Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
18.8° C
3.6° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, E swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, E swell with 175 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 6s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 15th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 6s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 14th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you—this outlook for Freshwater Bay is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing much, with a gap of nearly two weeks before we see anything even worth a mention. The first real surfable moment doesn’t show up until Monday the 20th of July, and even then it’s pretty ordinary.

The whole pattern is dominated by small, weak swell from the east and southeast, hitting a reef and point break that really wants a solid southwest groundswell to light up. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, adding chop and making things messy. You’ll see a couple of pulses of energy, like on Sunday the 12th, with a 5ft swell from the east-northeast and a combined energy of 152, but that’s paired with a fresh cross-breeze and lumpy conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Then from Monday the 13th through to Sunday the 19th, it’s a dead zone—small surf under 3ft, or flat spells with zero energy. The wind is either strong or onshore, so even the rare clean moments are tiny. Water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

The only standout, and I mean the only one, is Monday the 20th of July morning. Freshwater Bay gets a 3ft swell from the east, with a moderate offshore wind from the north-northwest and clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 61, and it’s the only period in the whole 16 days that gets a score above zero. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. If you’re desperate, paddle out with low expectations. Crowds are possible here, but with surf this poor, they’ll be thin.

For the rest of the run, it’s a write-off. The wind picks up again on the 21st, and the swell drops to nothing. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for a kite session than a surf check. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, grab a coffee and wait.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NE by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun afternoon, light winds from the ENE by Tue night).

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
10
0.1
W
10
0.1
W
10
0.6
E
4
0.5
E
4
1.4
E
6
1
E
5
0.8
E
5
1.3
E
6
1.4
ENE
6
1.2
E
6
2.3
E
7
2.1
E
7
1.9
E
7
2
E
7
0.1
W
12
1.5
E
6
0.1
SW
11
1.6
E
6
1.3
E
6
0.1
W
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
2
2
10
7
125
55
28
103
145
89
0
0
0
0
3
148
5
175
104
2
Wind (km/h)
5
SSE
10
S
5
E
20
E
15
SE
20
ENE
25
ENE
20
ESE
30
NE
35
ENE
35
ENE
40
NE
40
ENE
30
E
35
ENE
30
ENE
25
E
25
ENE
10
ENE
20
WSW
15
NNE
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
6:19PM2.18m
6:40AM2.01m
7:23PM2.19m
8:06AM2.06m
8:44PM2.24m
9:39AM2.19m
10:01PM2.36m
10:49AM2.38m
11:02PM2.50m
11:44AM2.55m
11:54PM2.62m
12:34PM2.68m
00:42AM2.69m
Low Tide
11:32AM0.60m
00:25AM0.72m
12:52PM0.59m
1:37AM0.56m
2:01PM0.50m
2:37AM0.34m
2:59PM0.36m
3:30AM0.12m
3:51PM0.23m
4:19AM-0.08m
4:40PM0.13m
5:06AM-0.23m
5:26PM0.09m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:03
5:03
5:05
5:05
5:07
5:07
5:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:17
9:16
9:15
9:15
9:15
9:14
9:13
 mm
2
1
Temp °C
25
25
26
27
27
26
27
27
23
26
27
20
24
25
20
27
29
23
25
29
25
Feels °C
24
25
27
24
24
21
23
23
18
21
21
12
18
19
13
23
24
20
24
27
24
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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