Aberavon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m looking out over the next couple of weeks here at Aberavon, and I’ve got to be straight with you—there’s a whole lot of nothing on offer for a long stretch. The wind is just not playing ball, and the swell is messy. It’s a tough run for anyone hoping to get wet.

We start off Saturday the 29th with a bit of weak, short-period swell around 2 ft from the WSW, but there’s moderate rain and a stiff cross-off wind from the SE at 16 mph. The water is a balmy 69°, which is 8° warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s seriously warm, very unusual. But the surf is poor, and the combined energy is a weak 35. The afternoon doesn’t get any better with onshore winds.

Sunday the 30th brings a little more size, up to 4 ft in the morning, but the wind is cross-on from the SSW, and it’s just messy. There’s a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, and the swell period is short at 8 seconds. Energy climbs to 254, but it’s still poor.

Monday the 31st, the swell picks up to 6 ft in the morning, with a period of 9 seconds from the WSW, and the combined energy hits 495—moderate energy. But the wind is cross-shore from the WNW, creating a cross-chop. It’s just not clean, and the afternoon is worse with onshore winds.

Tuesday through to Saturday the 6th of September, it’s a real grind. The swell keeps coming, but it’s always onshore or cross-onshore, and the wind is consistently moderate to fresh. The best we see is around 6 ft to 7 ft, but with onshore winds and short periods, it’s blown out. The energy peaks at 522 on Wednesday the 2nd, but with a messy, onshore wind, it’s not worth paddling out. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are even worse, with strong winds and lumpy, messy conditions.

Finally, on Monday the 7th of September, there’s a real glimmer. The morning starts with clear skies, glassy wind—absolutely zero wind—and a 4 ft swell from the west at a 10-second period. The combined energy is 273, and the water is still warm. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” and that’s the only standout in the entire 16 days. The swell direction is WSW, which is the optimum for Aberavon, and with glassy conditions, it’ll be clean. This is the one to look at. The afternoon sees a light cross-on breeze, but the morning is the clear winner.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions. Tuesday through to Sunday the 13th, the wind stays cross or onshore, and the swell drops off. By the end of the run, it’s mostly small, weak, and messy.

Honestly, if you’re not a patient surfer, this forecast is a tough watch. The one real chance is Monday morning, the 7th of September. Get up early, and you might grab a few clean, waist-high waves. The rest of the time, it’s more of a struggle than a session.

Rusty

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