Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
18.8° C
3.6° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, E swell with 187 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Wed 15th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 15th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sun 12th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Freshwater Bay. Gotta be straight with ya – we’re lookin’ at a long, dry spell before anything even worth paddlin’ out for shows up. The first solid hint of somethin’ surfable ain’t till Tuesday the 21st of July, and even then, it’s pretty ordinary.

For most of this 16-day run, we’ve got a whole lot of nothin’. The opening days – Wednesday the 8th through to Monday the 20th – are a write-off: tiny swell, messy wind, and cross-onshore chop. It’s just flat and ugly, with the combined wave energy hardly ever climbin’ past double digits. Even when we get a sniff of easterly swell around the 11th, the wind ruins it. Honestly, if you’re desperate, this setup’s more suited to a kite than a paddle – but I wouldn’t bother.

Now, we finally see a pulse of easterly swell movin’ in around the 21st. Tuesday morning the 21st of July is the pick of the whole outlook, even if it’s nothin’ flash. Swell runs about 4 ft from the east, period around 5 seconds – not long-period groundswell, just a short, weak pulse. The combined wave energy is just 99, so it’s on the edge of moderate. But here’s the kicker: glassy conditions, no wind at all. That’s gonna make for clean, smooth waves at Freshwater Bay (reef and point). It’s a fairly consistent spot, and sometimes you’ll get a few out there, but on a Tuesday mornin’ with no wind, you might dodge the crowd.

The water temp’s sittin’ at 66°F, which is a solid 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, almost feels like summer hangin’ on.

After that, the arvo on the 21st gets chopped up by a strong cross-onshore, and the rest of the week fades back into tiny, lumpy slop. So, there you have it – not much on offer, but if you’re keen, that Tuesday morning window is your one and only shot. Stay patient, mates.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 20°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
10
0.1
W
10
0.1
W
10
0.1
W
10
0.1
W
10
0.5
E
4
0.4
ESE
4
1.2
E
6
1
E
5
0.7
E
5
1.4
E
6
0.1
W
8
1.4
E
6
2.1
E
7
1.9
E
7
1.5
E
6
1.9
E
7
0.1
W
7
1.1
E
6
1.3
ENE
6
0.9
E
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
2
2
2
2
7
4
89
50
20
123
1
130
0
0
0
0
1
74
113
49
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
10
NNW
0
ESE
10
S
5
E
15
E
15
SE
25
ENE
25
ENE
20
ESE
25
NE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
NE
35
ENE
30
E
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
E
20
ENE
10
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
off
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
5:28PM2.19m
5:36AM2.01m
6:19PM2.18m
6:40AM2.01m
7:23PM2.19m
8:06AM2.06m
8:44PM2.24m
9:39AM2.19m
10:01PM2.36m
10:49AM2.38m
11:02PM2.50m
11:44AM2.55m
11:54PM2.62m
12:34PM2.68m
Low Tide
11:04PM0.78m
11:32AM0.60m
00:25AM0.72m
12:52PM0.59m
1:37AM0.56m
2:01PM0.50m
2:37AM0.34m
2:59PM0.36m
3:30AM0.12m
3:51PM0.23m
4:19AM-0.08m
4:40PM0.13m
5:06AM-0.23m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:03
5:03
5:05
5:05
5:07
5:07
5:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:17
9:17
9:16
9:15
9:15
9:15
9:14
9:13
 mm
Temp °C
24
25
25
26
26
27
27
26
27
27
23
26
27
20
24
25
20
25
25
21
24
Feels °C
22
23
25
25
26
25
24
23
23
23
18
21
21
12
18
19
13
19
19
16
23
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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