Aberavon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks, yeah? To be straight with you, it’s not looking like a classic run for Aberavon. We’ve got a whole lot of nothing on the cards for a good stretch, and even when the size does show up, the conditions are going to be fighting against us. But that’s the nature of it sometimes. We’ll get some clean windows, but they’ll be short and you’ll need to pick your moments.

The week kicks off with a proper flat spell. Saturday the 8th through to Wednesday the 12th is a write-off. We’re talking about ankle-biters with next to no energy, a weak combined swell energy (2 to 57). It’s just not worth getting wet for. The water is a notable 69°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least it’ll be comfortable while you’re staring at the flatness.

We finally see a pulse of energy arrive on Thursday the 13th, but it’s messy. The swell builds to 3ft from the WSW with moderate energy (176), but the cross-onshore wind is chopping it all up. Not great.

Friday the 14th is the first real glimmer. The morning has a 3ft WSW swell, and while it’s only a short-period 6 seconds, the cross-offshore breeze keeps it clean. It’s still marginal—the guidance only gives it a score of 1 out of 10—but it’s the best we’ve seen. The energy is weak though (70), so don’t expect much push. It’s a grovel, but it’s a clean grovel.

Then we go flat again. Saturday the 15th to Monday the 17th is back to tiny, weak surf. There’s a glassy window on Saturday morning with 1ft, but it’s too small to be worth the paddle.

The next notable bump is mid-week, starting Wednesday the 19th. The swell jumps up to 4ft on Wednesday morning, and by the afternoon it’s 5ft from the west. The energy is getting serious now (166 to 231), but the wind is ruining it—cross-shore and cross-onshore, blowing 20 to 30 km/h. It’s lumpy and messy. Too big to be fun with that wind.

Thursday the 20th is the standout of the whole window, but it’s a tricky one. The morning has 5ft of west swell and the energy jumps up to a strong 448. The wind is cross-shore though, which will mean some chop. But the afternoon is where it’s at. The wind swings to a cross-offshore from the NNW at 20 km/h, cleaning it right up. The swell is still a solid 4ft from the west. It’s still short-period (7 seconds) so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but this is the only time in the fortnight where we get some decent size and clean conditions together. It’s a Thursday, so the crowds might be around, but this is your window. After that, it’s back to small and weak for the weekend.

So, overall, it’s a lean fortnight. Get after Friday the 14th if you’re desperate for a splash, but the real go-to is Thursday the 20th afternoon. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve got. Cab fare home.

Rusty.

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