Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Well, to be straight with you, the outlook for Freshwater Bay over the next sixteen days is a bit of a dud. We're looking at a long stretch of nothing special, with a lot of poor surf conditions and tiny waves. For the first week, it's a real struggle. The swell is practically non-existent—flat spells and ankle-biters are the norm. The combined wave energy is mostly in the single digits or low teens, which is weak. The water temperature is sitting at 70°, which is a massive 8° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's very unusual. For the first few days, the wind is a mess, with strong cross-shore breezes and choppy conditions. There's a bit of a sniff of something on Wednesday the 30th of July, with a 3ft swell from the WSW, but it's a short-period 4-second windswell and the wind is all wrong. It's just not worth getting wet for.

The first real sign of life pops up on Monday the 3rd of August. The morning sees a 3ft swell from the East with a combined energy of 46, and clean conditions thanks to a cross-offshore breeze from the NE. That's the best we've seen. Tuesday the 4th of August has a similar setup in the afternoon—3ft from the East, energy at 56, and light cross-offshore winds. It's small, but it's clean. For a spot like Freshwater Bay, which is a reef and point break that's fairly consistent, this is a glimmer. The optimum swell direction is SW, so this East swell is a bit of a mismatch, but the clean conditions might still make it fun for a longboard or a fish. The crowds can be an issue here sometimes, so be prepared for that.

The run continues into the second week with more of the same small, clean slop. The swell stays tiny, never really getting above 3ft, and the energy levels are low. The morning of Friday the 7th of August has a 3ft swell from the ESE, but it's blown out by a 12 mph onshore wind. The morning of Saturday the 8th of August sees a 3ft WSW swell, but with a cross-onshore wind, it's messy. The best of a bad bunch might be the morning of Monday the 10th of August, with a 1ft swell from the WSW and a cross-offshore wind, but it's just too small to get excited about. The combined energy is only 12. The second half of the forecast is a lot of the same—tiny bumps and wind.

There really isn't a standout session here. The only half-decent window is the 3rd and 4th of August, where the swell is at its biggest and the wind is clean. But even then, we're talking about 3ft surf. It's not a time to be planning a trip. The combined energy of all swells directed here is weak to moderate at best, never hitting the 100 mark. It's a frustrating period, but for this area, a blank run like this can happen. If you're desperate for a paddle, the 3rd of August morning is the one to try, but keep your expectations low.

Rusty.

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