Tweed River Breakwall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Look, I've had a good hard look at the Tweed River Breakwall for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a grim run. The forecast is about as appealing as a flat day in the middle of winter. We're looking at a 16-day window where the surf is pretty much a write-off, with only a few fleeting moments that might get you a little wet.

The overall pattern is weak, small, and messy. The swell energy is mostly pathetic, rarely climbing above a moderate 221 (combined energy) and often sitting in the low double digits. The water temp is sitting at 69°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Let's walk through it. Saturday the 8th of August kicks off with a tiny 2ft ENE swell, but a cross-shore breeze from the south at 6 mph has it all chopped up. The afternoon is even worse. Sunday the 9th morning offers a sliver of hope: a 3ft ENE swell with a 9-second period, and a light north wind giving us clean conditions. The combined energy is 167 (moderate), so there's a little bit of push there. But the swell is small, and you'll be scratching for anything decent. That's as good as it gets, and it's not saying much.

Monday the 10th morning is a write-off thanks to a 19 mph north-northwest breeze, despite the swell being the same. The afternoon sees a shift to a light offshore from the west, with a 3ft northerly swell, but the period drops to a weak 7 seconds. The rest of the week is a sorry saga of tiny swells, cross-shore and cross-onshore winds, and "poor surf conditions" plastered across every session. Combined energy values tumble to between 58 and 125 through the middle of the week. Thursday the 14th morning sees a 2ft SE swell with a better 11-second period, giving a combined energy of 143 (moderate), but the south wind at 6 mph is cross-shore, so it's still messy.

The second week is even more of a struggle. The 17th of August Monday morning brings a spike in swell to 6ft from the SE, with a 7-second period, but the combined energy kicks up to 381 (strong). That might sound promising, but the wind is cross-onshore from the SSE at 9 mph, and the period is so short it'll be a bumpy, wobbly mess. The 18th of August Tuesday afternoon has a 4ft SE swell, but again, a short 6-second period and cross-onshore winds. For the rest of the run, expect tiny swells, constant cross-shore winds, and combined energy values that barely crack 100.

The Tweed River Breakwall is a point break, consistently breaking, but it's exposed to the swell. The optimum swell direction is from the ENE, and while we get a few of those, it's never with the right wind to unlock it. The crowds are often around, but with this forecast, you'll likely have the place to yourself.

So, what's the standout? Honestly, the only session that even comes close to being worth a paddle is Sunday the 9th of August morning. It's a small, clean, and glassy window with a 3ft ENE swell, a 9-second period, and a light offshore wind. The combined energy is 167 (moderate). It's not a classic, but it's the best on offer. The rest of the forecast is a write-off.

If you're a beginner, the swell is rarely above 5ft, so that's not a problem, but the quality is just so poor. For the experienced surfer, there's nothing to get excited about.

This is a long, bleak run, but it won't stay this way forever. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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