The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for The Boiler.

To be straight up with you, the outlook over the next 16 days is pretty grim. We’re looking at a long, flat stretch with barely any surf to speak of. The first recommendation pops up on Monday the 3rd of August, but honestly, it’s a tough one to get excited about. The whole run is a series of poor surf conditions, and there’s no standout window worth paddling out for. We’ve got a couple of windows with some energy, but the wind and quality just aren’t there. Expect a lot of waiting.

Let’s break it down. Monday the 3rd starts off small with swell around 3ft from the WSW, but the wind is a cross-onshore SE breeze at 12 mph, so it’s choppy and messy. The combined energy is weak at 84. That afternoon the wind switches to a cross-shore from the W at 9 mph, but the swell drops to 2ft. Still no good. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 7° above average, so it’s a weird one.

Tuesday the 4th sees a slight bump in swell to 3ft on the morning, with cross-onshore SW wind at 12 mph. The combined energy picks up to 154, but it’s still choppy and poor. The afternoon gets a bit more wind from the SW at 16 mph, with a 4ft swell – still not clean.

Wednesday the 5th is the biggest we get, with swell hitting 6ft from the WSW, but it’s accompanied by a fresh cross-shore wind at 22 mph. That’s lumpy, messy, and not fun for paddling. Combined energy sits at 310, so there’s some juice, but the quality is a write-off. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Thursday the 6th offers a small window of cleaner conditions in the morning with a cross-offshore WNW wind at 12 mph and a 4ft swell, but the combined energy is only 131. The afternoon turns lumpy again with a cross-shore W wind at 19 mph. It’s a tease, but not worth a session.

From Friday the 7th onwards, it’s a slow decline into tiny, weak surf. By Saturday the 8th, the swell drops to 0.3ft, and while we get a glassy moment on Sunday the 9th afternoon with a NW wind at 3 mph and a 2ft swell, the combined energy is a pitiful 47. The rest of the week and into the second week is flat, with the occasional 1.0ft to 2ft bump but never with good enough conditions. The last chance is Sunday the 16th morning with a clean offshore NNW wind at 9 mph and a 2ft swell, but that’s a long way off and still tiny.

The Boiler is an inconsistent reef break that needs a proper SW swell and clean winds to fire. This run has none of that. If you’re desperate, the Thursday morning on the 6th is the closest to being rideable, but it’s far from a standout. Otherwise, it’s a blank spell that looks normal for the area.

Rusty.

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