Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater West surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with 1,340 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater West this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater West in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater West over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Freshwater West has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week or so looks pretty grim. We’re looking at a long, frustrating stretch of poor conditions. From Saturday the 29th of August all the way through to Monday the 7th of September, it’s a write-off. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s blowing hard, up to 18-25 mph. The swell is mushy and short-period, making for choppy, lumpy, and generally unsurfable lines. The wave energy is all over the place, with some moderate readings to strong ones, but it doesn’t matter if the wind is ruining it. Monday morning the 7th of September is the first time we see a glimmer of hope, but it’s still a tough call.
Water temp is around 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a game-changer, but nice to know.
Now, for the one true standout in this whole forecast, you gotta look ahead to Thursday the 10th of September. This is the day. We’ve got a serious pulse of swell coming from the SW, pushing in at a solid 12 ft. The period is short at 8-9 seconds, so it’s not that long, groundswell power, but the sheer size is massive. The combined wave energy is huge – that is strong, powerful water moving around. The wind is light and offshore from the SE, which will keep the surface clean.
Freshwater West is a beach and reef setup, and with the swell direction from SW and the wind from the SE, the conditions will be clean and lined up. But listen, this is a serious caveat: 12 ft is a *lot* of water. This is not a beginner wave. This is strictly for experts who know this break. The short period will make it dumpy and heavy on the sandbars, so it’ll be a full-on experience. The cross-off wind from the east will groom it nicely, but you better have your wits about you. It will be too big for most. Crowds will be likely here, as this is the only proper window. The direction is almost perfect, the wind is good – this is the one and only chance for a proper session.
After that, the surf drops off fast on the 11th and 12th, with smaller cross-onshore junk, and then we get a final look on Sunday the 13th of September with a clean 6 ft swell from the W, period at 10 seconds, and light onshore wind. It’s rideable but nothing to write home about. The energy is moderate, and the conditions will be okay, but it’s a distant second to that big Thursday pulse.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a total washout. Your only real shot is that big, clean Thursday the 10th, but only if you’re an expert. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Tue night, strong winds from the WSW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 8 | W 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
193 | 542 | 766 | 439 | 573 | 1249 | 929 | 611 | 265 | 166 | 66 | 41 | 361 | 645 | 688 | 489 | 441 | 332 | 475 | 707 | 478 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 8:04PM7.04m | 8:21AM6.84m | 8:38PM7.10m | 8:54AM6.86m | 9:12PM7.04m | 9:29AM6.77m | 9:48PM6.85m | 10:05AM6.56m | 10:26PM6.53m | 10:45AM6.23m | 11:11PM6.08m | 11:33AM5.82m | 00:08AM5.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:01PM0.95m | 2:21AM0.79m | 2:34PM0.87m | 2:54AM0.78m | 3:07PM0.90m | 3:27AM0.89m | 3:41PM1.04m | 4:02AM1.12m | 4:17PM1.31m | 4:40AM1.47m | 4:59PM1.68m | 5:25AM1.91m | 5:53PM2.12m | ||||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 8:14 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | |
mm | 4 | — | — | 6 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
Feels °C | 19 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SSW 8 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SSW 7 | N 5 | SW 18 | W 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | W 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 11 |
16 | 374 | 3 | — | — | — | 929 | 611 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 36 | 53 | 33 | 33 | 35 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 5 | N 5 | SW 18 | — | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | W 15 | SW 15 | — | — | SSW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 5 | 12 | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | 19 | 36 | — | — | 20 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | — | — | S 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 9 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 8 | W 7 |
193 | 542 | 766 | 439 | 573 | 1249 | 72 | 11 | 265 | 166 | 66 | 41 | 361 | 645 | 688 | 489 | 441 | 332 | 475 | 707 | 478 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 150 | 54 | 26 | 89 | 111 | 136 | 173 | 136 | 25 | 123 | 123 | 163 | 382 | 335 | 343 | 246 | 368 | 368 | 376 | 136 | 151 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater West Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater West provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater West can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater West surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater West) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater West may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater West, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Milford Haven which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Pembroke which is 11 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.











