Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, W swell with 287 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The forecast for Manorbier is a flat spell for a long stretch, honestly it’s tough going. The first week and a half are pretty much a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. There’s a big gap of no real surf on offer – from right now, right through until the end of July, the waves are tiny, mostly under 1 foot, and the wind is often cross-onshore or strong. The few days with a clean look are too small to bother with. The combined wave energy is mostly in the single digits or low teens (15 to 19), which is weak, weak, weak.
The first real blip of interest comes on the morning of July 26th, a Sunday. Manorbier (Pembrokeshire) sees a bump of swell – 6 feet from the west, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 287 (moderate) and the wind is cross-off from the north-northwest, so it’ll be clean. But that short period means it’s going to be a bit crumbly, better suited to intermediate surfers. Beginners might find it a bit much over 5 feet, and the short period won’t help with shape. Don't expect long walls.
After that, it drops back off again. The morning of July 29th is glassy with a tiny 2 foot west swell, but the energy is only 18. It’s pretty, but barely rideable. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no wetsuit surprises.
The rest of the window into early August stays small and messy. There’s a tiny pulse on the 3rd of August with 2 foot swell from the west-southwest, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy, with the energy still only 79. That’s not enough to get excited about. Honestly, for the whole 16 days, the best on offer is that Sunday morning, July 26th, and even that’s a one-trick pony. If you’re chasing anything, that’s your window. Otherwise, it’s a long, flat wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Thu night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | W 4 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 206 | 287 | 176 | 104 | 0 | 75 | 60 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 12:02PM6.34m | 00:26AM6.27m | 12:54PM5.91m | 1:22AM5.79m | 1:55PM5.59m | 2:30AM5.49m | 3:08PM5.47m | 3:45AM5.45m | 4:19PM5.60m | 4:51AM5.65m | 5:18PM5.91m | 5:43AM5.98m | 6:05PM6.31m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:55AM1.55m | 6:13PM1.83m | 6:43AM2.02m | 7:07PM2.25m | 7:40AM2.40m | 8:14PM2.55m | 8:51AM2.61m | 9:31PM2.62m | 10:05AM2.57m | 10:42PM2.44m | 11:08AM2.32m | 11:38PM2.12m | 11:58AM1.96m | 00:24AM1.74m | |||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 | — | — | 9:16 | — | — | 9:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 18 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 12 | S 11 | — | W 7 | W 6 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 176 | 104 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | S 11 | — | — | W 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | — | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | — | 3 | — | — | 40 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SW 16 | W 7 | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | 8 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | NW 2 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | ENE 3 | — | — | — | — | W 3 | WNW 4 | W 4 | W 7 | W 7 | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 12 | 206 | 287 | 7 | 10 | 161 | 75 | 60 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 124 | 866 | 199 | 346 | 441 | 346 | 119 | 183 | 392 | 391 | 780 | 370 | 415 | 771 | 902 | 53 | 366 | 49 | 177 | 338 | 358 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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