The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's be straight with you – the outlook for The Boiler over the next 16 days is a pretty grim one. We're looking at a long stretch of poor conditions, with no real standouts worth paddling out for. The first decent window doesn't even show up until Thursday the 6th of August, and even then, it's only barely surfable. There's a massive gap of nothing but poor surf right from the start.

The Boiler (a reef setup) is inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast is a classic example of that. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Right from Saturday the 1st of August, we're in trouble. A tiny 1 ft swell from the WSW with a period of 10 seconds is on offer, but the wave energy is pitiful at just 31. The wind is a cross-off, but the waves are just too weak to do anything with. It's a clear "poor surf conditions" call.

Sunday the 2nd is even worse. The swell drops to a weak 1 ft with an 8-second period, and the energy is a measly 13. Sunday afternoon goes glassy, but with no swell to speak of, it's just a flat, pretty lake.

Monday the 3rd sees a tiny bump to 3 ft from the WSW, with a 9-second period and energy of 86. Still, the wind is a cross-on, making it choppy and messy. Not worth it.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are a write-off. Onshore winds and building chop, with the swell only reaching 4 ft by Wednesday arvo, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the energy is moderate at 135. The wind is howling at 16 mph, making it a complete mess.

Then we hit Thursday the 6th of August. This is the only day that's even close to worth a look. The morning brings a clean 4 ft swell from the WSW with a 7-second period, and the energy is moderate at 102. The wind is a light cross-off from the NW, making it clean. The report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." It's not great, but it's the best we've got. The afternoon goes back to poor.

After that, it's back to tiny, weak swells for the rest of the period. Friday the 7th has a 0.7 ft swell with offshore wind, but the energy is a pathetic 6. The weekend of the 8th and 9th is glassy but flat. The following week sees a few pulses of moderate energy, like on Tuesday the 11th of August arvo with a 4 ft swell and 220 energy, but the wind is a messy cross-shore, so it's still poor.

The last few days are a complete loss. Strong winds, onshore, and tiny swells. The Boiler is not for the faint-hearted in conditions like this, and honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on many of these days, given the strong cross-shore winds and poor wave quality.

Keep an eye on the charts, but for now, I'd save the petrol. This is a classic blank run for the area.

Rusty.

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