Pobbles Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Pobbles Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, start to finish, this is a flat and frustrating outlook. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, and there’s not a single period with any meaningful surf to get excited about. The combined swell energy rarely climbs above 100, with most days sitting in the weak range (a paltry 11 to 88), and only a couple of afternoons where it nudges into the moderate threshold (101 or 106), but even then the quality is trashed.

Let’s start from the beginning. This Friday, July 31st, we’ve got a tiny 2 ft to 3 ft swell from the west and WNW, but with a short period around 4 to 5 seconds. The wind is cross or cross-off, but the wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. The water temp is a very unusual 67°F, a massive 6° warmer than average for this time of year. That’s a notable anomaly, but it doesn’t put a single decent wave on the beach.

Saturday, August 1st, is more of the same – tiny 1.0 ft to 1 ft WSW swell with a mediocre 9 to 10-second period. The Saturday afternoon glass-off on the 2nd is a tease – 1.0 ft with a glassy surface and light wind would be dreamy if there was any wave to ride, but there isn’t. The whole first week is basically a write-off.

There is a brief, slight uptick on Monday, August 3rd afternoon, where the combined swell energy hits 101, but the swell is still only 3 ft at 9 seconds from the WSW and the wind is cross-shore. Nothing to shout about. The only other time the energy passes 100 is on Friday, August 14th morning, with a 3 ft swell from the west at a short 7-second period, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore at 12 mph and it’s cloudy. That’s going to be lumpy, choppy, and pretty much unrideable for a paddle board. The setup is more kite-surf interesting than surfable.

The rest of the outlook is a continuous run of tiny swells, poor wind directions, and short periods. The long-period 12-second swell that shows up on Friday, August 7th, is only 0.3 ft – that’s a ghost swell, not a wave. From July 31st right through to August 15th, there isn’t one single standout day, not one recommendation above a zero score. The guidance file confirms this break is inconsistent, and for this 16-day stretch, it’s not delivering at all.

It’s a tough one. I’d say don’t even bother checking the forecasts for a while. A blank run like this is normal for an inconsistent spot like Pobbles Beach – sometimes it just goes quiet and the ocean needs a proper kick in the pants from a real swell.

Rusty.

Read more