Surf Forecasts:
Chernobyl surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period, E swell with 101 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chernobyl this week:
The surf forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Chernobyl in the next 16 days are 0.6m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Chernobyl.
Honestly, it’s a lean run for the next couple of weeks. The surf’s small and pretty ordinary for most of it, with a few fleeting moments that might get you wet but nothing to write home about. There’s a bit of a gap early on where you’re better off doing something else, and even the so-called better windows are marginal.
We kick off on Thursday, August 13th – tiny 1 ft swell from the ESE with a short 7-second period, cross-off wind from the WNW at 3 mph but the wave comment says poor surf and an energy reading of just 13. Nothing worth paddling for. Friday and Saturday are similarly flat and wind-affected, with cross-onshore winds and swell barely pushing 0.7 ft.
Sunday morning, August 16th has a bit of a tease: glassy conditions with a light SSW breeze, but the swell is only 1 ft at 8 seconds from the ESE. It’s clean, but there’s nothing to push you into a wave. Energy is a weak 25.
The first real glimmer comes Tuesday morning, August 18th. We’ve got a glassy morning with NNE wind at 3 mph, and the swell climbs to 1 ft but with a 13-second period from the E, giving an energy of 63. That’s a groundswell feel – longer gaps between sets, but the waves might have a bit more shape if they wrap in. It’s surfable but very ordinary conditions, only scoring a 1 out of 10. Still, if you’re desperate and the wind stays off, bring a longboard.
The next standout is Saturday morning, August 22nd. Glassy again with SSE wind at 3 mph, 2 ft swell from the E at 9 seconds, energy at 58. Another surfable but very ordinary scenario. For a beginner break that’s fairly consistent, these are about as good as it gets in this window.
Further out, Wednesday morning, August 26th offers a glassy start with ENE wind at 3 mph, 2 ft from the E at 7 seconds, energy at 58. Again, just surfable. The period is short, so it’ll be crumbly and unexciting.
The only real standout is Sunday, August 23rd – but it’s not great. The morning shows 3 ft from the ESE at 9 seconds, but with a cross-on SE wind at 6 mph and energy reaching 130 (moderate energy). The wave comment still calls it poor surf. The afternoon has a risk of thunderstorms and onshore wind, so it’s messy. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on that afternoon.
Water temp is about average for this time of year.
Overall, don’t get your hopes up. There’s no proper swell in the 16-day window, just tiny, weak waves and mostly poor conditions. If you’re hanging for a splash, Tuesday the 18th, Saturday the 22nd, and Wednesday the 26th mornings are your best bets – glassy, small, and very ordinary. The blank run through the first few days is real, and this area can have stretches like this. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed night, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 13 | ESE 9 | E 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
11 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 29 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 30 | 29 | 82 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | off | glassy | on | cross |
High Tide | 8:28PM0.47m | 8:49AM0.35m | 9:14PM0.45m | 9:38AM0.37m | 9:59PM0.40m | 10:27AM0.37m | 10:44PM0.35m | 11:16AM0.36m | 11:29PM0.29m | 12:08PM0.35m | 00:15AM0.23m | 1:01PM0.33m | 1:04AM0.18m | ||||||
Low Tide | 2:47AM-0.39m | 2:55PM-0.41m | 3:31AM-0.40m | 3:45PM-0.39m | 4:15AM-0.39m | 4:36PM-0.35m | 4:58AM-0.37m | 5:28PM-0.30m | 5:41AM-0.35m | 6:22PM-0.26m | 6:26AM-0.32m | 7:20PM-0.21m | |||||||
— | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
8:02 | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SSE 4 | E 8 | E 7 | SE 4 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | E 11 |
11 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 28 | 82 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | E 10 | ESE 7 | E 10 | ENE 13 | E 7 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | — | SSE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 8 | E 10 | E 13 | E 10 | ENE 12 | — | E 8 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 6 | — | E 15 | E 13 | ESE 12 | — |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 4 | 30 | 29 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 3 | — | ESE 4 | SSE 3 | — | SE 4 | SE 3 | — | SE 4 | SSE 4 | — | — | S 3 | — | — | SSE 2 | — | SE 3 | SSE 4 |
5 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 4 | 6 | — | 7 | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1333 | 1398 | 1598 | 1357 | 1714 | 1820 | 1340 | 355 | 1820 | 2 | 214 | 378 | 266 | 214 | 236 | 214 | 0 | 284 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Chernobyl Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chernobyl provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chernobyl can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chernobyl surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chernobyl) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chernobyl may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Chernobyl is 9 km (6 miles) from the city of Sebastian. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sebastian. Sebastian has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











