Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days at Freshwater Bay are a tough watch. The swell is almost non-existent for the first week, and even when the odd pulse shows up, the wind and quality are just not playing ball. There’s really no standout period to get excited about, so keep your expectations low and maybe give the board a rest.

We start off on Tuesday, 21 July with a tiny 0.3ft swell from the west, period 11 seconds. That’s a long period for such a small wave, and with a light cross-off breeze it’s clean, but honestly, there’s nothing to ride. Combined energy is weak (3). The afternoon turns cross-on and choppy. Wednesday the 22nd is more of the same – 0.3ft, clean in the morning but onshore slop later. Thursday the 23rd is a flat, onshore mess. Friday the 24th is a write-off with a 1ft, 3-second wind bump from the southwest – that’s just blown-out junk. The whole first week is a dead loss.

We finally see a pulse on Sunday, 26 July, with a 4ft swell from the west-southwest, period 5 seconds, and combined energy hitting 69 – still weak. The morning wind is offshore from the northwest, so it’s clean, but that short period swell is just lumpy, weak closeouts. This is the first bit of surf of the window, but it’s more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The swell is just too weak and short.

Monday, 27 July morning is clean but tiny – 0.7ft with a 9-second period. The afternoon has a moderate cross-off but zero swell. Tuesday the 28th afternoon gives us a 3ft, 4-second swell from the west-southwest, combined energy 39 – again, weak and short. Onshore cross-chop kills it.

Wednesday, 29 July is clean with a light breeze but only 1.0ft. The rest of the week into the start of August is a mix of tiny east-northeast swell (1ft to 2ft) with periods around 4-5 seconds, and persistent cross-shore or cross-onshore winds. The combined energy never gets above 55. The best looking conditions are on Sunday, 2 August morning with a 1ft easterly swell and a light cross-off, but it’s still barely surfable.

The only pulse that might get your attention is on Wednesday, 5 August, with a 4ft west-southwest swell, period 5 seconds, and combined energy hitting 97. That’s the highest energy of the whole run, but it’s still only moderate. Problem is, it’s accompanied by a moderate cross-onshore wind and light rain. The swell is short-period and onshore, so expect messy, choppy waves. It’s not worth a paddle out.

Bottom line: there’s honestly nothing to highlight here. The whole 16-day window is flat or blown out. Freshwater Bay is a reef and point setup that loves a clean southwest groundswell, but we’re not getting any of that. If you’re desperate, the 4ft clean morning on Sunday, 26 July is the best of a bad bunch, but it’s still a weak, short-period wave. Don’t waste your time.

Rusty.

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