Constantine Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next week and a half is going to test your patience. There’s surf, but it’s mostly going to be a messy, blown-out affair. The wind is the problem, not the swell.

We’re looking at a rough start. For the first four days, it’s all cross-onshore and lumpy. Tuesday the 1st has a 3ft W swell but poor conditions. Wednesday the 2nd sees a bump in size to 5ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon, but the wind is up and it’s lumpy. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th follow the same script – moderate to fresh cross-onshore breeze, choppy, and not worth your time.

Finally, we get a window. Saturday the 5th is the first standout. The wind drops out to glass by morning, and we’ve got a clean 4ft W swell with a long 10-second period. The energy is moderate (306). This is your chance. The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 65°, which is a nice little bonus for this time of year. It’s a clean, crisp morning with offshore potential and the break’s very consistent, so there will be waves to be had. Saturday afternoon backs off a bit, but the morning is the call.

Sunday the 6th is a wipeout – small, weak 2ft leftovers. Energy is weak (64).

Now, don't get too excited, but there’s a proper pulse of swell coming in for Monday the 7th. We’re talking a solid 7ft W swell with a long 13-second period, and the energy is strong (1452). But the wind is onshore and it might be a bit of a mess. The report flags it as 'marginal', so the quality is questionable. It’s a big, powerful groundswell, but those long-period swells can break a bit straight at a beach and reef setup like this. It could be unruly.

The rest of the first week is forgettable: strong winds, rain, and blown-out conditions through to Thursday the 10th. Don't bother. Friday the 11th offers a glimmer – the wind swings offshore in the afternoon and it looks clean with a 4ft W swell. That’s a good session to keep in mind.

After that, we drop right off. The weekend of the 12th and 13th sees the swell fade to almost nothing, with weak energy readings in the 30s. It’s a proper flat spell.

Looking into the second week, the pattern returns. Around Monday the 14th, we see a fresh pulse of WSW swell, around 5ft to 6ft, but the wind is cross-off and fresh, keeping it clean but maybe a little bumpy. It’s promising.

The real interest is Tuesday the 15th into Wednesday the 16th. The models are hinting at another strong, long-period W swell from the 15th, with energy readings getting up there (1342). The swell direction is W, which is right on the optimum for Constantine Bay. However, the wind is going to be the issue again. It’s looking cross-onshore, which will chop it up. It’s got size and power, but you'll be fighting the wind for it. This one is more promising than certain, given it’s over a week out.

So, to sum it up: the standout is unmissable – Saturday the 5th morning is your clean, glassy winner. After that, it’s about picking through the rubble. The big swells on the 7th and the 15th will be powerful, but they need the wind to cooperate. If it doesn't, it might be more interesting for the kite crew than us paddlers. Hang in there.

Rusty, signing off.

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