Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here. Let's be real, the next couple of weeks are going to be a test of patience. There's a whole lot of small, junky surf on the menu before we get anything with real push behind it.

First thing you'll notice is the water is cooking at about 69°, which is a wild 8° warmer than it should be this time of year. You won't need a thick suit, that's for sure.

Mewslade Bay is the main break we're looking at. For the first week, from the 17th through the 24th, it's a waiting game. Swell is tiny, mostly 1ft to 5ft, with the wind all over the place, mostly cross or onshore. The energy is weak, mostly under 200 (think 60 to 213). We get some clean windows – like Tuesday morning the 18th with a 4ft W swell and a cross-off breeze, or Saturday afternoon the 22nd when it's glassy with a 1ft leftover – but the waves just aren't there. It's poor surf conditions, full stop.

We see some longer period swells on the 22nd and 23rd, but the size is nothing, just ankle-biters. It's a drought.

This whole first week is a gap with no real surf to offer. It isn't until late on the 28th that the ocean finally starts to wake up. The energy jumps to 661, but the wind is a nasty 22 mph onshore from the SSW. That's a blown-out mess.

Now, the one day that really stands out on the entire forecast is Saturday morning, the 29th. We're talking a 7ft swell from the WSW with a 9-second period. The wave energy is pumping, a strong 1139. The wind is a clean offshore-cross from the NW at 15 mph. That's the day. Mewslade should have real shape and power. This is one for the experienced surfers, though – anything over 5ft is going to push beginners around.

After that, the wind gets messy again at the end of the month with strong cross-onshores and lumpy, bigger swells up to 8ft. There's energy for sure, over 800 on the 31st, but it's going to be a battle. For the most part, the 29th is your window. It's far out, so keep your fingers crossed, but it's the only real standout worth planning for. The rest of the surf isn't worth the paddle.

Stay patient, mark the 29th on your calendar. This is Rusty, out.

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