Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for Mewslade Bay over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a tough start.

We’ve got a long, dry spell ahead. The first real chance of anything worthwhile doesn’t show up until the morning of Monday, 17th of August. That’s a solid week and a half of waiting. The water temp is sitting at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 7° above average, so you’ll be leaving the thick wetsuit at home.

Alright, let’s talk about the standouts. The morning of Monday, 17th August is the only time in this whole forecast that looks truly special. The swell is going to be a big 12 ft from the WSW, with a long period of 11 seconds giving it plenty of punch. The combined energy is massive (2938), so this is serious groundswell. The wind is NW at 16 mph, which is a clean cross-offshore breeze. The waves will be clean and powerful. But – and this is a big but – that size is too big for beginners. It’s only for experienced surfers, and the long period means it’ll be breaking a bit straight across the beach, so it might be a bit tricky. The crowd situation is just "sometimes" here, so you might get a few out, but it won’t be a circus.

The afternoon of that same day, Monday 17th, drops off noticeably. The swell drops to 8 ft from the W, the period shortens to 9 seconds, and the wind swings to a cross-shore 19 mph, making it lumpy. The energy is still high (1174), but the quality is gone. Not worth the paddle.

Before that, the afternoon of Wednesday, 12th August gives a tiny glimmer. You’ll see a 2 ft WSW swell with a 10-second period, clean cross-offshore wind from the E, and moderate energy (108). It’s surfable, but the conditions are described as "very ordinary." It’s a scrap, not a session.

The rest of the 16 days is a washout. Small, weak swells, poor wind directions, and messy conditions. A few spots show clean conditions in the mornings, like the 9th and 10th with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is just too small (2 ft to 3 ft) to get excited about. The combined energy barely registers (43 and 48). It’s flat, really.

So, to sum it up: Wait for the 17th of August. Get there early for the morning session if you’re an expert, but be aware it’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on the forecasts. The rest of the time, the board stays in the bag.

Rusty.

Read more