Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, WSW swell with 269 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The surf forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's talk surf for this stretch in feet and knots.
It's a tough run ahead for us at Manorbier. The water's warm, about 65°F, which is way warmer than we usually get this time of year, so at least a swim feels good, but the surf quality is a real bummer.
The first week is a write-off. From Wednesday morning, it's a messy 6ft on a short, weak 7-second interval from the WSW. That 15-knot cross-onshore breeze is just shredding it. The energy is weak, and it's just lumpy, poor conditions. Thursday and Friday are smaller and choppier, not worth a second look.
There's a tiny glimmer on Sunday the 9th in the morning. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, but the waves are only 2ft. It's clean, but it's tiny and weak. Perfect for a learner on a foamie, maybe, but nothing to write home about. That's the best the first eight days have to offer.
The pattern changes around the 12th, with some clean, off-shore wind, but the swell is still small, coming in around 2ft. It’s clean, but it's not a proper surf.
Now, the one to watch. Monday the 17th of August, early morning. This is the only real standout. We're looking at a serious, long-period groundswell from the W, with a massive 13ft swell at 11 seconds. The energy reading is through the roof. The wind is blowing cross-off at about 19 knots, so it should be clean. But let's be straight with each other: 13ft is huge. The call is that it's predicted to be too big for this break. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, you better be on your A-game with some serious paddle fitness. It's a powerful, promising but daunting prospect. After that, it drops back into poor, choppy, or onshore slop for the rest of the forecast.
So, bottom line: a long, long wait for mostly poor surf. The big day on the 17th is the only potential highlight, but it’s a beast. Most of these days the surf is so poor and blown out, this looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Wed morning, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 10 | W 5 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 5 | W 6 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 270 | 206 | 124 | 62 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 61 | 34 | 36 | 130 | 43 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | off | cross | glassy | off |
High Tide | 11:16AM6.79m | 11:40PM6.77m | 12:08PM6.43m | 00:37AM6.36m | 1:13PM6.11m | 1:51AM6.04m | 2:34PM5.99m | 3:18AM6.03m | 3:58PM6.22m | 4:37AM6.36m | 5:09PM6.75m | 5:41AM6.87m | 6:07PM7.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:21PM1.38m | 5:50AM1.53m | 6:15PM1.75m | 6:50AM1.91m | 7:27PM2.06m | 8:11AM2.15m | 8:58PM2.12m | 9:42AM2.05m | 10:26PM1.80m | 11:00AM1.64m | 11:35PM1.26m | 12:00PM1.10m | 00:30AM0.70m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:00 | — | — | 9:00 | — | 8:58 | — | — | 8:55 | — | — | 8:53 | — | — | 8:52 | — | — | 8:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 11 | WSW 6 | W 10 | W 5 | W 5 | W 9 | W 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 8 | W 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 2 | 62 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 61 | 34 | 1 | 130 | 43 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 13 | W 10 | SW 12 | SW 6 | W 9 | SW 6 | W 9 | W 9 | WSW 3 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | S 12 | W 8 | SW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 6 | W 10 |
| kJ | — | — | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 13 | S 16 | W 10 | SW 6 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | SW 13 | — | W 8 | — | — | W 8 | S 13 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 11 | SW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5 | — | 7 | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | W 7 | W 6 | NNW 5 | WSW 6 | — | — | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | WSW 5 | W 6 | — | W 5 | — | ESE 2 | E 3 | — |
| kJ | 270 | 206 | 124 | 4 | 31 | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 36 | 71 | — | 13 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 430 | 636 | 366 | 55 | 387 | 367 | 366 | 387 | 341 | 183 | 176 | 0 | 176 | 189 | 36 | 366 | 189 | 176 | 346 | 365 | 176 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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