Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, E swell with 92 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days is a proper bummer. There’s just no surf to get excited about. The models are showing a whole lot of nothing, with every single session flagged as poor surf conditions. We’re looking at a blank run from now all the way through to the 15th of August.
Freshwater Bay is a reef and point setup that’s usually fairly consistent, but it’s not showing any love this time. The water temperature is sitting at 70°F which is a massive 8°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a really unusual anomaly, and it feels like a bathtub in there.
Let’s run through the dates. Friday the 31st of July starts off with a tiny 1.0ft swell from the west, with a weak 4-second period and combined energy of just 5. The morning has a clean offshore breeze from the NNW, but there’s simply no size or power. Saturday the 1st of August is even worse, with a 1.0ft west swell and a 0.3ft south-west swell in the afternoon. Sunday the 2nd is a washout with onshore winds and minimal energy. Monday the 3rd sees a slight bump to 3ft from the east, but the period is still weak and the energy is only 47 – still not enough to surf.
The rest of the week and into the second week is a repeating pattern of small, weak swells, often with cross-shore or onshore winds. Tuesday the 4th, Wednesday the 5th, Thursday the 6th, Friday the 7th – all showing wave heights under 3ft, short periods, and combined energy values that rarely break 100. There’s a little pulse on the 13th of August Thursday morning with 3ft from the ESE and a period of 5 seconds, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. The 14th and 15th are the same story – small, weak, and messy.
Honestly, with such tiny, weak swell and breezy conditions, this setup at a beach-and-reef spot looks more interesting for kitesurfing than paddle surfing. There’s just nothing for a surfer to work with. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the boards at home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | WSW 3 | WSW 4 | W 4 | WSW 3 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | E 5 | E 5 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 4 | W 10 | WSW 6 | SW 7 | W 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 31 | 18 | 28 | 84 | 35 | 21 | 35 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 10 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 1:07PM2.43m | 1:06AM2.45m | 1:42PM2.45m | 1:40AM2.42m | 2:16PM2.44m | 2:14AM2.35m | 2:52PM2.39m | 2:50AM2.27m | 3:28PM2.33m | 3:30AM2.18m | 4:09PM2.24m | 4:17AM2.08m | 4:56PM2.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:04PM0.33m | 6:23AM0.02m | 6:38PM0.32m | 6:57AM0.02m | 7:14PM0.34m | 7:32AM0.07m | 7:52PM0.39m | 8:11AM0.17m | 8:35PM0.48m | 8:55AM0.31m | 9:24PM0.59m | 9:48AM0.49m | 10:27PM0.70m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — |
 | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:47 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | WSW 4 | W 4 | SW 10 | WSW 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | E 4 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | — | W 8 | W 10 | WSW 6 | W 10 | W 4 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 28 | — | 35 | 21 | — | 5 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | — | — | — | WSW 9 | SW 4 | — | W 10 | — | SW 8 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 6 | — | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | — | 8 | — | 18 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 12 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | WSW 3 | NNW 4 | — | WSW 3 | NNW 3 | ENE 3 | E 3 | E 5 | E 5 | — | WSW 3 | WSW 8 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | SW 4 | WSW 5 | — | SW 7 | — |
| kJ | 4 | 10 | 16 | — | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 67 | 31 | — | 2 | 84 | 23 | 18 | 35 | 26 | 62 | — | 35 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 366 | 890 | 344 | 284 | 303 | 116 | 405 | 282 | 196 | 27 | 201 | 197 | 285 | 285 | 99 | 351 | 187 | 27 | 355 | 303 | 315 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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