Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, WSW swell with 406 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, now in proper surf speak. Let’s look at Freshwater Bay – a reef and point, exposed, fairly consistent, liking swell from the south-west.
Gotta be straight with you – the 16-day outlook is grim. There’s a long, dry spell with no worthwhile surf on the cards. It’s the kind of quiet stretch that happens around here sometimes. The water’s sitting at about 68°F, which is much warmer than normal for early September – that’s pretty unusual.
Saturday the 5th is a bust – 2ft of south-west swell at a short period, energy is weak. Morning’s cross-off but still poor. Afternoon gets worse.
Sunday the 6th is virtually flat.
Monday the 7th sees a long-period 15-second groundswell on a tiny 1ft wave – not enough to get excited about. Afternoon sees a gusty 22 mph cross-shore with lumpy 4ft.
Tuesday the 8th is your best bet in a poor lot. Moderate wave energy in the morning (170 reading) with 4ft and clean cross-off wind. But even then it’s still called poor surf conditions – short-period junk.
Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th are messy. Thursday afternoon has 6ft and 25 mph cross-winds with heavy chop and strong energy (216). That’s kite territory, not paddle.
From Friday the 11th through to September 20th it’s flat to tiny, under 2ft. A few mornings are glassy and clean, but there’s no swell to surf.
The only sliver of a chance is Tuesday morning the 8th – 4ft, clean, cross-off wind. But it’s still poor quality. There’s no real standout in this whole 16-day block.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 20°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 10 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | SW 18 | SW 15 | WSW 5 | WSW 12 | WSW 6 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | W 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 20 | 22 | 41 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 75 | 78 | 186 | 104 | 104 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 7 | 35 | 216 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:47PM2.03m | 6:41AM1.97m | 7:12PM2.04m | 8:16AM2.07m | 8:38PM2.17m | 9:31AM2.27m | 9:44PM2.35m | 10:27AM2.47m | 10:37PM2.51m | 11:13AM2.63m | 11:22PM2.63m | 11:54AM2.71m | 00:02AM2.67m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:37AM0.76m | 11:30PM0.73m | 12:14PM0.83m | 1:05AM0.63m | 1:38PM0.72m | 2:13AM0.41m | 2:38PM0.53m | 3:05AM0.16m | 3:27PM0.33m | 3:51AM-0.04m | 4:11PM0.17m | 4:33AM-0.18m | 4:52PM0.05m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | SE 3 | SW 15 | — | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 |
| kJ | 20 | 12 | 41 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 75 | — | 186 | 66 | 104 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SW 14 | SW 10 | SW 9 | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 6 | — | SE 3 | SE 4 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | W 5 | — | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | W 6 |
| kJ | 27 | 22 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 15 | 78 | 115 | 104 | 80 | 53 | — | 17 | 39 | 35 | 216 | 181 | 82 | 126 | 108 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 15 | 228 | 2 | 116 | 116 | 248 | 346 | 346 | 251 | 15 | 344 | 249 | 169 | 268 | 268 | 472 | 268 | 356 | 346 | 346 | 169 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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