
Surf Forecasts:
Freshwater West surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, W swell with 138 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater West this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater West in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater West over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a real flat spell for the first week, with barely a ripple on offer. The water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. The first real sign of life doesn’t show up until the morning of Sunday the 26th of July, with a small pulse of swell from the WSW. That’s a long wait of about six days with nothing worth paddling out for.
Freshwater West is the only break on the cards here. It’s a consistent, exposed beach and reef setup, and it usually works best with a W swell, which is what we’re hoping for. For the first week, from the 19th through the 25th, it’s flat. Tiny 0.3ft to 0.7ft waves with no energy to speak of. The wind is all over the place but the waves just aren’t there. It’s a write-off.
Then on the morning of Sunday the 26th of July, things finally change. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the WSW, but the period is a short, weak 6 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 100 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a cross-onshore breeze at 19 mph, which will make it lumpy and pretty messy. The afternoon swell builds to 5ft from the same direction, with energy at 180 (still moderate), but the wind remains onshore and strong. The waves are there, but the quality is poor. This is better left for the experts, as it’s getting too big for beginners, and the conditions will be rough.
Monday the 27th drops back to 3ft in the morning, improving slightly to 2ft in the afternoon from the W. The period is still a short 8 seconds, with energy around 64-71 (weak to moderate). The wind stays cross-onshore, so it’s still choppy. Not a stand-out.
The only window that looks even remotely interesting is the afternoon of Friday the 31st of July. The swell picks up to 4ft from the W with a short period of 6 seconds, but the energy is moderate at 112. Here’s the kicker: the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the ESE at 22 mph. That will groom the faces nicely. Given the right direction, this could be a surfable option, but the short period and the fact it’s been so flat will make it a bit of a gamble. The morning of the 31st is smaller, at 2ft.
After that, the outlook drops back into the doldrums for the start of August, with small, messy waves and onshore winds.
So, if you’re desperate for a wave, the clear winner is the Friday afternoon of the 31st of July at Freshwater West. The cross-offshore wind is the best we’ll see, and the 4ft swell from the W gives it a chance. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only real window of opportunity. The Sunday morning of the 26th is a distant second, but it’s messy and lumpy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed afternoon, light winds from the N by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 9 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | W 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 44 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 10:36AM6.44m | 10:53PM6.57m | 11:17AM6.09m | 11:35PM6.15m | 12:00PM5.72m | 00:20AM5.72m | 12:49PM5.38m | 1:14AM5.33m | 1:53PM5.13m | 2:26AM5.08m | 3:11PM5.10m | 3:47AM5.08m | 4:24PM5.30m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:39AM0.95m | 4:50PM1.19m | 5:19AM1.32m | 5:30PM1.55m | 5:59AM1.73m | 6:11PM1.94m | 6:44AM2.12m | 7:02PM2.29m | 7:40AM2.44m | 8:10PM2.55m | 8:55AM2.59m | 9:32PM2.59m | 10:11AM2.51m | 10:44PM2.40m | |||||||
5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:28 | — | — | 9:25 | — | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
Feels °C | 17 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | ESE 3 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | N 4 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 4 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
25 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | SW 19 | SW 19 | S 18 | SW 18 | W 11 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | W 8 | W 12 |
1 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | W 7 | W 7 | W 12 | W 11 | SW 18 | S 17 | SW 16 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | W 8 | — | W 12 |
2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 4 | N 3 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | — | WNW 3 | W 5 |
1 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 63 | 23 | 24 | 54 | 22 | 29 | 68 | 74 | 28 | 14 | 6 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 44 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 179 | 273 | 330 | 179 | 179 | 330 | 140 | 174 | 206 | 206 | 766 | 206 | 441 | 578 | 394 | 364 | 911 | 374 | 409 | 767 | 341 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wales - Pembrokeshire | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Freshwater West Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Freshwater West provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater West can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater West surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater West) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater West may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater West, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Milford Haven which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Pembroke which is 11 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.










