Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 26 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
20.7°C
3.8° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 6s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, SW swell with 1,001 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 6s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 31st Aug)6ft (1.8m) 6s
Best Surf10PM (Mon 31st Aug)6ft (1.8m) 6s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 29th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this outlook for Freshwater Bay is a rough one. For the next 16 days, there isn’t a single window where I’d tell you to grab your board with real confidence. We’ve got a long, frustrating stretch of poor conditions, and you’re going to have to be patient or find something else to do.

The first few days, starting Wednesday the 26th, are a total write-off. We’re talking tiny, weak surf with poor conditions. The swell energy is basically non-existent, sitting at just 4. The wind is messy, and it’s just not worth getting wet.

Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th stay bad. The swell picks up a bit to around 3ft, but it’s short-period slop, and the wind is cross-shore and choppy. The energy values climb to 55 and then 40, but that’s still weak and unorganized. You’re just getting knocked around for nothing.

Then on Saturday the 29th, things get serious, but not in a good way. The swell jumps to 7ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon, with the combined energy jumping to 398 and then 645 – that’s strong energy. But it’s a complete mess. Strong cross-onshore winds, rain, and lumpy, messy surf. Unless you’re an expert looking for a beating, and even then, it’s not worth it. This is more like kite-surfing conditions than anything for a paddle board.

Sunday the 30th has a pulse of longer-period swell, hitting 10 seconds, but the wind is still onshore and lumpy. There’s a moment in the afternoon where it drops, but it’s still poor.

Finally, on Monday the 31st, we get a slight reprieve. The wind shifts to a cross-offshore breeze, and the surf cleans up. The swell is 6ft with a 9-second period, and the energy is moderate at 435. The comment even says it’s clean, but it’s still rated as marginal with questionable tide conditions. It’s the closest thing we get to a surfable wave in the whole window, but it’s not a standout.

After that, it’s back to mediocrity. Tuesday the 1st has some size but the wind messes it up. From Wednesday the 2nd of September through to Sunday the 6th, the swell fades away again to almost nothing. There’s a stretch there of several days with barely a ripple.

Then, on Monday the 7th, we get another injection of size. The swell comes back up to 6ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon, with strong energy at 261 and 549. But it’s the same story as before—onshore winds and poor surf conditions. It’s just a messy, powerful swell.

The last few days, the 8th, 9th, and 10th, fade out again with weak energy and poor conditions. There are some glassy mornings, but the swell is just too small to do anything.

So, what’s the bottom line? There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. The water temp is pretty average for this time of year, nothing weird there. But when the forecast is this consistently poor, it usually doesn’t stay that way for long. Forecasts can change. I’d keep an eye on that Monday the 31st window, and maybe the 7th of September, but don’t hold your breath. Stay patient, Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 20°C on Tue night, min 17°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the WSW by Fri afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sat morning, light winds from the W by Mon afternoon).

Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
10
0.1
SW
7
0.9
ESE
4
1.1
S
5
0.9
SSW
5
0.8
WSW
4
1
SW
4
1.1
SW
5
1.2
WSW
5
2.2
SW
6
2.5
SW
7
2.5
WSW
8
1.7
WSW
10
0.7
WSW
9
1.5
WSW
6
1.7
WSW
8
1.7
WSW
9
1.7
WSW
6
1.7
WSW
6
1.9
WSW
6
1.2
WSW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
2
28
54
35
25
40
49
69
398
645
923
528
75
170
322
435
204
196
277
113
Wind (km/h)
10
SSW
15
SSE
15
ENE
20
SSW
25
SW
15
WSW
25
WSW
35
WSW
25
SW
45
SSW
45
SW
35
WSW
30
SW
30
SW
30
W
30
WNW
25
W
15
WNW
15
WSW
25
SW
20
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
10:53AM2.21m
10:53PM2.32m
11:28AM2.36m
11:28PM2.43m
12:02PM2.47m
00:02AM2.49m
12:35PM2.54m
00:37AM2.52m
1:09PM2.56m
1:12AM2.49m
1:44PM2.53m
1:48AM2.43m
2:20PM2.45m
2:28AM2.34m
Low Tide
4:00PM0.52m
4:20AM0.22m
4:34PM0.39m
4:52AM0.07m
5:06PM0.27m
5:24AM-0.04m
5:39PM0.19m
5:57AM-0.10m
6:14PM0.14m
6:32AM-0.10m
6:50PM0.14m
7:08AM-0.03m
7:29PM0.20m
clear
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:11
6:11
6:13
6:15
6:16
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:05
8:02
8:00
7:58
7:55
7:53
7:52
 mm
4
14
1
3
1
4
2
Temp °C
19
20
20
19
19
18
19
19
18
19
19
19
19
19
17
17
19
17
18
18
18
Feels °C
19
19
19
15
17
16
15
13
14
13
12
13
14
14
11
12
14
15
15
14
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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