Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 11s period, WSW swell with 22 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 0.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Grab a coffee, because we’ve got a long stretch of quiet water ahead.
Right off the bat, looking at the whole 16 days, I gotta be straight with you: this is a tough run for Manorbier. The swell is tiny for the vast majority of the period, and honestly, it’s a bit of a bummer. We’re looking at a solid two-week gap with basically nothing rideable. From the 12th of July all the way through to the morning of the 27th, the wave heights are stuck under 2ft. Yeah, you read that right. The combined swell energy is real weak, mostly sitting between 3 and 40. There’s a few moments with glassy conditions and clean faces, like Tuesday afternoon the 14th with a glassy 0.7ft, and again Saturday morning the 18th with a glassy 2ft, but there’s just no push behind it. You’d be floating out there, not surfing.
The water temperature is about what you’d expect for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Now, the only glimmer of hope, and I mean the *only* one, shows up on Monday morning, the 27th of July. That’s a full two weeks away. The swell finally kicks up to 6ft from the WSW with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 433, which is a moderate kick. It’s still not huge, but it’s the only real surf on the chart. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy, but at least it’s rideable. The break here is a beach and point setup, so it can handle a bit of swell. The optimum direction is from the SW, so the WSW swell is a good match. Just keep in mind this is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not a sure thing.
Bottom line: For the next two weeks, find something else to do. The 27th is the only day that might get you wet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Sun night, calm by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | SW 21 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 12 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 5 | SW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 4:44AM6.70m | 5:16PM6.94m | 5:46AM7.09m | 6:13PM7.42m | 6:42AM7.46m | 7:06PM7.85m | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | 8:20AM7.85m | 8:41PM8.23m | 9:06AM7.80m | 9:26PM8.12m | 9:49AM7.58m | 10:10PM7.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:03AM1.35m | 11:36PM1.11m | 12:03PM0.97m | 00:34AM0.67m | 12:57PM0.60m | 1:27AM0.32m | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | 3:17PM0.29m | 3:46AM0.28m | 4:00PM0.53m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:13 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:34 | — | — | 9:32 | — | — | 9:31 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 31 | 25 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 32 | 29 | 27 | 31 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 23 | 26 | 18 | 19 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | NW 7 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | E 4 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 5 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | N 6 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 9 | SW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 13 | WSW 3 | W 8 | S 11 | W 8 |
| kJ | 10 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | SW 21 | W 8 | W 9 | W 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 13 | SSW 7 | ESE 3 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 12 | S 16 | W 8 | SW 13 | S 14 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 1 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 5 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | W 3 | SW 6 | W 3 | — | WSW 5 | — |
| kJ | 10 | 15 | 63 | 83 | 26 | 40 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 22 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 18 | 2 | — | 19 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 346 | 167 | 420 | 131 | 125 | 124 | 17 | 32 | 124 | 17 | 169 | 255 | 189 | 358 | 263 | 441 | 375 | 256 | 382 | 756 | 346 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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