
Surf Forecasts:
Chernobyl surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, E swell with 235 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chernobyl this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Chernobyl in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up, this is a tough one for the region. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, and honestly, there’s not a single day where I’d tell you to drop everything and paddle out. The whole period is a write-off for decent surf.
The only spot on the radar is Chernobyl, a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent break that’s exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might feel that slight chill. But that’s where the good news ends.
We kick off Thursday, August 6th, with some clouds and a risk of thunderstorms. The swell is tiny, around 2ft, coming from the ESE with a short, weak period of 5 seconds. The combined wave energy is a measly 33 (weak energy), and with a moderate breeze blowing onshore, the conditions are just flat-out poor. Friday the 7th sees a bit more size, up to 5ft from the east, and the period stretches to 8 seconds, pushing the energy to 233 (moderate). But it’s still onshore wind and stormy, making for poor surf. Saturday and Sunday the 8th and 9th are more of the same—small, messy, with onshore breezes. The energy dips back down to the low hundreds and then to just 80 by Sunday morning.
The whole first week is a bust. We get a couple of glassy mornings on Tuesday the 11th and again on Friday the 14th, but the swell is pathetic—2ft or less. You’d be floating around on a lake. The long-range stuff into the second week doesn’t get any better. By Monday, August 17th, we finally see a morning with clean, cross-offshore wind and a 2ft, 9-second swell from the east. The energy is only 43 (weak). The report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," which is about as optimistic as it gets, and it’s still a 1 out of 10. That’s your best window, and it’s sad.
We then slide into a long gap of tiny, choppy, and onshore conditions right through to the end of the forecast on August 21st. There are no standouts, no hidden gems. For an area like this, a blank run like this is pretty normal. The forecasts can change, but right now, you’re better off finding something else to do. Don't bother waxing up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | E 6 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 6 | SSE 4 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
22 | 36 | 84 | 223 | 217 | 235 | 163 | 160 | 102 | 72 | 71 | 71 | 63 | 45 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 12 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:59PM0.39m | 3:05AM0.22m | 4:02PM0.41m | 4:10AM0.23m | 5:02PM0.44m | 5:13AM0.24m | 5:58PM0.47m | 6:12AM0.27m | 6:51PM0.48m | 7:07AM0.30m | 7:41PM0.48m | 7:59AM0.33m | 8:28PM0.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:15AM-0.37m | 9:21PM-0.25m | 9:17AM-0.38m | 10:26PM-0.27m | 10:19AM-0.39m | 11:27PM-0.29m | 11:20AM-0.41m | 00:22AM-0.33m | 12:17PM-0.42m | 1:14AM-0.36m | 1:12PM-0.43m | 2:01AM-0.38m | 2:04PM-0.43m | 2:47AM-0.39m | |||||||
6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | |
mm | — | 5 | — | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 29 |
Feels °C | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 34 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | E 11 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 8 |
9 | 15 | 2 | 223 | 217 | 235 | 163 | 160 | 102 | 72 | 71 | 3 | 63 | 45 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 12 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NE 10 | NE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 10 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | SSE 4 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SSE 4 | E 8 | NE 8 |
2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 9 | — | 7 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 9 | — | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | E 10 | E 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 11 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | E 6 | — | — | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | SE 4 | SE 5 | ESE 7 | — | S 5 | SSE 4 | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | — | SE 4 | SSE 3 |
22 | 36 | 84 | — | — | 7 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 71 | — | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | 8 | — | 2 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1007 | 1578 | 251 | 1007 | 454 | 1212 | 233 | 550 | 125 | 233 | 1250 | 91 | 266 | 1820 | 143 | 1144 | 1820 | 616 | 467 | 1820 | 616 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Chernobyl Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chernobyl provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chernobyl can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chernobyl surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chernobyl) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chernobyl may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Chernobyl is 9 km (6 miles) from the city of Sebastian. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sebastian. Sebastian has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











