Llantwit Major Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our stretch of coast. I’ll be honest with you, it’s been a bit of a grim picture for the next couple of weeks, but there might be a little light at the end of the tunnel.

The long and short of it is that we’re in a real flat spell. Most of the coming days are looking pretty weak, with onshore winds messing up what little bump we have. The swell energy is often in the low double digits or just teetering on the edge of being noticeable. It's a lot of close-to-nothing surf.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are total right-offs. We’re looking at ankle-biters, maybe 1.3ft at best, and the wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, making things choppy and messy. The water temp is sitting at 69.3°F, which is a good deal warmer than normal for this time of year by 8.3°F – that’s pretty wild, keep the spring suit handy or maybe just a rashie.

We get a little pulse of energy mid-week. Wednesday the 5th sees the swell bump up to 5.2ft, but it’s coming with a strong cross-onshore wind of 22-25 mph. The energy reading jumps to 282, which is moderate, but the wind will just tear it to pieces. It’s big enough to be fun for the more experienced crew but messy with it. Not a day for beginners, that’s for sure. Thursday the 6th is similar, but smaller, around 3.6ft and still lumpy.

Then we drop back into the doldrums. From Friday the 7th through the following week, it’s just tiny, weak waves. There will be a few cleaner moments, especially on the 9th, 10th, and 11th when the wind goes light or offshore. The swell will be tiny, maybe 0.3ft to 2ft, but at least the surface will be glassy or clean, which is something. The energy readings are often below 20, showing just how weak it is. This is a stretch of several days where you’re really just hoping for a push.

We do see something more interesting start to brew for the second weekend. On Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th, the swell shows a jump to 3.9ft-4.9ft, and the energy readings get into the strong zone, hitting 124 and 233. The wind is looking like light offshore or cross-shore from the east/southeast, which means it could clean up nicely. This looks like the standout of the period. Our spot, Llantwit Major, is a point break that loves a southwest swell, and seeing some size with clean conditions is promising. Because the period is short, it's not a huge-groundswell event, but it’s the most surfable we’ve seen in a long while. It might be a bit much for total beginners, but for the rest of us, it could be a fun few sessions. This is a long-range call, so don't book the time off just yet, but it’s definitely the one to watch.

After that, it fades away again quickly, dropping back to nothing by the 18th. So, overall, it’s a bleak outlook for a while, but that pulse around the 16th and 17th is the one to keep an eye on. It won't stay poor forever.

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