The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, because I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this 16-day window is a tough one for us. The Boiler’s looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak swell and iffy winds. We’re talking a full week of nothing worth paddling out for, honestly. The combined energy of all swells directed here barely cracks two digits most days, often sitting below 30 (12-119 range), which is about as anemic as it gets. You’ll be waiting a long time for anything to roll through.

The first real pulse, if you can call it that, arrives on Saturday, August 1st. The morning shows a light WNW cross-off breeze with clean conditions, but the swell is a pathetic 1.0 ft from the WSW. The period is long at 10 seconds, which is a groundswell, but it’s so small it’s barely a ripple. That afternoon, the wind kicks up to a cross-shore 16 mph, and the swell bumps to 3 ft. The combined energy hits 119, which is still weak, but it’s the biggest number we’ll see for a while. Not a standout, but it’s the best of a bad bunch.

Sunday, August 2nd, offers a weird moment. The afternoon goes glassy, with a light ESE breeze and clean conditions. The swell is still tiny at 1.0 ft, and the energy is only 14. It’s a flat, glassy pond, not surfable.

Then we hit a dead zone. From Monday, August 3rd, all the way through to Monday, August 10th, the swell barely moves above 1 ft, and the combined energy stays in the single digits or low teens. There’s a tiny spike on Monday afternoon, August 3rd, with a moderate offshore wind from the NNW and a 1 ft SW swell, but it’s negligible. The rest is a mix of cross-shore breezes and tiny, weak waves. Not worth the drive.

The only glimmer in the entire 16-day forecast comes right at the very end. On Tuesday, August 11th, the morning is glassy with a 2 ft swell from the west. The period is short at 5 seconds, but it’s clean. The afternoon is even better with a light cross-offshore wind and a 2 ft swell. The combined energy is 20 – still weak, but it’s the cleanest, most consistent window we’ve seen in weeks. For a spot that’s *inconsistent* at the best of times, this is the one to circle. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no shock there.

So, my honest take: The Boiler is a reef break that needs a proper SW swell to work, and we’re not getting it. The best bet is Tuesday, August 11th for a clean, tiny session on the glassy morning or the light offshore afternoon. It’s not a day for heroes, but it’s the only day that’s not a total write-off. Everything else is a flat spell. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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