Kirra Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the cards for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, the upfront picture isn't pretty. We’re looking at a real dry spell to kick things off, with no real surf to speak of for the first few days. From Thursday the 10th right through to the morning of Saturday the 20th, it’s going to be a struggle. The swell is there in size early on, but the wind is just wrecking it. The main event, Kirra, is seeing a 10 ft SSE swell on Thursday afternoon, but a stiff 19 mph cross-off wind is making a mess of things. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least a wetsuit isn’t mandatory.

Don’t get too excited about Friday the 11th either. The morning shows a 7 ft SSE swell with a clean 9 mph offshore wind, and the combined energy is moderate (753). It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary. The window is tiny. By Friday afternoon, the wind swings back and the quality drops. This pattern basically repeats itself through the weekend and into the following week—small, inconsistent, and often wind-affected. The swell energy drops into the double digits, and we’re looking at waves under 3 ft for a solid stretch.

The real interest, and the only true standout in this whole 16-day period, is the swell that pushes in on Saturday the 20th. It’s a long way off, so treat this as a promising but uncertain call. The morning shows a 8 ft SSE swell with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 600 (strong). The catch? The wind is a light onshore breeze from the north, which is poor for Kirra. The afternoon holds similar size at 8 ft, but the period stays short. With that size, it’s pushing into expert territory at Kirra, and the short period means it won’t have the shape we’d want. Given the onshore wind, this setup might actually look more interesting for kite surfing than for a clean paddle session.

Following that, Monday the 21st sees a similar 6 ft swell from the SSE, but with a longer 10-11 second period and a moderate onshore wind. The energy is still strong (734 and 739), but the wind is a killer. The crowd factor at Kirra is often a problem, and with conditions like this, it’s going to be a battle for a few sloppy ones. After that, it fades again into the end of the month, with inconsistent, small swell and persistent onshore winds.

So, the honest truth is: This is a blank run for the area. Kirra is a world-class wave, but it’s a very sheltered point that needs the right combo. The forecast just isn’t serving it up. The best chance you’ll get is the morning of Saturday the 20th, but that’s a gamble. For now, keep the boards in the bag and wait for it to change. Forecasts can shift, and it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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