Mewslade Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me be straight with you. I’ve looked over the whole 16-day window for Mewslade Bay, and honestly, it’s a tough run. There’s no real standout session in there, and for big chunks of time, you’d be better off doing something else. Let me walk you through it.

The forecast starts off with a flat spell. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are dead calm – we’re talking 0.3 ft of swell, glassy conditions but absolutely no waves to ride. That carries on into Saturday morning the 25th. Then Saturday afternoon sees a tiny bump to 3 ft, but the period is a shocking 5 seconds and it’s cross-shore wind. The wave energy is weak (44), and it’s still labelled as poor surf. Not worth wetting a wetsuit.

Sunday the 26th brings the biggest swell of the whole outlook – 5 ft from the WSW with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined wave energy jumps to moderate (197), but the wind is a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph, making for lumpy, messy conditions. The water temperature is 69°, which is 8° warmer than normal for this time of year – very unusual, like a warm bath, but it won’t help the chop. This is really only for the keenest locals who don’t mind a wrestle.

From Monday the 27th onward, it drops back down. Monday morning has 3 ft and cross-shore wind, still messy. The rest of that week and into early August, the swell bounces between 0.7 ft and 4 ft, but the wind is nearly always cross or onshore, often moderate to fresh. The wave energy stays mostly weak (single or low double digits), and the consistency is poor. There’s a few glassy moments – like Wednesday morning the 29th with 0.7 ft and no wind – but without swell, that’s just a flat, pretty ocean.

Late in the window, around Sunday the 2nd of August, there’s another attempt at a pulse: 4 ft from the WSW, period 8 seconds, energy at 191 (moderate). But again, cross-shore winds spoil it, and the surf quality is rated poor. Monday the 3rd drops back to 2 ft, and from there it fades to a whisper into the second week.

There is no point in the 16 days where the stars align for a truly good surf at Mewslade Bay. The swell is either too small, too short-period, or the wind is on it. The break itself is exposed to SW swell, which is the right direction, but nothing comes together cleanly. For an intermediate spot that’s fairly consistent in general, this is a blank run – it happens, and forecasts can change, but right now there’s nothing to get excited about.

If you’re desperate, the best of a bad bunch is Sunday the 26th of July morning – 5 ft, some energy, but bring a board you don’t mind scratching in the lumpy cross-chop. Or wait for the next system.

Rusty.

Read more