Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, WSW swell with 402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The surf forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, gang, Rusty here, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the surf forecast for Manorbier over the next couple of weeks is a real bummer. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions, with nothing that’s going to get the heart racing.
The whole pattern is flat and wind-whipped. From Sunday the 2nd of August all the way through to Thursday the 14th of August, it’s basically a no-go. The swell is tiny, often under 3ft, and when it does manage to push up a little, the wind is either onshore, cross-onshore, or just too strong. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 65°.
There’s a gap of nearly two weeks with no real surf. The best we can hope for is on Friday the 14th of August. Manorbier (Pembrokeshire) will see a weak 4ft swell from the W with a short period of 6 seconds, giving us only 145 of combined energy – that’s weak. The morning has a clean cross-offshore breeze from the ESE at 9 mph, which is a good thing, but the wave comment says it’s “surfable but very ordinary.” It’s a beach and point break, exposed to the SW, but with this short period and small size, it’s just a tiny, mushy option for the dedicated.
Moving into Saturday the 15th of August, the morning looks similar: a 5ft W swell, still only 6 seconds, with 163 of combined energy. Clean cross-off wind again from the E at 9 mph. Again, it’s “surfable but very ordinary.” Nothing to get excited about.
Honestly, there’s zero standouts here. The swell is too small and weak, the period is too short, and the conditions are just average at best. The longer-range stuff on the 14th and 15th is the least bad of a bad bunch, but it’s still a low-energy, marginal affair. If you’re really keen, you might snag a few small, clean waves on those mornings, but don’t plan a trip around it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed morning, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | W 5 | WSW 6 | W 7 | WSW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 22 | 13 | 75 | 116 | 96 | 67 | 171 | 177 | 308 | 402 | 345 | 175 | 112 | 45 | 22 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 91 | 226 | 157 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:37PM7.60m | 9:56AM7.26m | 10:13PM7.43m | 10:34AM7.07m | 10:53PM7.15m | 11:16AM6.79m | 11:40PM6.77m | 12:08PM6.43m | 00:37AM6.36m | 1:13PM6.11m | 1:51AM6.04m | 2:34PM5.99m | 3:18AM6.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:26PM0.72m | 3:48AM0.73m | 4:00PM0.85m | 4:23AM0.90m | 4:37PM1.07m | 5:02AM1.17m | 5:21PM1.38m | 5:50AM1.53m | 6:15PM1.75m | 6:50AM1.91m | 7:27PM2.06m | 8:11AM2.15m | 8:58PM2.12m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:07 | — | — | 9:05 | — | — | 9:02 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:55 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 16 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | WSW 5 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 7 |
| kJ | 22 | 13 | 75 | 116 | 96 | 67 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 157 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | WSW 8 | NNE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | S 11 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 6 | — | SW 12 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 6 | 8 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 7 | SW 6 | SW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | — | WSW 5 | W 5 | WSW 6 | W 7 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 171 | 177 | 308 | 402 | 345 | 175 | 112 | 45 | 22 | — | 13 | 54 | 91 | 226 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 358 | 176 | 0 | 35 | 37 | 137 | 123 | 338 | 123 | 366 | 366 | 9 | 189 | 338 | 278 | 392 | 415 | 358 | 130 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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