Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the surf over at Mewslade Bay, and trust me, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The first couple of days are going to be a battle.

Right off the bat, the 16th and 17th are pretty rough. We’ve got a solid 1.4m to 1.8m W swell, but the wind is cross and cross-off, blowing 25 to 30 km/h. That makes for lumpy, cross-choppy conditions. The energy is moderate (384 down to 269), but it’s going to be messy. Nothing to get excited about.

The 18th and 19th keep the wind onshore and the waves get bigger, up to 2.2m by Saturday. But the period drops to 6-7 seconds, so it’s a jumbled-up mess. The energy spikes to 547-574 on the 19th, but with that cross-on wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. Not your friend.

Then we get a bit of a reprieve. The 20th Sunday morning, the wind goes glassy, swell settles at 1.0m with a 10-second interval. It’s clean and fun, a real session for the log. The energy is moderate (204), so there’s a bit of push, but it’s super clean. That’s your first genuine window.

The 21st and 22nd are small, with the swell dropping to 0.4-0.5m. There’s a tiny blip on the 22nd afternoon with a 0.5m, 11-second period, but it’s very marginal. You might catch a few, but you’ll be scratching for them.

The 23rd and 24th are pretty much flat, with the swell down to 0.3-0.4m and energy levels in the tank (16-33). The 25th and 26th are the same story, just tiny and weak. It’s a real dead spell.

Then, the 27th Sunday morning, things start to wake up. We’ve got 0.9m of WSW swell with a 11-second period, and the wind is light offshore. It’s clean, but the energy is still moderate (189). Decent enough for a grovel.

But hold on, the 28th Monday morning is where it gets properly interesting. The swell is still only 0.9m, but the period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The wind is a fresh offshore from the N at 30 km/h. That’s a beautiful, clean, lined-up wave. The energy is moderate (286), but with that long period, the quality is there. The 29th Tuesday is similar, with a 0.8m, 11-second swell and clean cross-off winds. Good, but a touch weaker.

Now, for the big one: the 30th September, Wednesday morning. The swell jumps back up to 2.3m from the WSW, but the period drops back to 8 seconds. The energy is pumping at 737 – that’s strong. The wind is a moderate offshore from the E. That’s a powerful, heavy wave. It’s not for the faint-hearted. At 2.3m, it’s pushing the limits for most, but for the experts, it’s a chance at something memorable. The afternoon drops to 1.9m and stays clean-ish.

After that, the 1st of October is back to small, 0.9m and weak energy.

So, highlighting the real standouts: the 28th Monday morning is your pick for a clean, long-period groundswell with offshore wind – that’s the one you want to plan for. Then the 30th Wednesday morning is a big, powerful beast, but it’s for advanced surfers only.

Water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Alright, that’s the rundown. It’s a bit of a wait for the good stuff, but when it comes, it comes with quality.

Rusty, signing off.

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