05m | 5:12AM-0.23m | 5:32PM-0.00m | 5:50AM-0.19m | 6:10PM0.01m | 6:28AM-0.07m | 6:47PM0.10m | 7:05AM0.11m | 7:24PM0.25m | 7:41AM0.33m | 8:02PM0.44m | 8:19AM0.57m | 8:42PM0.66m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 6 | SW 12 | WSW 11 | — | — | WSW 9 |
| kJ | — | 67 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 34 | 9 | 27 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | — | — | 27 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 10 | — | — | — | W 12 | W 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | W 10 | WSW 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 8 | W 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 90 | — | 37 | 52 | 73 | 86 | 64 | — | 13 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 12 | 48 | 25 | 103 | 184 | 49 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 32 | 0 | 255 | 268 | 346 | 187 | 112 | 15 | 248 | 110 | 167 | 169 | 356 | 169 | 209 | 268 | 472 | 810 | 356 | 472 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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