Manorbier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the Manorbier stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I've got to be straight with you – this is a tough run. We're looking at a long, quiet stretch with very little to get excited about. The water is sitting at a notable 66°, which is a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's a bit of a treat for the skin, but it doesn't help the waves.

Starting from Friday, August 14th, we've got a long gap with no real surf to speak of. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and the scores are nil. We'll see some small, weak swells come through, but nothing with any punch. The energy is low, rarely breaking into the triple digits, and the wind is either cross or cross-on, chopping everything up. Sunday the 16th does have a moment of glassy conditions with a 1 ft swell, but even then, it's a poor forecast.

We're looking at a full week of this, with the only real change being a jump in swell energy on Wednesday the 19th, hitting 6 ft and a moderate energy reading of 352, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy and messy. That theme continues – more size, but poor conditions.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn't arrive until Tuesday, August 25th. That morning, we've got a 5 ft swell from the SSW, which is the optimum direction for Manorbier, with a light offshore wind from the NE. That's a clean setup, and the energy comes in at 243 – moderate. It's the only time in the whole period where the forecast actually says "good surf conditions." But it's a long way out, so take it with a pinch of salt. The following morning, Wednesday the 26th, the wind turns onshore and the quality drops straight back down.

After that, the outlook gets murky again. There's a big, lumpy 7 ft swell on Friday the 28th, but it's cross-shore with a fresh breeze, so it's a messy, expert-only affair. The last few days of the period are dominated by small, weak, or onshore wind.

So, if you're holding out for something, the standout is Tuesday, August 25th at Manorbier. It's the only morning with a decent-sized, clean swell from the right direction. It's a beach and point setup, so that long-period groundswell from the SSW should wrap in nicely. For the rest of the run, you're better off finding something else to do.

Rusty.

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