Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, E swell with 117 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next 16 days are a real test of patience for anyone looking to paddle out at Freshwater Bay.
We’re looking at a long, dry spell. The first recommendation for a surf doesn't come until very late in the game, on Sunday, August 23rd. That’s a brutal gap of nearly two weeks of flat, tiny, or just plain ugly conditions. Monday the 10th through to Saturday the 22nd are a write-off. The swell is either non-existent, or it’s coming from the wrong direction with gnarly cross-shore winds that just chop everything up. You’ll see a few tiny pulses of 1.0ft to 3ft, but with periods under 8 seconds, it’s weak, it’s wobbly, and it’s not worth the walk down. The water temp is a whopping 70°F, which is 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s really unusual, like a summer blood-warm bath.
The one and only glimmer of hope, and I mean the only one, is Sunday, August 23rd. Late on that Sunday afternoon, Freshwater Bay (reef and point) should finally turn on. A clean 6ft groundswell from the WSW is pushing in, with a northwest wind swinging offshore. The combined energy jumps to 253 (moderate wave energy), and while it’s a short period swell of 6 seconds, the offshore wind will clean up the line-up. This is a solid intermediate wave, not for beginners. It’s a reef and point setup, so that short period, clean wind, and decent size means it could peel nicely. Crowds are a possibility here, so don’t expect to have it empty.
For the rest of the 16 days, it’s a waiting game. The week of the 24th and 25th looks like it drops off a cliff again. So, if you’re a surfer, you’ve got one shot on the 23rd. Make it count.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | SW 7 | SW 6 | E 5 | E 5 | W 12 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 4 | W 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 62 | 3 | 52 | 25 | 78 | 32 | 35 | 38 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross |
High Tide | 9:56PM2.34m | 10:41AM2.41m | 10:52PM2.52m | 11:32AM2.60m | 11:40PM2.65m | 12:17PM2.72m | 00:23AM2.72m | 12:59PM2.76m | 1:05AM2.71m | 1:38PM2.73m | 1:44AM2.63m | 2:16PM2.63m | 2:22AM2.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:48PM0.47m | 3:18AM0.15m | 3:39PM0.31m | 4:06AM-0.07m | 4:26PM0.17m | 4:51AM-0.23m | 5:11PM0.08m | 5:34AM-0.30m | 5:53PM0.05m | 6:15AM-0.27m | 6:34PM0.08m | 6:55AM-0.16m | 7:15PM0.18m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 22 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | SW 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | E 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | — | W 4 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | ENE 3 | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 15 | 35 | 38 | 17 | — | 14 | 7 | — | 6 | 11 | 1 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | W 10 | W 10 | W 12 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 9 | ESE 4 | WSW 3 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 8 | SW 8 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 |
| kJ | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 8 | — | 7 | 3 | — | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | — | W 10 | — | W 10 | — | — | — | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 3 | — | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | — | SW 3 | NW 2 | W 5 | WSW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | WSW 3 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | — | 44 | 62 | 187 | 52 | 25 | 78 | — | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 6 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 276 | 276 | 249 | 608 | 343 | 198 | 182 | 116 | 21 | 109 | 116 | 187 | 201 | 357 | 161 | 212 | 284 | 182 | 279 | 282 | 515 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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