Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
19.5°C
2.9° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, WSW swell with 106 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 0.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 12th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 12th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Fri 11th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's going on at your local bank.

Right now, the surf outlook for the next sixteen days has a big, fat zero at the start. We are looking at a long, quiet stretch with next to nothing worth paddling out for. For the first week, and right into the start of the second week, it's going to be a proper drought. There’s a gap of about 10 days coming up where you can leave the board in the car and it won't matter one bit.

The only break in this entire run is Freshwater Bay, a reef and point set-up that's fairly consistent, but this forecast has it looking pretty ordinary for a while. The only flicker of life arrives on Friday the 25th of September. That afternoon, we get a sudden jump in energy with the combined swell energy hitting 139 – that's moderate energy. We're looking at a 5 ft swell from the east, which is a mismatch for the break's optimum from the southwest, and a short period of 6 seconds. It won't be classic, but what makes this session notable is the wind: glassy. Zero breeze. For a spot that's been hammered by onshores and cross-shore chop for days, that clean, glassy surface is a lifeline. If you're desperate, that's your window. It's surfable, but honestly, it looks more like a consolation prize than a standout.

Before that, you've got the morning of Thursday the 18th showing the only other pulse of small, weak swell (3 ft from the WSW, combined energy of 51), with a cross-off breeze that'll keep it looking alright, but it's tiny stuff and not going to give you much push.

Honestly, for this stretch, with the size, poor quality, and winds we're seeing at a beachier reef setup like this, a few of those afternoons look more interesting for a kite than a paddle.

Keep your hopes low, and your eyes on that glassy window on the 25th.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Mon night, fresh winds from the W by Wed night).

Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WSW
6
0.9
WSW
9
0.8
W
9
0.5
WSW
8
1.2
WSW
5
1.3
WSW
5
0.2
WSW
10
0.5
W
10
0.8
WSW
5
0.5
WSW
7
0.8
WSW
4
0.3
WSW
9
0.6
S
4
0.7
SW
4
0.8
W
5
0.5
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
9
0.2
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
5
1.6
WSW
6
1.4
WSW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
123
132
99
37
63
0
10
50
28
25
18
15
9
17
34
37
32
12
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
20
SW
10
NW
20
WSW
30
WSW
25
WSW
20
W
20
WSW
10
WNW
15
SW
25
WSW
15
SW
10
W
15
WNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
WNW
25
W
30
W
30
W
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:54AM2.71m
00:02AM2.67m
12:32PM2.73m
00:41AM2.65m
1:07PM2.67m
1:17AM2.57m
1:40PM2.56m
1:52AM2.45m
2:11PM2.41m
2:26AM2.29m
2:43PM2.25m
3:02AM2.13m
3:18PM2.09m
3:44AM1.98m
Low Tide
4:52PM0.05m
5:12AM-0.23m
5:32PM-0.00m
5:50AM-0.19m
6:10PM0.01m
6:28AM-0.07m
6:47PM0.10m
7:05AM0.11m
7:24PM0.25m
7:41AM0.33m
8:02PM0.44m
8:19AM0.57m
8:42PM0.66m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:35
6:37
6:37
6:39
6:41
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:30
7:28
7:24
7:22
7:21
7:19
7:15
 mm
4
1
1
2
1
1
1
Temp °C
19
20
18
17
18
17
20
22
19
20
21
20
20
21
15
16
18
15
19
19
15
Feels °C
17
16
16
12
13
13
18
19
18
19
19
20
21
19
10
11
13
10
14
13
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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