The Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, check it out. Rusty here, breaking down the forecast for The Cove over the next sixteen days.

The first few days are a bust. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are mostly blown out or just too small to bother with. The wind is ripping, and the swell is short-period and messy. The energy is weak (195) Thursday morning, and it doesn’t get much better. Just skip it.

We get a bit of life from Saturday the 8th through Monday the 10th. A solid west swell pushes through, with wave heights around 6ft to 7ft. The energy jumps up (732 to 839), so there’s some real juice. The wind is cross-offshore for most of it, keeping the surface reasonably clean. The best call in that window is Monday morning the 10th – we’ve got a glassy 3ft swell from the north with a 10-second period, and the wind is light offshore (SSE at 6 mph). The water temp is about normal for this time of year. The Cove is a reef break, fairly consistent, and exposed to the NW swell direction, so Monday morning should deliver some clean, lined-up waves. Crowds are possible, so don’t expect to have it all to yourself.

Then the surf drops off a cliff. From Tuesday the 11th through to Friday the 14th morning, it’s tiny, weak, and mostly poor. A few glassy moments on the 13th, but with only 1ft on offer, it’s a flat spell.

Now, the big one – and this is a long-range call, so keep it in the back of your mind – is Wednesday the 19th. A serious west swell hits, blowing up to 13ft with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a monster 3004, so that’s a lot of water moving. The wind is offshore (S at 18 mph), so it’ll be clean. But at 13ft, this is expert-only territory. The period is short, so it’s windswell, but the offshore wind will hold it up. The reef at The Cove can take it, but it’s going to be heavy. Thursday the 20th still has a solid 6ft, but the wind goes cross-offshore and the energy drops (704). That’s still a good day for strong intermediates.

The best sessions overall? Monday morning the 10th for clean, fun, manageable waves (3ft, NNW, 10s, light offshore) and Wednesday the 19th for the big-wave crew (13ft, W, 9s, fresh offshore). The 19th is the real standout for size and power, but it’s a week and a half away, so don’t book your flight yet.

There’s a long dry stretch of tiny, poor surf from the 11th to the 14th morning, so expect some downtime.

Rusty, out.

Read more