The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming in the next couple of weeks for you.

First up, it’s a rough start. Honestly, for the first week or so, there’s nothing much going on. The Boiler (reef) is inconsistent at the best of times, and right now it’s just flat or messy. The water’s sitting at a very unusual 69°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. Through the end of July and into the first few days of August, we’ve got a mix of cross-shore and cross-onshore winds with tiny, short-period windswell. The combined energy barely gets into double digits most days, peaking around 243 on the 26th July, but with a 19 mph cross-offshore wind and a short 7-second period, it’s just not worth paddling out.

There’s a long gap here with no real recommendation. From the 26th July right up until the morning of Sunday, 2nd August, it’s all poor surf conditions. That’s about a week of nothing.

But then, Sunday morning the 2nd of August gives us a faint glimmer. The wind goes glassy – dead calm – with a 3ft swell from the WSW, and a longer 10-second period. The combined energy jumps to 163, which is moderate. It’s just about surfable, but the wave comment is “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions”, so it’s not a standout. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-onshore breeze, so the window is tight.

After that, we slide back into a run of poor surf through to the 6th of August. There are a few cleaner moments in between, but the swell is tiny. The 6th August afternoon offers a 5ft SW swell with a clean cross-offshore wind, combined energy 135, but still a short 6-second period.

Now, here’s the only real standout in the whole 16-day window: Friday morning, 7th August. An 8ft swell from the WSW with a 9-second period and moderate cross-shore wind. The combined energy is massive – 1256 – strong to very strong wave energy. That’s a solid winter swell, but it’s big. Over 8ft means it’s strictly for experienced surfers only, and with a period of 9 seconds it’s not the cleanest groundswell. The Boiler is a reef, so it might handle that size, but the wind is cross-shore, which will mess up the face. Conditions are marginal, and the afternoon gets trashed by 25 mph rain and strong cross-onshore winds. So if you’re an expert, that Friday morning window might be your one shot, but it’s not clean.

Through the rest of the second week, it’s all small and mostly clean but unrideable. Winds turn offshore at times on the 8th and 9th August, but the swell drops away to under 3ft. Combined energy sits around 21 to 138, just not enough push for a proper session.

Bottom line: this is a grim two weeks for The Boiler. The reef is inconsistent and rarely breaks clean anyway, and the forecasts are showing mostly weak, short-period junk. The only chance for experienced crew is that Friday 7th August morning, and even then it’s marginal. Nobody’s getting a classic session here.

Stay patient, forecasts can change. But right now, this spot is best left alone.

Rusty

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