Kirra Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this 16-day stretch for Kirra is a tough one. We’ve got a long, drawn-out run of small, weak, and messy surf ahead, with only a couple of brief windows where it might even be worth paddling out. The first week is basically a write-off, and while the second week brings more size, it comes with a whole lot of wind and rain. Don’t get too excited; this is a patience game.

The water temp is sitting at 69°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest suit, but a decent springsuit will do.

The outlook starts with a real dud. Saturday the 8th has a tiny 4ft east swell, but it’s short-period and junky, with a light cross-off breeze. The energy is weak at 218, and it’s just not doing anything. Sunday the 9th is more of the same—3-4ft of east swell, but onshore north winds kill any hope of it being clean. Monday the 10th sees a bump in size to 6ft, but it’s a messy north windswell with a short 6-second period and a strong onshore wind. That’s a hard pass.

Tuesday the 11th is the best of a bad bunch early on. It drops to 2ft, but it’s glassy with a light WNW breeze in the morning. It’s clean, but there’s barely any energy—just 79 in the combined energy. If you’ve got a longboard and zero expectations, you might get a few grovelly ones. Wednesday and Thursday stay small and weak, with the wind shifting around.

Now, Friday the 14th is the first time it gets remotely interesting. The swell builds to 5ft from the SSE with a 10-second period, and the energy jumps to 432. The wind is a light cross-off, so it should be clean. It’s still pretty ordinary, but it’s the first surfable wave we’ve seen. The morning looks like the pick.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th is more of the same—small, around 3-4ft, with moderate winds. The 16th has a proper offshore, but the swell is fading. It’s clean but tiny.

Then we hit the second week. The size starts to come up, but so does the wind and the rain. From Monday the 17th, we see consistent 6-6ft swell, but it’s mostly short-period and lumpy, with rain showers and strong cross-off winds. The energy is building—from 263 up to 438 by Tuesday afternoon—but the quality is poor. This is more of a messy, stormy surf than anything clean.

By Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th, we’ve got proper size on the way: 7ft building to 8ft, with the energy really cranking, hitting 595 and then a strong 983 by Thursday afternoon. But the wind is fresh and cross-off, and the period is still in that 8-9 second range. It’s powerful, but it’s going to be a washing machine. This is expert-only territory—over 8ft on the 22nd and 23rd, and it’s going to be well overhead and messy.

The last few days, the 21st through the 23rd, have the most size and energy, with the 23rd seeing 8ft and energy over 1295. But it’s all coming with rain and strong SE winds. The period stretches to 11 seconds on the 22nd and 23rd, which is better, but the direction is east-southeast, which is okay for Kirra, but the constant wind and rain will keep it lumpy.

So, what’s the honest call? The only real standout is the morning of Friday the 14th—it’s clean, has a bit of push, and the wind is light. That’s your best bet. The other slight glimmer is the morning of Sunday the 16th, with a clean offshore, but it’s tiny. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or too big and blown out. Kirra is a sheltered point, and it needs a clean, long-period swell to show its magic. We just don’t get that in this window. It’s a waiting game, but it won’t stay flat forever.

Rusty.

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