Monster Hole Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I've been staring at the charts for the Monster Hole stretch. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a tough watch. The swell window is just not lining up for anything clean or with enough grunt. We've got a lot of small, weak, and messy days to wade through.

To start, the water temp is sitting at 84°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least the dip won't be a shock.

Looking at Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th, we're dealing with a stiff 16 mph onshore breeze from the ENE. That's a no-go, with the swell sitting at a weak 5 ft to 5 ft but with awful short-period (6-8s) wind chop. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, and it's just a lumpy mess.

Friday the 18th calms down a bit wind-wise with a lighter ENE breeze, but the swell drops straight away. We start the morning at 4 ft but that energy is already fading fast, and by the afternoon it's down to 3 ft and barely dribbling. The 19th and 20th are worse, with the swell shrinking to 2 ft and energy dropping into the pathetic range. We get a glassy morning on Sunday the 20th, but with 2 ft of weak NE windswell, there's just nothing to ride.

Monday the 21st is the same story – a tiny 1 ft wave with almost no energy. Honestly, it's a long, flat stretch.

Then we get a tiny glimmer on Tuesday the 22nd. The morning is looking glassy with a 3 ft wave from the ESE. It's only a 5-second period, so it’s gutless, and the energy is still weak, but at least it's clean enough to get wet. A few ankle-biters for the keen. The afternoon goes back to junk with a 12 mph cross-onshore wind ruining the 4 ft bump.

Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th are more of the same – small, weak swell (2 ft to 4 ft) and light to variable winds. The 24th has some clean glassy periods but the swell is tiny.

The best of a bad bunch might just be on Saturday the 26th. Morning is glassy again, with a 2 ft wave from the NE and the energy bumping up slightly. It's still described as "very ordinary," but it's the cleanest window we've had. Don't expect much.

We get a flare-up on Sunday the 27th afternoon – the swell jumps to 6 ft from the ESE, and the energy hits a solid moderate number. That's the most size we'll see, but it's being hammered by a 16 mph southerly cross-wind. It will be a messy, choppy mess, and with that short 6-second period, it's going to be a washing machine. Not worth it for a paddle, but with that kind of wind and size over a beach-and-reef setup, it might look more interesting for a kite surfer.

After that, it's back to the doldrums. The 28th, 29th, and 30th are all small, mostly messy, with the swell dropping back to under 2 ft and weak energy. We get a bit of clean air on the 30th morning and the 1st of October, but with waves barely reaching 2 ft, it's a flat spell.

Honestly, there's no standout window here. The 22nd and the 26th mornings are your only real chances to get a few glassy little waves, but they're tiny. The 27th afternoon has size but is blown out. It's a tough run.

Rusty.

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