The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day stretch for The Boiler is a real tough one. We’ve got a massive gap of nothing but tiny, poor surf stretching from now all the way through to the start of August. The first few days are a write-off, with wave heights barely scraping 1 ft to 5 ft and cross-shore winds chopping everything up. The combined energy is pathetically low, often in the single digits (4 to 192). The water is a balmy 69°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, like swimming in a warm bath, but it won’t make up for the lack of waves. You’re looking at a solid week and a half of flat, grovelly conditions.

Saturday the 25th kicks off with a 1 ft W windswell and a 4-second period, blown out by a 12 mph cross-off wind. The afternoon is worse. Sunday the 26th brings a slight bump to 4 ft but with a 16 mph cross-off, it’s still messy. This pattern repeats day after day – tiny swell, bad wind. Monday the 27th has a 3 ft swell (68 combined energy), but it’s still cross-shore and weak. The 28th and 29th are even smaller, with barely a ripple. Thursday the 30th offers a 3 ft swell (45 combined energy), but again, cross-shore winds ruin it.

Finally, we get a glimmer on Friday the 31st. The morning glass off with a 2 ft W swell (33 combined energy) is the best we’ll see for a while – clean, but still tiny. The afternoon goes back to junk. Saturday the 1st of August has a 0.7 ft swell but with a 6 mph offshore wind, it’s clean but laughably small. Sunday the 2nd is the same story.

Now, here’s the one true standout, and it’s a week and a half away. Tuesday the 4th of August, morning. The Boiler will see a 3 ft SW swell with a 8-second period. The combined energy finally hits triple digits at 104 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a clean 12 mph offshore from the N, and the report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” For a break that’s generally inconsistent, this is the only window where you might get a few ridable, clean waves. The swell direction (SW) is right on the optimum for this spot. It’s not big, but after this long flat spell, it’s the best we’ve got. The afternoon is smaller and cleaner but weaker.

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak swells with cross-off or cross-shore winds through the 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th, and 9th. Nothing else worth paddling for. The crowds at The Boiler are described as “sometimes,” so if you do head out on the 4th, you might have a few others with the same idea.

This is a rough run, folks. The only real shot at anything is that Tuesday morning. Keep your expectations in the gutter.

Rusty.

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