Black Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about this 16-day window for Black Rocks. It’s a reef break that’s pretty exposed to the swell, but it’s also an advanced-only spot that’s inconsistent, so we’re not just gonna get waves rolling in every day. Gotta be picky.

Right now, the first bit of the forecast is a bit of a write-off. We’re looking at Wednesday the 9th and it’s a no-go with a small 3 ft SW swell getting mangled by a 12 mph cross wind. The water’s sitting at 59°, which is about normal for this time of year.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are a mess. The swell jumps up to 7 ft on Thursday, but the wind is a strong cross-shore, making it ugly. Friday the 11th is even worse – the wind hits 37 mph on the afternoon, turning that 10 ft into a total blown-out nightmare. Combined energy is spiking to 1214 then, but it’s all for nothing.

Saturday the 12th is also a lost cause. The swell is there, with a 7 ft SW groundswell and a massive combined energy of 4043 on the afternoon, but we’ve got near-gale cross-onshore winds. This is more of a kite session than a paddle session.

Now, hang on, because Sunday the 13th morning is the one true standout in this whole forecast. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the SE. The swell is a solid 5 ft from the SW with a 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy (combined energy of 2151). This is going to be clean and powerful at Black Rocks. For an advanced break like this, it’s the best on offer. The tide might be a factor, but the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers who know the reef. Expect crowds are possible here.

After that, it’s a long dry spell. Sunday afternoon the wind picks up, and from Monday the 14th all the way through Thursday the 17th, we’ve got strong winds and messy conditions. The swell is still around, but the wind just ruins it. On the 15th, we get a clean 5 ft SW swell, but it’s blown out by a 28 mph cross-offshore wind. Frustrating.

We finally get another window on Sunday the 20th. The afternoon shows a clean 6 ft SW swell with a 16 mph offshore wind from the west. That’s a good sign, with combined energy of 1038. It’s looking very good for experienced surfers.

Monday the 21st is the second best call. The morning has a 8 ft SSE swell with a 16 mph offshore wind. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit more walled up, but it’s clean and powerful. Combined energy is 1345. This is for the advanced crew only.

The rest of the forecast after that is a mess again. The wind swings onshore and gets strong, with a gale on the 23rd. The last day, Thursday the 24th, has a clean 3 ft SW swell, but it’s not really worth the paddle.

So, to wrap it up: the best swell on offer is the glassy morning of Sunday the 13th. It’s the cleanest window we’ve got. The offshore days on the 20th and 21st are also promising, but less certain this far out. Don’t expect much else.

Rusty.

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