Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the horizon for Mewslade Bay. I’ve had a look at the charts, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a tough stretch. The good news? There’s a bit of a pulse of energy coming through, but the wind is going to be our biggest enemy for most of the window. The water is currently sitting at 68°F, which is a whopping 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, like the ocean forgot it’s late summer.

We’re starting off with a rough hand. The first few days, from the 28th of August through the 4th of September, are a write-off. There’s some swell, around 3ft to 7ft, and the combined energy gets up into the moderate range (hitting 673 on the 31st), but it’s all blown out. Onshore and cross-onshore winds are howling at 15 to 22 mph, turning everything into a lumpy, choppy mess. The surf quality is poor, so you’re better off staying on the beach with a cold one.

The 5th of September sees a slight drop in wind, but the swell fades too, with weak energy (148) and onshore breezes returning. The 6th is more of the same. We’re looking at a solid week of junk.

Finally, on the morning of the 7th of September, we get a glimmer. The wind swings light from the WNW, making it a cross-shore breeze. The swell is 6ft from the SW with a period of 6 seconds, giving a combined energy of 224. It’s *marginal* – not great, but clean enough to get a few grovelly ones. The tide might be a factor, so keep an eye on that.

Then, the 8th of September is the big one. Swell size jumps to 16ft from the WSW with a very long period of 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is a massive 5628, which is very strong energy. But here’s the catch: the wind is a fresh cross-shore from the WNW at 22 mph, which will make it incredibly lumpy and dangerous. This is only for experts, and only if they’re comfortable with a messy, powerful ocean. The long period means it’ll be walling up, and at a beach break like Mewslade, that can be a straight-up closeout. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

The 9th of September settles back down to marginal conditions with a light wind, but the swell drops to 4ft. After that, from the 10th through the 12th, it’s back to poor, onshore slop.

So, the standout? If you’re desperate, the morning of the 7th of September is your best shot for a few clean, if small, waves. The 8th of September is a massive, powerful swell that demands respect and experience. Keep your expectations low, and maybe bring a camera – the ocean will be dramatic even if it’s not surfable.

Rusty.

Read more