Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, E swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, E swell with 92 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, grab your board, but don't get your hopes up too high for the next couple of weeks. We're looking at a pretty quiet stretch here at Freshwater Bay, a reef and point setup that needs a good SW swell to really fire.
Right now, the ocean is just not cooperating. From today, July 5th, all the way through to at least the 13th, it’s a mess of tiny, weak waves. We’re talking swell heights barely cracking 3 ft early on, with a combined wave energy that's mostly pathetic, reading as low as 2 (2). Even when the swell tries to pop up on the 5th afternoon with a 3 ft from the WSW, the period is a shocking 4 seconds, meaning zero push or shape. The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, just chopping it all up. There are a couple of moments with a glassy surface on the morning of the 10th, and some cross-off winds on the 11th and 12th, but with swell energy still in the single digits (5 and 4), it’s not even worth paddling out for.
The one bright spot, and it's a real long shot for now, is Tuesday, July 14th. We finally see a little pulse of energy on the morning with a 3 ft swell from the ENE, with a combined energy climbing to 68. That's about as good as it gets in this forecast. The wind is a clean cross-off from the NNE, which is a major plus and should keep the surface tidy. The ENE direction isn't perfect for this spot, which likes it from the SW, so the quality won't be world-class, but it should be surfable. The water is currently much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 66°F, a massive 7°F above average, so you won't need a thick wetsuit.
Don't expect any kind of consistency. This is a nearly two-week stretch with barely a ripple to show for it, which is a tough run for the area. The crowd factor is "sometimes" here, so on that Tuesday morning it could be a little busy if word gets out. It's not a beginner wave in the best of conditions, and this 3 ft is still manageable for the intermediate crew.
Beyond that 14th, it drops right back to square one. A few glassy mornings here and there on the 16th and 20th, but with virtually no swell, it's just flat. The forecast confidence for that 14th is low since it's a week out, but it's the only show in town.
Stay tuned, mate. Forecasts can change, but right now it's a waiting game.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | W 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 6 | E 5 | W 10 | WSW 9 | W 8 | W 6 | WSW 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 89 | 40 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross | cross | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:24PM2.28m | 3:19AM2.18m | 4:02PM2.25m | 3:59AM2.11m | 4:43PM2.22m | 4:43AM2.05m | 5:28PM2.19m | 5:36AM2.01m | 6:19PM2.18m | 6:40AM2.01m | 7:23PM2.19m | 8:06AM2.06m | 8:44PM2.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:17PM0.60m | 8:38AM0.31m | 9:02PM0.67m | 9:23AM0.41m | 9:56PM0.74m | 10:20AM0.52m | 11:04PM0.78m | 11:32AM0.60m | 00:25AM0.72m | 12:52PM0.59m | 1:37AM0.56m | 2:01PM0.50m | 2:37AM0.34m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:03 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:17 | — | — | 9:17 | — | — | 9:16 | — | — | 9:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 22 | 16 |
Feels °C | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | W 10 | WSW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 4 | W 10 | W 9 | WSW 3 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | E 4 | E 4 | W 8 | W 6 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | 7 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | — | W 9 | W 6 | — | W 8 | — | — | W 9 | — | W 10 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | — | W 6 | W 10 | WSW 9 | E 5 | W 8 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 9 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | W 5 | — | — | — | W 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | — | — | WSW 3 | NNW 2 | — | — | ESE 3 | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 6 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 10 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 11 | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 24 | 89 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 201 | 248 | 248 | 248 | 284 | 241 | 156 | 284 | 215 | 156 | 259 | 215 | 156 | 156 | 0 | 196 | 346 | 375 | 366 | 826 | 346 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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