Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, E swell with 60 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at what we’ve got coming up for Freshwater Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch for paddle surfing. This spot is a reef and point setup, exposed to the SW, which is the direction it wants for those clean lines. But the whole forecast period is full of tiny, weak swell and inconsistent winds. The first surf recommendation doesn’t show up until the morning of Tuesday, August 11th, so we’re looking at a solid two-week gap of nothing worth paddling out for. That’s a long dry spell, and for this area, it’s a bit of a bummer, but it happens.
The only real standout in the whole window is the morning of Tuesday, August 11th. The wind is glassy, and the swell is coming from the SW, which is the optimum direction for this break. The wave height is 3ft with a combined energy of 70 (moderate wave energy). The period is 5 seconds, which is short-period wind swell, so it’s not going to have that deep, groundswell punch. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.
The break is fairly consistent and intermediate-level, but with such a small swell, it’s really only going to be for the longboard or a funboard. There’s a chance of crowds here, as it can get busy. It’s a one-day wonder, and it’s clean, but don’t expect any power.
Before that, on Wednesday, August 12th, we get a bump in size to 6ft from the SW, with combined energy ramping up to 296 (strong wave energy), but it’s a morning session only. The wind is light and cross-shore, which is okay, but the swell is short period at 7 seconds. The conditions are described as “marginal” and with a low score, so it’s not a sure thing. It’s better than the rest of the garbage, but it’s still not a day to call in sick for.
The rest of the period is a write-off. Tiny swell, onshore or cross-shore winds, and a lot of chop. The wind gets strong from the SW on the 5th and 6th of August with 4ft to 4ft of wind swell, but it’s fresh cross-onshore and lumpy. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, if you’re into that.
So, to sum it up: if you’re desperate for a surf, the morning of August 11th is your best bet. Clean and glassy, but small. The 12th morning has more size, but it’s a gamble. Otherwise, the board stays in the car.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | — | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | SW 2 | W 12 | W 10 | SW 10 | WSW 9 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 53 | 9 | 30 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:23AM2.18m | 11:24PM2.30m | 11:59AM2.29m | 11:59PM2.39m | 12:33PM2.38m | 00:32AM2.44m | 1:07PM2.43m | 1:06AM2.45m | 1:42PM2.45m | 1:40AM2.42m | 2:16PM2.44m | 2:14AM2.35m | 2:52PM2.39m | 2:50AM2.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:21PM0.52m | 4:44AM0.25m | 4:56PM0.43m | 5:18AM0.14m | 5:30PM0.37m | 5:50AM0.06m | 6:04PM0.33m | 6:23AM0.02m | 6:38PM0.32m | 6:57AM0.02m | 7:14PM0.34m | 7:32AM0.07m | 7:52PM0.39m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |  | |
 | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — |
 | — | 8:57 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:47 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 19 |
Feels °C | 19 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | — | — | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | NE 4 | W 12 | W 4 | SW 10 | W 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | E 5 | E 4 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 14 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 10 | — | W 11 | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | W 9 | W 10 | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | WSW 10 | ENE 4 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 7 | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | — | W 8 | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | NNW 3 | — | SW 2 | NW 3 | N 3 | WSW 3 | — | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 6 | 20 | 9 | 20 | 10 | — | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | — | 22 | 33 | 53 | — | 30 | 56 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 116 | 120 | 260 | 249 | 284 | 268 | 344 | 810 | 355 | 276 | 276 | 367 | 472 | 366 | 534 | 351 | 304 | 183 | 287 | 171 | 108 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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