Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, E swell with 139 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s be real with you. I’ve looked at the charts for Freshwater Bay, and honestly, it’s a bit of a tough stretch ahead. The good news is, we’ve got a few windows where it might just come together, but you’re gonna have to be patient and pick your moments.
The first thing you need to know is that the water is *crazy* warm right now. We're talking about 70°F with a massive 4°F anomaly. That’s not just a little warmer than usual, that’s a full-on marine heatwave. You won’t need a thick suit, that’s for sure.
The next few days are pretty flat. The swell is tiny, under 0.7ft, and the energy is weak. The wind is a mess, too, mostly cross-shore or onshore, so it’s not going to be worth getting wet. The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Tuesday the 11th. We get a pulse of east windswell, bumping things up to around 3ft to 4ft. The energy jumps a bit, but it’s still weak to moderate (56 to 95). The problem? The wind is howling from the east at 25 km/h, right onshore. It’s going to be a choppy, bumpy mess. Not great for the reef and point setup there; it’ll be more of a washing machine. To be honest, with that onshore wind and the beach elements, it might look more fun for the kitesurfers than for us paddle surfers.
After that, it backs right off again. The middle of the month is small and mostly messy. There’s a nice-looking morning on Friday the 14th with a light offshore NW wind, but there’s only 2ft of swell. It’ll be clean but tiny. Then we get a couple of glassy mornings around the 17th and again on the 22nd, but again, the swell is just not there – ankle biters at best.
The standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Tuesday the 20th of August. We get a bit more energy in the water, with the combined swell energy hitting 66. The swell is 3ft from the WSW, and the period is a workable 7 seconds. The wind that morning is a strong WSW cross-shore at 35 km/h, which isn't ideal, but the afternoon cleans up nicely with a WNW cross-off breeze. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the best combination of size and wind we get in the whole window. It’s a promise, not a guarantee, but it’s the one to keep an eye on.
So, there you have it. A lot of waiting, a few windows of marginal fun. The water’s warm, the vibes are there, but the ocean is just not cooperating. Keep your expectations low and your eyes on the forecast for that Tuesday the 20th. It’s the only real chance we’ve got for something with a bit of push.
Stay patient.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Tue night, light winds from the SSW by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 6 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | E 5 | E 5 | W 12 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 64 | 3 | 82 | 36 | 83 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 11 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross | off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 7:11PM2.09m | 8:12AM2.02m | 8:42PM2.17m | 9:39AM2.20m | 9:56PM2.34m | 10:41AM2.41m | 10:52PM2.52m | 11:32AM2.60m | 11:40PM2.65m | 12:17PM2.72m | 00:23AM2.72m | 12:59PM2.76m | 1:05AM2.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:27PM0.72m | 1:17AM0.62m | 1:46PM0.63m | 2:24AM0.40m | 2:48PM0.47m | 3:18AM0.15m | 3:39PM0.31m | 4:06AM-0.07m | 4:26PM0.17m | 4:51AM-0.23m | 5:11PM0.08m | 5:34AM-0.30m | 5:53PM0.05m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — |
 | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 18 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 6 | W 7 | E 4 | E 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 6 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 4 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 6 | W 9 | SW 7 | W 9 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | — | WSW 3 | W 10 | W 10 | W 12 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 9 | — | — | WSW 9 | — | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | — | — | 9 | — | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | W 10 | — | W 6 | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 3 | ESE 3 | — | SW 2 | NNW 3 | N 3 | WSW 4 | E 3 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | NNW 3 | WSW 4 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 64 | 273 | 82 | 36 | 83 | — | 14 | 45 | 1 | 15 | 10 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 351 | 306 | 282 | 343 | 611 | 279 | 276 | 282 | 282 | 348 | 597 | 198 | 268 | 125 | 24 | 169 | 303 | 176 | 177 | 356 | 218 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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