Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
21.1° C
4.2° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 6s period, WSW swell with 266 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 27th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 27th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)6ft (1.9m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let me break down what’s going on at Freshwater Bay. It’s a reef and point break, good for an intermediate, and it’s fairly consistent. Water temp is about normal for the season – nothing special.

Honestly, the next 16 days look cooked. We’ve got a major dry spell starting now and running all the way through the end of the first week of September. No waves worth mentioning for the whole stretch.

Right off the bat, Friday the 21st gives us a tiny 0.4m from the WSW with a short 6-second period. Combined swell energy is just 22 (weak). The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but there’s nothing to surf. Saturday and Sunday get even smaller – 0.2m and 0.1m. Sunday morning goes glassy, but with that 0.1m of west swell and an energy reading of 2, it’s as flat as a lake.

Come Monday the 24th, the wind turns onshore and stays that way. The swell picks up to 1.0m to 1.6m on Monday, with the energy hitting 168 (moderate). But the wind is a fresh cross-onshore from the east at 30-35 km/h, so it’s lumpy, choppy, and ugly. Not surfable.

This nasty pattern sticks around. The swell does get bigger – we hit 2.3m on the afternoon of Friday the 28th (485 energy, strong), and another 2.3m on Saturday the 29th afternoon (508 energy, strong). But the wind is still cross-on or cross, gusting up to 45 km/h, with storms around. Those 2.3m waves will be big, raw, and messy. Only for experienced guys, and honestly, it’s better for kiteboarding than paddling.

Into the first week of September, it’s back to tiny swell – 0.2m to 0.6m – and clean winds. Wednesday the 2nd afternoon and Thursday the 3rd morning see a nice offshore breeze, but the swell is only 0.2m to 0.3m with energy in the single digits. No juice.

Bottom line: there’s no best session, no highlight at all. This is a long, quiet spell for the bay. That happens here. Forecasts can change, but for now, keep the board in the garage.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Mon morning, light winds from the NNE by Wed night).

Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WSW
6
0.4
WSW
6
0.2
WSW
6
0.2
WSW
5
0.2
WSW
8
0.1
W
10
0.3
ESE
4
0.1
W
9
0.2
WSW
12
1.4
ESE
5
0.1
SW
9
0.1
SW
9
1
ESE
5
0.7
ESE
4
0.1
SW
8
0.4
SSW
4
0.6
SW
4
0.9
WSW
8
0.7
SW
8
0.8
SW
8
0.7
SW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
14
15
4
3
6
2
2
2
14
113
3
3
53
15
2
5
15
112
69
75
56
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
15
W
20
NNE
20
NE
15
S
5
SSE
10
SE
15
S
15
ENE
35
E
35
E
30
ENE
20
ENE
10
SSE
15
SSE
15
SSW
15
ESE
20
SE
20
WNW
25
SW
35
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
5:32PM1.89m
6:10AM1.75m
6:40PM1.84m
7:52AM1.76m
8:18PM1.89m
9:27AM1.88m
9:31PM2.03m
10:16AM2.05m
10:16PM2.18m
10:53AM2.21m
10:53PM2.32m
11:28AM2.36m
11:28PM2.43m
Low Tide
10:59AM0.98m
00:09AM0.99m
12:44PM1.04m
1:35AM0.91m
1:56PM0.95m
2:30AM0.76m
2:45PM0.82m
3:12AM0.58m
3:25PM0.67m
3:48AM0.39m
4:00PM0.52m
4:20AM0.22m
4:34PM0.39m
part cloud
light rain
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
thunderstorm
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:03
6:05
6:05
6:07
6:09
6:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:15
8:13
8:10
8:08
8:07
8:05
8:02
 mm
1
1
2
3
33
2
2
Temp °C
19
18
18
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
21
19
19
20
20
20
18
18
16
18
17
Feels °C
18
15
14
16
15
17
17
15
15
11
14
14
17
19
19
19
18
17
13
14
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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