Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, WSW swell with 231 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's be real here. Looking at the next couple of weeks for Freshwater Bay, it’s a grim picture. This spot needs a decent SW swell to wrap into the point and reef, and we’re just not getting it. We’ve got tiny waves, wrong directions, and wind that won't play nice.
The water temperature is sitting at 68°F right now, which is a massive 6°F warmer than normal. That's really unusual, feels like the ocean forgot it's supposed to be cooling down.
The first possible window is on Friday, September 11th. The morning shows a 4ft swell from the WSW, but it’s a short-period, 6-second wind swell. The wind is a cross-off at 12 mph. The combined energy is weak at 99, so it’s going to be gutless and bumpy. The afternoon drops to 3ft with an 8-second period and the wind eases to 9 mph. The energy is still weak (113 – moderate), and it’s just not going to be any good.
After that, it’s a total desert. From Saturday the 12th all the way through Monday the 21st, the forecast is full of flat spells or onshore slop. There’s a day on Tuesday, September 22nd, where we see a 4ft swell from the ENE, but that’s the wrong direction. Freshwater Bay needs the swell from the SW. This ENE swell will just create a messy, cross-shore chop. The energy is moderate at 110, but the direction kills any hope of a wave.
Honestly, there’s nothing to recommend here. The only barely surfable window is that Friday morning (11th), and even that is a poor quality, weak wind swell. The rest of the 16 days is a blank run for paddle surfing. This kind of flat spell is pretty normal for the area when the swell window shuts down.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | W 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 63 | 146 | 101 | 80 | 37 | 23 | 29 | 162 | 99 | 113 | 48 | 0 | 88 | 104 | 10 | 33 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 4 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 9:44PM2.35m | 10:27AM2.47m | 10:37PM2.51m | 11:13AM2.63m | 11:22PM2.63m | 11:54AM2.71m | 00:02AM2.67m | 12:32PM2.73m | 00:41AM2.65m | 1:07PM2.67m | 1:17AM2.57m | 1:40PM2.56m | 1:52AM2.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:05AM0.16m | 3:27PM0.33m | 3:51AM-0.04m | 4:11PM0.17m | 4:33AM-0.18m | 4:52PM0.05m | 5:12AM-0.23m | 5:32PM-0.00m | 5:50AM-0.19m | 6:10PM0.01m | 6:28AM-0.07m | 6:47PM0.10m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 8 | — | W 15 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | SW 9 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 63 | 37 | 101 | — | 37 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 99 | — | 48 | — | 4 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 10 | WSW 7 | WSW 9 | — | SW 8 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 5 | 8 | — | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 6 | NNW 4 | WSW 8 | — | — | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 8 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | — | — | WSW 7 | WSW 4 |
| kJ | 37 | 146 | 5 | 80 | — | — | 29 | 162 | — | 113 | 2 | 13 | 88 | 104 | 64 | 46 | — | — | 17 | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 342 | 169 | 15 | 24 | 29 | 351 | 268 | 99 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 248 | 268 | 346 | 169 | 112 | 169 | 222 | 284 | 201 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Isle of Wight | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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