The Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at The Cove. It’s a reef break, fairly consistent, and exposed to the west. The water’s sitting at 56°F, which is spot on average for this time of year—no weird anomalies messing with things.

The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. There’s a bit of a flat spell on the horizon, but we’ve got a couple of windows of opportunity if you’re keen. The first real push of swell arrives this Saturday afternoon, the 8th. We’re looking at an 8ft W swell with a 10-second period, and the energy is solid at 1222. It’s a bit crossed-off with a 20 km/h SW breeze, which will keep it clean-ish but not perfect. That’s probably your best bet for a proper wave in the first week, though Sunday morning looks like it’ll be blown out by a strong 40 km/h WSW wind.

The swell drops right back by Tuesday the 11th, down to 4ft N, but the wind swings SE and goes cross-off with a gentle breeze. It’s clean, but it’s small. The energy is only 269, so it’s weak. Still, if you’re desperate for a grovel, that’s your window.

After that, it’s a long, drawn-out lull. From Wednesday the 12th through to around the 18th, the swell is mostly under 4ft, and a lot of that is short-period junk. The energy readings are mostly in the low hundreds or even below 100—weak. The winds are all over the place, but mostly cross or cross-onshore, keeping things lumpy and uninviting. There’s a stretch of about five to six days there where I wouldn’t bother paddling out.

There’s a tiny glimmer on Thursday the 20th afternoon. The wind goes completely glassy, 0 km/h. But the swell is only 1ft from the NNW with a 8-second period. The energy is 74. It’s surfable but very ordinary. You’d be scratching for anything.

The second week is looking pretty slim. There’s a slight pulse on Sunday the 16th afternoon with 4ft W swell at 10 seconds, but the wind is a fresh WSW cross-off, and the energy is 330—moderate at best. It’s just not worth getting excited about. The long-range stuff is promising but less certain. The whole period is dominated by short-period swell, which is a shame because a reef like this would love a bit more grunt.

Overall, if you’re flexible, Saturday afternoon the 8th is the standout. It’s not perfect, but it’s the biggest and most powerful swell we see. The other option is Tuesday morning the 11th for a clean, small wave. For the rest, you might be better off checking the forecast again in a few days. The potential is there, but it’s not coming together yet.

Rusty.

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