Manorbier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough 16-day stretch for Manorbier. The forecast is a bit of a heartbreaker, with a lot of wind and chop making it a real challenge to find a clean wave. The water is sitting at 65°F on Monday morning, which is a solid 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so the ocean feels like a warm bath, but the conditions just aren’t playing ball.

The first week kicks off with a pulse of swell, but it’s messy. Monday morning, the 7th of September, has a solid 6ft swell from the WSW with a 13-second period, meaning there’s a lot of energy in the water (1644 combined energy), but it’s ruined by a strong 16 mph cross-onshore wind. That’s a no-go. The afternoon is even worse with onshore winds. Tuesday and Wednesday see the swell drop, but the wind stays strong and cross-shore, keeping the surf lumpy and poor. The best the early week offers is a brief window on Wednesday morning with a 4ft WSW swell and a clean, glassy feel thanks to a light NNW wind, but the swell is small and weak (167 energy). It’s barely worth paddling out for.

The glimmer of hope comes late on Friday, the 11th. The morning is still a bit rubbish with a 5ft swell and cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon shifts. You get a 4ft WSW swell, 8-second period, and the wind goes cross-offshore from the north at 9 mph. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions,” and that’s the only day in the whole forecast that gets a score above zero. It’s clean, but it’s not a standout for the history books. The energy is moderate (227), so you’ll get some fun, peaky waves on the point.

After that, it’s a long, grim slog. Saturday, the 12th, through to the end of the forecast on the 22nd of September is mostly a write-off. The swell drops to under 3ft, often under 2ft, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, blowing hard. There are a few days with some longer-period swell, like the 19th and 20th with 16-second groundswell, but the height is a pathetic 0.3ft – that’s not surfable, just a ripple. The energy numbers are tiny, barely hitting double digits. This is a classic blank run for the area; the wind just won’t let up, and the swell doesn’t have the size to push through it.

So, if you’re desperate, the only real suggestion is Friday afternoon, the 11th, at Manorbier. It’ll be a clean, small-wave session for the intermediates. The rest of the 16 days, you’re better off checking the spot for a walk or watching the horizon. The swell is there, but the wind is the enemy. Keep your eyes on the charts, because it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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