Kirra Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks. To be straight with you, it's a pretty grim stretch for a spot with this much potential. We've got a massive gap coming, so let's get into it.

The outlook starts on Thursday the 23rd of July, but don't get your hopes up. That first morning is glassy and the water temp is a normal 69.3°F, but the swell from the east is only 3.9ft and the combined swell energy is weak (226). The comment says it all: poor surf conditions. That sums up the next ten days, honestly. Apart from the odd early morning clean-up, the waves are small, weak, and often junky. You’re looking at a long dry spell until we get near the end of the month.

Now, Saturday the 25th morning might get a tiny flicker of hope. We’ve got a clean 3.0ft swell from the southeast with a very long period of 16 seconds. That long-period groundswell has a lot of energy behind it (742), but it's small. That kind of period can make Kirra, being a point, work better than a beach break, but it’s still a meagre wave. The comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," so, not worth the paddle.

The real story here is the wind. From Friday the 24th afternoon onwards, it cranks offshore from the south and holds in hard for days. We're talking 12 to 19 mph winds making the surface clean, but the wave heights and directions are all over the place and mostly small with weak energy. Even on the 30th of July when we see a 7.5ft swell, the period is a short 8 seconds and it's getting hammered by heavy rain. That's a messy, blown-out setup for a point break.

We finally get a couple of days with some size and energy around the 5th and 6th of August. On Wednesday the 5th morning, we have an 8.2ft swell from the southeast with moderate energy (852), and it’s a cross-offshore wind. It’s labeled "marginal," though. That's solid, powerful surf but it's a bit onshore and choppy, which could make it a mess. Over 8.2ft is expert territory, and with that wind, it might be more of a drift than a wave.

To be honest, the one and only standout window in this entire 16-day forecast is Saturday the 25th of July. The morning session at Kirra is your best bet. The wind is light offshore from the SSE, making for a glassy surface. You’ve got a long-period, 16-second groundswell from the southeast wrapping in at 3.0ft. The energy is strong (742), and that long period will give it shape on the point. It’s the only time the stars nearly align. Keep in mind crowds are often an issue here, so get in early. It’s not the size we dream of, but for a clean, lined-up point wave, it’s the only game in town.

So, to wrap it up, we’ve got over a week of junk before that small but clean Saturday, and then it’s back to windy, onshore slop for the rest of the run. Hoping the models change, but for now, that’s the truth of it.

Read more