Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at the next couple of weeks for Mewslade Bay. It’s a mixed bag, with plenty of waiting for the real standout days.

We’ve got a bit of a rough start. For the first few days, the wind is on it, the swell’s a bit messy, and it’s not really making me want to get the wetsuit on. The water is running at 65°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than you’d normally expect for mid-September. It feels good on the skin but won’t make the chop any friendlier. Tuesday has a 5ft swell from the W (moderate energy at 227), but that cross-shore wind is just chopping it all up. Wednesday morning shows a slight improvement with a 5ft W swell and some cross-offshore NW wind, and the combined energy jumps up to 384 – that's moderate energy, feeling better. The waves look cleaner, but it's only a 1/10 on the quality meter. It’s a bit marginal.

Thursday and Friday are more of the same: cross-shore and cross-onshore winds with a lumpy, choppy ocean. The swell drops and rises, but the quality just isn't there for a good paddle.

We get a tiny window on Sunday the 20th. Morning brings a lighter NW wind and a clean 3ft WSW swell. The energy is weak-ish at 150, but it will be surfable. It’s not going to set the world on fire.

Then we hit a long, quiet spell. From Monday the 21st through to the start of the following week, the swell goes very small. A real lull. It’s going to be a tough week of checking the forecast and probably just watching the horizon.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout is on the 22nd. Tuesday afternoon at Mewslade Bay is the one. It’s a glassy flat calm with a tiny 2ft swell. Before you laugh, listen. That little wave is coming from the W with a very long 16-second period. That’s groundswell, pure energy. It might be small, but it will have shape. The combined energy is 245 – moderate – and with the glassy conditions, this is your chance for a clean, long-period wave. It won't be big, but for a surfer who knows this break, it’ll be a beautiful little session.

Wednesday the 23rd morning is the backup. Still clean with an offshore ENE breeze and a 3ft WSW swell at 13 seconds. Good energy at 225. It's going to be a tidy, clean wave. After that, things get messy again with onshore winds and flat spells.

The big one, though, is looking at the end of the month. Hold on for Monday the 28th. The forecast is showing a huge 13ft swell from the WSW. The combined energy is 2668 – that is very strong wave energy. But here’s the catch: the note says it’s too big for this break. Mewslade Bay won’t handle that size well. Don't get excited.

The absolute standout for the whole window? Tuesday the 29th. Beautiful offshore N wind in the morning with a 7ft WSW swell. The energy is 821 – strong – and the conditions are forecast to be "very good." That’s an expert-level wave with 7ft of clean swell. The afternoon goes glassy with a 6ft swell. That is the day to circle on your calendar. Keep an eye on it a week out.

So, bottom line: a couple of smaller, clean days around the 22nd and 23rd for the patient surfer, and a serious, high-quality swell on the 29th for the experienced crew. The rest of the time is a lot of waiting.

Rusty, out.

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