Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Mewslade Bay over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you: we’ve got a bit of a rough patch to sit through before any kind of reward shows up.

The overall pattern is pretty grim to start. You can forget about the first week and a half for any decent surf. We’re looking at a long gap with nothing worthwhile, just a series of poor conditions with lumpy cross-shore and onshore winds messing things up. The only spark in the first week comes on Sunday, the 20th of September. That morning, we get a tiny bump of relief. Swell is a weak 4ft from the west, period is short at 7 seconds, and the combined energy is only 133 – pretty weak. But the wind switches to a light offshore from the northeast at 3 mph, cleaning it right up. It’s still only surfable, nothing special, and with the crowds being “sometimes” an issue here, you might get a few friends out. That’s the one morning you could stretch your arms.

Then we go right back into a slop-fest until Tuesday the 22nd of September. That afternoon is the first real standout. The swell is 5ft from the west, period is a short 7 seconds, but combined energy jumps to 311 – a moderate pulse. The wind goes glassy. I mean, absolute flat calm. The notes say “expect good surf conditions,” and that’s a rare bit of optimism for this forecast. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no need for a thick suit unless you run cold.

Now, hold on, because the real story is the very end of the run. Sunday the 27th of September. This is the big one, but there’s a massive caveat. We’ve got a solid 10ft swell from the west-southwest, with a period of 8 seconds in the morning and 11 seconds in the afternoon. The combined energy is monstrous – 1259 in the morning, ramping up to 1726 in the arvo. That’s strong wave energy. The wind is light and favorable, but the guidance flat-out says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. You’d need to be an expert, and even then, it could be a washing machine. So this is a “look but don’t touch” kind of day. The following Monday morning, the 28th, drops back to a more manageable 5ft from the west-southwest, but it’s still marginal.

So, if I’m calling it: the best bet on offer is that glassy Tuesday afternoon, the 22nd. It’s clean, it’s surfable, and it’s the only window that ticks all the right boxes without being too much.

Rusty.

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