Llantwit Major Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim picture for Llantwit Major. We’ve got a long stretch of flat, messy, and unrideable conditions ahead. The water is currently a very unusual 69°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing worth noting.

The outlook kicks off Monday afternoon, July 27th, with a tiny 3ft swell from the west, but a moderate cross-onshore breeze has it chopped up. The combined swell energy is a weak 50. This same pattern of weak, wind-affected swell sticks around for days. From Tuesday the 28th right through to the morning of Monday, August 3rd, it’s a whole lot of nothing – small waves, poor surf conditions, and cross-onshore winds. There’s a few days there where the swell is just 1ft to 2ft, and the energy is barely registering. The only tiny bright spot is on the morning of Monday, August 3rd, where we get a clean cross-offshore wind from the east, but the swell is still a pathetic 1ft from the WSW. Not worth paddling out for.

The same flat, clean conditions continue through August 4th, 5th, and 6th, with offshore winds, but the swell is stuck at 0.3ft to 0.7ft. There’s just no energy. The combined energy values are all single digits.

We finally see a pulse on August 7th, Friday morning, with a 0.7ft, 10-second period swell from the west, but it’s still too small. By Friday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 2ft from the west, but it’s a short period.

Now, August 8th (Saturday) is where it gets interesting, but not for the right reasons. Swell jumps to 5ft to 6ft from the west, with a combined energy of 313 (moderate wave energy). The period is a short 7-8 seconds, so it’s not going to be well-shaped. The problem is that on Saturday morning it’s cross-shore, and by the afternoon, it’s onshore with a light breeze. This is a beach-and-reef setup, and with that amount of swell, poor shape, and building wind, this looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing one. The Sunday the 9th keeps the wind onshore and fresh, with 5ft to 4ft of messy swell.

After that, it all drops away again. Monday the 10th has strong cross-onshore winds and a messy 3ft, and then we’re back to tiny, chopped-up leftovers through the rest of the forecast.

There are no standouts here. The best you could hope for is a small, clean window on the morning of August 3rd or 4th, but with practically no swell. The rest of the period is a write-off.

Rusty.

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