Black Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look ahead.

We’ve got a tricky one on our hands. The first real chance of a surfable wave isn’t until Wednesday the 29th of July, and even then it’s not a classic. There’s a long gap of nothing but wind and chop before that. The water temperature is sitting at 60°, which is about average for this time of year, so won't need the thickest rubber.

The standout moment in this whole 16-day window is a very specific window on Wednesday afternoon, the 29th. Black Rocks is an inconsistent, expert-level reef break, and when it turns on, it’s a different beast. That afternoon, the swell will be a clean 5ft from the SW with a 13-second period. The wind goes light and cross-offshore from the SSW, which will have the place looking like glass. This is the best it’s going to get, but remember, it’s an advanced wave. The combined swell energy is moderate (787).

Leading up to that, Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th are a write-off. The 27th shows a 8ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period, but you can forget it – the wind is screaming from the SE at 22-31 mph, turning the ocean into a washing machine with near gale force cross-onshore conditions (combined energy of 3457-3694). That’s too big and blown out for anyone.

The wind lays off on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-on breeze, but the afternoon sees a 4ft SW swell with a cross-off wind from the WSW. It’s clean, but the size is on the small side for this powerful reef.

The next little moment is on the 7th of August. Friday morning has a 4ft SW swell, and the wind goes completely glassy (0 mph from NNW). For a reef that needs it clean, this is a rare, special call. Combined energy is weak (372) but the conditions will be perfect.

The long-range window around the 10th of August is interesting but a gamble. It’s showing a 6ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period, but the wind is a fresh to strong cross-offshore breeze. The swell has some grunt (combined energy of 1788), but those winds are going to make the paddle-out a mission.

So, the bottom line: it’s a patchy outlook. You’ve got one perfect afternoon on the 29th, a clean but small window on the 1st of August, and a glassy morning on the 7th. For a break that’s rarely working and always a bit fickle, you take the good days when they come. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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