Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Freshwater Bay.

I’ll be honest with you – this 16-day run is a total bummer. The forecast is calling for “poor surf conditions” from start to finish, with a score of zero on every session. That’s a long dry spell. For this area, a stretch like this isn't unheard of when the swell windows just don’t hit.

The first bit of action, if you want to call it that, is on the morning of July 26th. A small 4ft swell out of the WSW with a combined energy of just 100—weak energy. Winds are cross-off from the W at 16 mph, so it’s clean, but the period is a meager 6 seconds. That means weak, disorganized waves with no grunt. You’ll be scratching for anything. It’s a reef and point setup, which helps sort that short period a little, but at this size and power, it’s a tough sell. Crowds are sometimes a factor here.

Things tick up slightly on Monday the 27th. We get 3ft from the W with an 8-second period and energy at 101 (still weak). Wind drops to 9 mph from the W, keeping it glassy. Still small, but the best of the first week.

After that, it’s a wasteland. From the end of July through the first week of August, we’re looking at swell heights under 2ft, periods of 4 to 6 seconds, and energy values that barely hit the double digits (2 to 31). The wind direction changes daily, but the wave height is just too small to care.

By August 4th, the wind cranks out of the SW at 31 mph – that’s near gale force. The swell is back up to 4ft but with a 5-second period and that cross-shore wind, it’s a choppy mess. This setup is more for the kiteboarders than us.

If I had to pick the least-bad session, it’s the morning of Saturday, August 9th. The wind goes offshore from the NNW at just 3 mph – glassy conditions. The swell is only 1ft from the WSW with a puny period, so it’s basically flat, but the clean surface is about the only thing to get excited about. Combined energy is a tiny 9.

Honest truth: unless you’re desperate on a log, I’d give Freshwater Bay a miss for the next two weeks. The second week looks particularly bleak. But hey, forecasts change. Right now, it’s a wrap.

Rusty.

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