Surf Forecasts:
Chernobyl surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, NE swell with 306 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Chernobyl this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Chernobyl in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Chernobyl over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. I gotta be straight with ya – the next couple of weeks at Chernobyl are lookin' pretty grim for paddling into waves. The overall pattern is one of persistent onshore and cross-onshore winds, which are going to mess up just about everything that tries to roll in.
We kick off with a tiny glimmer on Monday morning the 14th. It's glassy, with the water temp sitting at a balmy 85°, which is about average for this time of year. There's only 2ft of easterly swell on offer, and the combined energy is pretty weak (41). It's surfable, but very ordinary. For a beginner spot, it could be a chance to get wet if you're desperate, but it's nothing to write home about.
After that fleeting Monday morning window, the shutters come down hard. From Monday afternoon right through to the end of the month, every single forecast slot is marked as "poor surf conditions." That's a solid run of flat, choppy, or just plain messy conditions. The wind swings from the east and northeast, mostly at cross-on or onshore angles, with speeds picking up to 19 mph by Wednesday the 16th.
There is a late bit of action that pops up around Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th of September. The swell fires up a bit, with 5ft from the northeast on Friday morning (combined energy of 376 – moderate), and the wind goes light and cross-shore. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a typical windswell. The problem is, even this is flagged as "marginal" with questionable tide, and the winds are still not offshore. For a beach break, with that much onshore influence, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. If you're an expert and you've got a good stretch of bank, you might find a closeout barrel, but it's a long shot. The outlook for Saturday the 26th morning is similar, with 5ft of NE swell and light winds, but again, that cross-on label hurts.
So, the honest truth is there are no standout days here. The only real chance for a clean wave was that tiny, glassy window on Monday morning, and that's already gone. It's a tough run for a place that's "fairly consistent." Don't lose hope though – forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for too long.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the NE by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 58mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 25°C on Thu afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 5 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 38 | 38 | 25 | 17 | 18 | 45 | 228 | 221 | 211 | 275 | 213 | 192 | 99 | 88 | 69 | 45 | 37 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:55AM0.39m | 11:00PM0.25m | 11:42AM0.37m | 11:42PM0.20m | 12:31PM0.35m | 00:26AM0.15m | 1:22PM0.33m | 1:13AM0.12m | 2:14PM0.31m | 2:06AM0.10m | 3:08PM0.30m | 3:04AM0.09m | 4:00PM0.29m | 4:02AM0.11m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:10PM-0.28m | 5:08AM-0.35m | 6:01PM-0.24m | 5:49AM-0.33m | 6:53PM-0.20m | 6:32AM-0.30m | 7:48PM-0.17m | 7:18AM-0.27m | 8:45PM-0.15m | 8:10AM-0.26m | 9:41PM-0.15m | 9:06AM-0.24m | 10:32PM-0.16m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:23 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 29 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 14 | E 9 | E 14 | E 13 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ESE 6 | E 8 |
| kJ | 38 | 38 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 213 | 192 | 99 | 88 | 69 | 45 | 37 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 8 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 6 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | E 9 | ESE 4 | NE 7 | NE 7 |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | 17 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 13 | — | E 9 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | SE 5 | E 11 | ESE 7 | E 8 | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ENE 2 | NE 5 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | — | — | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | E 6 | — | ESE 7 | — | E 6 | SE 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 45 | 228 | 221 | 211 | 275 | — | — | 20 | 23 | 20 | 17 | — | 25 | — | 7 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 378 | 1171 | 1435 | 1347 | 1171 | 1583 | 656 | 454 | 838 | 933 | 737 | 24 | 1612 | 940 | 940 | 1587 | 1144 | 940 | 1017 | 214 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Chernobyl Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Chernobyl provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Chernobyl can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Chernobyl surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Chernobyl) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Chernobyl may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Chernobyl is 9 km (6 miles) from the city of Sebastian. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sebastian. Sebastian has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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