Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
20.7°C
3.8° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WSW swell with 1,141 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Tue 1st Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 6s
Best Surf 1AM (Tue 1st Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 6s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 29th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s look at the waves ahead for Freshwater Bay.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are pretty grim for decent surf around here. There is a long dry spell on the cards. From now through to the end of August, it’s basically a write-off. We’ve got a solid 7 or 8 days where there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The wind is mostly howling from the SW, cross or cross-on, and while there’s some size showing on the charts, it’s all junk. That 10ft swell on Saturday the 29th is raw power (combined energy of 855) but it’s getting smashed by a near-gale cross-shore wind. That’s kite-surfing territory, not for a regular stick. The water is sitting at a very unusual 69°F for this time of year, which is much warmer than normal.

Things don't really start looking interesting until we get into the first week of September, but even then it’s touch and go. The standout, and really the only one worth highlighting, is the morning of Saturday the 5th of September. For a brief window, we get a 3ft SW swell with a period around 5 seconds, but the real story is the wind. It swings light ENE at just 3 mph and goes glassy. For a reef and point break that handles a SW swell, that is a rare treat. The wave energy is moderate (107), but the clean conditions will make it look way better than it is. It’s a fair consistent break, so there should be a few to yourself, though crowds are possible.

The afternoon of the 5th sees the swell jump to 8ft from the SW (773 combined energy) but the wind turns cross-on and it gets lumpy. That one is only going to be for the experienced crew.

After that, it fades back into small and messy cross-shore stuff through the second week. There are a few clean mornings with a W wind, like the 9th of September, but with tiny 3ft to 3ft swell and weak energy, it’s not a priority.

So, bottom line: The next week is a write-off. If you want one shot, be ready for that glassy Saturday morning on the 5th of September. That’s your window.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sun night, light winds from the W by Tue night).

Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
4
0.7
SSW
4
0.3
SW
7
0.9
WSW
4
2
WSW
6
2.4
WSW
7
1.9
SW
6
3
SW
7
2.2
WSW
7
0.8
WSW
9
1.2
SW
5
2.5
WSW
7
2
WSW
6
2.2
WSW
6
1.1
WSW
6
0.7
WSW
8
1.2
WSW
5
0.1
W
9
0.2
W
8
0.8
WSW
4
0.8
WSW
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
16
15
8
24
305
562
278
855
537
99
63
656
315
399
91
56
63
2
6
19
25
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
25
SW
15
WSW
25
WSW
40
SW
40
SW
40
SSW
50
SW
35
W
25
SW
35
SW
40
WSW
30
W
25
W
15
W
25
WSW
35
SW
15
WNW
15
WSW
25
SW
45
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
11:28AM2.36m
11:28PM2.43m
12:02PM2.47m
00:02AM2.49m
12:35PM2.54m
00:37AM2.52m
1:09PM2.56m
1:12AM2.49m
1:44PM2.53m
1:48AM2.43m
2:20PM2.45m
2:28AM2.34m
2:59PM2.34m
3:13AM2.22m
Low Tide
4:34PM0.39m
4:52AM0.07m
5:06PM0.27m
5:24AM-0.04m
5:39PM0.19m
5:57AM-0.10m
6:14PM0.14m
6:32AM-0.10m
6:50PM0.14m
7:08AM-0.03m
7:29PM0.20m
7:48AM0.11m
8:11PM0.31m
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:11
6:11
6:13
6:15
6:16
6:18
6:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:02
8:00
7:58
7:55
7:53
7:52
7:50
 mm
4
1
2
3
2
4
1
3
Temp °C
20
20
18
19
18
18
19
19
18
19
19
17
19
20
17
18
19
16
17
18
18
Feels °C
19
17
16
13
11
12
12
11
12
15
14
11
15
16
15
14
15
12
13
15
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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