Surf Forecasts:
Flagler surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period, E swell with 57 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flagler this week:
The surf forecast for Flagler over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flagler in the next 16 days are 0.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flagler over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, I’m Rusty, and here’s the look ahead for our local stretch.
Honestly, it’s a pretty grim outlook for the next couple of weeks. The good news is we’ve got a few windows where it might be worth a paddle, but you’ll have to be patient. The first real chance doesn’t show up until late in the period.
The water temp at Flagler is sitting at 85°, which is about normal for this time of year—nothing wild there.
The whole first week and a half is a write-off. From Sunday the 16th right through to Wednesday the 26th of August, it’s all poor surf conditions with tiny swell—mostly 1 to 2 feet from the ESE or E, with short periods around 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak, sitting between 18 and 62, so it’s flat and gutless. The winds are light and variable, sometimes glassy, but there’s just no energy to work with. It’s a big blank run.
Then we get a little flicker of hope. On Thursday the 27th of August, early morning at Flagler, the swell picks up to 2 feet from the east with a long period of 12 seconds. That gives the combined energy a moderate kick to 112, and the wind is glassy. It’s surfable waves but very ordinary conditions—still a score of 1 out of 10, so don’t expect much. That long period from the east isn’t ideal for a beach break like Flagler—it’ll tend to break a bit straight. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen.
The standout, if you can call it that, is Friday the 28th of August, morning session. The swell is 2 feet from the ESE at 10 seconds, combined energy 106 (moderate), and the wind is calm—dead glassy. That’s the cleanest window we’ll get. For a spot like Flagler, which is fairly consistent and exposed to the ENE, that ESE swell direction is not its optimum, but with glassy conditions you’ll catch a few small, clean lines. Crowds are “sometimes” there, so you might have company.
After that, it fades back into tiny, onshore slop for the rest of the month. If you’re a beginner, the swell never gets above 2 feet, so it’s safe enough. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 35°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 33°C on Fri afternoon, min 24°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 24 | 50 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 49 | 46 | 42 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:25AM1.64m | 11:41PM1.48m | 12:14PM1.59m | 00:27AM1.37m | 1:04PM1.53m | 1:15AM1.27m | 1:55PM1.47m | 2:05AM1.19m | 2:49PM1.43m | 3:00AM1.14m | 3:45PM1.42m | 3:56AM1.13m | 4:39PM1.43m | 4:51AM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:37PM0.23m | 5:50AM0.17m | 6:30PM0.31m | 6:36AM0.24m | 7:26PM0.39m | 7:26AM0.30m | 8:26PM0.45m | 8:19AM0.35m | 9:26PM0.48m | 9:15AM0.38m | 10:25PM0.48m | 10:11AM0.38m | 11:18PM0.46m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | 6 | 12 | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 30 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 35 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 29 | 28 | 33 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 31 |
Feels °C | 34 | 36 | 33 | 34 | 37 | 34 | 35 | 37 | 31 | 36 | 34 | 28 | 32 | 34 | 31 | 30 | 35 | 34 | 32 | 35 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | E 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 4 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 4 |
| kJ | 24 | 2 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 49 | 46 | 42 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | SSE 3 | E 9 | NE 9 | SSE 3 | E 12 | ESE 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | SSE 3 | — | E 6 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | — | ESE 8 | SE 4 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 13 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 10 | — | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 5 | — | — | — | NE 6 | E 6 | — | E 16 | — | E 15 | N 4 | N 4 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 8 | SW 3 | — | — | — | W 3 | — | WSW 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 5 | — | — | SE 4 | — |
| kJ | — | 50 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | 10 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 1952 | 1498 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 27 | 62 | 27 | 27 | 523 | 654 | 645 | 689 | 1498 | 881 | 637 | 570 | 858 | 27 | 79 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flagler Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flagler provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flagler can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flagler surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flagler) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flagler may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flagler is 14 km (9 miles) from Palm Coast. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in Palm Coast. Palm Coast has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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