Surf Forecasts:
Chernobyl surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 11s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period, E swell with 56 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chernobyl this week:
The surf forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Chernobyl in the next 16 days are 0.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta level with you – the next couple of weeks are pretty much a write-off around Chernobyl (Chernobyl). The water’s hovering around 84°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so that’s not the issue. The problem is we’ve got next to no swell and the small stuff that does show up is poorly directed, with weak energy, mostly under 40 (weak combined swell energy).
Starting Saturday the 15th, it’s flat. Waves around 0.7ft from the ENE with a light cross-on breeze, just wind ripples. Sunday the 16th stays tiny at 1ft from the ESE, and while we see some clean morning conditions with an offshore breeze, it’s barely a ripple. This pattern drags on all week – Monday through Friday the 21st, we’ve got the same story: 1ft to 2ft, mostly clean mornings but the swell is weak and short-period (8 seconds). The energy barely cracks 30 (weak energy). It’s not surfable, just small lake-like wobbles.
We hit a bit of a gap here – nothing worth paddling out for from the 15th right through to the 27th. That’s nearly two weeks of flatness. The only glimmer comes on Thursday the 27th morning, when we finally see a pulse: 2ft from the ESE, period creeping up to 9 seconds, energy hitting 92 (moderate energy), and clean conditions with a light cross-off wind. It’s surfable but very ordinary – a real ankle-snapper. Friday the 28th morning bumps slightly to 2ft from the E, still 10-second period, energy at 99 (moderate), and clean again. That’s your best shot, but even then, it’s small and the afternoon gets chopped out by a strong cross-onshore. Saturday the 29th drops off again with a 3ft ESE swell at a pathetic 5-second period – that’s windswell junk, not worth a second look. Sunday the 30th fades back to 2ft.
If I had to pick one standout, it’s Friday morning the 28th of August. The swell is the biggest we’ll see at 2ft from the east, with moderate energy and clean offshore flow. For a beginner spot with a NNE optimum, the east swell is close enough, and the wind will give you a smooth face. But don’t get excited – it’s still tiny. Honestly, for the rest of the window, you’re better off leaving the board at home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 33°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 33°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | SE 5 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 13 | 30 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 56 | 49 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 22 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:27AM0.37m | 10:44PM0.35m | 11:16AM0.36m | 11:29PM0.29m | 12:08PM0.35m | 00:15AM0.23m | 1:01PM0.33m | 1:04AM0.18m | 1:57PM0.32m | 1:56AM0.13m | 2:55PM0.31m | 2:52AM0.11m | 3:52PM0.31m | 3:50AM0.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:36PM-0.35m | 4:58AM-0.37m | 5:28PM-0.30m | 5:41AM-0.35m | 6:22PM-0.26m | 6:26AM-0.32m | 7:20PM-0.21m | 7:13AM-0.30m | 8:23PM-0.18m | 8:03AM-0.27m | 9:26PM-0.16m | 8:56AM-0.26m | 10:27PM-0.16m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — |
mm | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 36 | 30 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 37 | 35 | 33 | 37 | 34 | 33 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 36 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 4 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 4 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 6 | 12 | 30 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 56 | 49 | 29 | 28 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | SSE 4 | NE 9 | SSE 3 | E 11 | NE 6 | SE 4 | S 4 | ENE 7 | ESE 9 | SSE 4 | NE 6 | NE 8 | E 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 4 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | — | E 8 | SE 5 | NE 10 | — | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 12 | — | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 16 | NE 7 | E 15 | E 9 |
| kJ | 14 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | S 3 | — | SSE 4 | — | — | SSE 3 | S 4 | SSW 4 | SSE 2 | S 4 | — | SE 4 | S 4 | — | SE 4 | SE 3 |
| kJ | 12 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 7 | — | 3 | 10 | — | 2 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 355 | 1820 | 2 | 214 | 1820 | 214 | 355 | 355 | 355 | 125 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 214 | 266 | 378 | 467 | 676 | 777 | 1820 | 160 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Chernobyl Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chernobyl provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chernobyl can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chernobyl surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chernobyl) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chernobyl may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Chernobyl is 9 km (6 miles) from the city of Sebastian. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sebastian. Sebastian has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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