Aberavon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. The long and short of it is, this forecast is a bit of a heartbreaker. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but the surf is going to be almost non-existent for most of it. The energy just isn't there. We're looking at a long stretch of flat, small conditions with some bumpy, wind-blown days early on that will only frustrate you.

We kick off on Monday the 3rd at Aberavon. There’s a little bit of swell in the water, but it’s weak, around 2ft to 2ft with a period of 9 seconds. The wind is cross-off in the morning, which is nice, but it’s not breaking properly. The wave energy is a paltry 43 and 49. It’s a case of wind that’s trying to do its job but just doesn’t have any wave to work with. Tuesday the 4th gets worse. That southwest wind swings onshore, and the swell is all over the place with a period dropping to 4 seconds in the afternoon and energy down at 40. This is not surfable, it’s just chop.

Then we get a slight tease on Wednesday the 5th. The swell bumps up to 5ft to 6ft from the WSW, but hold your horses. That’s a short-period, wind-swell with a period of only 7-8 seconds. The wind is a fresh cross-onshore, and the wave energy is moderate at 306-328, but it’s just a messy, lumpy mess. It's the kind of day that looks like it has something from the beach, but the onshores will have it breaking all over the place with no shape. Thursday the 6th is similar, with a cross-shore wind adding to the confusion and energy dropping back to 134 and then 80. Nothing doing.

From Friday the 7th onward, it’s a slow bleed. The swell drops away, and it’s a story of small, weak waves with the odd glassy morning, like Sunday the 9th, but nothing with any power. There will be a few clean mornings here and there, like Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th with light cross-off winds, but the swell is just too tiny. We’re talking ankle-biters, 0.3ft to 1ft, with energy values down in the single digits. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so you won't need a thicker suit just yet, but you will need a longboard and a whole lot of patience.

So, there you have it. The first real, notable surf is not showing up in this window. We are looking at a period of more than a week with absolutely nothing on the cards. It’s the kind of forecast where you’re better off checking the tide charts for a walk, or maybe just tuning up your board and waiting for the next front to push through. The long-range stuff is only showing tiny, short-period pulses that don't offer any hope.

It's a frustrating outlook. The waves just aren't here. I’m not going to lie to you and say there’s a hidden gem in there. There isn’t. We'll have to wear this one.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

Read more