Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, WSW swell with 472 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. We’ve got a long, dry spell ahead. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Monday the 7th, and even then, it’s not exactly firing.
Monday, September 7th sees a pulse of swell arriving at Freshwater Bay. We’re looking at a 4ft swell from the WSW, with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a groundswell, which is nice, but the wind is a cross-shore at 19 mph, making for some lumpy, cross-chop conditions. The combined energy is moderate (653). It’s not the cleanest, but it’s the first real bump we’ve seen. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Tuesday, September 8th is where things get a little more interesting. The morning brings a 6ft swell from the WSW, but the period drops to just 6 seconds. That’s a short-period, windswell, and with a cross-shore breeze at 16 mph, it’s going to be a bit of a mess. The combined energy is moderate (272). Honestly, with that wind and short period, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-offshore breeze and a 5ft swell, but the period is still short.
Wednesday, September 9th through to Friday, September 11th is a mixed bag. The swell drops right off, and we’re scraping the bottom of the barrel with tiny waves and poor conditions. There’s a moment on Saturday, September 12th that catches my eye. The morning shows a glassy 1ft swell with a light SSW breeze at 3 mph. The combined energy is weak (24), but glassy conditions are a major positive. If you’re on a longboard and just want to feel the glide, that’s your window.
Looking further out, the second week remains very quiet. There are no standout swells, just small, weak pulses. The best bet for a cleaner, albeit small, window is Tuesday, September 15th morning with a 0.3ft swell and a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s barely a ripple.
Honestly, this is a blank run for the area. It’s one of those times where the ocean is just taking a breather. The forecasts can change, but for now, if you’re dying for a wave, the glassy Saturday morning on the 12th is your best – and really only – play.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Sun night, min 15°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | SW 18 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 8 | 13 | 76 | 472 | 94 | 272 | 153 | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 166 | 120 | 103 | 55 | 23 | 57 | 42 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:41AM1.97m | 7:12PM2.04m | 8:16AM2.07m | 8:38PM2.17m | 9:31AM2.27m | 9:44PM2.35m | 10:27AM2.47m | 10:37PM2.51m | 11:13AM2.63m | 11:22PM2.63m | 11:54AM2.71m | 00:02AM2.67m | 12:32PM2.73m | 00:41AM2.65m | |||||||
Low Tide | 12:14PM0.83m | 1:05AM0.63m | 1:38PM0.72m | 2:13AM0.41m | 2:38PM0.53m | 3:05AM0.16m | 3:27PM0.33m | 3:51AM-0.04m | 4:11PM0.17m | 4:33AM-0.18m | 4:52PM0.05m | 5:12AM-0.23m | 5:32PM-0.00m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 15 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | SE 3 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | — | — | SW 10 | WSW 9 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 12 | W 11 | — | — | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 12 | W 11 |
| kJ | 4 | 8 | 3 | 76 | 181 | 94 | — | — | 23 | 16 | — | 7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | — | — | 55 | 23 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | SE 4 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 13 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | — | SSW 2 | SW 8 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | — | 7 | 472 | 64 | 272 | 153 | 66 | 34 | 31 | 50 | 8 | 19 | 166 | 120 | 103 | — | 1 | 57 | 42 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 156 | 156 | 235 | 169 | 211 | 24 | 99 | 29 | 169 | 169 | 248 | 211 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 169 | 24 | 2 | 198 | 29 | 255 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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