The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s quiet. Real quiet. The Boiler is the only show in town, and even then, it’s a tough watch. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing much until the second week of August, so patience is going to be key.

The Boiler is a reef break that’s inconsistent at the best of times, and it’s not a spot you’d normally call ‘reliable’. For the first week and a bit, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell. The water temperature is sitting at 69°, which is a massive 9° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a real standout – it’s much warmer than you’d expect, so you can get away with a thinner suit.

From Tuesday 28 July right through to Sunday 09 August, the swell is barely a whisper. Heights are mostly below 2 ft, with periods short and energy weak. The wind is generally a problem, too – cross-on or cross, with some moderate breezes making it choppy. There are a few cleaner moments, like Thursday 30 July morning with a cross-off breeze and Saturday 01 August morning also clean, but the swell is just too small to do anything with. The combined energy is often in the low double digits (like 33, 24, 12), which is weak.

The real glimmer comes on Monday 10 August morning. We get a jump in energy to 156 (moderate), with a 3 ft swell from the WSW. Problem is, the wind is howling from the WSW at 22 mph, fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy. Not a paddle-friendly prospect. That afternoon, it’s a strong breeze at 25 mph with a messy cross-chop. For a beach-and-reef setup like this, that’s kite-surfing conditions, not a clean paddle session.

The one true standout in this whole 16-day window is the morning of Tuesday 11 August. The swell is still only 3 ft from the WSW, but the period stretches to 8 seconds, and the energy is a moderate 96. The wind switches to a light WNW cross-off breeze, making it clean. The guidance says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” scoring a 1 out of 10, but that’s the best we’ve got. It’s not a classic, but it’s clean and there’s a little bit of push. For a break that’s inconsistent and rarely delivers, you take what you can get. Crowds are possible here, so if you’re keen, get in early.

After that, the forecast drops off again into tiny, weak swell with mixed winds for the rest of the week. Overall, it’s a lean run. The Boiler is a spot that’s known for being inconsistent, so a blank spell like this isn’t unusual. Sometimes forecasts change, so keep an eye on it, but right now, I wouldn’t be holding my breath.

Rusty.

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