The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. It’s a pretty quiet run for the most part here at The Boiler, but we’ve got one real window of opportunity shaping up if you’re patient.

The Big Picture

We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak waves over the next week and a half. The swell energy is mostly low, with values ranging from 2 to 80 on the energy scale, so don’t expect much push. The winds are a mixed bag, but a few clean windows do pop up. The standout moment is a solid pulse of clean swell arriving around Tuesday the 18th of August, which is the one to circle on the calendar. For now, the water temp is nothing unusual – just your average for this time of year.

The Day-by-Day

Starting off Saturday the 8th of August, it’s flat and forgettable. Tiny 0.3 ft west swell with a period of 9 seconds, and the morning is choppy with a cross-onshore wind. The afternoon goes glassy, but the swell is too small to ride. This pattern holds through Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th – nothing over 0.7 ft. Monday afternoon does clean up nicely with a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s still just knee-high dribble. The combined energy is only 10 on Monday afternoon, so you’re mostly bobbing around.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th stay small, with some bumpy conditions from an ESE wind. The combined energy climbs to 80 by Wednesday afternoon, but that’s still weak, and the cross-onshore wind chops it up. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday the 13th offers a glimmer. The morning goes glassy with a 3 ft swell from the WSW (period 9 seconds), and the energy jumps to 112 – moderate now. The conditions are described as “surfable but very ordinary,” so you might get a few little ones if you’re keen, but it’s not pretty.

Friday the 14th through Monday the 17th of August sees a lot of clean, cross-offshore mornings, but the swell stays small, bouncing between 1 ft and 2 ft. The energy is mostly below 100 again. The afternoon of the 17th gets a bit more push, with 4 ft WSW swell and 138 combined energy, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy and messy. Not recommended.

The Main Event – Tuesday the 18th of August

Alright, this is the one. Tuesday morning has 6 ft of WSW swell, period 8 seconds, and the combined energy is a solid 390 – that’s a big jump, strong wave energy. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NW, keeping the surface clean. This is the best surf on offer in the whole 16-day window. The afternoon stays clean with a moderate cross-offshore, and the swell holds at 6 ft, energy at 412. For a reef break, that’s a proper size, good for intermediate and up. The swell direction is SW, which is the optimum for The Boiler, so it should line up nicely. Expect some crowds, though – this spot can get busy when it’s good.

The Long Range

After that, it drops off fast. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th are back to tiny, clean conditions. By Friday the 21st of August, we get a pulse of 4 ft to 5 ft WSW swell, but the wind is onshore or cross-shore, and the period is short (5-6 seconds), so it’s going to be a sloppy, messy wave. The energy is moderate (155), but the quality is poor. Saturday the 22nd is similar, with 4 ft to 4 ft of short-period swell and cross-shore chop. Sunday the 23rd of August finishes with a clean offshore wind, but the swell is down to 2 ft and weak.

Bottom Line

If you’ve got a window, aim for the morning of Tuesday the 18th of August. That’s the standout. The rest of the run is a whole lot of waiting. Nature of the spot – it’s inconsistent, and this looks like a typical blank spell in between pulses.

Stay wet, stay patient.

Rusty.

Read more