Manorbier Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.64° N 4.81° W

Manorbier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manorbier sea temperature is
18.4° C
2.1° 

Manorbier surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manorbier surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with 222 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:

The surf forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Wed 12th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 12th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 10s
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 13th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Manorbier’s got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a slow start and we’re in for a long, quiet spell before anything gets going.

The opening days are a real letdown, I’m not gonna lie. From Tuesday the 11th right through to Sunday the 17th of August, we’re looking at a dead stretch of small, weak surf. You’ll see plenty of days with nothing more than ankle-slopers and combined swell energy barely ticking over, often below 100. The water temp at the start is 65°F, which is a full 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a notable anomaly, so the water’s feeling mighty balmy. But the waves? Just not worth paddling for.

There is a little blip on Wednesday afternoon the 12th, with a glassy 3ft swell from the WSW and a period of 10 seconds, giving it a combined energy of 123. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. That’s the only real chance in that first week, and it’s more of a longboard cruise than anything exciting.

We then hit a proper gap. From Friday the 15th onwards, it’s all tiny, weak dribble and strong cross-offshore winds. The energy numbers drop into the teens and twenties – it’s basically flat. This dry run lasts until about Tuesday the 26th of August.

Now, hold onto your board, because things look like they might finally wake up on Wednesday the 26th. That’s your standout window. On Wednesday morning the 26th, we’ve got a 7ft swell hitting from the WSW, with a short period of 6 seconds. Combined swell energy climbs to 293 – moderate, but building. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the ENE, keeping things clean. This is a more serious offering, but that short period means it could be a bit fat and dumpy on the beach. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen in two weeks.

Then, Wednesday afternoon the 26th is your absolute top call. We’re talking 7ft of WSW swell, period at 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 540 – that’s strong, proper wave energy. And the wind? Light, cross-off from the NW with just a slight air. That’s going to be clean and punchy. Now, 7ft is getting up there, so this is one for the experienced crew – beginners, sit this one out. Manorbier is a beach and point setup, and with that size and shorter period, you’ll want to pick your bank.

So, to sum it up: a long, frustrating flat spell right through to the 25th, then a real possible bang on the 26th afternoon. That afternoon window is the one to circle on your calendar.

Stay patient, keep your wetsuit warm in that balmy water, and I’ll see you in the lineup.
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Mon morning).

Tue
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
9
0.4
WSW
11
0.7
WSW
10
0.8
WSW
10
0.9
WSW
9
1
WSW
10
0.9
WSW
10
0.8
WSW
10
0.7
WSW
9
0.7
WSW
9
0.5
W
8
0.6
WSW
8
0.6
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
7
0.3
WSW
7
0.3
WSW
7
0.1
SW
18
0.4
WSW
8
0.6
W
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
41
104
123
149
222
173
123
84
79
33
44
41
19
18
10
10
12
22
40
Wind (km/h)
10
ESE
10
SE
20
ESE
5
SE
5
NNW
10
NW
25
WNW
15
W
20
WNW
20
NW
20
N
25
N
30
NNW
15
N
15
NNE
25
NW
15
NNW
20
N
5
NE
15
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
6:07PM7.36m
6:34AM7.38m
6:56PM7.89m
7:20AM7.77m
7:40PM8.25m
8:03AM7.98m
8:22PM8.38m
8:43AM8.00m
9:01PM8.27m
9:21AM7.82m
9:39PM7.94m
9:58AM7.47m
10:16PM7.44m
Low Tide
00:30AM0.70m
12:50PM0.60m
1:18AM0.25m
1:34PM0.24m
2:00AM-0.01m
2:14PM0.06m
2:39AM-0.05m
2:53PM0.09m
3:17AM0.13m
3:30PM0.32m
3:52AM0.48m
4:06PM0.70m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:51
8:49
8:46
8:45
8:43
8:40
8:38
 mm
Temp °C
24
23
24
29
25
24
23
19
22
21
18
17
17
15
18
18
15
20
19
16
Feels °C
22
23
20
28
23
21
21
19
20
19
16
12
11
11
16
13
12
19
18
13
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.

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