Manorbier Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.64° N 4.81° W

Issued: 6 am 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Manorbier sea temperature is
16.9° C

2.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Manorbier surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Manorbier surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period, W swell with 41 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 0.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 10th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, let's get real about Manorbier for the next couple of weeks. It's a quiet, flat outlook, and there’s not much to get excited about for a long time. The water's hanging around 62°, which feels a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but that's about the only thing with any energy.

You're looking at a big gap with no surf worth talking about. From Monday the 6th right through to Monday the 20th of July, it's a whole lot of nothing. Swell heights are tiny, stuck between 0.3ft and 2ft, with weak combined wave energy readings between 15 and 58. It's a proper dry spell.

There is one little glimmer right at the tail end. On Tuesday the 21st of July, things might just wake up. We've got a short-period westerly swell coming in at 4ft, with combined energy hitting 100, and a fresh offshore wind from the NNE. That would clean things right up and give the beach and point a bit of shape. But it's a long way out, so keep it in the back of your mind as a possibility rather than a certainty.

For now, it's a waiting game. No standout sessions, just a hopeful look towards the end of the period.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the N by Fri afternoon).

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
WSW
9
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
W
8
0.4
W
8
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
10
0.4
W
10
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.5
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.3
WSW
8
0.2
WSW
8
0.2
W
8
0.1
SW
21
0.1
S
21
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
27
22
24
26
24
21
22
25
30
29
27
27
41
39
34
22
13
11
10
18
9
Wind (km/h)
20
WSW
20
WSW
15
W
10
WNW
20
W
10
NW
5
SSW
15
W
10
NW
0
ESE
15
NW
15
NNE
10
ENE
20
NNW
25
N
20
NE
20
NE
20
ENE
20
E
15
ENE
30
E
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:04AM6.58m
11:25PM6.78m
11:51AM6.42m
00:14AM6.58m
12:45PM6.27m
1:13AM6.40m
1:49PM6.18m
2:21AM6.31m
3:00PM6.25m
3:34AM6.42m
4:11PM6.52m
4:44AM6.70m
5:16PM6.94m
Low Tide
5:09PM1.50m
5:38AM1.51m
5:56PM1.69m
6:30AM1.67m
6:53PM1.85m
7:31AM1.80m
8:01PM1.93m
8:41AM1.82m
9:16PM1.83m
9:55AM1.67m
10:30PM1.53m
11:03AM1.35m
11:36PM1.11m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:09
5:09
5:09
5:11
5:11
5:13
5:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:37
9:37
9:37
9:36
9:35
9:34
9:34
 mm
1
Temp °C
19
19
17
20
20
20
22
22
20
23
25
23
25
28
21
25
31
27
26
31
28
Feels °C
16
16
16
18
17
19
23
21
19
22
23
20
25
26
17
25
29
26
24
28
24
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.5
W
5
0.4
WSW
8
0.4
W
8
0.4
W
8
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
10
0.4
W
10
0.4
W
9
0.4
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.5
W
9
0.5
W
8
0.4
WSW
8
0.3
WSW
8
0.2
WSW
8
0.2
W
8
0.1
W
8
0.1
NW
6
Energy kJ
23
22
24
11
24
21
22
25
30
29
27
27
41
39
34
22
13
6
5
1
1
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
14
0.1
SW
14
0.1
SW
14
0.4
WSW
9
0.1
SW
12
0.2
W
4
0.1
S
13
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
18
0.4
ESE
4
0.3
NW
6
0.1
NW
7
0.1
NW
5
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
15
Energy kJ
8
7
7
26
6
1
3
3
3
6
4
6
2
1
11
10
10
9
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
12
0.1
W
11
0.1
W
10
0.1
SW
11
0.1
S
18
0.1
SW
18
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
17
0.1
SW
17
0.1
SW
16
0.1
SW
21
0.1
S
21
Energy kJ
6
2
2
5
6
12
10
12
12
11
18
9
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
W
5
0.6
W
5
0.6
W
4
0.4
W
4
0.4
NNE
3
0.3
ENE
3
0.3
SE
4
0.8
E
4
0.8
E
4
1.1
E
5
1
E
4
1
E
5
1.2
E
5
Energy kJ
27
17
13
6
3
1
2
19
22
52
40
41
63
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
167
167
167
167
189
87
73
177
73
119
176
73
17
35
70
87
119
124
382
131
124
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire
Rating
(10 max)
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
8
7
5
6
5
8
5
5
5
5
5
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.

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