The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve had a good look at the charts for The Boiler and, honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. This is one of those runs where you might as well leave the boards in the bag. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but there’s no proper surf to get excited about – just a whole lot of nothing. For a spot that’s already known as inconsistent, this is a particularly quiet spell. The combined swell energy barely ever gets into three digits, hanging mostly in the weak range (under 100), which tells you all you need to know.

We kick off Friday the 14th of August with a tiny 2ft swell from the WSW, period at 9 seconds. The wind is a cross W at 18 mph, so the surface is already messy. Combined energy is a weak 84. It stays like this all day, going to 2ft in the afternoon with more cross-shore wind, energy dropping to 78. Not worth paddling out.

Saturday the 15th is clean – the wind goes offshore from the NNW at 12 mph, and the surface is glassy – but the swell is just 2ft with a short 8-second period. Energy is only 41. It’s a pretty sight, but no power. Sunday morning is glassy again, but you’re looking at 1ft with a 7-second period and energy of 18. You’d struggle to get a ride.

Monday the 17th is the closest thing to a highlight, and that’s not saying much. The early morning has glassy conditions – a SW wind at 3 mph – but the swell is a pathetic 1ft with a 4-second period. Combined energy is 11. You’d be waiting forever for a knee-high dribble.

From Tuesday the 18th, the swell pushes up a little – around 2ft to 4ft – but the wind goes cross-shore or cross-onshore, with speeds up to 18 mph. It gets lumpy and choppy. Tuesday morning has a 4ft swell with 6-second period, energy at 96, but the wind is a messy cross. Not clean, not organised. By Thursday the 20th, energy climbs to 130 with a 4ft swell, but it’s blown out by a fresh cross-shore wind.

Friday the 21st gives a brief moment: a 3ft swell, 6-second period, and clean with a light NNW cross-offshore breeze. Energy is 97. The notes say “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” and a score of 1 out of 10. That’s the only session in the whole run you could even consider, and you’d be settling for very average stuff.

After that, it fades fast. The rest of the month sees swells dropping to 0.3ft to 1ft, with some long-period energy from the SW (14 seconds) but utterly tiny. The wind turns offshore again on the 22nd and 23rd, but the swell is too small to do anything with. By the time you hit the 27th of August, the swell bumps up to 3ft with a 9-second period and energy of 162 – moderate energy, finally – but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it choppy. The 28th is onshore and messy.

So, what’s the verdict? The only sniff of a wave is Friday the 21st of August in the morning at The Boiler, with a 3ft swell from the W, a 6-second period, and clean offshore-ish wind. It’s small and short period, so don’t expect much shape, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. Everywhere else, it’s flat or blown out. For a reef break that’s inconsistent anyway, a blank run like this is pretty normal for the area. Keep an eye on the forecasts – things change.

Rusty.

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