Freshwater Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 50.67° N 1.51° W

Freshwater Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 04 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater Bay sea temperature is
20.1°C
3.3° 

Freshwater Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater Bay surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, WSW swell with 664 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater Bay this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 10th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what Freshwater Bay has in store for us.

Honestly, it’s a pretty bleak run for the next couple of weeks. The first real surf we see doesn’t show until Thursday the 10th of September, and even then it’s a marginal one. We’ve got a long dry spell before that – from now all the way through to the 10th – with barely a ripple on offer. Most of the time it’s flat or just tiny, messy dribble. Not ideal.

That Thursday morning on the 10th, we get a pulse of southwest swell coming in at about 8 ft, but the period is a short 7 seconds, and the wind is a cross-shore from the WSW at 16 mph. The combined energy is up there at 664 (moderate), but the whole setup looks a bit lumpy. It’s not going to be clean, and only strong surfers will want to be out in that size. Not a standout.

After that, it fades fast. Friday the 11th afternoon has a little 5 ft cross-shore slop, and then we’re back to tiny or flat again until Tuesday the 15th. That Tuesday morning sees another southwest swell, 8 ft with a 7 second period, but the wind is howling cross-shore at 25 mph. The energy is moderate (446), but the surface will be a mess – this is more of a kite session than a paddle-in wave. After that, it’s all tiny dribble right through to the end of the 16-day window.

There is no true standout in this window. The best of a bad bunch is that Thursday the 10th morning, but with the cross-shore wind and short period, it’s not one to get excited about. Water temp is sitting at 68°, which is 38° above normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so at least the water will feel warm. Crowds are possible there, but on a day like that, you might have it to yourself.

The rest of the forecast is a write-off. A long, flat spell followed by a couple of windy, average days. That’s the story from here.

Stay optimistic, it never stays flat forever.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri morning, calm by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the W on Mon morning, strong winds from the SW by Wed night).

Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WSW
7
1.4
WSW
6
0.4
WSW
8
0.6
WSW
5
0.5
WSW
7
0.4
WSW
10
0.6
SSE
4
0.6
SE
4
0.2
WSW
8
0.4
SW
15
1
WSW
13
1.5
WSW
5
0.4
WSW
11
1.8
WSW
6
1.7
WSW
6
1.3
WSW
6
1.4
WSW
5
1.1
WSW
6
2.5
WSW
7
2.1
WSW
7
1.5
WSW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
453
165
24
21
30
41
8
9
7
54
362
0
45
0
212
0
0
74
664
392
169
Wind (km/h)
30
W
30
W
20
WNW
15
WNW
20
SW
5
SE
20
SE
15
SE
15
W
20
W
30
SW
30
W
25
W
30
W
25
W
20
W
35
WSW
45
SW
25
WSW
30
WSW
25
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
4:38PM2.10m
5:16AM2.00m
5:47PM2.03m
6:41AM1.97m
7:12PM2.04m
8:16AM2.07m
8:38PM2.17m
9:31AM2.27m
9:44PM2.35m
10:27AM2.47m
10:37PM2.51m
11:13AM2.63m
11:22PM2.63m
Low Tide
10:02PM0.65m
10:37AM0.76m
11:30PM0.73m
12:14PM0.83m
1:05AM0.63m
1:38PM0.72m
2:13AM0.41m
2:38PM0.53m
3:05AM0.16m
3:27PM0.33m
3:51AM-0.04m
4:11PM0.17m
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:22
6:24
6:26
6:28
6:28
6:31
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:45
7:43
7:40
7:38
7:37
7:34
7:31
 mm
1
5
1
Temp °C
20
20
15
17
16
17
19
21
21
19
19
18
18
19
15
17
17
17
22
22
18
Feels °C
16
14
11
15
13
14
16
19
19
15
14
13
12
12
10
11
11
12
18
17
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Freshwater Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Freshwater Bay is 16 km (10 miles) from Newport. If you plan a holiday in Isle of Wight, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport. Newport has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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