Llantwit Major Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, folks. Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Llantwit Major's got lined up for us over the next couple of weeks. Straight off the bat, I gotta tell you, it ain't looking like a classic stretch. We've got a bit of a wait before anything even worth paddling out for shows up.

The water's sitting at 66°, which is a solid 6° warmer than normal for this time of year. That's a proper anomaly – feels more like a late summer swim than an autumn session. Now, for the surf itself...

We're staring down the barrel of a long, bleak run to start. From Saturday the 12th right through to Tuesday the 22nd of September, it's a write-off. The conditions are just consistently poor. You've got onshore winds, mostly cross-onshore, and the swell is small and weak. The combined energy barely gets into triple digits on a few days, but it's all junk. It's honestly more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session with that wind and lumpy sea state.

The only break of any note we've got is Llantwit Major itself, a point break.

There is a flicker of hope, though, right at the end of the run. On Wednesday, the 23rd of September, things finally line up. We've got a light, offshore breeze from the East, which will make the point look clean. Through the morning, we'll see a 4ft swell from the West (combined energy hitting 139), but it's the afternoon where it gets interesting. The swell is expected to bump up to 5ft, still from the West, but the energy jumps to 276 – that's a decent pulse of moderate energy. The wind stays light and offshore. Expect "good surf conditions" as the data says. This is the standout window. The sea surface will be clean, and that's all we want.

After that, it fades out again. Thursday the 24th sees the wind shift, making things ordinary again, and Friday the 25th is back to tiny, glassy but unrideable conditions.

So the take-home from your local bloke: there's a massive gap of ten days with no real options. Don't even look at the ocean until Wednesday the 23rd. That afternoon is your moment. It won't be a classic point day of the year, because the swell is only moderate-sized, but after all that rubbish, getting clean chest-high waves with light wind is a proper treat.

Stay patient. Rusty.

Read more