Black Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way. This is all about Black Rocks, a reef break for the advanced crew. It’s a bit of a quirky spot, inconsistent as it gets, but when the stars align, it can fire. The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is pretty much right where it should be for this time of year, nothing wild to report there.

Alright, the outlook kicks off on Wednesday, July 8th, and we’ve got a real mixed bag. Wednesday morning is the only true shining moment in the near term. We’re looking at a solid 6ft swell out of the southwest, with a long period of 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy, carrying a hefty combined energy reading of 1946. The wind is a light northwesterly, making it cross-offshore and keeping the surface clean. This is the standout for the first week, no doubt. It’s got that deep, powerful feel, but it’s only for experienced surfers at 6ft.

Then, the wheels fall off. From Wednesday afternoon all the way through to Tuesday, July 14th, it’s pretty grim. The wind swings around to the southeast and cranks up, smashing the waves with strong cross-onshore winds. The swell stays around 5ft to 8ft but it’s just messy, lumpy, and blown out. There’s a brief moment on Sunday, July 12th, where the wind drops and the swell dips to 6ft, but it’s a short-period 7-second swell, so it’s all chop and no shape. Not worth paddling out for.

Things get interesting again further out. On Wednesday, July 15th, the wind turns offshore from the west, but the swell is tiny, only 1ft to 3ft. It’s clean, but there’s just nothing to ride.

Now, here’s the big one to watch. Thursday, July 16th, the forecast is showing a serious pulse. A 10ft southwest swell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is massive at 4079 by the afternoon. The wind is clean cross-offshore. That’s a heavy, powerful day and strictly for experts. It’s still over a week away, so it’s promising but not locked in.

Saturday, July 18th, is another one to keep an eye on. The afternoon session shows a 7ft southwest swell with a 12-second period, glassy conditions with a light offshore from the west. That’s clean and lined up, a real gem if the forecast holds.

After that, the swell fades into the 4ft to 5ft range with clean winds, but the energy drops off. By Tuesday, July 21st, it’s back to cross-onshore chop again.

So, looking at the whole 16 days, there’s a big gap of poor conditions from Wednesday afternoon through to Tuesday. The real standout is that Wednesday, July 8th morning session for a solid, clean, powerful swell. The other one to circle on the calendar is Saturday, July 18th afternoon, with glassy conditions. The 10ft day on July 16th is for the brave and skilled only.

Just remember, Black Rocks is inconsistent, so don’t expect these windows to last long. Keep your eyes on that wind.

Rusty.

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