Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
20.1°C
3.4° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, WSW swell with 606 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Wed 9th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Wed 9th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 7th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks at Freshwater Bay.

Honestly, if you’re looking for good surf, you’ve got a long wait. This forecast is a tough one. There’s a big gap of weak, messy, or flat days right through until the middle of the month. The first real pulse of size doesn’t arrive until Thursday, the 17th of September, and even then it’s a tricky customer.

For the first full week, from Monday the 7th through to around the 16th, it’s a write-off. We’ve got tiny swell, a lot of cross-shore wind, and poor surf conditions dominating. A few clean moments pop up here and there, like Wednesday morning the 9th with a 3ft offshore wind, but the energy is weak. It’s not worth paddling out for.

The one standout in the whole run lands on Thursday morning, the 17th of September. We see a 10ft swell from the WSW, with a combined wave energy of 1148 (that’s strong). Now, that size pushes into expert-only territory for sure. The period is only 8 seconds though, so it’s a windswell – not a clean groundswell – and the wind is cross-shore at 22 mph, making for lumpy, choppy conditions. It’s big and powerful, but don’t expect perfection. Freshwater Bay is a reef and point setup, best with a SW direction. The swell direction is WSW, which is close but not quite bang on. It’ll offer some waves for the experienced crew, but it’s more of a brute than a beauty.

Later on, Saturday morning the 19th shows a second pulse of 8ft swell (moderate energy at 595) with clean, cross-off wind. That’s another one for skilled surfers only, given the size. The consistency is fairly consistent here, so you can expect it to pump through, but again, that short 7-second period means lully, less organised lines.

In a nutshell: hold your horses for the first ten days. The big stuff on the 17th and 19th offers the only real size, but it comes with lumpy wind and short-period chop. For beginners, it’s too big anyway. For experts, there’s something to chase, but it won’t be a classic.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Warm (max 22°C on Sun night, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sun night, fresh winds from the WNW by Tue afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
15
1.2
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
12
1.1
SW
5
0.5
WSW
10
0.2
WSW
10
1
WSW
8
0.8
WSW
8
0.5
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.5
WSW
7
0.1
W
11
0.9
WSW
4
0.4
WSW
9
0.8
WSW
8
0.7
SW
8
1.1
WSW
5
0.2
W
10
0.9
WSW
6
0.9
WSW
4
0.9
WSW
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
76
472
94
53
63
10
131
94
37
23
31
2
30
32
90
57
52
8
47
32
0
Wind (km/h)
20
W
30
WSW
20
W
20
SSW
30
WNW
25
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
10
NW
10
W
25
SW
20
WSW
25
WSW
25
SW
5
W
15
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
25
SW
15
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
8:16AM2.07m
8:38PM2.17m
9:31AM2.27m
9:44PM2.35m
10:27AM2.47m
10:37PM2.51m
11:13AM2.63m
11:22PM2.63m
11:54AM2.71m
00:02AM2.67m
12:32PM2.73m
00:41AM2.65m
1:07PM2.67m
1:17AM2.57m
Low Tide
1:38PM0.72m
2:13AM0.41m
2:38PM0.53m
3:05AM0.16m
3:27PM0.33m
3:51AM-0.04m
4:11PM0.17m
4:33AM-0.18m
4:52PM0.05m
5:12AM-0.23m
5:32PM-0.00m
5:50AM-0.19m
6:10PM0.01m
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:28
6:31
6:31
6:33
6:35
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:38
7:37
7:34
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:24
 mm
6
12
2
2
1
Temp °C
20
20
17
16
18
15
16
18
16
17
17
17
18
19
19
17
18
18
20
20
19
Feels °C
16
15
12
13
11
9
12
14
14
13
13
14
15
17
19
14
14
15
18
17
18
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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