Carbis Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the stretch ahead for Carbis Bay. Honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag – we’ve got some surf on the cards, but you’ll have to pick your moments. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re heading in.

We start off on Saturday the 12th with some waves rolling in. The morning sees a 4.6 ft swell from the west, period a short 8 seconds, and a stiff 18.6 mph offshore from the southwest. The energy is moderate (305), but honestly, the conditions are just marginal – a bit of a bumpy ride, and the tide might mess with it. The afternoon bumps up to 5.6 ft, but it’s still that same short-period stuff and only moderate energy (421). Not the day to get overly excited.

Sunday the 13th shapes up better. The morning has a clean 5.2 ft west swell with a 10-second period, meaning a bit more push and shape, and the offshore wind is a gentler 12.4 mph. The energy is solidly moderate (519). Afternoon stays similar with 4.9 ft and 446 energy. This is our first real standout: the conditions are described as good, with clean, offshore lines. For a beginner spot, this is about as good as it gets – nice and manageable.

Monday the 14th drops off quickly. Swell fades to 3.9 ft in the morning with poor period (8 seconds) and only 231 energy. It’s surfable but very ordinary. The afternoon is similar with 3.6 ft. Not worth rushing for.

Tuesday the 15th gets messy. The swell pushes back up to 5.6 ft from the west, but the wind goes cross-offshore from the northwest, and the conditions are described as poor. The energy is moderate (393), but the quality just isn’t there. Avoid it.

Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th is a write-off. The wind kicks up onshore and cross-shore, the swell is lumpy and disorganised, and the energy spikes to 837 on Wednesday morning, but it’s all chop and no form. You’d be better off staying on the sand.

Then we hit Friday the 18th, and this is where things get interesting. The morning brings a 5.6 ft swell from the west-northwest with a *very long* 13-second period – proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a strong 937. The wind is a moderate cross-offshore from the west-southwest, keeping it clean. This kind of long-period swell loves a point or a reef; at a beach break like Carbis Bay, it can wall up and close out, but if you find a peak it’ll be a ripper. The afternoon stays clean with 4.9 ft and 715 energy. This is the real standout of the first week – the best quality surf on offer.

Saturday the 19th sees a bump in size to 7.2 ft in the morning, but it’s short-period (8 seconds) and the wind is strong cross-offshore. The energy is moderate (712), but conditions are marginal. Sunday the 20th is a no-go: the morning has a 4.6 ft swell with a 15-second period (784 energy), but a howling 24.9 mph cross-offshore breeze makes it a battle just to get out. The afternoon kicks up to 8.2 ft, but it’s short and messy. Leave the board at home.

Monday the 21st brings a proper pulse. The morning has a 9.8 ft swell from the west-northwest, with a 13-second period – that’s a big, powerful groundswell. The energy is a massive 2860 – strong. The wind is a cross-offshore 18.6 mph. This is for experts only; over 8.2 ft, it’s a heavy, challenging wave. The afternoon stays big at 8.2 ft with 2574 energy. If you’ve got the skills and the guts, this is your window. But for most of us, it’s a spectator sport.

Tuesday the 22nd is where it all calms down and cleans up beautifully. The morning has a 5.6 ft swell from the west-northwest with a long 12-second period, energy a strong 901, and the wind is a light 9.3 mph cross-offshore. The forecast says “very good surf conditions” – that’s our second standout. It’s clean, it’s punchy, and it’s not too big. The afternoon is smaller at 4.3 ft but still fun. A classic day for a log or a fish.

From Wednesday the 23rd onwards, it fades fast. The wind swings onshore from the southeast, the swell drops, and by the end of the week we’ve

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