
Surf Forecasts:
Patrick Air Force Base surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ESE swell with 223 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Patrick Air Force Base this week:
The surf forecast for Patrick Air Force Base over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Patrick Air Force Base in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Patrick Air Force Base over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer down at Patrick Air Force Base.
Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet stretch coming up. We’ve got a long gap of small, messy conditions before anything even remotely worth a paddle shows up. The water temp is sitting at 84°F, which is pretty much exactly where it should be for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real chance to get wet doesn’t arrive until Monday afternoon, the 3rd of August. We’ll see a tiny 3 ft swell from the ESE, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak at 110. The wind is glassy though, straight from the SE at 3 mph, so the surface will be smooth. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Not a standout.
Tuesday morning the 4th brings a drop to 2 ft from the East, but the wind swings SSW offshore at 6 mph, making it clean. The swell is tiny though, and the period drops to 8 seconds. The afternoon turns cross-offshore, but still small. Not worth rushing out for.
The rest of the first week and into the second is a long run of tiny surf and onshore or cross-shore winds. Swells hover around 1 ft to 2 ft, periods are short, and the energy is weak—mostly in the teens to low 30s. The wind is often cross-on or choppy. It’s a real struggle.
There’s a slight bump on Friday the 7th afternoon, with the swell pushing up to 4 ft from the East, period 7 seconds, and the energy jumps to 277 (moderate). But the wind is onshore from the ENE at 6 mph, which kills the quality. The raw data says poor surf conditions. Not worth it.
Saturday morning the 8th offers a little hope. The swell is 3 ft from the East, period 8 seconds, energy at 138. The wind is cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, so it’s clean. It’s still only a 1/10 score though—surfable but very ordinary. It’s the best of a bad lot, but that’s not saying much.
After that, we’re back into a long stretch of tiny, weak swells with cross-shore winds. From the 9th all the way through the 18th of August, the swell rarely breaks 2 ft, periods are mostly 6-9 seconds, and the energy is in the doldrums (10-52). The wind is often cross or cross-on, keeping it choppy. There are a few glassy or offshore moments, like the 15th morning with 0.7 ft and glassy conditions, but there’s no wave to ride.
The best on offer? Honestly, there’s no true standout. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the Saturday morning of the 8th is your best bet—clean, a little bit of energy, and a 3 ft east swell. It’s a beginner-friendly sandbar, but it’s exposed and often crowded, so expect company. The swell direction is from the E, which is close to the optimum NE, but not quite. For everyone else, it’s a week of flat spells and onshore slop.
This is a patch where the surf just isn’t showing up. It’s a blank run, but it’s not unusual for the area. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Mon afternoon, min 24°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 5 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 5 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
76 | 15 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 31 | 74 | 176 | 120 | 130 | 153 | 78 | 72 | 86 | 51 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 11:44PM1.09m | 12:25PM1.10m | 00:28AM1.06m | 1:20PM1.09m | 1:20AM1.04m | 2:22PM1.07m | 2:22AM1.03m | 3:31PM1.08m | 3:31AM1.05m | 4:41PM1.12m | 4:43AM1.09m | 5:46PM1.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:40PM0.12m | 6:05AM0.01m | 6:31PM0.17m | 6:58AM0.01m | 7:29PM0.21m | 8:00AM0.01m | 8:35PM0.24m | 9:06AM-0.00m | 9:43PM0.24m | 10:13AM-0.03m | 10:49PM0.21m | 11:18AM-0.07m | 11:51PM0.16m | |||||||
— | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | |
mm | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 34 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 5 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 |
34 | 15 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 176 | 120 | 130 | 153 | 78 | 72 | 86 | 51 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | — | NE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | SSE 5 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 8 |
— | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 9 | — | — | — | ENE 9 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | ESE 2 | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | SSE 5 | — | — | SSE 5 | — | — | — |
76 | 13 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 31 | 74 | 97 | 5 | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 40 | 175 | 382 | 175 | 175 | 1582 | 184 | 695 | 1577 | 199 | 1136 | 487 | 714 | 0 | 1279 | 52 | 148 | 1746 | 52 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Patrick Air Force Base Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Patrick Air Force Base provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Patrick Air Force Base can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Patrick Air Force Base surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Patrick Air Force Base) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Patrick Air Force Base may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Patrick Air Force Base is 16 km (10 miles) from Melbourne. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Melbourne. Melbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











