Carbis Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Morning crew, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

The next couple of days at Carbis Bay are pretty ordinary – we’ve got surf, but it’s nothing to write home about. Monday starts with a clean-ish 4ft W swell, but it’s lacking punch and the wind is moderate offshore. Water is sitting at 63°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a little bonus, but not enough to save the session from being average. The combined swell energy is around 242 (weak-moderate), so it’s small and gutless.

Tuesday sees a jump in size – 6ft – but the period drops to 8 seconds and the cross-offshore wind is fresh. It’s messy, lumpy, and honestly pretty poor. Wednesday is bigger again at 7ft, but we’re getting a fresh cross-shore and a lumpy, cross-chop surface. The energy is up – combined swell energy at 1046 (strong) – but the wind kills it. This one’s for the kites, not the paddle.

Thursday is more of the same – 6ft but short-period, cross-offshore, and messy. Not worth suiting up unless you’re desperate.

Then we get a real standout. Friday morning, the 18th. Swell holds around 6ft, but the period jumps to 13 seconds – proper groundswell – and the wind is a gentle cross-offshore. The combined energy is 1198 (strong). This is the best looking window of the whole run. Carbis Bay (Carbis Bay) is exposed enough to catch this, but with that longer period, it should have some shape. The water temp anomaly is only notable at Monday – the rest of the week we can’t see the data, but from what I’ve got, it’s not a headline. Friday morning is the one. Clean, powerful, and smooth.

Saturday drops back a bit – 4ft, short period, but the wind is still cross-offshore. It’s rideable, but nothing special. Sunday is smaller again – 4ft – but with a 10-12 second period and light offshore winds, it’ll be clean, just small. For a log or a funboard, it’ll be alright.

Now, the second week is rough. From Monday the 21st onwards, the wind swings onshore and the swell fades. Monday starts with a cross-shore, then it gets worse. Tuesday and Wednesday – 3ft and under, with poor conditions. Thursday the 24th has a bit of size – 4ft – but the wind is onshore and the period is 11-12 seconds, so it’s likely to be sectiony and closed out. Not great.

From the 25th onwards it’s a write-off. Swell drops to 2-3ft, wind is cross-onshore, and the combined energy is weak – as low as 85-107 (weak). Even the long period on the 29th – 14 seconds at 3-3ft – won’t save it because the wind is fresh and onshore. There’s a gap of several days – from about the 24th through to the end – where nothing is worth paddling out for.

So, bottom line: Friday morning the 18th is your standout. Big, clean, long-period groundswell. Get on it early. The rest is pretty average, and the last few days are a bust.

Rusty out.

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