Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 6s period, WSW swell with 272 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way for Freshwater Bay over the next couple of weeks. I won’t lie to you, it’s a tough stretch for paddle surfing.
First up, the overall pattern is pretty grim. There’s a long run of flat, wind-affected days right through the middle of the period. We’re looking at a gap from right now until Wednesday afternoon, 16th September, with nothing worth getting wet for. After that, it’s a whole lot of cross-shore chop and tiny swell.
The first real glimmer comes on Wednesday afternoon, 16th September. The ocean is finally putting out a little energy, with a combined wave energy of 157 (moderate). We’ve got a clean 3 ft of swell from the WSW, and best of all, the wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph. That offshore breeze will groom the faces, and with a period of 10 seconds, there’s enough push for a fun little wave. It’s surfable, but it’s only a 1 out of 10 from the model – so don’t get your hopes up for barrels. Freshwater Bay is a reef and point setup, and with that SW optimum direction lined up, it could offer a few corners.
If we jump forward to Monday morning, 28th September, things get interesting for the brave. The swell is pushing 8 ft from the SW, with a combined energy reading of 483 (strong) and a period of just 7 seconds. That’s a short-period, wind-driven swell, so it will be lumpy and powerful. With the wind light and cross-onshore from the ESE, it’s going to be a proper battle. At that size, this spot is strictly for experts only. It’s too big for beginners. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.
Honestly, if you’re not an expert, the only standout in this whole forecast is that Wednesday afternoon session. The rest looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, thanks to all the cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun night, min 14°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | W 9 | WSW 4 | W 12 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 13 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 17 | 41 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 136 | 12 | 194 | 169 | 0 | 17 | 138 | 247 | 119 | 215 | 0 | 36 | 13 | 35 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:40PM2.56m | 1:52AM2.45m | 2:11PM2.41m | 2:26AM2.29m | 2:43PM2.25m | 3:02AM2.13m | 3:18PM2.09m | 3:44AM1.98m | 4:01PM1.95m | 4:35AM1.85m | 4:56PM1.85m | 5:40AM1.77m | 6:03PM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:28AM-0.07m | 6:47PM0.10m | 7:05AM0.11m | 7:24PM0.25m | 7:41AM0.33m | 8:02PM0.44m | 8:19AM0.57m | 8:42PM0.66m | 9:00AM0.81m | 9:30PM0.87m | 9:56AM1.02m | 10:56PM1.03m | 11:56AM1.13m | 1:02AM0.98m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | W 9 | WSW 9 | W 12 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 11 | — | — | — | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | — | SW 12 | — | — | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 9 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 21 | 12 | — | — | — | 17 | 18 | — | 6 | — | — | 36 | 13 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 35 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WNW 4 | WSW 10 | W 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | N 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 17 | 29 | 16 | 47 | 37 | 47 | 16 | 136 | 24 | 194 | 169 | 109 | 91 | 138 | 247 | 119 | 215 | 184 | 5 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 248 | 110 | 255 | 346 | 346 | 24 | 23 | 0 | 315 | 515 | 346 | 169 | 347 | 268 | 347 | 317 | 268 | 15 | 161 | 109 | 109 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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