
Surf Forecasts:
Black Rocks surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,100 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Black Rocks this week:
The surf forecast for Black Rocks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Black Rocks in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Black Rocks over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your wettie, we’re dialling into this one. Let’s talk about Black Rocks.
First up, that water temp is sitting at 58.5°, which is a touch under a degree and a half cooler than average for this time of year – nothing wild, just a bit of a bite to it. You’ll want the booties if you’re spending a session out there.
Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first real call is Friday afternoon, the 17th of July. It’s not a world-beater, but it’s a solid starting point. Swell is 5 feet out of the SW with a 10-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the WSW. That’s clean. The combined energy is moderate (448). The waves will have some shape, but it’s an inconsistent break, so you’ll be waiting for the sets. It’s an advanced spot, and it is often crowded, so expect company.
Moving into Saturday morning the 18th, the swell drops a touch to 4 feet, still SW, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW. Still clean. The energy picks up a bit (531). Saturday afternoon sees a little more size at 4.3 feet, but the wind freshens to a moderate cross-off, and the energy is stronger (615). It’s rideable, but not as clean as the morning.
Sunday the 19th is a mixed bag. Morning is lumpy with a cross-off breeze and 4.3 feet swell, but the period jumps to 12 seconds. That’s a nice groundswell, but the wind is a bit chunky (596 energy). The real highlight on Sunday is the afternoon: 5.2 feet SW swell, 11-second period, and a cross-off wind from the south. The energy is solid (601). That’s the best of the weekend.
Now, Monday morning the 20th – glassy. Dead calm, 4.3 feet SSW swell, 9-second period. The energy is a bit weaker (356), but with zero wind, it’s going to be smooth as silk. This is a solid window for the more experienced surfer who wants clean lines.
The standout window of the whole run is Tuesday the 21st. Morning starts with glassy conditions, some clouds, 4.3 feet SSW swell, and a very long 14-second period. The energy is pumping (671). That’s a proper groundswell. This reef will handle that long period beautifully. The afternoon is even better: 6.2 feet SW swell, 14-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the west. The energy is strong (1285). This is the pick of the trip. The waves will have serious push and shape. It’s an advanced spot, so this is for the crew who can handle it.
Wednesday the 22nd gets messy. The morning is a write-off with 22 mph cross-off winds and rain. The swell is still 6.2 feet, but the wind is howling. The afternoon has 6.9 feet swell and a fresh offshore from the WNW, but the wind is still strong (19 mph). It’s clean, but it’s pushing hard. This is borderline for experts only.
Thursday the 23rd is a step down. Wind is moderate cross-off, swell drops to 5.9 feet, and the energy is good (847), but it’s not the same quality as Tuesday.
Friday the 24th of July – the swell jumps to a solid 10 feet out of the SW, with a 15-second period. That’s a significant groundswell, and the energy is very strong (3432). The problem is the wind is cross-on from the SE. It’s going to be lumpy and tough. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, it looks more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session. The morning is a little better than the afternoon, which is blowing up with 12 mph winds (4313 energy).
Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are blown out. Strong to gale-force cross-onshore winds, big messy swell. Saturday has 7.5 feet and 5.2 feet, but the wind is brutal. Sunday is a monster: 14.8 feet and 11.5 feet swells with near gale winds. Stay out of the water.
Monday the 27th of July is interesting. The morning is a marginal 5.9 feet with a light onshore breeze. But the afternoon – that’s a gem. Glassy conditions, 4.9 feet SSW swell, and a very long 16-second period. The energy is strong (1850). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The sets will be clean, powerful, and long. This is a serious late-period highlight.
The tail end of the run, from Tuesday the 28th through to the 1st of August, fades out. Swell drops to 4.6 feet and below, wind becomes cross-off or cross-on, and the energy drops. There are some clean windows on the 29th and 30th mornings with small SW swell and long periods, but the size is too small for anything exciting.
Overall, the best on offer is Tuesday the 21st of July – that combination of 6.2 feet SW groundswell, 14-second period, and offshore wind is a winner. The second standout is Monday afternoon
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SSW 9 | SW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
442 | 303 | 246 | 272 | 416 | 494 | 553 | 569 | 233 | 127 | 209 | 607 | 1255 | 1610 | 1210 | 1290 | 1111 | 840 | 520 | 5100 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 5:38PM1.59m | 5:54AM1.39m | 6:19PM1.52m | 6:36AM1.28m | 7:00PM1.42m | 7:21AM1.17m | 7:44PM1.31m | 8:12AM1.07m | 8:35PM1.19m | 9:19AM1.00m | 9:42PM1.11m | 10:47AM0.97m | 11:05PM1.08m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:55PM0.16m | 12:00PM0.15m | 00:39AM0.24m | 12:39PM0.27m | 1:24AM0.34m | 1:20PM0.39m | 2:13AM0.43m | 2:07PM0.50m | 3:13AM0.51m | 3:11PM0.60m | 4:33AM0.55m | 4:45PM0.64m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | |
5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SSW 9 | SW 8 | SW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 17 |
442 | 303 | 246 | 272 | 416 | 494 | 553 | 569 | 233 | 98 | 175 | 607 | 1255 | 1610 | 1210 | 1290 | 1111 | 840 | 520 | 5100 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | SW 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | W 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SSW 15 | S 7 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 13 | SW 12 | ESE 12 |
4 | 79 | 132 | 227 | 162 | 102 | 48 | 46 | 123 | 127 | 209 | 22 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 175 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | S 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | SE 10 | W 10 | S 8 | S 7 | SE 11 | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | — |
2 | 25 | 153 | 116 | 151 | 82 | 52 | 15 | 66 | 63 | 24 | 42 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 242 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | — | NW 3 | NNW 5 | — |
— | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 16 | 77 | — | 2 | 2 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 168 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Town | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Black Rocks Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Black Rocks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Black Rocks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Black Rocks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Black Rocks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Black Rocks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Cape Town? If you are looking for accommodation near Black Rocks, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Cape Town, consider staying in Cape Town which is 40 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Cape Town where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Bellville which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Stellenbosch, Grabouw and Kayamnandi.










