Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for paddling out. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak surf and messy winds ahead. The good news is that the models are showing some energy way out there, but it’s a long way off, and it’s going to take a while for anything to show up on our shores.

For the next eight or nine days, we're looking at nothing but dribble. The swell energy is almost non-existent, with values mostly below 50 and often in the single digits. The combined energy of all swells directed here is just weak, and the period is short and crumbly. The wind is going to be a constant problem too, mostly onshore or cross, chopping up an already flat ocean. We might get a clean morning here or there, but with almost no swell to push through, it’s not going to be worth the effort. You'd be better off checking the tide pools.

There’s a slight bump in energy around Thursday the 20th, but it’s short-period slop, with the combined energy pushing up to 116. That's still weak, and with the wind swinging west, the surface is gonna be a mess. Honestly, this whole first stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, especially during the strong winds.

Now, let’s talk about the one glimmer of hope, and it’s a distant one. The models are hinting at a proper pulse of swell arriving on the morning of Thursday, August 27th. This one looks like it could be the real deal for Freshwater Bay. The combined energy is forecast to jump to 536, which is strong, and the swell is expected to be a solid 7 ft. The wind is also forecast to be offshore, which will be pure gold after all this chop. This is a standout, but it's over a week away, so treat it as promising but less certain. The waves could be chunky and powerful, perfect for the intermediate crew.

Even so, the windows around that date are still messy, with a lot of cross-shore and onshore winds. The morning of the 27th looks like the one to circle on the calendar. Let’s hope it holds together.

For the rest of the run, there’s nothing else that gets the heart racing. Keep the board in the car for the 27th, but don’t get your hopes up for anything before that.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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