Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, E swell with 181 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you—this forecast for Freshwater Bay is a tough one. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, and honestly, there’s not a single session I’d paddle out for. It’s a real flat spell. The first bit of action, if you can call it that, shows up on Saturday the 4th of July with a tiny 1ft swell from the WSW, but the water is a whopping 66°F, which is 7°F warmer than normal. Unusual. But the energy is weak (22) and conditions are poor, so don’t bother.
The whole first week is a write-off. Sunday the 5th has a bit of 0.7ft swell, Monday the 6th is basically flat at 0.3ft, and so it goes. We get a tiny bump on Thursday the 9th of July with a 3ft swell from the E, but it’s all cross-shore wind and lumpy. Friday the 10th sees the biggest swell of the whole period—5ft from the east—and the combined energy finally hits moderate (151), but it’s blown out with fresh cross-onshore wind and a lumpy mess. That’s the only day with any real size, and it’s useless for a paddle. With that wind and chop, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
After that, it’s back to the doldrums. From Saturday the 11th all the way through to Sunday the 19th of July, the swell barely reaches 2ft, and most days it’s under 0.7ft. The energy readings are all double or single digits. There’s a little clean window on the morning of Sunday the 19th with an offshore breeze from the NNW, but the swell is just 0.3ft—you’d be sitting on a lake.
So, that’s the story. Nothing to recommend. These long flat runs happen around here, and forecasts can shift, so keep an eye out, but for now, give the board a rest.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the ENE by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | WSW 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | W 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | W 10 | SW 3 | WSW 4 | W 8 | W 10 | E 3 | E 4 | E 5 | W 10 | E 6 | E 5 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 22 | 50 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 55 | 2 | 149 | 45 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:46PM2.31m | 2:43AM2.25m | 3:24PM2.28m | 3:19AM2.18m | 4:02PM2.25m | 3:59AM2.11m | 4:43PM2.22m | 4:43AM2.05m | 5:28PM2.19m | 5:36AM2.01m | 6:19PM2.18m | 6:40AM2.01m | 7:23PM2.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:37PM0.53m | 7:58AM0.24m | 8:17PM0.60m | 8:38AM0.31m | 9:02PM0.67m | 9:23AM0.41m | 9:56PM0.74m | 10:20AM0.52m | 11:04PM0.78m | 11:32AM0.60m | 00:25AM0.72m | 12:52PM0.59m | 1:37AM0.56m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 4:58 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:17 | — | — | 9:17 | — | — | 9:16 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 17 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 23 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | — | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | W 10 | WSW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 4 | W 10 | W 9 | WSW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | E 5 |
| kJ | 22 | — | 10 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 10 | — | W 9 | W 6 | — | W 8 | — | — | W 9 | — | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | W 5 | W 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 9 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | W 5 | WSW 4 | NNW 2 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | — | W 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — | E 3 | E 4 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | — |
| kJ | 6 | 50 | 25 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 16 | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | 31 | 55 | 194 | 149 | 45 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 341 | 346 | 201 | 201 | 248 | 248 | 156 | 284 | 269 | 284 | 284 | 215 | 215 | 216 | 215 | 215 | 216 | 156 | 112 | 217 | 215 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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