Black Middens Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what’s coming for Black Middens. I’ll level with you, it’s going to be a real struggle to find a wave for a while.

There’s a big dry spell upfront. From now right through to the 20th of August, it’s practically flat. Swell heights are mostly under 2 ft, and any little bump gets wrecked by onshore or side winds. You might see a clean morning here and there, but with waves that small, you’re just getting wet for no reason. The water’s sitting around 60°, par for the course this time of year.

On the 20th of August, things finally wake up. By the afternoon, the combined swell energy hits 155 (moderate energy) with a 5 ft swell from the NNE, but it’s only a 6-second period – that’s short-period windswell, not much push. The wind turns light offshore and it cleans up, but the conditions are still called very ordinary. For Black Middens, an inconsistent, sheltered reef/river/pier break, this is as good as it gets in this stretch.

Your one real chance comes on Friday the 21st of August. In the morning, you’ve got 6 ft from the NNE with an 8-second period, and the energy jumps to 385 (strong wave energy). The wind is cross-offshore from the NW at 9 mph, keeping the surface glassy. That 6 ft is pushing into intermediate territory; beginners might want to sit this one out. The afternoon drops to 5 ft, still clean and from the same direction. The crowd meter at Black Middens says “sometimes,” so expect a few heads out for this pulse. It’s not a world-class day, but it’s the only real session in the entire 16-day window. After that, it fades back to nearly nothing.

So, plain and simple: you’ve got a long wait. The 21st of August is your best shot, and even then it’s nothing special, just the pick of a poor lot. Forecasts can turn, so keep your ears open.

Rusty

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