Surf Forecasts:
Manorbier surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 10s period, WSW swell with 19 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Manorbier this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Manorbier in the next 16 days are 0.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Manorbier over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Manorbier over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, this is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty flat. There’s a long stretch of hardly any swell, and the waves that do show up are tiny. We’re looking at a real drought here, with nothing rideable for the first week and a half. The combined swell energy is weak across the board, with values like 33 (weak energy) being the highest we see, and that’s on a tiny 1ft wave. It’s a proper blank run, and for this area, that’s the kind of quiet spell that can happen.
Manorbier (beach and point) is our only break in the data, and it’s a fairly consistent setup, so it tends not to stay this poor for long. The swell is mostly coming from the WSW and SW, which is close to the optimum SW direction, but there’s just no size or power behind it.
The first real glimmer, and honestly the only standout, is on the morning of Saturday, July 26th. We’ve got a tiny 1ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is a cross-off from the N at 15 mph, which will keep the surface clean. The combined energy is still only 17 (weak), so it’s not going to be a day for catching waves, but it’s the best looking window for a clean, if small, surf. After that, the wind turns more cross-on, and the swell stays tiny through to the 30th.
There’s nothing here for beginners or experts. The swell never gets above 1ft, so it’s never too big, but it’s barely there at all. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.
So, bottom line: keep your board in the car and your eyes on the forecast. It’s a quiet spell, but it won’t last forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | S 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 9 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:33AM7.74m | 7:55PM8.14m | 8:20AM7.85m | 8:41PM8.23m | 9:06AM7.80m | 9:26PM8.12m | 9:49AM7.58m | 10:10PM7.82m | 10:33AM7.24m | 10:53PM7.36m | 11:17AM6.81m | 11:38PM6.82m | 12:02PM6.34m | 00:26AM6.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:47PM0.34m | 2:16AM0.12m | 2:33PM0.23m | 3:02AM0.10m | 3:17PM0.29m | 3:46AM0.28m | 4:00PM0.53m | 4:28AM0.62m | 4:43PM0.90m | 5:11AM1.06m | 5:26PM1.35m | 5:55AM1.55m | 6:13PM1.83m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:18 | — | — | 5:18 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — |
 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:30 | — | — | 9:29 | — | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 21 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 10 | ESE 4 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SW 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | E 3 | W 10 | — | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | ESE 3 | — |
| kJ | 18 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | WSW 9 | SSW 6 | SW 14 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 6 | SW 5 | SW 5 | SW 11 | NW 4 | W 7 | W 7 | W 9 | SW 18 | W 11 | W 7 | W 10 | W 10 |
| kJ | 5 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 6 | — | SW 6 | E 3 | SW 15 | E 3 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 11 | N 6 | S 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | NW 4 | W 12 | SW 18 | — | W 7 | N 3 |
| kJ | 10 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 12 | — | 1 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | — | E 3 | E 3 | NE 3 | N 4 | — | WNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | E 4 | NW 4 | N 3 | — | — | N 3 | E 3 | — | E 3 |
| kJ | 13 | — | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6 | — | — | 6 | 3 | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 183 | 87 | 263 | 167 | 167 | 87 | 183 | 1261 | 358 | 358 | 437 | 96 | 346 | 290 | 96 | 341 | 358 | 366 | 183 | 141 | 87 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Manorbier Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Manorbier provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Manorbier can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Manorbier surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Manorbier) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Manorbier may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Manorbier, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Pembroke which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Milford Haven which is 16 km (10 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.
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