
Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, WSW swell with 606 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks at Freshwater Bay.
Honestly, if you’re looking for good surf, you’ve got a long wait. This forecast is a tough one. There’s a big gap of weak, messy, or flat days right through until the middle of the month. The first real pulse of size doesn’t arrive until Thursday, the 17th of September, and even then it’s a tricky customer.
For the first full week, from Monday the 7th through to around the 16th, it’s a write-off. We’ve got tiny swell, a lot of cross-shore wind, and poor surf conditions dominating. A few clean moments pop up here and there, like Wednesday morning the 9th with a 3ft offshore wind, but the energy is weak. It’s not worth paddling out for.
The one standout in the whole run lands on Thursday morning, the 17th of September. We see a 10ft swell from the WSW, with a combined wave energy of 1148 (that’s strong). Now, that size pushes into expert-only territory for sure. The period is only 8 seconds though, so it’s a windswell – not a clean groundswell – and the wind is cross-shore at 22 mph, making for lumpy, choppy conditions. It’s big and powerful, but don’t expect perfection. Freshwater Bay is a reef and point setup, best with a SW direction. The swell direction is WSW, which is close but not quite bang on. It’ll offer some waves for the experienced crew, but it’s more of a brute than a beauty.
Later on, Saturday morning the 19th shows a second pulse of 8ft swell (moderate energy at 595) with clean, cross-off wind. That’s another one for skilled surfers only, given the size. The consistency is fairly consistent here, so you can expect it to pump through, but again, that short 7-second period means lully, less organised lines.
In a nutshell: hold your horses for the first ten days. The big stuff on the 17th and 19th offers the only real size, but it comes with lumpy wind and short-period chop. For beginners, it’s too big anyway. For experts, there’s something to chase, but it won’t be a classic.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Warm (max 22°C on Sun night, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sun night, fresh winds from the WNW by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | W 11 | WSW 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 5 | W 10 | WSW 6 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
76 | 472 | 94 | 53 | 63 | 10 | 131 | 94 | 37 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 30 | 32 | 90 | 57 | 52 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:16AM2.07m | 8:38PM2.17m | 9:31AM2.27m | 9:44PM2.35m | 10:27AM2.47m | 10:37PM2.51m | 11:13AM2.63m | 11:22PM2.63m | 11:54AM2.71m | 00:02AM2.67m | 12:32PM2.73m | 00:41AM2.65m | 1:07PM2.67m | 1:17AM2.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:38PM0.72m | 2:13AM0.41m | 2:38PM0.53m | 3:05AM0.16m | 3:27PM0.33m | 3:51AM-0.04m | 4:11PM0.17m | 4:33AM-0.18m | 4:52PM0.05m | 5:12AM-0.23m | 5:32PM-0.00m | 5:50AM-0.19m | 6:10PM0.01m | ||||||||
6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | 6 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | W 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | W 10 | — | — | — |
76 | 181 | 94 | 46 | 63 | 10 | 131 | — | 37 | 23 | — | 2 | 10 | 32 | 90 | 45 | — | 8 | — | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | WSW 13 | WSW 6 | SW 5 | WSW 5 | W 6 | NW 4 | WSW 8 | NW 2 | — | WSW 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 |
16 | 472 | 95 | 53 | 28 | 139 | 12 | 94 | 1 | — | 31 | 29 | 30 | 19 | 59 | 57 | 52 | 119 | 47 | 32 | 30 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 209 | 211 | 24 | 209 | 346 | 169 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 268 | 268 | 255 | 201 | 108 | 0 | 248 | 248 | 211 | 346 | 108 | 221 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










