Freshwater West Surf Break

Lat Long: 51.65° N 5.06° W

Freshwater West Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Freshwater West sea temperature is
18.2°C
1.9° 

Freshwater West surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Freshwater West surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, WSW swell with 1,340 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Freshwater West this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Freshwater West in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (BST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4AM (Mon 31st Aug)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Freshwater West over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Freshwater West has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week or so looks pretty grim. We’re looking at a long, frustrating stretch of poor conditions. From Saturday the 29th of August all the way through to Monday the 7th of September, it’s a write-off. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s blowing hard, up to 18-25 mph. The swell is mushy and short-period, making for choppy, lumpy, and generally unsurfable lines. The wave energy is all over the place, with some moderate readings to strong ones, but it doesn’t matter if the wind is ruining it. Monday morning the 7th of September is the first time we see a glimmer of hope, but it’s still a tough call.

Water temp is around 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a game-changer, but nice to know.

Now, for the one true standout in this whole forecast, you gotta look ahead to Thursday the 10th of September. This is the day. We’ve got a serious pulse of swell coming from the SW, pushing in at a solid 12 ft. The period is short at 8-9 seconds, so it’s not that long, groundswell power, but the sheer size is massive. The combined wave energy is huge – that is strong, powerful water moving around. The wind is light and offshore from the SE, which will keep the surface clean.

Freshwater West is a beach and reef setup, and with the swell direction from SW and the wind from the SE, the conditions will be clean and lined up. But listen, this is a serious caveat: 12 ft is a *lot* of water. This is not a beginner wave. This is strictly for experts who know this break. The short period will make it dumpy and heavy on the sandbars, so it’ll be a full-on experience. The cross-off wind from the east will groom it nicely, but you better have your wits about you. It will be too big for most. Crowds will be likely here, as this is the only proper window. The direction is almost perfect, the wind is good – this is the one and only chance for a proper session.

After that, the surf drops off fast on the 11th and 12th, with smaller cross-onshore junk, and then we get a final look on Sunday the 13th of September with a clean 6 ft swell from the W, period at 10 seconds, and light onshore wind. It’s rideable but nothing to write home about. The energy is moderate, and the conditions will be okay, but it’s a distant second to that big Thursday pulse.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total washout. Your only real shot is that big, clean Thursday the 10th, but only if you’re an expert. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Tue night, strong winds from the WSW by Thu night).

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SSW
6
2.1
SW
8
2.2
WSW
9
1.7
SW
9
2.2
SW
8
3
WSW
9
2.3
WSW
9
1.9
WSW
9
1.2
WSW
9
1
WSW
9
1
WSW
6
0.9
WSW
5
2
WSW
7
2.4
WSW
8
2.4
WSW
8
2
WSW
8
1.9
WSW
8
1.9
WSW
7
2.3
WSW
7
2.5
W
8
2.1
W
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
193
542
766
439
573
1249
929
611
265
166
66
41
361
645
688
489
441
332
475
707
478
Wind (km/h)
25
S
25
WNW
25
W
30
SSW
30
SW
35
WNW
35
NW
20
W
20
WSW
20
SW
20
WSW
20
SW
40
SW
30
SW
35
WSW
30
W
30
W
35
W
40
W
30
W
40
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
High Tide
8:04PM7.04m
8:21AM6.84m
8:38PM7.10m
8:54AM6.86m
9:12PM7.04m
9:29AM6.77m
9:48PM6.85m
10:05AM6.56m
10:26PM6.53m
10:45AM6.23m
11:11PM6.08m
11:33AM5.82m
00:08AM5.58m
Low Tide
2:01PM0.95m
2:21AM0.79m
2:34PM0.87m
2:54AM0.78m
3:07PM0.90m
3:27AM0.89m
3:41PM1.04m
4:02AM1.12m
4:17PM1.31m
4:40AM1.47m
4:59PM1.68m
5:25AM1.91m
5:53PM2.12m
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
mod rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
light rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:28
6:28
6:31
6:33
6:33
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:14
8:12
8:09
8:07
8:05
8:02
8:00
 mm
4
6
5
4
1
2
5
1
1
Temp °C
19
18
17
18
17
16
14
16
16
17
17
17
19
17
18
17
17
17
16
17
18
Feels °C
19
16
15
14
12
11
7
12
13
14
14
15
15
13
13
12
11
11
10
12
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Freshwater West Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Freshwater West provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Freshwater West can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Freshwater West surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Freshwater West) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Freshwater West may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Wales - Pembrokeshire? If you are looking for accommodation near Freshwater West, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Wales - Pembrokeshire, consider staying in Milford Haven which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Wales - Pembrokeshire where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Pembroke which is 11 km (7 miles) away, Fishguard, Carmarthen and Aberporth.

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