Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
19.4° C
4.0° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, E swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, E swell with 187 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Wed 15th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Best Surf10PM (Wed 15th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Freshwater Bay. Looks like we’re in for a pretty grim stretch, to be honest. The whole 16-day window is a wasteland for decent waves – there’s a big gap of nothing worthwhile from the start right through to the very end. The first few days are a total write-off with fresh cross-shore winds and lumpy, poor surf. You’ll see a few tiny pulses of swell in the middle of the week, but they’re blown out or just too small to bother with. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about. Honestly, this is a classic run of flat, wind-affected junk that’s more about grabbing a windsurf or a kite than a paddle board.

The only faint glimmer in the whole forecast is on Monday morning, the 27th of July. The swell finally picks up a bit, with 4ft of SW groundswell and a moderate combined energy of 150. The wind is light and offshore from the W at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean. But the conditions are still marked as “very ordinary,” and the waves are just surfable, not good. The swell direction is SW, but Freshwater Bay wants it from the SW for its optimum, so that’s a match. Still, for a reef and point break, this is a far cry from what it can do. It’s a real shame – the whole 16 days is a dud, with nothing else on offer. Keep the board waxed for another week, and maybe the patterns will shift.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun night, moderate winds from the NE by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Tue night, calm by Wed night).

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
6
1.3
E
6
2.5
E
7
2
E
7
1.4
E
6
1.6
E
6
1.1
E
6
1.2
E
5
0.1
W
11
1.4
E
6
1.1
E
5
1.2
E
6
0.2
WSW
8
0.3
SW
8
0.3
SW
7
0.4
SW
5
1
WSW
4
0.9
WSW
5
0.4
WSW
4
0.8
WSW
4
0.8
WSW
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
117
100
0
0
0
187
74
74
2
121
64
102
6
9
7
7
42
39
7
18
26
Wind (km/h)
30
ENE
30
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
25
E
25
NE
20
NE
30
E
35
NE
35
E
15
SE
10
N
5
N
15
SW
10
NW
10
W
25
SW
15
NNW
5
NE
10
S
20
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
on
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
glassy
cross-on
cross
High Tide
9:39AM2.19m
10:01PM2.36m
10:49AM2.38m
11:02PM2.50m
11:44AM2.55m
11:54PM2.62m
12:34PM2.68m
00:42AM2.69m
1:21PM2.73m
1:27AM2.69m
2:05PM2.71m
2:10AM2.63m
2:48PM2.64m
2:53AM2.50m
Low Tide
2:59PM0.36m
3:30AM0.12m
3:51PM0.23m
4:19AM-0.08m
4:40PM0.13m
5:06AM-0.23m
5:26PM0.09m
5:52AM-0.29m
6:12PM0.10m
6:37AM-0.26m
6:57PM0.18m
7:21AM-0.15m
7:42PM0.30m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:05
5:07
5:07
5:09
5:09
5:11
5:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:15
9:15
9:14
9:13
9:12
9:10
9:09
 mm
Temp °C
28
29
21
24
26
21
29
31
24
25
28
24
24
24
24
25
25
25
26
26
25
Feels °C
24
24
12
19
21
15
25
26
18
20
25
24
22
21
23
22
21
23
24
24
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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