Cabarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, the next couple of weeks at Cabarita are a bit of a mixed bag. The good news is that we’ve got a solid run of swell coming through, but the wind’s going to play havoc for most of it. Don’t get too excited about the first week – it’s gonna be a struggle. The real standout window is the morning of Wednesday the 19th, with a few other promising but less certain days further out.

The water temp is sitting at a normal 68° for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

We kick off this Saturday the 15th with a clean 5ft swell from the S, but it’s a short-period 7 seconds and the cross-off wind makes it feel messy. The combined energy is weak (271), and the score is low. Sunday the 16th is similar – 6ft SSE swell (390 energy) but still a cross-off wind and short period. The morning might offer a few fun ones if you’re desperate, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Monday the 17th sees the swell bump up to 7ft from the SE (563 energy), but the cross-on wind makes it a choppy mess. Tuesday the 18th is a little better with a gentler breeze and 7ft ESE swell (510 energy), but it’s still cross-shore and only marginal. Honestly, the first few days are pretty average.

Now, Wednesday the 19th is our real standout. The morning is firing with a clean 6ft swell from the ESE, a long 11-second period, and light S cross-off wind. The combined energy jumps right up to 1529 – that’s proper power. This is the best on offer for the whole forecast. Cabarita is a point break, so this long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely and produce some proper waves. It’s only for experienced surfers at this size, but it’ll be clean and solid. The afternoon sees the wind swing cross-on and the energy drops off, so get in early.

Thursday the 20th through to Sunday the 23rd is a bit of a lull. Swell drops to 5ft and below, wind is messy, and most of the time it’s either poor or just marginal. The morning of Saturday the 22nd offers a clean 3ft from the ENE with a light offshore wind, but the energy is weak (149) and the period is short – tiny, weak waves for beginners.

Monday the 24th to Wednesday the 26th is even smaller – under 3ft and weak energy, mostly under 90. The morning of Wednesday the 26th is glassy with a tiny 3ft ENE swell, but it’s barely surfable. Still, if you’ve got a longboard and no expectations, it’s a clean paddle.

Then we get a little pulse late in the second week. Thursday the 27th has a clean 4ft from the ENE (175 energy) but it’s still not big enough to get excited about. The real interest returns on Saturday the 29th – a clean 3ft SSE swell with a very long 16-second period (622 energy). That’s a lot of push for the size, and it could produce some long, walling waves at the point. Sunday the 30th builds to 7ft SSE (1229 energy) with a 10-second period and clean cross-off wind in the morning – that’s solid, powerful surf, but it’s for experienced crew only at that size. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore and messy.

So overall, the standout is Wednesday the 19th morning. The long-range stuff on the 29th and 30th is promising but less certain this far out. Expect crowds to be likely at Cabarita, especially on the good days – it’s a consistent point.

Rusty.

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