Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, E swell with 75 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s look at what Freshwater Bay is serving up for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, mate, it's a grim run. The water temp is 68°F, and that’s a massive 8°F warmer than usual for this time of year – seriously weird.
The first couple of days are a write-off. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th serve up some weak, short-period windswell (around 4ft down to 3ft, period 5-6 seconds) but it’s all crossed-up and choppy with moderate wind. Forget it.
Friday the 17th morning goes near flat with a tiny 0.3ft swell, and while the wind is light and clean (offshore from the NE), there’s literally nothing to ride. The same story runs right through the weekend and into the following week – tiny 0.3ft to 1ft waves. The best you’ll get is a few clean, glassy mornings with zero surf to paddle into. There’s a long gap here with no real surfing possible.
We finally get a tiny pulse around Friday the 24th morning – 2ft from the east, period a short 4 seconds. It's still poor. The next decent-looking bump doesn’t show up until the very end of the forecast period. On Thursday the 30th of July morning, there’s a 2ft swell from the WSW with period 4 seconds, and the wind is light and offshore from the W, so it will be clean. That afternoon the swell builds a little to 4ft from the SW with period 5 seconds. It’s not great, but it’s the best we get, and the wind is still cross-shore. It's a faint glimmer.
The break itself, Freshwater Bay, is a reef and point set-up that works best on a SW swell direction. It can get crowded sometimes. Given the lack of any quality swell during this period, the pickings are super slim. Nothing here is a standout. It’s just one of those flat spells.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 4 | E 4 | W 8 | E 4 | E 4 | SE 4 | S 3 | SE 3 | W 9 | W 8 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 113 | 31 | 75 | 53 | 25 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 12:34PM2.68m | 00:42AM2.69m | 1:21PM2.73m | 1:27AM2.69m | 2:05PM2.71m | 2:10AM2.63m | 2:48PM2.64m | 2:53AM2.50m | 3:30PM2.51m | 3:35AM2.34m | 4:10PM2.36m | 4:17AM2.16m | 4:51PM2.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:26PM0.09m | 5:52AM-0.29m | 6:12PM0.10m | 6:37AM-0.26m | 6:57PM0.18m | 7:21AM-0.15m | 7:42PM0.30m | 8:05AM0.03m | 8:29PM0.45m | 8:51AM0.26m | 9:19PM0.62m | 9:41AM0.51m | 10:19PM0.78m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:08 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:07 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 18 |
Feels °C | 22 | 23 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | SW 7 | E 4 | E 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | E 3 | W 8 | W 7 | SE 4 | — | — | ESE 2 | — | W 8 | E 3 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | W 6 | W 7 | W 8 | SW 7 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 8 | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 11 | W 8 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | SW 6 | W 8 | — | W 8 | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | N 3 | — | — | E 4 | — | E 4 | E 4 | — | S 3 | SE 3 | — | — | E 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 113 | 31 | 75 | 53 | 25 | 45 | 1 | — | — | 7 | — | 10 | 13 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 532 | 271 | 187 | 497 | 393 | 216 | 304 | 1465 | 448 | 483 | 483 | 215 | 241 | 304 | 285 | 483 | 608 | 215 | 249 | 250 | 249 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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