
Surf Forecasts:
Chernobyl surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 4s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 4s period, SE swell with 46 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 4s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chernobyl this week:
The surf forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 4s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Chernobyl in the next 16 days are 1.1m 4s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 4s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 4s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 4s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get real about what we're looking at.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. For the whole 16-day window, every single entry is flagged as "poor surf conditions." That’s a rough run. We’re looking at a complete blank span here. The swell is tiny and the periods are short, so there’s just no energy to work with. It’s one of those periods where the ocean is pretty much flat, and I wouldn’t bother getting the wetsuit wet.
I’ve scanned the only spot on the list, Chernobyl. It's a beginner-friendly break that's fairly consistent, but that doesn’t help when there’s no swell. From Wednesday afternoon the 15th of July right through to Thursday the 30th, we’re looking at waves barely cracking 2 ft on a good day. The combined swell energy is weak, never breaking 100 – we’re talking numbers like 32, 24, 17... you get the picture. That’s just not enough push for a proper ride.
The water temperature is sitting at a warm 84 °F, which is about average for this time of year, but it won't help the surf. What little swell there is comes from the east and southeast, with periods mostly around 4 to 8 seconds – that's short-period windswill, not groundswell. It’ll be crumbly and weak.
The only glimmer is a few clean windows, like Thursday morning the 16th with offshore west wind at 6 mph, or Friday morning the 17th with a glassy cross-offshore breeze. But even then, the swell is only 1.0 ft. That’s not surfable. It’s a frustrating pattern where the wind is sometimes good, but the ocean just has nothing to offer.
Given the combined energy is so weak and the waves are so small, this setup honestly looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle. But for us surfers, this is a 16-day gap with zero recommendations. Best to save your energy, wait for the next system, and hope the forecasts change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 32°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | E 8 | SE 4 | E 7 | S 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
18 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 18 | 28 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 29 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 9:36PM0.49m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:22PM0.45m | 10:44AM0.34m | 11:09PM0.40m | 11:36AM0.33m | 11:57PM0.34m | 12:30PM0.32m | 00:48AM0.28m | 1:28PM0.31m | 1:41AM0.22m | 2:29PM0.30m | 2:38AM0.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:09PM-0.45m | 3:55AM-0.38m | 3:59PM-0.42m | 4:40AM-0.37m | 4:50PM-0.38m | 5:26AM-0.36m | 5:44PM-0.34m | 6:14AM-0.34m | 6:42PM-0.28m | 7:03AM-0.31m | 7:43PM-0.24m | 7:54AM-0.29m | 8:50PM-0.21m | 8:48AM-0.28m | |||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | |
8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | 8:16 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 32 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 32 | 31 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SE 4 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | SE 5 | SE 4 | E 8 | E 7 | SE 4 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 |
18 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 29 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | E 7 | ENE 9 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 8 | ESE 7 | — | — | SE 4 |
14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | — | — | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 3 | N 4 | N 4 | — | E 8 | — | E 9 | — | E 10 | — | E 5 | — | E 8 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | E 4 |
— | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 10 | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSE 3 | — | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SE 4 | S 4 | S 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SSE 4 |
— | — | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 19 | 13 | 18 | 28 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 378 | 378 | 486 | 379 | 1212 | 1820 | 1820 | 1340 | 1144 | 1260 | 959 | 494 | 467 | 457 | 616 | 940 | 214 | 959 | 744 | 18 | 214 |
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Information about the Chernobyl Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chernobyl provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chernobyl can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chernobyl surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chernobyl) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chernobyl may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Chernobyl is 9 km (6 miles) from the city of Sebastian. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sebastian. Sebastian has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











