Pobbles Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Pobbles Beach.

First up, the water's running *much* warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 68°F, which is 7°F above average. That's pretty wild, you won't need the thickest rubber, that's for sure.

Alright, the honest truth is, we're in for a long, flat spell to kick things off. From now through the end of August and into the first couple of days of September, it's pretty grim. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 ft, and the wind is all wrong – cross-shore or onshore – leaving the surface chopped up and lumpy. The combined energy is weak, hanging around in the double digits (31 to 67), which tells you all you need to know. There's a little tease on Thursday the 27th afternoon where the wind goes glassy with a tiny 2 ft SW swell, but with a period of just 8 seconds and weak energy (44), it's barely a ripple. Not worth paddling out for.

We then roll into a poor run of weather on the 28th and 29th with risk of storms and rain, and the swell stays small and junky with onshore winds. The 30th is the same story – a messy 4 ft to 5 ft of short-period wind swell and onshore slop. This is a dead period.

Now, we finally see a change on Monday the 31st of August. A bigger swell rolls in, 8 ft from the W with a 10-second period. The energy jumps to 1630 – that's moderate energy, finally some punch. The wind is offshore, WNW, so it'll be clean. But hold up – at 8 ft, this is getting into expert territory, especially with that long-period groundswell. For a beach setup like Pobbles, that long period swell can make it break a bit too straight and tricky. It's only a marginal forecast, so it's not a standout, but it's the first real pulse of the whole run.

The rest of the first week of September is a write-off again. On Wednesday the 2nd, we get a clean morning with 5 ft, but it's short-period and the conditions are just ordinary. Not worth getting excited about.

Now, here's the one that catches my eye. The real highlight is the Monday morning of the 7th of September. This is the standout of the whole 16-day window. We've got a solid 12 ft of WSW groundswell, and get this – a 19-second period! That's very long-period groundswell, and it's packing serious energy – 13740, which is very strong. The wind is offshore from the WNW, keeping it clean. The quality score is the highest we see here. Now, a word of caution: at 12 ft, this is expert-only. And that long period groundswell at a beach break? It'll be powerful, but it might be a bit too straight and unforgiving. If you're a solid charger and you can pick your peak, this could be the session of the fortnight. But it's a long way out, so keep an eye on the charts. The Tuesday morning after that drops back to 7 ft, still clean with a NW offshore, and a 10-second period, which is a more manageable size and period for the average surfer, but the energy is still high at 763.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a complete write-off. Don't bother. The second week has one true standout for experts on the 7th of September. That's your window. The rest is either too small, too windy, or just plain messy.

Rusty.

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