Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, E swell with 203 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's see what's up for Freshwater Bay.
We're looking at a pretty bleak stretch ahead, to be honest. The bay is a reef and point setup that wants a good SW swell to get going, and the wind needs to play nice. For the next couple of weeks, it's mostly just not happening. The majority of the forecast is a write-off, with tiny, wind-affected dribble or flat spells. There's a huge gap from the start of the forecast right through until the morning of July 27th where there's just nothing worth paddling out for. The odd little spike in energy, like the 4 ft swell on July 12th, was completely ruined by a howling 19 mph cross-shore wind, making it a lumpy, chopy mess. The water temp is 67°F at the start, which is 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a very unusual and noticeable anomaly, feels more like a bathtub than a winter lineup.
The only real glimmer of hope, and I mean the only one, lands on the morning of Monday, July 27th. The combined energy of all swells directed here will be strong at 527, pushing a solid 7 ft swell out of the SW. The wind is forecast to be glassy, from the NNW at just 3 mph. That is a golden ticket. 7 ft is a solid size, getting into the territory where it's best for the experienced crew, but with that kind of wind and a decent 8-second period, the point should be offering up some proper, clean lines. The afternoon of that same day, however, the wind swings around to the SW again and the conditions get messy, so it's a real short window. It's a long way out, so don't get your heart set, but if that forecast holds, that morning is your only real shot at a magic session.
Stay salty,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun night, light winds from the ESE by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | W 13 | ENE 6 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 9 | WSW 4 | SW 7 | SW 4 | SW 7 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 4 | E 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 83 | 23 | 51 | 41 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 6 | 19 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:01PM2.36m | 10:49AM2.38m | 11:02PM2.50m | 11:44AM2.55m | 11:54PM2.62m | 12:34PM2.68m | 00:42AM2.69m | 1:21PM2.73m | 1:27AM2.69m | 2:05PM2.71m | 2:10AM2.63m | 2:48PM2.64m | 2:53AM2.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:30AM0.12m | 3:51PM0.23m | 4:19AM-0.08m | 4:40PM0.13m | 5:06AM-0.23m | 5:26PM0.09m | 5:52AM-0.29m | 6:12PM0.10m | 6:37AM-0.26m | 6:57PM0.18m | 7:21AM-0.15m | 7:42PM0.30m | 8:05AM0.03m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 |
 | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:14 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | 9:08 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 21 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 24 | 12 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | — | — | — | W 13 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | SW 10 | E 6 | ENE 4 | — | — | SW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 4 | W 8 | WSW 4 | SW 6 |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 6 | — | — | 14 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 9 | W 9 | — | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 7 | W 8 | WSW 6 | W 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | E 5 | — | — | SW 9 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 7 | — | E 4 |
| kJ | 86 | 644 | 377 | 186 | 225 | 83 | 23 | 51 | 41 | 41 | — | — | 39 | 26 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 29 | — | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 617 | 173 | 628 | 249 | 241 | 216 | 241 | 249 | 279 | 216 | 346 | 284 | 284 | 284 | 346 | 357 | 271 | 282 | 343 | 156 | 215 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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