The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the outlook for The Boiler. Gotta be straight with you—this is a tough stretch. The whole 16-day window is a total write-off. There’s no surf on offer here worth paddling out for. Not a single day, not a single session. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak, and the conditions just aren’t lining up.

Let’s walk through it. We start Friday, July 31st, with a clean little 2ft swell from the west with a 5-second period—that’s barely a ripple. The combined energy is a measly 15, and it’s described as “poor surf conditions.” No score to speak of. The wind is offshore in the morning, but the swell is so small it’s not worth the wax. The water temperature is 67°F, which is a massive 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s very unusual.

The whole first week is a bust. Saturday, August 1st, you get a bump in energy to 38, but it’s still only 2ft and the wind is cross-off. Sunday the 2nd goes glassy in the afternoon with a 1ft swell, but the wave comment is still poor. Monday the 3rd sees the energy climb to 68 and 90, but the swell height maxes out at 3ft and the wind is messy. It’s all cross-shore or onshore chop. The wind state descriptions are all “gentle cross-onshore,” “light cross-shore,” or “moderate cross-onshore and choppy.” Not a single session that’s clean and rideable.

The second week is no better. From August 5th to the 15th, the swell never gets above 3ft, and most of the time it’s around 1ft to 2ft. The period is short—mostly 6 to 9 seconds. The combined energy peaks at 91 on the 14th, but that’s still low. The wind is either cross-on, ominous onshore, or just cross. The wave comment on every single record is “poor surf conditions.” The best you get is a “gentle offshore and clean” on the morning of the 5th, but the swell is 2ft with a 7-second period—not enough to surf.

Between August 7th and 10th, the energy drops to single digits and low teens—5, 8, 13, 14. It’s dead. The last few days, from the 11th to the 15th, the energy hovers between 35 and 91, but the swell is still tiny and the wind is inconsistent. The afternoon of the 15th has a 3ft swell from the west, but the wind is cross and the period is a weak 6 seconds.

So, what’s the best on offer? Honestly, there isn’t one. There’s no standout. The only time you might even consider it is the glassy afternoon of Sunday, August 2nd, with the 1ft swell and 8-second period, but that’s a knee-high dribbler at best. The combined energy was 16—weak. It’s not surfable.

The Boiler is an inconsistent reef break, and this run shows why. When the swell is this small and the wind is this variable, it just doesn’t work. The offshore wind direction for the break is from the south-west, and the swell is coming from the west or south-west, so the direction is fine, but there’s just no power.

This is a blank run. It’s a 16-day dead period. No recommendations, no options. You’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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