Black Middens Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next sixteen days.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: it's a rough stretch. The first surf recommendation we get isn't until Wednesday the 9th of September, and even that's a bit of a stretch. For the first few days, from the 6th through the 8th, we're looking at tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. It's a quiet start, nothing worth paddling out for.

So, Wednesday the 9th. That's our first real hope. Black Middens is going to see a pulse of 5ft swell from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined swell energy is a moderate 400. The wind is a clean cross-offshore, which is a major positive. The surf will be clean and the shape will be okay, but it's a reef/river/pier setup that's inconsistent and sheltered. It's a spot for intermediates, and the crowds are only sometimes a problem. It’s a small window of clean surf, but it's not a standout.

After that, we're back into a long, drawn-out period of tiny, weak, and onshore-affected waves from the 10th all the way through to the 15th of September. The swell drops right off, the energy is pitiful, with values often in the single digits or low tens, and the wind is mostly on or cross-onshore. It's a proper blank run of about six days.

We get a slight bump on the 16th of September. The swell picks up to 6ft from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits a strong 600. But the wind is a cross-onshore, making it choppy, and the quality is still rated as poor. That's a lot of water moving around, but with the wind on it, it's going to be a messy, lumpy affair. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle-surfing wave, to be honest.

Looking further out, Monday the 21st of September shows a bit of a pulse. The swell is 7ft from the NNE, with an 8-second period and combined energy of 540. But the wind is a fresh cross-shore, creating a lumpy cross-chop. At that size, over 8ft, it's really only for the experts, and the conditions aren't clean enough to make it a true standout.

There's nothing here that screams "go-time." The best window is really that Wednesday the 9th for a clean, small wave, but it's inconsistent and not a classic. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or too big and blown out. The forecasts can always change, but for now, it's a lean period.

Rusty.

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