Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, E swell with 55 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee and let’s talk about what’s happening at Freshwater Bay. I’m not gonna lie to you—this one’s a tough stretch. The forecast is pretty much a write-off for the whole 16 days if you’re looking for a decent paddle. No standout sessions, no real pulse of energy that’s worth getting excited about. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least it’ll be a pleasant dip, but that’s about the only upside.
Thursday the 16th through the morning of Friday the 17th is flat and junky. A tiny 3 ft swell from the ENE with a short 5-second period and only 34 (weak energy) isn’t worth suiting up for, especially with a moderate cross-shore wind chopping it up. Friday afternoon cleans up a bit with a light breeze, but the swell drops to 1 ft and 2 (weak energy).
Saturday and Sunday stay tiny. Sunday morning the 19th has a clean, cross-off wind from the NE, but it’s only 3 ft of E swell at 5 seconds and 30 energy – barely a ripple. Monday the 20th is glassy in the morning, but the swell is 1 ft and 3 energy – you’d be bobbing around on a lake.
The pattern doesn’t improve. Tuesday through to the end of the month is a mix of tiny 0.3 ft to 2 ft swells, mostly from the WSW or SW, with periods all over the place. The winds are often cross to cross-on, and the energy stays in the single digits or low teens. There’s a blip on the afternoon of the 31st of July where the swell jumps to 7 ft from the WSW, but the period is only 6 seconds and the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-breeze – that’s going to be lumpy, choppy, and messy. The combined energy is 305 (moderate), but with that wind and short period, it’s more of a washing machine than a wave. That’s really only for the hardcore, and even then, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.
Honestly, there’s nothing here. No hidden gem, no sneaky window. The best advice I can give is to watch the forecast, because it can change, but right now, this is a blank run. Leave the boards at home for a while.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 4 | ENE 4 | ESE 3 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | W 10 | E 4 | W 12 | W 8 | E 4 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 4 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:27AM2.69m | 2:05PM2.71m | 2:10AM2.63m | 2:48PM2.64m | 2:53AM2.50m | 3:30PM2.51m | 3:35AM2.34m | 4:10PM2.36m | 4:17AM2.16m | 4:51PM2.21m | 5:02AM1.99m | 5:33PM2.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:12PM0.10m | 6:37AM-0.26m | 6:57PM0.18m | 7:21AM-0.15m | 7:42PM0.30m | 8:05AM0.03m | 8:29PM0.45m | 8:51AM0.26m | 9:19PM0.62m | 9:41AM0.51m | 10:19PM0.78m | 10:42AM0.73m | 11:36PM0.88m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — |
 | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:05 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 22 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | — | W 5 | W 7 | E 4 | ESE 3 | E 4 | E 3 | — | W 8 | E 4 | — | E 4 | — | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 7 | SW 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 5 | W 7 | — | — | W 7 | — | W 9 | — | W 11 | W 11 | — | — | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 8 | W 8 | SW 6 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | W 10 | — | W 12 | W 8 | — | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | — | — | SW 2 | — | ENE 4 | ESE 3 | E 5 | E 5 | — | E 3 | — | — | — | E 4 | — | — | — | SW 2 | — |
| kJ | 12 | — | — | 1 | — | 7 | 2 | 34 | 21 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 423 | 421 | 198 | 508 | 485 | 605 | 349 | 348 | 483 | 282 | 285 | 384 | 348 | 215 | 249 | 282 | 356 | 810 | 260 | |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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