
Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with 222 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The surf forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 1.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Manorbier’s got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a slow start and we’re in for a long, quiet spell before anything gets going.
The opening days are a real letdown, I’m not gonna lie. From Tuesday the 11th right through to Sunday the 17th of August, we’re looking at a dead stretch of small, weak surf. You’ll see plenty of days with nothing more than ankle-slopers and combined swell energy barely ticking over, often below 100. The water temp at the start is 65°F, which is a full 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a notable anomaly, so the water’s feeling mighty balmy. But the waves? Just not worth paddling for.
There is a little blip on Wednesday afternoon the 12th, with a glassy 3ft swell from the WSW and a period of 10 seconds, giving it a combined energy of 123. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. That’s the only real chance in that first week, and it’s more of a longboard cruise than anything exciting.
We then hit a proper gap. From Friday the 15th onwards, it’s all tiny, weak dribble and strong cross-offshore winds. The energy numbers drop into the teens and twenties – it’s basically flat. This dry run lasts until about Tuesday the 26th of August.
Now, hold onto your board, because things look like they might finally wake up on Wednesday the 26th. That’s your standout window. On Wednesday morning the 26th, we’ve got a 7ft swell hitting from the WSW, with a short period of 6 seconds. Combined swell energy climbs to 293 – moderate, but building. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the ENE, keeping things clean. This is a more serious offering, but that short period means it could be a bit fat and dumpy on the beach. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen in two weeks.
Then, Wednesday afternoon the 26th is your absolute top call. We’re talking 7ft of WSW swell, period at 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 540 – that’s strong, proper wave energy. And the wind? Light, cross-off from the NW with just a slight air. That’s going to be clean and punchy. Now, 7ft is getting up there, so this is one for the experienced crew – beginners, sit this one out. Manorbier is a beach and point setup, and with that size and shorter period, you’ll want to pick your bank.
So, to sum it up: a long, frustrating flat spell right through to the 25th, then a real possible bang on the 26th afternoon. That afternoon window is the one to circle on your calendar.
Stay patient, keep your wetsuit warm in that balmy water, and I’ll see you in the lineup.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 18 | WSW 8 | W 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 41 | 104 | 123 | 149 | 222 | 173 | 123 | 84 | 79 | 33 | 44 | 41 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 40 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:07PM7.36m | 6:34AM7.38m | 6:56PM7.89m | 7:20AM7.77m | 7:40PM8.25m | 8:03AM7.98m | 8:22PM8.38m | 8:43AM8.00m | 9:01PM8.27m | 9:21AM7.82m | 9:39PM7.94m | 9:58AM7.47m | 10:16PM7.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:30AM0.70m | 12:50PM0.60m | 1:18AM0.25m | 1:34PM0.24m | 2:00AM-0.01m | 2:14PM0.06m | 2:39AM-0.05m | 2:53PM0.09m | 3:17AM0.13m | 3:30PM0.32m | 3:52AM0.48m | 4:06PM0.70m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
8:51 | — | — | 8:49 | — | — | 8:46 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 23 | 24 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 16 |
Feels °C | 22 | 23 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 18 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | W 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 7 |
1 | 41 | 104 | 123 | 149 | 222 | 173 | 123 | 84 | 79 | 20 | 44 | 41 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 40 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | ESE 3 | S 10 | — | — | — | W 5 | — | W 8 | — | — | — | S 12 | WSW 7 | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 16 |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 18 | — | 33 | — | — | — | 3 | 10 | — | 12 | 12 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 13 | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | — |
3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | 12 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 3 | S 6 | ESE 3 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | W 4 | W 4 | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | N 3 | — | N 3 | NE 3 | — | — |
1 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 15 | — | 4 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 345 | 17 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 366 | 36 | 53 | 405 | 177 | 335 | 335 | 341 | 365 | 346 | 387 | 343 | 263 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











