Carbis Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this forecast for Carbis Bay is a tough one to stomach. We’ve got a full 16-day window ahead, but honestly, there’s nothing in it that I’d call a proper surf. The whole run is a flat spell with barely a pulse, and the few moments where the ocean tries to move are spoiled by poor wind or just not enough energy. It’s a long wait, so don’t get your hopes up.

Looking at the start of the period, from Sunday the 9th through to Thursday the 14th, it’s mostly hopeless. We’re talking tiny waves – 1 ft to maybe 3 ft – with weak combined swell energy (values between 27 and 157). Winds are all over the place, mostly cross or cross-onshore, keeping things choppy. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is just a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s the only highlight.

Now, Friday the 14th morning is about the only time the forecast even gets a “surfable” nod. Swell comes from the WNW at 3 ft, period of 9 seconds, with a cross-offshore wind from the WNW. That gives you clean conditions. The combined energy is still weak at 129. It's not going to blow your mind, but if you’re desperate, it’s the best you’ll see in this run. But honestly, it’s a poor excuse for a surf.

By Saturday the 15th and into the second week, things actually get bigger but worse. Swell picks up to 4 ft to 6 ft, with combined energy climbing into the 100s and even up to 284 on the 21st. But the wind turns nasty – strong cross-onshore from the north, making it lumpy and choppy. That’s more kite-surfing territory than anything you’d want to paddle into.

There’s a moment on Tuesday the 18th morning where the wind goes glassy – calm, zero wind – but the swell is a pathetic 2 ft with a short period of 7 seconds and combined energy of just 40. It’s flat, mate.

Even the long-range stuff around the 23rd and 24th shows clean conditions with cross-offshore winds, but the swell is tiny and the wind is 34 mph or stronger. That’s not surfable.

So here’s the cold truth: there’s no standout, no hidden gem. Don't bother checking the buoys, just leave the boards in the van. Carbis Bay is a beginner spot and inconsistent at the best of times, and this 16-day outlook is a blank run. It happens. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

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