
Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, WSW swell with 504 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one to write. We’ve got Freshwater Bay, and it’s looking like a proper write-off for the next 16 days. I’m looking at the charts and there’s just nothing to get excited about.
The whole 16-day stretch is a real bummer. Sunday morning kicks off with a tiny 2ft SE windswell, period of 3 seconds – that’s just wind chop, not surf. It’s onshore and messy. The water is a warm 68° – that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a weird novelty, but it doesn’t help the waves.
We roll through the first week, and it’s a story of small, weak, and crossed-up conditions. There’s a brief pulse on Monday afternoon the 7th of September with a 4ft WSW swell and a period of 13 seconds. Combined energy hits 615 (moderate), which sounds okay, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy. The score is a zero. It’s just not surfable.
The biggest swell we see comes on the very last day, Monday the 21st of September: 6ft from the SW, period of 6 seconds, and combined energy of 224 (moderate). That’s the only wave over 5ft in the whole outlook, but it’s a short-period windswell, with a fresh cross-shore wind making it lumpy. It’s a messy, blown-out mess. For a reef and point setup, that’s more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddling one.
Most of the time, the swell is under 2ft and the energy is weak, with values like 12 or 14. There are long gaps of several days – like from the 9th to the 13th – where the best you get is a 2ft wave with moderate cross-shore chop. It’s just not worth paddling out.
Honestly, there’s no standout, no hidden gem, no session to look forward to. The forecast confidence is high for the near-term being poor, and the long-range isn’t promising either. This is a blank run. It happens sometimes in this area, and you just have to wait for the next system to change things up.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sun night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 3 | SE 4 | SW 18 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 10 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | SW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 8 | 13 | 76 | 434 | 86 | 181 | 106 | 18 | 41 | 147 | 21 | 21 | 80 | 211 | 57 | 71 | 70 | 25 | 129 | 119 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 7:12PM2.04m | 8:16AM2.07m | 8:38PM2.17m | 9:31AM2.27m | 9:44PM2.35m | 10:27AM2.47m | 10:37PM2.51m | 11:13AM2.63m | 11:22PM2.63m | 11:54AM2.71m | 00:02AM2.67m | 12:32PM2.73m | 00:41AM2.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:14PM0.83m | 1:05AM0.63m | 1:38PM0.72m | 2:13AM0.41m | 2:38PM0.53m | 3:05AM0.16m | 3:27PM0.33m | 3:51AM-0.04m | 4:11PM0.17m | 4:33AM-0.18m | 4:52PM0.05m | 5:12AM-0.23m | 5:32PM-0.00m | ||||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 16 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | SE 3 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | — | — | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 5 | — | W 12 | — | WSW 7 | — | WSW 8 | — | — | SW 10 |
4 | 8 | 2 | 76 | 181 | — | — | 106 | 18 | 41 | — | 21 | — | 3 | — | 43 | — | 70 | — | — | 4 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 3 | SE 4 | SW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 13 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 6 | WSW 8 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | SW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 |
5 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 434 | 86 | 181 | 93 | 97 | 75 | 147 | 1 | 21 | 80 | 211 | 57 | 71 | 56 | 25 | 129 | 119 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 198 | 156 | 169 | 169 | 211 | 230 | 169 | 346 | 346 | 169 | 15 | 141 | 378 | 230 | 161 | 32 | 24 | 0 | 232 | 108 | 108 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










