
Surf Forecasts:
Chernobyl surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, ENE swell with 428 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chernobyl this week:
The surf forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Chernobyl in the next 16 days are 2.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here.
Well, I’ve got to be straight with you. Looking at the next 16 days, the surf scene is looking less like a Hawaiian point break and more like a lake. There’s just nothing to get excited about across the board. The biggest issue is that the wind and wave direction are all wrong for what we’ve got. We’re essentially looking at a long stretch of poor to non-existent conditions. We are talking about a gap of about a week and a half before we see anything that even comes close to being called a wave.
For the first several days, through the middle of next week, it’s flat to tiny. When there is a bump, like on Wednesday the 16th, the swell jumps to 6ft from the NE with a short, weak period of 7 seconds. However, it’s accompanied by a fresh cross-onshore breeze of 19 mph, so it’s going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. The combined energy is moderate at best (335), but the quality is just not there. That’s the story until we get to the second weekend.
There’s a faint glimmer on Saturday the 19th, when things go glassy early with a tiny 2ft NE swell. The combined energy is weak (72), and it’s just “surfable but ordinary.” Not worth paddling out for.
The only block of time with a pulse is late in the second week. On Tuesday the 22nd, we see a 4ft NE swell with a period bumping up to 8-9 seconds. The combined energy starts getting interesting (244), and while the wind is light and cross-onshore, it’s enough to make the conditions “marginal.” It’s still tricky.
But the real standout, by a mile, happens on Saturday the 26th. That morning we’ve got a clean 5ft ENE groundswell rolling in. The period stretches out to a very long 12 seconds. The combined energy jumps into the strong range at 546. But here's the caveat with a period that long – at a spot like Chernobyl it might be a bit too straight for a punchy beach break, but the fact that it's clean with a cross-offshore breeze from the SSW at 16 mph is a major positive. For a place that’s been mostly a dud, this is as good as it gets. The water temp is running about average for this time of year at 84°.
Honestly, this area looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for most of this forecast. Keep your eyes on that last Saturday, but don't hold your breath for the rest of it.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the ENE by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 8 | ENE 5 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
19 | 32 | 12 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 38 | 25 | 17 | 21 | 66 | 318 | 322 | 393 | 322 | 268 | 159 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:33AM0.37m | 8:52PM0.39m | 9:21AM0.39m | 9:36PM0.35m | 10:08AM0.39m | 10:18PM0.30m | 10:55AM0.39m | 11:00PM0.25m | 11:42AM0.37m | 11:42PM0.20m | 12:31PM0.35m | 00:26AM0.15m | 1:22PM0.33m | 1:13AM0.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:42PM-0.38m | 3:06AM-0.40m | 3:31PM-0.35m | 3:47AM-0.39m | 4:21PM-0.32m | 4:28AM-0.38m | 5:10PM-0.28m | 5:08AM-0.35m | 6:01PM-0.24m | 5:49AM-0.33m | 6:53PM-0.20m | 6:32AM-0.30m | 7:48PM-0.17m | ||||||||
7:03 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:23 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 14 |
Temp °C | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 30 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 14 | E 9 | E 14 | E 14 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
16 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 38 | 25 | 12 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 322 | 268 | 159 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NE 9 | ENE 6 | ESE 4 | ENE 5 | E 5 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | E 8 | — | — | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | N 8 | E 14 | E 14 | — | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 |
19 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 17 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | S 4 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 5 | E 8 | — | N 9 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | E 9 |
7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | ESE 8 | SE 3 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | SSE 5 | SSE 3 | — | — | ENE 5 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | — | — | ESE 4 |
2 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 66 | 318 | 322 | 393 | — | — | 12 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 279 | 1878 | 160 | 214 | 1580 | 125 | 2 | 1004 | 0 | 0 | 777 | 214 | 619 | 619 | 699 | 1501 | 619 | 454 | 823 | 355 | 619 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Chernobyl Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chernobyl provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chernobyl can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chernobyl surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chernobyl) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chernobyl may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Chernobyl is 9 km (6 miles) from the city of Sebastian. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sebastian. Sebastian has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










