Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, W swell with 205 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next 16 days are shaping up like for us.
Honestly, it’s a tough start. We’ve got a real dry spell for the first week and a half. From Friday the 24th right through to the end of July, it’s just poor surf conditions day after day. The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the swell is tiny and weak. You’re looking at combined energy readings in the low teens and 20s – that’s just a puddle, not a wave. It’s a real bummer for a stretch of summer.
Then we turn the corner into August. The 1st of August stays pretty shoddy, with onshore winds and waves that are mushy, but the energy is starting to build. By the 2nd of August, things get a bit wild. Swell pushes up to 8 ft – 10 ft from the WSW, but it’s still cross-onshore and messy. The combined energy jumps to 817 and then 1547, which is a lot of juice, but it’s a lumpy, choppy mess. This is big, unruly stuff that’s really only for the experienced crew, and even then, the wind is going to tear it up.
Now, the best we’ve got on offer. If you can wait, the standout is the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August. The wind is due to drop to a glassy 3 mph from the west, and it’s just a light breeze. The swell size is a clean 4 ft from the SW, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell with good shape. The combined energy is a solid 391, so it’s got some punch. It’s going to be clean and organized. We’re talking about Manorbier (beach and point). The water temp is about average for this time of year. Keep in mind this spot is fairly consistent, but it can get crowded, and with conditions like that, expect company.
The Monday morning on the 3rd of August is a bit of a consolation prize. It’s a 7 ft swell from the WSW with a gentle cross-shore breeze, but it’s only rated as marginal. The combined energy of 616 is solid, but the wind is just a little off, so it won't be as clean as the Tuesday.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The real action is the first week of August. The absolute best window is the early morning of Tuesday the 4th. After that, it looks like it fades out again into the following weekend.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Fri morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 9 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 101 | 196 | 205 | 92 | 56 | 37 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 12 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:08PM5.47m | 3:45AM5.45m | 4:19PM5.60m | 4:51AM5.65m | 5:18PM5.91m | 5:43AM5.98m | 6:05PM6.31m | 6:26AM6.35m | 6:46PM6.72m | 7:04AM6.70m | 7:22PM7.09m | 7:40AM6.99m | 7:56PM7.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:51AM2.61m | 9:31PM2.62m | 10:05AM2.57m | 10:42PM2.44m | 11:08AM2.32m | 11:38PM2.12m | 11:58AM1.96m | 00:24AM1.74m | 12:39PM1.59m | 1:03AM1.38m | 1:16PM1.24m | 1:38AM1.07m | 1:50PM0.96m | 2:12AM0.84m | |||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:28 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:16 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:14 | — | — | 9:13 | — | — | 9:10 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 18 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | — | W 7 | W 7 | W 9 | WSW 5 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 11 | W 10 | W 5 | W 5 | W 9 | W 8 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | 92 | 56 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | S 11 | — | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 10 | W 4 | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | — | — | — | — | W 11 | — | — | W 10 | W 7 | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 2 | WNW 3 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | — | — | WSW 6 | — | — | — | — | W 5 | W 5 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 101 | 196 | 205 | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 16 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 391 | 902 | 370 | 903 | 358 | 37 | 401 | 338 | 36 | 123 | 305 | 116 | 150 | 167 | 87 | 175 | 177 | 73 | 180 | 338 | 437 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Manorbier surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
Nearest