Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Mewslade Bay over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a bit of a tough stretch. The forecast is showing a lot of poor surf conditions, with waves that are just too small, too messy, or blown out by the wind. The water temperature is sitting at 68°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s really unusual, and honestly, it’s a bit eerie.

The pattern for the first week is pretty grim. We’ve got a long run of days with tiny, weak swell and onshore or cross-shore winds that are just chopping everything up. Thursday the 6th through to Tuesday the 11th is basically a write-off, with wave heights barely reaching 2 ft and combined swell energy in the low double digits (48 to 87) – that’s just weak, gutless energy. The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions” across the board. It’s a gap of several days with nothing worth paddling out for.

There is a small glimmer on Wednesday morning, the 12th of August. The wind goes glassy – a major positive – and the swell is a tiny 2 ft from the WSW with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is still only 81, so it’s weak, but that glassy wind will make it clean. The report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” and that’s about right. It’s not a standout, but it’s the only time in the first week where you might get a few fun, clean little waves if you’re desperate.

The second week picks up a bit in size, but the wind remains a problem. By Sunday the 16th of August, we’re looking at 5 ft swell from the WSW with a short period of 7 seconds and onshore wind, making it choppy. The energy is up to 192 (moderate), but the quality is poor. The real kicker comes on Wednesday the 19th of August. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the WSW with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 611 (strong). That’s a proper swell. But the wind is SSW at 9 mph (onshore), and the conditions are described as “poor surf conditions.” For a beach break like Mewslade Bay, with that much swell and onshore wind, it’s going to be a messy, lumpy mess. This is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly. The swell is too big for beginners (over 5 ft) and at 8 ft, it’s borderline for experts, especially with the short period.

The best of a bad bunch is arguably Thursday morning, the 20th of August. The swell is still 7 ft from the W with a 7-second period, but the wind is cross-shore from the west at 9 mph, and the energy is 491 (strong). The report says “marginal surf forecast,” but it’s the closest we get to a clean, powerful wave. That’s only for experienced surfers, though. The standouts? There are none. The best on offer is that Thursday morning, but it’s a long way from perfect.

Friday the 21st fades back to 3 ft and weak energy (150), with cross-on wind. So, the whole 16-day window is a real struggle. For a spot that’s “fairly consistent,” this is a disappointing run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s not looking good.

Rusty.

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