Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, W swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period, W swell with 60 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 9s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The surf forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 0.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Manorbier over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next sixteen days are looking pretty grim for any decent surf. The first proper swell window doesn’t really show up until the very end of the period, and even then it’s not a classic. The whole run is a tough one, with a lot of flat spells and weak, messy energy. The combined swell energy barely gets above 100, and most days it’s stuck in the low double digits, which tells you how quiet it is. There’s a long gap of nothing, really from now until around the 24th of July where there’s a tiny pulse of something.
The only real standout, and I mean the only one, comes right at the end on Friday the 24th of July. The morning is looking like the best we’ll see. Swell direction is from the W, rolling in at about 4 ft. The period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s not going to have any grunt behind it, but the combined energy is 99, which is the highest it’ll be all fortnight. The wind is light from the SW, which is onshore, but it’s only 3 mph, so the surface will be glassy. The conditions are listed as unknown, but with that light wind, it could be clean. This is a beach and point setup, so it’s exposed to the SW swell. Keep in mind the crowd factor here: it’s *often* busy, so you’ll likely have company. For a beginner, 4 ft is fine, but it’s not a big day.
The rest of the forecast is a write-off. The swell is tiny, consistently under 2 ft, and the wind is mostly cross-off or cross-shore, which keeps the surface clean but there’s nothing to surf. The combined energy values are weak, hanging around 20-30 for most of the first week. There’s a weird bit on the 12th of July with a very long period swell (21 seconds), but it’s only 0.3 ft – that’s the kind of energy that just rolls through without breaking. It’s a classic case of "looks good on paper but does nothing on the beach." For a spot like this, a 16-day blank run is a bit more normal for the area when the summer pattern sets in. It tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board at home until that 24th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Sun night, light winds from the ENE by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 21 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 15 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 16 | 29 | 59 | 56 | 39 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 1:49PM6.18m | 2:21AM6.31m | 3:00PM6.25m | 3:34AM6.42m | 4:11PM6.52m | 4:44AM6.70m | 5:16PM6.94m | 5:46AM7.09m | 6:13PM7.42m | 6:42AM7.46m | 7:06PM7.85m | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:31AM1.80m | 8:01PM1.93m | 8:41AM1.82m | 9:16PM1.83m | 9:55AM1.67m | 10:30PM1.53m | 11:03AM1.35m | 11:36PM1.11m | 12:03PM0.97m | 00:34AM0.67m | 12:57PM0.60m | 1:27AM0.32m | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | |||||||
 | |  | | | | | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | |  | |
 | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:36 | — | — | 9:35 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
Temp °C | 21 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
Feels °C | 20 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | W 5 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | NW 4 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 18 | W 11 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | 7 | 4 | 29 | 59 | 56 | 39 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 4 | S 18 | SW 18 | NW 4 | WSW 7 | NW 6 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 13 | W 11 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 9 |
| kJ | 16 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | — | S 18 | — | — | SW 16 | NNW 6 | — | NW 5 | NW 5 | SW 21 | N 5 | W 8 | W 8 | NW 6 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 4 |
| kJ | 3 | — | 6 | — | — | 10 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 3 | — | NNE 2 | NNW 3 | — | NE 3 | ENE 3 | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 8 | 21 | 17 | 41 | 50 | 23 | 63 | 80 | 27 | 41 | 97 | 50 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 70 | 175 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 17 | 141 | 73 | 124 | 131 | 420 | 370 | 358 | 125 | 17 | 17 | 124 | 145 | 151 | 161 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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