Llantwit Major Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s be straight with you. It’s a bit of a flat, frustrating stretch ahead for Llantwit Major. Looking at the whole 16-day window, I don’t see a single day that’s worth getting properly excited about. There are no good surf options on offer, plain and simple. The swell just doesn’t have any push, and the winds are mostly all over the shop.

We start this Friday, the 11th, with a bit of a pulse but it’s messy. There’s a weak 3ft of west swell pushing through, but a cross-shore breeze is chopping it right up. The combined energy is a paltry 148 (moderate at best). The water is a notable 67°, which is a full 6° warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s a big anomaly, proper unusual. Saturday gets a bit more size at 4ft but the wind swings onshore and it’s junky. The period drops to a weak 6 seconds, but with that wind, it won’t matter.

The first week is all poor surf conditions. Sunday through Tuesday, it’s the same story: small, cross-onshore, and lumpy. The swell energy dips into the double digits, like the 59 and 66 readings, which tells you just how weak it all is. There is a slight bump mid-week on Wednesday the 16th, with early morning waves around 4ft and energy up to 143, but it’s still crossed up and poor. Thursday the 17th sees the biggest swell of the whole period, with 5ft and energy jumping to 242, but it’s accompanied by a fresh cross-onshore wind, so it’s going to be a crumbly, blown-out mess. Not worth the paddle out.

Then it dies. A long, frustrating gap from Friday the 18th all the way through to the end of the window on the 26th. The surf is practically non-existent. We’re talking 1ft or even ankle-slappers. The combined energy drops through the floor into single digits, like the 9 and 7 readings. This isn’t a temporary lull; this is a full-on flat spell.

The only silver lining is that from the 20th onwards, the winds finally turn offshore. But it’s no good when there’s no waves to groom. The swell direction is still from the west, but it’s just too weak. When the period does stretch out to 13 seconds on the 23rd, there’s nothing behind it. The setup here at this point is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Honestly, with the surf being this small and weak, and with few consistent waves on the cards, this blank run is a real possibility for the area. You’d be better off doing anything else. Forecasts can change, but this one looks locked in for a whole lot of nothing. Hang loose.

Rusty.

Read more