Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, WSW swell with 237 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a proper look at what’s on offer for Freshwater Bay over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, mate, the forecast is looking pretty grim for a solid stretch. There are no good surf options on the cards for the entire 16-day window. We’re looking at a big, long gap here.
Starting from Sunday the 13th of September, it’s all poor surf conditions. The swell is tiny and short period, or non-existent, and the winds are mostly cross or cross-off, but there’s just no energy to work with. The water is a notable 67°F with a temperature anomaly of 5°F – that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, which is unusual, but it won’t help the surf. The combined swell energy is a weak 74, and it just gets worse.
We do get a bit of a bump on Thursday the 17th of September. The swell picks up to 6ft from the WSW, with a combined energy of 218, but the period is a short 6 seconds, and the wind is a fresh cross-shore 22 mph from the WSW. That’s going to create lumpy, messy conditions. It’s not a write-off for everyone though – with that size and messy wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
After that, it’s back to tiny, weak swell for days. There’s a slight increase again towards the end of the second week. On Sunday the 27th of September, we see 5ft to 5ft from the ESE and E, with combined energy around 115 to 141, but again the period is a short 6 seconds and the winds are cross or cross-on. It’s going to be bumpy and choppy. Then on Monday the 28th, it jumps to 5ft from the east with 173 energy, but that fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind will just chop it all up again.
Honestly, there’s no standout window here. The whole 16 days is a blank run for decent waves. It’s one of those periods where the ocean just shuts down for us. Forecasts can change, but for now, you’re better off finding something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 9 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 74 | 25 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 54 | 23 | 218 | 175 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 104 | 107 | 99 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:17AM2.57m | 1:40PM2.56m | 1:52AM2.45m | 2:11PM2.41m | 2:26AM2.29m | 2:43PM2.25m | 3:02AM2.13m | 3:18PM2.09m | 3:44AM1.98m | 4:01PM1.95m | 4:35AM1.85m | 4:56PM1.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:10PM0.01m | 6:28AM-0.07m | 6:47PM0.10m | 7:05AM0.11m | 7:24PM0.25m | 7:41AM0.33m | 8:02PM0.44m | 8:19AM0.57m | 8:42PM0.66m | 9:00AM0.81m | 9:30PM0.87m | 9:56AM1.02m | 10:56PM1.03m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 18 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 11 | — | W 10 | — | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 12 | W 12 | W 11 | — |
| kJ | — | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 54 | 23 | — | 2 | — | 7 | 18 | 29 | 11 | 10 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 4 | — | W 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 74 | 25 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 34 | 43 | 50 | 16 | — | 26 | 218 | 175 | 109 | 97 | 107 | 104 | 107 | 99 | 111 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 108 | 108 | 248 | 110 | 248 | 346 | 268 | 169 | 169 | 268 | 322 | 346 | 346 | 346 | 347 | 268 | 319 | 347 | 248 | 161 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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