
Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 5s period, WSW swell with 40 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our local patch.
Well, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. There’s just no real quality surf on offer at Freshwater Bay. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing but small, weak, and messy conditions. It’s one of those periods where you’re better off checking the kite forecast or just leaving the boards in the shed for a while.
The only real faint glimmer comes right at the end, around Monday morning, August 3rd. We’ve got a small pulse of 2ft swell from the east, with a 5-second period. The combined energy is only moderate at best (23), but the wind is offshore from the north at 12 mph, which will keep it clean. For a point and reef setup like Freshwater Bay, that offshore wind is a big tick. The swell direction matches the optimum from the southwest, so it’ll be wrapping in alright. But honestly, it’s tiny. Again, it’s a long shot, but if you’re desperate, that’s your best bet.
The Saturday morning, August 1st also has a clean-looking 2ft easterly swell with a light offshore breeze, but it’s short-period and the energy is a mere 5. It’s a flat, weak wave.
Before that, from the 21st of July right through the end of the month, it’s all tiny, short-period slop or flat spells. Winds are mostly onshore, cross-shore, or just plain messy. The water is about 69°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year.
So, to sum it up: there’s nothing to get excited about. The whole period is a write-off for surf. If you’re a beginner, there’s nothing here. If you’re an expert, there’s nothing here either. The only time you might get a few ankle-snappers is on the morning of August 3rd, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s looking like a solid two-week flat spell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 17°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | SE 3 | — | WSW 3 | W 3 | WSW 4 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 6 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 22 | 0 | 17 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 4:51PM2.21m | 5:02AM1.99m | 5:33PM2.07m | 5:52AM1.87m | 6:22PM1.97m | 6:59AM1.79m | 7:30PM1.93m | 8:45AM1.81m | 9:03PM1.97m | 9:59AM1.92m | 10:05PM2.07m | 10:45AM2.06m | 10:48PM2.19m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:19PM0.78m | 10:42AM0.73m | 11:36PM0.88m | 12:01PM0.87m | 00:56AM0.87m | 1:17PM0.89m | 1:58AM0.79m | 2:16PM0.83m | 2:48AM0.67m | 3:03PM0.73m | 3:31AM0.53m | 3:44PM0.62m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | |
— | 9:07 | — | — | 9:05 | — | — | 9:04 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | — | WSW 3 | W 10 | WSW 4 | — | W 9 | W 9 | SE 3 | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 5 | W 6 | — | WSW 5 |
1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 22 | — | 17 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 7 | W 10 | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 |
1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 3 | — | SW 2 | ESE 3 | ESE 3 | ESE 3 | SE 3 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | WSW 4 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | NW 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | NNW 3 |
— | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 16 | 45 | 23 | 78 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 7 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 608 | 684 | 332 | 448 | 718 | 215 | 249 | 304 | 371 | 1010 | 819 | 568 | 609 | 472 | 816 | 346 | 341 | 187 | 284 | 317 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










