The Boiler Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I've got the goods on the local outlook for us. It’s looking like a bit of a waiting game for most of the stretch, but there is a small window that could deliver.

Alright, let’s cut to the chase. The Boiler is our only real option on the table for the next two weeks and a bit, but it’s a spot that doesn’t break all that often. We’re looking at a patchy run, with a lot of blown-out days and tiny waves in between. The water temp is pretty average for the time of year, nothing wild to report there.

The first real chance to get wet is on Wednesday the 16th of September. That morning is the only clear winner in the first week. We’ve got a 4 ft west swell rolling in with a 10-second period. The wind is a light 9 mph from the northwest, which is a cross-offshore breeze, keeping the lineup clean. The combined swell energy is sitting at 326 (moderate wave energy). It’s a short window though, as the afternoon gets messy. That's the best we've got in the near term, and it's a solid call for an intermediate.

After that, it’s grim. Thursday the 17th through Saturday the 19th is all blown out with strong winds and lumpy conditions, with the swell jumping from 6 ft to 7 ft but with a nasty period under 8 seconds. Not worth the effort.

We get a little glimmer of hope on Sunday the 20th of September. The morning is glassy, absolutely dead calm with a 3 ft groundswell from the WSW. That's a very long period of 10 seconds, which is the kind of energy that will wrap in nicely here. The combined energy is 158 (weak to moderate). It’s small, but if you want to go for a cruise, that's your moment.

Then we hit a real dry spell. From the 21st of September all the way through to the 26th, it's a total desert. Tiny waves, onshore or sideshore breezes, and zero energy. Just a flat spell, nothing going on.

We finally see a pulse of long-period groundswell to close out the month. Sunday the 27th of September morning is looking clean again with a 3 ft swell from the same WSW direction, period up to 12 seconds, and glassy winds. The energy climbs to 153. The afternoon is similar, with a 3 ft, 11-second swell and 217 energy. That’s a good, clean session for a Sunday hack.

And then on Monday the 28th of September, we get our one true standout. The morning is the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a 2 ft, 13-second groundswell from the west, with 232 moderate energy. But the wind? It’s an offshore 9 mph from the north. The Boiler will be clean, lined up, and workable. It's a small wave, but that period and the offshore wind should make for some fun, shapey walls. The afternoon is even cleaner but a little smaller and breezier with a 16 mph offshore. That early session on Monday the 28th is the one to pencil in.

Looking further ahead, the very last day of the month, Wednesday the 30th of September, shows a spike in size. 8 ft from the WSW with a short 8-second period, but the combined energy is 737 (strong wave energy) and the wind is cross-off from the ENE. It could be a bigger, powerful day, but that short period is a worry. It looks more like a kite-surfing setup than a pure paddle session for the Boiler's reef, given the size and power.

So, to wrap it up: The first week is a write-off except for Wednesday morning the 16th. The second week has a couple of small, clean windows on the 27th and the 28th. The Monday the 28th morning, with the offshore wind and long period, is your absolute best bet for a quality session. Call it a promising but uncertain call at this range.

Rusty out.

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