Black Middens Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day surfers, Rusty here with a look at the next 16 days for Black Middens. To be straight with you, it's looking pretty grim. We've got a real dry spell on our hands, with only tiny bits and pieces of rideable surf, and even then, conditions are barely passable. The first real chance of anything comes a week from now, so be prepared for a lot of flat water before then.

Looking at the overall pattern, the combined swell energy is almost non-existent, often registering in the single digits or just barely into double digits. It's a super quiet period. The water temperature is about 58°F, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Let's start from the beginning. For this Sunday, the 13th, you can forget it. Swell is a flat zero with a "poor surf conditions" call all day. We see a tiny 0.7ft wave roll in on Monday and Tuesday, but it's coming in on strong to moderate cross-shore winds, making it a complete mess. The period is all over the place, but the swell is just too small to matter.

Things get a tiny bit interesting around Wednesday, the 16th of September. The morning stays tiny with a 0.7ft wave and a 10-second period from the north under a light offshore breeze, making it clean. It's tiny, but for a brief moment it's the best we've seen. Then in the afternoon, we see a jump to 3ft from the north, with a short 7-second period and glassy conditions – that's the best wave height of the whole outlook. The combined energy is 94, so weak but the strongest of the whole run. That afternoon window is your best bet, but keep expectations on the floor; the swell direction is from the north, which is not the optimum for the break.

After that, it's back to tiny surf with moderate to fresh cross-shore winds until the 23rd of September. There's a 2ft north swell on Wednesday the 23rd with a 6-second period and moderate cross-shore chop – not great.

The best of a bad run looks to be Thursday, the 24th. The morning has a 2ft north swell with a 6-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze, keeping it clean. The afternoon gets even better: a clean 2ft north swell under a light offshore wind from the north, with a glassy feel. That’s your standout window, but it's still small and the period is too short to get excited about. Plus, Black Middens is an inconsistent spot, so don't be surprised if it's not even breaking.

From the 25th of September onward, we're back to onshore winds and tiny, weak swell. Overall, there's very little to recommend here. The only moment worth paddling out for is that glassy window on Thursday the 24th, and even then, you'll be fighting the inconsistency.

Stay patient, this is a tough run of forecasts. Rusty out.

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