Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, W swell with 112 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper paddle. This stretch of coast is in a real quiet spell, so don’t go getting your hopes up. We’ve got a long gap of nothing worth mentioning until we finally see a pulse of energy.
The water is sitting at 65° right now, which is a good 4° warmer than usual for late July. That’s properly notable – feels like a warm bath compared to what we’re used to.
Alright, let’s run through it. From Monday the 27th of July, right through to the end of the first week of August, it’s a total write-off. We’re looking at tiny, short-period windswell, mostly in the 0.7ft to 3ft range, with a combined energy that barely cracks 100 (peaking at just 92). The wind is on it or cross-onshore, giving us choppy, messy conditions. Honestly, for the first ten days or so, there’s nothing to ride. A lot of these days the setup is better suited for a kite than a surfboard.
There is a break in the clouds on Saturday the 8th of August. That’s our one and only standout. Manorbier (beach and point) wakes up. Saturday morning shows a solid 6ft swell from the west, with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 403 – that’s moderate wave energy kicking in. The wind is light and from the north, giving us a clean, cross-offshore flow. This is the real deal. That size is pushing into intermediate territory, but with those clean conditions, it’ll be fun on the points. The swell direction is from the west, which lines up nicely with the break’s optimum SW direction. Keep in mind, this spot is exposed and it can get crowded, so expect company.
That Saturday afternoon, the swell drops to 5ft and the wind swings cross-shore, which will chop it up a bit. Sunday the 9th still has a bit of life – 4ft and clean cross-off winds, but the energy drops off fast (113). By Monday the 10th, we’re back to tiny waves again.
So, to wrap it up: a long, flat period, then one solid window on the morning of Saturday the 8th of August. That’s your best bet. It’s a long way off, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but right now, that’s the only day worth circling on the calendar.
Stay patient, and keep the wax warm.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | WSW 6 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | W 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 4 | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 3 | W 9 | W 9 | W 10 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 89 | 70 | 69 | 40 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 52 | 96 | 73 | 40 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 6:05PM6.31m | 6:26AM6.35m | 6:46PM6.72m | 7:04AM6.70m | 7:22PM7.09m | 7:40AM6.99m | 7:56PM7.38m | 8:13AM7.20m | 8:30PM7.57m | 8:47AM7.32m | 9:03PM7.64m | 9:20AM7.34m | 9:37PM7.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:58AM1.96m | 00:24AM1.74m | 12:39PM1.59m | 1:03AM1.38m | 1:16PM1.24m | 1:38AM1.07m | 1:50PM0.96m | 2:12AM0.84m | 2:22PM0.78m | 2:44AM0.70m | 2:54PM0.70m | 3:16AM0.67m | 3:26PM0.72m | 3:48AM0.73m | |||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:14 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:07 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
Feels °C | 15 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | — | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 8 | W 5 | WSW 5 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 6 | W 9 | W 5 | W 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 89 | — | 69 | 40 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 73 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | — | — | W 8 | — | W 8 | W 11 | — | W 6 | — | W 8 | — | W 9 | — | W 9 | WSW 8 | W 10 | W 4 | W 9 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 11 | W 12 | W 11 | S 13 | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | W 10 | — | W 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 7 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 6 | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | W 5 | W 4 | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | — | W 6 | — | — | W 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | 70 | — | — | 20 | — | — | 12 | 15 | 49 | 52 | 96 | — | 40 | — | — | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 358 | 358 | 101 | 133 | 167 | 124 | 167 | 387 | 165 | 338 | 366 | 405 | 177 | 695 | 387 | 383 | 392 | 406 | 124 | 365 | 124 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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