Manorbier Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.64° N 4.81° W

Manorbier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 18 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manorbier sea temperature is
18.0° C
2.4° 

Manorbier surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manorbier surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 15 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 0.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4PM (Sun 19th Jul)0.5ft (0.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Manorbier. This is a beach and point setup that needs a solid SW swell to really fire.

Honestly, we are looking at a long, flat spell to kick things off. From now through to mid-week next week, there's barely a ripple. The water is sitting at a very warm 64°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a real standout, but it won't help the waves.

We've got a bit of a wait. Things start to stir on Saturday the 26th of July. The Sunday morning the 27th sees the energy pick up properly, with a 6ft swell from the W, and a moderate cross-shore chop. The combined energy hits 270 – that's moderate, but the quality is marked poor, so not a day to get excited about.

The best of a quiet outlook looks like Monday the 28th of July. Still a 4ft W swell, but with a clean cross-off breeze from the NNW. The energy is 150, still moderate, and it'll be cleaner than the day before. It's not a standout for size or perfection, just the least messy option. After that, it tails off again. Crowds are often around here, but with so little on offer, you might have the place to yourself.

There is nothing here that screams epic. It's a blank run that is fairly normal for the area when the swell window shuts. We'll have to wait and see if things change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sat afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
8
0.2
W
8
0.1
SW
11
0.1
S
10
0.1
SW
19
0.1
SW
19
0.1
S
18
0.1
SW
18
0.1
SW
18
0.2
W
10
0.2
W
10
0.2
W
10
0.2
W
10
0.2
W
9
0.2
W
9
0.2
W
9
0.2
W
8
0.2
W
8
0.2
W
8
0.1
SW
13
0.1
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5
5
5
2
15
15
6
12
12
8
8
10
10
9
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
30
N
15
NE
10
ESE
25
NW
20
N
20
NNE
25
N
15
N
5
E
20
NNW
20
N
30
N
35
N
25
N
10
ENE
5
NW
10
N
0
SW
25
W
15
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
9:49AM7.58m
10:10PM7.82m
10:33AM7.24m
10:53PM7.36m
11:17AM6.81m
11:38PM6.82m
12:02PM6.34m
00:26AM6.27m
12:54PM5.91m
1:22AM5.79m
1:55PM5.59m
2:30AM5.49m
3:08PM5.47m
3:45AM5.45m
Low Tide
4:00PM0.53m
4:28AM0.62m
4:43PM0.90m
5:11AM1.06m
5:26PM1.35m
5:55AM1.55m
6:13PM1.83m
6:43AM2.02m
7:07PM2.25m
7:40AM2.40m
8:14PM2.55m
8:51AM2.61m
9:31PM2.62m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:20
5:22
5:24
5:24
5:26
5:28
5:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:28
9:25
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
9:20
 mm
Temp °C
19
18
18
18
20
18
19
18
20
21
22
18
17
19
16
18
20
18
20
20
17
Feels °C
15
12
14
16
15
14
15
13
17
20
18
15
12
13
11
19
20
15
18
17
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.

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