Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, WSW swell with 1,171 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what Manorbier is looking like.
Honestly, for the next week and a half, you can hang up your shortboard. Consistent onshore winds, from cross-onshore to straight on, keep the ocean messy and choppy through late August and into early September. We get moderate swell energy, reaching 505 on the afternoon of Sunday the 30th, but that 15 mph onshore wind ruins any shape. It’s a long stretch of poor conditions until we hit Monday the 7th of September.
Monday the 7th is the first real chance. The wind calms to a light north at 3 mph, blowing cross-offshore, and the ocean goes clean. There’s a 5ft groundswell from the west with an 11-second period and a combined energy of 626. For Manorbier, that longer period works best on the point for a more drawn-out wave. The conditions are good for intermediates.
Tuesday the 8th is still clean but drops to 3ft, so it’s smaller and more mellow. A good funboard day.
Now, Thursday the 10th of September is a bombshell. The models show a big SW groundswell pushing in at 12ft for the morning, with a combined energy reading of 1472. That’s a lot of water. But the wind is moderate out of the SSE at 12 mph, creating a cross-chop. At that size, Manorbier is strictly for experts and might be better suited for the kite crowd than paddle surfers in that onshore wind.
The number one standout is without a doubt Monday the 7th. Clean, glassy conditions from a light offshore breeze, a proper 5ft groundswell with some period to it – it’s the only real quality session in the whole 16-day look. The water on the 29th of August was a warm 66°, which is much warmer than usual for the season, so the temps should still be nice for the 7th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 164 | 255 | 707 | 338 | 505 | 1010 | 979 | 579 | 283 | 137 | 103 | 36 | 284 | 568 | 688 | 403 | 375 | 308 | 423 | 611 | 451 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 8:02PM7.94m | 8:19AM7.77m | 8:35PM8.04m | 8:53AM7.81m | 9:10PM7.97m | 9:28AM7.69m | 9:46PM7.71m | 10:06AM7.40m | 10:27PM7.29m | 10:49AM6.97m | 11:14PM6.75m | 11:41AM6.44m | 00:15AM6.16m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:55PM0.42m | 2:15AM0.29m | 2:27PM0.29m | 2:46AM0.24m | 2:59PM0.31m | 3:18AM0.35m | 3:33PM0.48m | 3:53AM0.63m | 4:10PM0.81m | 4:32AM1.06m | 4:54PM1.27m | 5:20AM1.59m | 5:50PM1.81m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | | |  |  | | |  | | |  | |  | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — |
mm | 7 | — | — | 6 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 |
Feels °C | 16 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | S 18 | SW 18 | W 8 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WSW 14 | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | — | 255 | — | — | — | — | 979 | 579 | 283 | 6 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 21 | 23 | 36 | — | 20 | 20 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | W 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 23 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 5 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 |
| kJ | 164 | — | 707 | 338 | 505 | 1010 | — | — | — | 137 | 103 | 36 | 284 | 568 | 688 | 403 | 375 | 308 | 423 | 611 | 451 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 167 | 37 | 12 | 80 | 94 | 133 | 160 | 133 | 8 | 123 | 123 | 167 | 393 | 329 | 338 | 231 | 366 | 366 | 374 | 133 | 146 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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