Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 6s period, WSW swell with 283 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, I’ve looked over the numbers for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you — it’s a tough run for Freshwater Bay. This is a reef and point setup, exposed to the south-west, and it’s a spot that usually delivers when the ocean lines up. But right now, the ocean just isn’t playing ball.
We’re looking at a long, dry spell. From now through to the end of August, every single session is rated as poor surf conditions. The swell energy is flat or very weak most days — you’ll see values like 1, 2, 11, even zero for long stretches. Waves are tiny, mostly under 2 feet, and the few days where we see a little bump, the period is short, often 5–7 seconds, so it’s weak and won’t hold shape.
The one true standout — if you can call it that — is the 28th of August. Friday morning and afternoon, we get a little pulse: 5 feet to 4 feet from the WSW, with periods of 6–7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 155 and 138, which is moderate by our standards. The wind is cross-off from the NW and W, so the surface will be clean. That’s the best we’ve got in the whole window. Even then, the short period means it’ll be a bit crumbly, not a classic Freshwater Bay day.
The 29th of August, Saturday morning, has glassy conditions — wind from the north at 3 mph, flat calm. But the swell is only 1 feet with a weak 8-second period, so it’s hardly worth paddling out for.
Water temperature right now is 70°, which is 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual — you’ll be surfing in a bath.
Honestly, this is a rough stretch. The swell direction is mostly WSW, which is fine for the spot, but the energy just isn’t there. If you’re desperate to get wet, the 28th is your best bet, but keep expectations low. Otherwise, sit tight, and wait for the pattern to change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue night, fresh winds from the SW by Wed afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | W 9 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 9 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 46 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 0 | 16 | 54 | 12 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 1:05AM2.71m | 1:38PM2.73m | 1:44AM2.63m | 2:16PM2.63m | 2:22AM2.49m | 2:52PM2.48m | 2:59AM2.32m | 3:26PM2.32m | 3:37AM2.15m | 4:02PM2.15m | 4:18AM1.98m | 4:42PM2.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:53PM0.05m | 6:15AM-0.27m | 6:34PM0.08m | 6:55AM-0.16m | 7:15PM0.18m | 7:35AM0.04m | 7:56PM0.34m | 8:15AM0.28m | 8:38PM0.52m | 8:57AM0.54m | 9:25PM0.73m | 9:46AM0.79m | 10:28PM0.91m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — |
 | 8:29 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
Feels °C | 25 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 4 | WSW 5 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | — | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 41 | 8 | 5 | — | 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 8 | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 |
| kJ | — | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | N 3 | N 4 | WSW 7 | N 3 | N 3 | — | WNW 4 | W 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | N 4 |
| kJ | 46 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 1 | — | 7 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 26 | 40 | 66 | 94 | 168 | 132 | 47 | 54 | 9 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 248 | 284 | 472 | 341 | 120 | 282 | 367 | 423 | 618 | 268 | 366 | 508 | 284 | 15 | 778 | 346 | 356 | 169 | 201 | 132 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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