The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

The forecast over the next 16 days is a pretty quiet run for this area—there’s not much to get excited about, especially in the first week. We’re looking at a solid gap of poor or marginal conditions for days on end. The one real opportunity sits way out there on Thursday the 17th, and that’s where we’ll focus.

It’s a challenging start. Wednesday 2nd kicks off with a bumpy 3ft WSW windswell at 6 seconds, and that’s made nasty by a 16 mph onshore southerly. The combined energy is weak, only 80. Thursday and Friday aren’t much better; we see some size bumping to 5ft on Thursday afternoon, but the wind is messy cross-onshore and the period stays short. Friday morning on the 4th might be the first sign of something cleaner—6ft WSW swell at 8 seconds with light cross-offshore WNW winds, and the water’s clean. That’s a marginal call though, and the rating is poor overall.

Saturday the 5th morning actually has a clean window: 3ft from the west, 7 seconds, with a slight offshore breeze from the WNW (3 mph). The energy is low at 104, and it’s not much to write home about, but it’s at least surfable. That little burst is gone by the afternoon as the wind swings and the swell drops.

Then we hit a real lull. From Saturday afternoon all the way through to Monday the 14th, the surf is mostly tiny, weak, and chopped up by onshore or cross-shore breezes. There are pockets of clean water, like Monday the 7th morning when a 13-second groundswell hits around 3ft with a 12 mph cross-offshore from the WNW—the energy is moderate at 391—but the wind is just enough to ruin it, and the rating stays marginal. Nothing’s really clicking.

Now, the standout. On Thursday the 17th of September, in the morning, we finally get something solid. The Boiler picks up a 4ft swell from the WSW with a solid 11-second period, and the wind is dead calm—glassy, glassy conditions. The combined energy is strong at 353. This is the best window in the whole 16-day run. The swell direction (WSW) lines up with the optimum for this spot, and with the glassy surface, the reef should offer clean, well-shaped lines.

A couple things to keep in mind: The Boiler is a reef break that’s rated as inconsistent and only for intermediate surfers, so don’t expect a party wave every set. Also, it can get crowded sometimes, so if you’re out there on the 17th, keep your head on a swivel. That 4ft swell is manageable for confident surfers, not too big for intermediates, and with light airs it’s prime.

Overall, this forecast is slim pickings. There’s a long dry spell from the first few days until the 17th, but if you can wait, that Thursday morning is your shot. For this area, a blank run like this is pretty normal in these conditions—forecasts can change, but for now, be patient.

Rusty.

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