Black Middens Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've had a good look at what's on offer for this stretch, and I've got to be straight with you – it's a pretty bleak run for most of the 16-day window. We're looking at a long, quiet spell with only a flicker of hope right at the very end. Don't get your hopes up too much on this one.

The standout – and honestly, the only real window – is that Monday morning on the 10th of August at Black Middens. We'll have a clean, glassy 3ft swell rolling in from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds, giving the waves a bit of shape. The combined energy hits 235 (moderate wave energy), so there's some push in the water. But don't get carried away; these are "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," so it's a session for a longboard or a funboard, just for the sheer joy of being out there. The water's sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 62°, so a wetsuit is still the go.

Now, for the rest of it – brace yourself. From the 26th of July right through to the afternoon of the 9th of August, it's a total write-off. I'm talking about a solid two weeks of nothing rideable. We see a bunch of little 0.7ft to 2ft slop with periods so short (mostly 7 to 10 seconds) they can't hold a line. The wind is all over the shop – cross-shore, cross-on, and cross-off – creating chop and ripples. There's a couple of glassy moments on the 2nd of August and 5th of August, but with waves sitting around 2ft, it's barely a ripple. The combined energy values are all in the teens, twenties and thirties, which is just weak stuff.

And then, right at the end of the window, we get a pulse. On the 9th of August, we see a building swell: 4ft with a rubbish 4-second period in the morning, and then a proper 7ft pulse from the ENE in the afternoon, with a combined energy of 363 (moderate wave energy). But the period is still only 6 seconds – that's a steep, lumpy wind swell. With cross-onshore wind, it'll be a messy, blown-out wall of whitewater. That's expert-only territory for size alone, and the conditions will be challenging.

So to wrap it up: you've got a long, dry spell. If you're desperate, mark your calendar for the morning of the 10th of August. Otherwise, it's a time for fin tuning, board repairs, and maybe a beach walk.

Rusty.

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