
Surf Forecasts:
Black Rocks surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 2,763 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 22 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Black Rocks this week:
The surf forecast for Black Rocks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Black Rocks in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 13s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Tue 22nd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Black Rocks over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Black Rocks over the next couple weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—this ain’t a pretty outlook for the locals. Black Rocks is an advanced reef setup, and for the first week and a bit, the wind’s got it pretty much locked up. From Wednesday the 16th through to Monday the 21st, it’s a grim run: fresh to near gale cross-onshore winds every day, lumpy, blown out, and just no fun. Swell’s anywhere from 4 ft to 7 ft from the SSW and SW, but the energy’s moderate to strong (762 to 1682), which means there’s grunt, but the conditions are pure rubbish. No scores worth mentioning. This is a full week of no-go.
Now, there’s a little glimmer on Tuesday the 22nd. The morning brings offshore wind from the west at only 3 mph, with the swell droppin’ to 3 ft from the SW, period of 11 seconds, and weak wave energy (277). It’s clean—proper clean. The afternoon stays offshore with a gentle breeze and 2 ft SW swell, period 12 seconds. It’s small, not a standout for power, but if you’re jonesin’ for a paddle, this is the cleanest window in the whole forecast. Surfable little waves for the advanced crew.
But the good stuff doesn’t last. Wednesday the 23rd kicks back into moderate cross-shore and near gale cross-onshore, tiny surf, and poor conditions. Then Thursday the 24th throws a spike: SSW swell building to 7 ft on the morning, period 13 seconds, and strong energy (1617 and 2103), but the wind is howlin’ onshore from the ESE at 31–37 mph. It’s a write-off for paddle surfing—this kinda setup in a reef break with that wind is more kite territory than a clean wave.
Friday the 25th shows a slight improvement by the afternoon: cross-off wind from the SSW at 12 mph, 5 ft SW swell, period 12 seconds, and moderate energy (685). It’s clean-ish, but only marginal. The rest of the run into late September and early October is plagued by cross-onshore winds, lumpy chop, and tiny or blown-out surf. The last chance might be Wednesday the 30th afternoon, with 2 ft SW swell, period 13 seconds, offshore wind from the WNW at 19 mph, and clean conditions, but the energy’s weak (199). Not worth a special trip.
So, the highlight? Tuesday the 22nd is your best bet—tiny but clean. Later on, Friday the 25th afternoon offers a small window of clean-ish conditions. Nothing here is a standout in the true sense; it’s more about pickin’ the least bad day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the SSW on Tue night, near gales from the SE by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SE on Sat afternoon, moderate winds from the SE by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SSW 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2546 | 676 | 1129 | 1259 | 939 | 661 | 563 | 534 | 653 | 593 | 409 | 650 | 1363 | 1006 | 649 | 486 | 367 | 303 | 254 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 5:48AM1.25m | 5:59PM1.27m | 6:21AM1.13m | 6:34PM1.13m | 7:06AM1.01m | 7:26PM1.01m | 8:42AM0.91m | 9:33PM0.93m | 11:22AM0.95m | 11:39PM0.99m | 12:27PM1.07m | 00:35AM1.10m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:43PM0.28m | 11:47AM0.38m | 00:14AM0.41m | 12:18PM0.50m | 00:52AM0.53m | 1:00PM0.63m | 1:59AM0.64m | 2:48PM0.73m | 4:46AM0.66m | 5:46PM0.68m | 6:12AM0.56m | 6:42PM0.56m | |||||||
— | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
6:37 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:40 | — | |
mm | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
2546 | 628 | 1129 | 1259 | 939 | 661 | 563 | 534 | 653 | 593 | 409 | 650 | 1363 | 1006 | 649 | 486 | 367 | 303 | 254 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | W 13 | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SE 6 |
239 | 378 | 187 | 408 | — | — | — | — | 31 | 91 | 136 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 51 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 9 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 |
— | 676 | 155 | 450 | 286 | 346 | 239 | 228 | 390 | 228 | 228 | 501 | 341 | 286 | 310 | 187 | 149 | 154 | 145 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 336 | 219 | 38 | 399 | 918 | 35 | 43 | 2002 | 56 | 56 | 219 | 38 | 35 | 399 | 35 | 22 | 23 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Town | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Black Rocks Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Black Rocks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Black Rocks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Black Rocks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Black Rocks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Black Rocks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Cape Town? If you are looking for accommodation near Black Rocks, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Cape Town, consider staying in Cape Town which is 40 km (25 miles) away. Other places in and around Cape Town where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Bellville which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Stellenbosch, Grabouw and Kayamnandi.










