Manorbier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for our little corner of the coast.

To be straight with you, this forecast is a tough one. We’re looking at a proper dry spell for Manorbier. The next solid stretch of days is pretty grim. The first recommendation doesn’t even pop up until Friday the 4th of September, and even then it’s only described as marginal. The whole period from now until then is just a write-off. You’ll be looking at a gap of a few days with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for.

Friday morning (4th September) might be the best of a bad bunch. Manorbier (Pembrokeshire) will see a swell around 6ft from the WSW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy of all swells here is moderate (443). The catch is a cross-shore breeze that’ll leave a bit of cross-chop on the surface. It’s not ideal, but it’s the closest we get to a surfable wave in this first week. For the rest of that day and through the weekend, it’s a case of small, weak, and onshore junk.

Then we get a brief moment of hope. Saturday morning, the 5th of September, things go glassy. The swell drops right back to 3ft from the WSW, with a 9-second period and weak energy (133). It’s small and gutless, but clean. For a longboard or a foiler, it might just be enough to get a few fun ones.

The following week sees the swell size ramp up, but the wind is a nightmare. By Monday the 7th of September, we’re looking at a 5ft to 6ft SW groundswell with a long 12-second period and strong wave energy (706 to 819), but it’s all onshore. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Tuesday the 8th of September brings even more energy—a solid 8ft swell from the WSW, but with a strong cross-onshore wind. The combined energy hits 1119, which is strong. For an exposed spot like this, it’s going to be a big, messy, blown-out lump. Honestly, that’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddler’s dream.

The only standout worth mentioning is a narrow window on Thursday the 10th of September. The swell drops to just 2ft from the west, but the wind swings NNE, giving us clean, cross-offshore conditions with a longer 11-second period. It’s tiny, but it will be clean. If you’ve got a mid-length or a log, it might be the cleanest session of the whole 16 days. Everything after that just fades into small, weak, and mostly clean but unexciting waves right through to the end of the second week.

So, the honest take: there’s no epic swell here, and the windows are small. If you’re desperate for a paddle, Saturday the 5th morning for a clean knee-high glide, or Thursday the 10th morning for a clean waist-high wave if you’re lucky. Don’t hold your breath for the rest of it.

Rusty.

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