Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WSW swell with 1,507 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let's have a look at what's on the cards for Manorbier over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it's a bit of a rough start. We've got a solid week of pretty ordinary conditions ahead, with a lot of onshore wind and messy surf. The water temperature is sitting at a very unusual 66°, which is a good 4° warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a late summer dip rather than the usual autumn chill.
The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until Wednesday the 2nd of September. We've got a small, clean morning with a glassy 4ft swell from the WSW, but the energy is weak (167). It's surfable, but nothing to write home about.
Things start to look a bit more promising as we head into the second week. The standout morning is definitely Saturday the 5th of September. The morning session is looking the best of the entire run. We've got a clean 6ft swell from the WSW with a longer period of 11 seconds, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW. The energy is moderate (655), and the conditions are clean. This is the one to keep an eye on.
Then, on the final day of the forecast, Thursday the 10th of September, we've got a very promising morning. There's a moderate offshore breeze from the NE, with a solid 7ft swell from the WSW and a long 10-second period. The energy is strong (732). It's a big, clean, powerful swell. The afternoon is even glassier with an 8ft swell, but that is getting into expert territory with the size.
Most of the other days are a write-off with strong onshore winds and poor conditions. It's a long wait, but that Saturday the 5th and Thursday the 10th are the only real moments to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri night. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the S by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sat morning, moderate winds from the SW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 68 | 132 | 170 | 251 | 415 | 645 | 1450 | 586 | 588 | 1507 | 1168 | 688 | 405 | 426 | 237 | 127 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:24PM6.81m | 6:42AM6.84m | 6:58PM7.30m | 7:15AM7.26m | 7:30PM7.69m | 7:47AM7.58m | 8:02PM7.94m | 8:19AM7.77m | 8:35PM8.04m | 8:53AM7.81m | 9:10PM7.97m | 9:28AM7.69m | 9:46PM7.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:19PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.23m | 12:53PM1.06m | 1:13AM0.81m | 1:24PM0.69m | 1:44AM0.48m | 1:55PM0.42m | 2:15AM0.29m | 2:27PM0.29m | 2:46AM0.24m | 2:59PM0.31m | 3:18AM0.35m | 3:33PM0.48m | 3:53AM0.63m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — |
 | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 8 | 1 | — | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 18 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 12 | SW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | — | — | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | 16 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1450 | 586 | — | — | — | — | — | 426 | 237 | 127 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | S 4 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | W 7 | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 12 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 7 | SW 12 | SW 12 | ESE 3 | W 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | — | ESE 2 | ESE 3 | — | SW 6 | SW 6 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 8 | WSW 10 | — | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | — | 1 | 5 | — | 68 | 132 | 170 | 251 | 415 | 645 | 1384 | — | 588 | 1507 | 1168 | 688 | 405 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 346 | 341 | 161 | 167 | 150 | 169 | 133 | 108 | 391 | 165 | 165 | 296 | 103 | 133 | 8 | 146 | 123 | 613 | 338 | 273 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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