Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Look, I’ve got to be straight with you – this forecast for Mewslade Bay is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window that’s basically a flat spell. The first recommendation for any sort of surf doesn't come up until the 25th of July, and even then, it’s a long wait for very little reward. There’s a real gap of nothing from now until that Saturday morning.

Mewslade Bay is pretty exposed to the southwest, and the water is feeling much warmer than normal right now, sitting at 69°F and a whopping 9°F above the long-term average for this time of year – that’s very unusual.

The first hint of anything rideable shows up on the morning of Saturday the 25th. We’re talking a tiny 2ft swell from the west, but with a super short period of just 4 seconds and a cross-shore wind. The combined energy is a weak (16). It’s not good, folks. The afternoon sees a jump to 3ft from the west, period still short at 5 seconds, energy climbing to a moderate (48), but that cross-shore wind is still making it a messy, choppy mess.

Sunday the 26th is a bit of a tease. The morning shows 3ft from the west-southwest, period still short at 6 seconds, but with a clean cross-offshore wind from the north-northwest. Energy is moderate (66). It’s the best looking window in the whole two weeks, but still pretty weak. The afternoon drops back to 2ft as the wind swings more westerly.

Monday the 27th morning has a glassy calm, 2ft west swell, but the period is still short at 7 seconds, energy weak (26). Then we get a little spike on the 29th of July. Wednesday morning shows 3ft from the west, period short at 6 seconds, but the wind is a clean cross-off from the north-northwest. The energy is a moderate (136), which is the highest we’ll see. It’s the only day that breaks into triple-digit combined energy. The afternoon drops back to 3ft.

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak, and crossed-up conditions for the rest of the run. Swells stay under 2ft with periods all over the place, and the wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore.

Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the cleanest windows are the Sunday the 26th morning and the Wednesday the 29th morning. But with such short-period, weak swell, don’t expect any real power or shape. The rest of the time, with the wind and weak surf, this setup looks more interesting for a kite than a surfboard.

Keep the faith, but don’t hold your breath on this one.

Rusty.

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