Surf Forecasts:
Aberavon surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, W swell with 154 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Aberavon this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Aberavon in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Aberavon over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s brewing for Aberavon.
Gotta be honest, it’s looking pretty grim for the foreseeable. We’re in for a proper dry spell, with a long stretch of flat, weak conditions that aren’t worth the walk to the water. The first week is a total write-off. From Saturday the 18th right through to the afternoon of Thursday the 24th, we’re talking about tiny, 0.3ft to 1ft slop, with the combined energy barely registering a single digit (1 to 8). The odd glassy morning, like Monday the 20th, will look pretty, but there’s just no push to get you in. It’s a painful gap of about seven days before we see anything that even looks like a wave.
The first real glimmer of hope, and I mean the only one worth mentioning, is on Saturday morning the 25th of July. The swell finally bumps up to 4ft from the west (period 7 seconds), and the combined energy climbs to 154 – that’s moderate, but it’s something. However, the wind is a cross-shore from the northwest at 12 mph, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy. It’s a beach/reef/pier setup, so there might be a sneaky corner, but it’s not going to be clean. By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore and picks up to 19 mph, making it a lumpy, blown-out mess. That Saturday morning, despite the messy look, stands as the best of a bad bunch.
After that, the swell drops right back down to knee-to-waist high mush for the rest of the forecast, with the wind rarely playing ball. The best of the rest might be the morning of Thursday the 30th of July, with a tiny 0.7ft west swell, light easterly breezes, and clean conditions, but you’d be surfing ankle-biters.
One thing that is truly unusual is the water temperature. On the 18th, it’s at 68°, a massive 8° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a real anomaly – you’ll be in boardies or a spring suit for sure.
Honestly, keep your gear in the shed for the next week. The only real chance at a wave is that Saturday the 25th, and it’s a gamble. For a break like Aberavon, this kind of blank run isn’t that unusual, but it still stings. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but I wouldn’t be holding my breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 3 | W 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:17PM8.78m | 10:39AM8.16m | 11:00PM8.26m | 11:23AM7.66m | 11:44PM7.65m | 12:08PM7.14m | 00:32AM7.04m | 12:59PM6.65m | 1:27AM6.51m | 2:01PM6.29m | 2:36AM6.17m | 3:14PM6.15m | 3:51AM6.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:01PM0.63m | 4:29AM0.73m | 4:43PM1.02m | 5:11AM1.20m | 5:27PM1.51m | 5:55AM1.73m | 6:14PM2.03m | 6:43AM2.25m | 7:07PM2.50m | 7:39AM2.68m | 8:12PM2.84m | 8:47AM2.92m | 9:26PM2.94m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:16 | — | — | 9:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
Feels °C | 20 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | NW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 3 | W 9 | W 8 | WNW 4 | W 11 | W 10 | WNW 3 | W 10 | W 9 | NW 4 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 3 | W 8 | — | W 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | — | W 7 | — | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | — | — | W 9 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | W 12 | W 11 | W 11 | — | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | W 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 20 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 412 | 412 | 60 | 412 | 357 | 337 | 213 | 213 | 370 | 145 | 199 | 191 | 412 | 759 | 191 | 95 | 434 | 335 | 363 | 962 | 331 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - South East | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Aberavon Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Aberavon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Aberavon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Aberavon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Aberavon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Aberavon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - South East? If you are looking for accommodation near Aberavon, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - South East, consider staying in Briton Ferry which is 4 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - South East where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Neath Abbey which is 7 km (4 miles) away, Neath, Swansea and Clydach.
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