Black Middens Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Black Middens.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a quiet start. We're looking at a long stretch of nothing much happening. For the next week and a half, from the 27th of July right through to the 9th of August, the surf is near flat. The swell energy is teeny tiny, with readings down in the single digits and low double digits (7 to 62 combined energy), which is just not enough to get excited about. The wind is all over the shop too, mostly cross or cross-onshore, keeping things choppy and messy. There's a little window on the morning of the 3rd of August where it goes glassy, but the swell is still only 2ft from the north – it's clean, but there's just no power there. For a stretch like this, it's a proper blank run for this spot.

Now, hang in there, because the second week brings a real shift. On the 10th of August, Monday morning, the swell jumps up to 7ft from the north, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy rockets up to 909, which is a massive increase in power. The wind is onshore though, from the southwest at 19 mph, so it's going to be lumpy and rough. That's a lot of water moving around, but the conditions will be pretty wild. This actually looks more like a kite surfing setup than a paddle session, especially with the fresh cross-onshore wind.

The best of the bunch, and really the only standout in the whole 16 days, looks to be Tuesday the 11th of August. In the morning, we've got a solid 7ft of north-northeast swell, backed by a strong 821 combined energy. The wind swings around to the west-northwest at 16 mph, giving us a clean cross-offshore breeze. The swell is a bit long in the tooth at 10 seconds, which at a sheltered reef/river spot like Black Middens, could actually help the waves hold up better. The afternoon is similar, with 7ft swell and a clean cross-offshore breeze. This is proper size, over 7ft, so it's going to be a challenging day – think expert only territory. The crowds are "sometimes" an issue here, so with a good clean swell on the cards, you might have a few others sniffing around. It's a long way off, so don't bet the house on it, but it's the one window of real quality in this forecast.

Rusty.

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