Tweed River Breakwall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Truth is, it’s looking pretty bleak for a decent paddle over the next couple of weeks. There are no good surf options in the 16-day window. It’s a long, flat, and messy stretch ahead. The breaks are consistent, though, so it shouldn’t stay this poor forever – forecasts can change. But for now, we’re stuck with it.

Let’s start at the Tweed River Breakwall. Water temp is 68°F, about normal for this time of year. The first few days, through the 16th and 17th, have moderate cross and cross-onshore winds messing with things. The swell is 4ft to 5ft from the SE and ESE with periods of 6 to 8 seconds – that’s junky, weak energy. The combined energy is only 138 to 280 – weak to moderate. It’s all over the place, and you won't find a clean face.

From the 18th to the 20th, it doesn't improve. Cross-onshore chop persists with the swell hovering around 5ft to 5ft but never getting organised. By Thursday the 20th, it’s down to 3ft to 4ft with energy around 138-161. Still poor.

Friday the 21st has a brief glimmer: glassy morning with a slight air and light NNW wind. Swell is 3ft from the E with an 8-second period. Energy is only 111, so it’s weak, but clean. You might find a crumbly one. Saturday the 22nd afternoon is also glassy with 3ft – again, not great, but at least it’s clean. But these are barely worth the paddle.

From the 23rd to the 28th, we’re in a flat spell. Swell drops to 2ft to 3ft with energy bottoming out at 31. No swell, no fun.

Then on the 29th, a slight pulse arrives. Swell jumps to 5ft to 5ft from the NE with the energy pushing up to 155 and then 223 on the Saturday afternoon. But it’s short-period (6-7 seconds) and the wind is light cross-onshore, so it’ll be lumpy. It’s the most size we’ve seen, but the quality won’t be there. Sunday the 30th morning offers another glassy window with 4ft of NE swell, but again, short period and only 132 energy.

The real problem is the direction and period are all wrong for this point break. It wants ENE long-period groundswell, and it's getting NE short-period windswell. Even with the extra size, it’s likely to close out and be messy.

Honestly, with those 19-31 km/h winds and choppy seas, it might be a better week for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The only windows I’d even consider are the glassy mornings on the 21st, 24th, and 30th, but even then, you’ll be scratching for a wave. The long-range stuff on the 29th and 30th is a bit more promising, but treat it as a “maybe” – it’s too far out to trust.

That’s it from me. Hang tight, and don’t bother rushing out.

Rusty.

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