Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, WSW swell with 1,704 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 2.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here. Let’s break down Manorbier for the next couple weeks.
First off, it’s rough. The first week and a half is plagued by persistent westerly and southwesterly winds—cross-onshore, lumpy, choppy. The water temp is 65°, which is about 4° warmer than typical for this time of year. That’s notable, but it’s not cleaning anything up. Swell energy is moderate early on (635), with short period around 8 seconds, and waves up to 7ft. The reports call it poor.
There’s a tease on Monday the 7th: a 7ft swell from the WSW with a long 13-second period and strong energy (1299). But the wind stays cross-onshore. Still ugly.
Things finally turn around on Thursday the 17th. Morning offshore winds from the NNE at 9 mph leave the surf clean. Swell is 4ft from the WSW, 7-second period, energy at 230. The report says “expect good surf conditions”. That’s your first decent session for an intermediate.
The real standout is Friday the 18th. Glassy morning with offshore breeze from the NNE at just 6 mph. Swell hits 6ft from the WSW with a 7-second period. It’s got punch (394 energy), it’s clean, and the direction is ideal for Manorbier’s exposed beach-and-point setup. This one’s for the experienced crowd. Crowds can show up here sometimes, but a Friday morning might keep it quiet.
After that, the 19th drops off quick—small, clean, but weak. Nothing else worth chasing.
So hang tight. The first half is a write-off. Your best window is the 18th, with the 17th as a warm-up. Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the S by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 8 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 614 | 449 | 284 | 118 | 163 | 86 | 52 | 91 | 170 | 1299 | 1293 | 686 | 574 | 256 | 303 | 171 | 115 | 131 | 394 | 454 | 439 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:41AM6.44m | 00:15AM6.16m | 12:51PM5.97m | 1:38AM5.75m | 2:24PM5.81m | 3:15AM5.78m | 3:55PM6.14m | 4:35AM6.24m | 5:03PM6.76m | 5:34AM6.84m | 5:56PM7.40m | 6:21AM7.39m | 6:40PM7.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:50PM1.81m | 6:25AM2.13m | 7:12PM2.25m | 8:02AM2.43m | 9:01PM2.28m | 9:44AM2.23m | 10:30PM1.83m | 10:58AM1.68m | 11:31PM1.21m | 11:51AM1.08m | 00:19AM0.64m | 12:35PM0.56m | 1:00AM0.21m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | |  |  | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 6 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 13 | — | — | — | S 11 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | W 13 | SW 7 | — | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 21 | 20 | 284 | 118 | 163 | 86 | 52 | 6 | 87 | 1299 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 7 | 14 | 3 | 394 | — | 439 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 9 | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | W 12 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 20 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 16 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 15 | SW 14 | W 14 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | 7 | 4 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | SSE 3 | SW 6 | WSW 8 | — | WSW 12 | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | — | WSW 8 | — |
| kJ | 614 | 449 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 91 | 170 | — | 1293 | 686 | 574 | 256 | 303 | 171 | 115 | 131 | — | 454 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 160 | 338 | 8 | 36 | 108 | 35 | 68 | 166 | 62 | 4 | 146 | 12 | 637 | 338 | 338 | 358 | 337 | 368 | 123 | 146 | 366 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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