Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's be straight with each other: the next couple of weeks are lookin' pretty grim for a paddle. We're stuck in a real flat spell for most of it, and even when a bit of energy shows up, the conditions are fighting us every step of the way. Don't get your hopes up for anything classic, because it's mostly a wait-and-see game.

We're at Freshwater Bay, a reef and point setup out of the SW, and it's pretty exposed. Water temp's sitting about average for the time of year.

Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th – just tiny dribbles. That 0.3ft swell from the west with a 10-second period is barely a ripple. Wednesday morning was glassy, which would've been nice, but there's just nothing to ride. The rest is mostly cross-onshore, so it's a write-off.

Friday the 10th – we get a tiny pulse, 1ft from the ESE, but with a short 4-second period. The morning's a bit chop with cross-onshore wind. Not worth wetting the suit.

Saturday the 11th – a bit more size, 3ft from the east, but that's all cross-shore wind and the period is a weak 5 seconds. Combined energy is only 41 (weak). It'll be lumpy and messy. Not your day.

Sunday the 12th through Monday the 14th – back to near-zero. The wind is fresh and cross, making everything lumpy and unrideable. A proper dead zone.

Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th – here's the most size we see: up to 5ft from the east, but the period is still short (5-6 seconds), and the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore at 18-22 mph or more. The energy creeps up to 125 and 143 (moderate) on the 15th morning and 16th morning, but the quality is "poor surf conditions" across the board. The 16th morning has a brief moment of onshore wind, but with rain showers, it'll be messy. The 15th morning in particular is just fresh, lumpy chop. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Thursday the 17th of July – a glimmer. Morning has a 1ft from the SW with a 6-second period and a clean offshore wind from the NNW (that's the good stuff for this break). The energy is tiny (15), and it's barely a ride, but it'll be glassy and clean. The afternoon gets wrecked by a fresh cross-shore.

After that, the 18th through the 22nd is a real struggle – barely a ripple, and any tiny swell is met with lumpy cross-shore or cross-onshore winds.

Thursday the 23rd of July – a bit more size cranks up again: 5ft from the east with a 6-second period, giving a moderate 127 energy. The morning wind is light and cross-shore, so it might be a bit less choppy, but it's still a short-period swell. Don't expect much shape.

Honestly, the only standout is the morning of Thursday, July 17th. It's not big, not powerful, but for a fleeting moment, we get that clean offshore wind and a bit of swell from the right direction. It's the one time the bay might offer a clean, tiny wave for an intermediate. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so on that one quiet morning, you might have a few friends out. Other than that, it's a long 16-day stretch with more blanks than waves.

Rusty.

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