Kirra Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down this 16-day run for the one spot that’s got our attention.

We’re looking at a serious pulse of swell hitting Kirra early on, but it’s a mixed bag. Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th have big, powerful SE groundswell with a 10-second period, packing a massive punch—the combined energy is a hefty 5950 and 3094 (moderate to very strong wave energy). The problem is Sunday is blowing a stiff 25 mph SSE offshore wind. That’s clean, perfect for a dry hair, but it’s a full-on gale, making it brutally hard to paddle into those 16 to 17 ft bombs. This is expert-only territory. The swell is over 8 ft, so it’s for the brave and the strong. Monday’s a bit of a step down in size (13 ft), but still a fresh cross-offshore breeze, so it’s cleaner but still a massive paddle.

By Tuesday the 21st, the swell drops to 8 ft from the ESE, still a good 10-second period, and the wind eases to a moderate breeze. It’s manageable for a strong intermediate, but the energy is still high (1352). Wednesday the 22nd sees the swell dip below the 6 ft mark (6 ft), and it’s a bit of a lull. Thursday and Friday are small, with the wind going glassy and offshore at times, but the waves are just too weak to get excited about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The end of the forecast period has a real standout. Friday the 31st of July starts small, but the afternoon brings a surprise. The wind goes glassy, and an 8 ft, short-period (7 seconds) SE swell rolls in. The energy is moderate (697), and it’s glassy. That’s a serious window for some clean, fun waves.

But the absolute best on offer is the first weekend of August. Saturday the 1st of August is the call. We’ve got a solid 10 ft SE swell (8-second period) with a light offshore SSW wind in the morning. That’s a powerful combination. The combined energy is 1468 (strong wave energy). The wind is light and offshore, so the face will be smooth. The waves will be big, powerful, and clean. For a skilled surfer, this is the session to mark on the calendar. The afternoon stays good too, with a 8 ft swell and light cross-offshore wind. The only downside with a 10 ft swell is that it’s only for experienced surfers, as it’s over 8 ft. The crowds at Kirra can be there often, so expect company.

The following Sunday (August 2nd) and Monday (August 3rd) drop off again in size and quality, with a moderate offshore wind but less energy.

The water temperature anomaly is not specified in the data, so it’s about average for the time of year at Kirra.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is big and wild, mostly for the experts or the kamikaze. The middle of the week is a write-off. The real gold is on Friday the 31st of July afternoon and the standout day is Saturday the 1st of August. The long-range outlook for the 1st looks promising, but keep an eye on the wind forecasts closer to the day.

Rusty out.

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