The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight up about this one. The outlook for The Boiler is pretty grim. We're looking at a long, long stretch of poor surf conditions stretching all the way through the 16-day forecast. There's no standout session, no hidden gem, no reason to get excited. It's a flat and frustrating run.

The water is running exceptionally warm, about 5° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's a very notable anomaly, so expect it to feel like bathwater.

The only surfable energy in the whole period comes on the morning of Sunday, July 5th. It's an ordinary wave, honestly. Swell is a weak 3 ft from the W at a short 6 seconds period, giving us a paltry combined energy of just 72. It's small and weak. The wind is a light 9 mph cross-offshore, keeping it clean, making it the best of a very bad bunch, which isn't saying much. For a beginner, this is about as small as it gets. That's it. One morning.

After that, it's a wasteland. We go from that Sunday right through to the end of the forecast on July 19th with nothing but poor conditions. The swell drops to tiny 1 ft junk, with short periods and mostly cross or onshore winds chopping it up. The combined energy figures are pathetic, mostly in the low double digits, like 22 on July 7th, 15 on the 9th, and bottoming out at a truly miserable 4 on July 19th. There are a few glassy moments early on July 11th and again on the 15th, but with no swell to push through, it's just a lake.

Given how consistently poor it is with no signs of life, this is a tough one for the area. The Boiler is an inconsistent reef break anyway, and this forecast is a stark reminder. For paddle surfing, there's just nothing to work with. The only thing worth noting is that with the stronger winds and tiny, choppy conditions, this setup might look more interesting for a kite surfer than anyone on a surfboard.

Stay patient, keep the board waxed, and hope the long-range models change their tune. Rusty.

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