Aberavon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here again, this time in feet and miles per hour. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Aberavon over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough run. There’s a big gap of nothing worthwhile at the start, and the pattern is pretty grim for a while.

Right from Monday afternoon, it’s a write-off. We’ve got a 5-foot swell coming from the WSW with a period of 13 seconds, so there’s some energy in the water (combined energy of 732), but the wind is howling from the WSW at 15 mph, ripping across the face. It’s messy, choppy, and just not fun. The water temperature is sitting at 67°F, which is a whopping 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a serious anomaly, very unusual, so you might not need the thickest wetsuit, but you won’t be catching any waves worth having anyway.

Tuesday and Wednesday are more of the same. The swell drops off and the wind stays on it or cross-shore. We’re talking about poor conditions across the board. Thursday the 10th is flat and windblown. This stretch is a total bust.

Now, here’s a little glimmer. Friday morning the 11th. The swell is only 4 feet from the WSW at 9 seconds, but the wind swings around to a light NNW breeze at 6 mph, giving us a clean, cross-offshore flow. The energy is moderate (combined energy of 176). The break is Aberavon – a beach/reef/pier setup that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the SW. For this window, the conditions are surfable. It’s not going to be pumping, but you can get a few waves without the battle. The crowd factor is “sometimes”, so you might have some company, but nothing crazy. This Friday morning is honestly the only time I’d bother paddling out in this entire forecast.

After that, it falls apart again. The weekend goes back to onshore winds and tiny, weak swell. The following week, from Monday the 14th right through to the 22nd, it’s a desert. The swell barely registers, and when it does, the wind is either cross or onshore. There are a couple of brief moments with clean conditions on the 15th, 16th, and 17th, but the swell is tiny – 1 foot or less – so you’d be floating around on a lake, not surfing. The combined energy is in the single digits or low twenties. That’s just not enough to push a surfboard.

So, to sum it up: you’ve got a long dry spell. If you absolutely need to get wet, set your alarm for Friday morning, 11th September. That’s your only real chance for a surfable wave. After that, the waiting game begins. It’s a shame, but it happens.

Rusty.

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