Middles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here again. Let's size this up in feet and miles per hour. I'm not gonna sugarcoat it—this forecast is a tough one. We're looking at a solid stretch of small, weak, and mostly uninspired surf stretching out for over two weeks. There's no day I'd call a winner; it's more about picking the least terrible option if you're jonesing for a paddle.

The big picture is a very weak, persistent southeast swell that just can't get any power behind it. The wave energy is pathetic, mostly in the low double digits or bouncing between 12 and 70 – that's weak, barely enough to move the water. The swell period is short, mostly 4 to 9 seconds. This is pure windswell slop, not any kind of proper groundswell. It'll be weak, disorganized, and lacking any real push. The water temp is a touch warmer than average for this time of year.

We start off with practically nothing for the first week. The first time you might consider a session is Thursday, July 9th, in the morning at Middles. You're looking at a tiny 2 ft swell coming from the ESE with a 9-second period. The wind is a light cross-off from the south, so it'll be clean. The guidance says the perfect swell direction is from the NNE, and this ESE is way off. The combined energy is only 92, which is super weak. The report calls it "surfable but very ordinary," which is the best spin you can put on it.

From there, it's just more of the same. Friday the 10th has a glassy morning with a 1 ft ESE swell. It'll look clean, but with only 26 of energy, you're just floating. Saturday and Sunday have a little more wind, but the swell stays tiny. Sunday the 12th has a consistent offshore wind from the WSW, cleaning up a 2 ft swell. Again, clean, but the power just isn't there.

The absolute "best" of this whole outlook probably lands on Wednesday, July 15th, in the afternoon. We get a 2 ft ESE swell (still a short 9-second period), but the wind turns offshore from the SW at 15 mph. The combined energy nudges up to 54. It's described as "surfable but very ordinary." That offshore wind will make those tiny waves as clean as glass, but they'll be weak and gutless. It's the best of a bad situation – a day for a longboard or a log, not a shortboard.

After that, we drift back into flatness. The last few days of the forecast show tiny little pulses of swell, but they're mixed with risk of thunderstorms and onshore winds. The final entry on Tuesday, July 21st, in the afternoon has a 3 ft ESE swell with an offshore wind. The combined energy is only 58. Another "surfable but ordinary" label.

So here's the honest truth: there are no standout days. The only session I could even point you to is Wednesday afternoon, July 15th, at Middles for those clean, offshore conditions on a tiny wave. This is log or foil territory. For any proper, rippable surf? You're gonna have to wait for a change in the weather pattern. It's a long dry stretch. Don't drive across town for it. Keep the gear ready, and hope the forecast shifts for the better. It usually does.

Rusty.

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