Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 3 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 4 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period, W swell with 240 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The surf forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long, hard look at what’s on the table for Manorbier over the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, the outlook is grim. The first week and a half is a write-off. From Thursday 2nd July through Monday 13th July, the surf is basically non-existent or heavily chopped up by dodgy wind. We’ve got a solid run of days where the ‘poor surf conditions’ tag keeps popping up, so don’t bother paddling out. The swell stays skinny – under 2ft for most of that first week – and when a slightly bigger 5ft shows on Thursday 2nd, the wind is a messy cross-shore that kills any quality.
The only glimmer in this entire forecast comes on Monday 13th July afternoon. After days of nothing, we finally get a pulse of long-period groundswell. That 2ft swell from the West has a very long 13-second period, which brings some real shape and push for a wave that size. Water temp is nice and mild, but the anomaly earlier was a couple of degrees warmer than average, so the sea will feel comfy.
Then on Tuesday 14th July morning, you get a second chance. It’s a similar story: 2ft from the West, dropping to an 11-second period. The combined energy (122) is still weak, but it’s surfable. The wind on both of these mornings swings offshore (ENE and ESE), which is the key. That’ll keep the surface glassy and clean at Manorbier. This is a beach and point setup, and that long-period west swell will wrap nicely into the point, giving you a proper little line to work with. Don't expect a crowd – it’s not firing big, so you might find some peace. The rest of that week is back to tiny, clean but tiny, as the wind holds offshore but the swell dies.
So, to sum it up: don’t even bother rolling your wetsuit on until Monday 13th July afternoon. If you do, that afternoon and Tuesday 14th July morning are your only real chances. The swell is small, the wind is good, and the conditions will be clean. It’s not a stand-out session by any means, but in a run of nothing, it’s the only sliver of hope.
Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 16°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 2 | Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | W 10 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 6 | W 9 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 277 | 218 | 204 | 170 | 102 | 73 | 240 | 89 | 42 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 14 | 16 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:51PM7.17m | 9:09AM6.88m | 9:26PM7.16m | 9:45AM6.82m | 10:03PM7.09m | 10:23AM6.72m | 10:42PM6.95m | 11:04AM6.58m | 11:25PM6.78m | 11:51AM6.42m | 00:14AM6.58m | 12:45PM6.27m | 1:13AM6.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:05AM1.12m | 3:16PM1.14m | 3:40AM1.16m | 3:51PM1.22m | 4:16AM1.25m | 4:28PM1.34m | 4:55AM1.36m | 5:09PM1.50m | 5:38AM1.51m | 5:56PM1.69m | 6:30AM1.67m | 6:53PM1.85m | 7:31AM1.80m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 |
 | — | 9:39 | — | — | 9:38 | — | — | 9:38 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:37 | — | — | 9:37 | 9:36 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | WSW 10 | W 10 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 10 | — | W 6 | W 5 | WSW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 10 |
| kJ | 277 | 218 | 204 | 170 | 102 | 73 | — | 89 | 29 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 14 | 16 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 5 | — | — | — | S 16 | — | W 10 | W 9 | S 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 4 | W 5 | SW 12 | W 10 | S 13 | — | SW 11 | S 12 |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 48 | 42 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | — | 5 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 3 | WSW 5 | W 6 | W 10 | W 6 | — | W 5 | W 4 | W 5 | W 4 | — | — | W 4 | W 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 7 | 47 | 66 | 240 | 86 | — | 12 | 9 | 18 | 10 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 8 | 8 | 366 | 118 | 123 | 366 | 36 | 123 | 123 | 96 | 135 | 177 | 116 | 175 | 177 | 87 | 70 | 141 | 70 | 73 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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