Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, E swell with 134 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at Freshwater Bay. It’s a reef and point setup, fairly consistent, and it likes a good SW swell.
First thing you’ll notice: the water’s sitting at 70°, which is a massive 8° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s seriously unusual – you’d be lucky to need a spring suit.
Now, the bad news. The next week and a bit is a write-off. From Thursday 30 July all the way through to Friday 7 August, every session is rated as poor. The swell is tiny, mostly below 3 ft, and the wind is either cross or onshore, with a lot of lumpy cross-chop. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting under 100 for most of that time. There’s a brief moment on Friday morning 31 July with a light offshore NNW breeze, but the swell is only 1.0 ft – not enough to bother paddling out for.
The first real hint of something better comes on Saturday 8 August in the morning. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the SW, with a period of 6 seconds, and best of all, it’s glassy – WNW wind at just 3 mph. The energy is still moderate at 85, but it’s clean. This is your best bet in the whole forecast. It’s not a standout by any stretch, but it’s the only window where the conditions line up. The afternoon on the same day gets messy again with a cross-swell and 5 ft but onshore wind, so don’t bother.
Sunday 9 August has a clean morning with a cross-offshore N wind and 3 ft swell, but the energy is only 75. The afternoon is cleaner with a light W wind and 4 ft, but again, it’s ordinary.
After that, from Monday 10 August right through to Thursday 14 August, it’s back to small, weak, onshore slop. There’s a glimmer on Friday 14 August morning – a 3 ft SW swell with a light NNW offshore, clean, but the energy is only 65 and the period is short at 5 seconds. It’s surfable but nothing to write home about.
Overall, this is a tough 16-day stretch. The only real window is the morning of Saturday 8 August. If you’re keen, that’s the one to aim for – glassy, clean, and a little bit of push. The rest of the time, it’s either too small, too windy, or both. Don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the SW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | WSW 3 | W 12 | W 4 | SW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | E 5 | E 5 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | E 3 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 47 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 9 | 4 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:07PM2.43m | 1:06AM2.45m | 1:42PM2.45m | 1:40AM2.42m | 2:16PM2.44m | 2:14AM2.35m | 2:52PM2.39m | 2:50AM2.27m | 3:28PM2.33m | 3:30AM2.18m | 4:09PM2.24m | 4:17AM2.08m | 4:56PM2.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:50AM0.06m | 6:04PM0.33m | 6:23AM0.02m | 6:38PM0.32m | 6:57AM0.02m | 7:14PM0.34m | 7:32AM0.07m | 7:52PM0.39m | 8:11AM0.17m | 8:35PM0.48m | 8:55AM0.31m | 9:24PM0.59m | 9:48AM0.49m | 10:27PM0.70m | |||||||
 | |  | | | |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — |
 | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — | — | 8:50 | — | — | 8:47 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 22 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | — | — | W 4 | SW 10 | WSW 4 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | E 4 | SW 8 | SW 8 | — | SW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | — | WSW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 4 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 17 | — | 14 | 13 | 28 | — | 15 | 9 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | — | — | WSW 9 | — | ENE 3 | W 10 | — | SW 8 | E 4 | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 8 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 18 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 12 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | WSW 3 | NW 4 | — | WSW 3 | NNW 2 | NE 3 | — | E 5 | E 5 | — | W 4 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | — | WSW 5 | — | — | E 3 |
| kJ | 3 | 10 | 20 | — | 5 | 1 | 6 | — | 53 | 47 | — | 10 | — | 34 | 4 | 1 | — | 25 | — | — | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 284 | 303 | 367 | 343 | 638 | 303 | 216 | 304 | 304 | 198 | 196 | 196 | 198 | 198 | 351 | 351 | 648 | 333 | 266 | 595 | 638 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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