Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. Honestly, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and messy conditions, with only a sliver of hope right at the very end.

The first real bit of surf comes in on Monday, August 3rd, but it’s nothing to write home about. Mewslade Bay is seeing a tiny 3 ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is a messy cross-shore from the ESE at 16 mph, which is just going to chop it up. The combined energy is a weak 84, so there’s barely any push. It’s poor surf, plain and simple. Tuesday the 4th sees a bit more size at 4 ft from the SW, but it’s a short-period 7-second windswell, and the wind is blowing straight onshore at 16 mph. That’s a total washout.

Wednesday the 5th is the one that gets your heart pumping a little, but then reality kicks in. The swell jumps to 7 ft from the WSW, with a moderate combined energy of 519. That’s a serious amount of water. But the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, which is going to turn it into a white-knuckle, lumpy mess. For the average punter, this is a no-go; the size is teetering on expert-only territory. It’s not the day for a paddle.

After that, it’s a slow slide into tiny territory. From Thursday the 6th onward, the swell drops below 5 ft, and the energy fades into the double digits. There’s a brief moment on Sunday morning, August 9th, with clean conditions thanks to a light offshore breeze from the north, but the swell is a pathetic 1 ft. It’s flat, not surfable.

Then there’s a major gap. From the 10th of August right through to the 18th, we’re looking at near-flat conditions. The swell barely scratches 1 ft, and the energy is often in single digits. That’s over a week of nothing. The only thing worth noting is on Monday the 10th in the afternoon, where the wind goes glassy and calm, but it’s on a 1 ft, 6-second wave. It’s a lake, not a surf.

The only flicker of a genuine surfable wave is on the very last day, Tuesday, August 18th, in the morning. We’ve got clean conditions reported with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW, but the swell is a flat zero. The guidance says it’s a clean day, but there’s literally no wave to ride. It’s a cruel tease.

So, the bottom line is: there is no standout. The best on offer is the 7 ft on Wednesday the 5th, but it’s ruined by the wind. It’s actually more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The rest of the window is a blank run. The area is known for quiet spells, and this is one of them. Don’t bother driving. Keep the board in the car and wait for the next weather system.

Rusty.

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