Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a drought on our hands at Fenway Beach. Honestly, for the first week, it’s pretty grim. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly all over the shop, and the waves are just junk. You’ll be chasing your tail if you paddle out for anything more than a splash. There’s a run from the 10th right through to the 17th where it’s just not worth the effort. We’re talking ankle-biters to knee-high slop, with cross-onshore breezes messing things up most days. The water temp is 72°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year.

The only thing that saves the first week is Thursday morning the 13th. It’s still small, only 2ft, but it’s glassy as anything. If you’re desperate for a dribble and a clean surface, that’s your window. But don’t get your hopes up.

Now, the real story starts to shift around Monday the 17th. We get a pulse of energy from the south-southwest pushing the swell up to 5ft, then 6ft by the afternoon. The energy reading jumps to 258, which is the first bit of real grunt we’ve seen. But the wind is all wrong, so it’s just messy and raw. That’s not the day.

The standout, and I mean the only real standout in this whole period, is Tuesday the 18th. The swell drops back down to 1ft, but look at the period – 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, way out of the ordinary. It’s coming from the SSE, which is right in the sweet spot for this spot. And we finally get a clean, offshore breeze from the NNE at 9 mph. The water will be clean, the lines will have some push to them even if they’re not big. It’s a long-period swell, so at a breakwater like this, it could be a bit straight, but it’s the only time you’ll see any real shape. It’s a promise, not a certainty, being a week out.

Wednesday morning the 19th might give you a little encore – glassy, 2ft, but the period drops back to 11 seconds and the energy is weaker. It’s surfable, but nothing special.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The rest of the run into the 25th is just small, poor quality, and cross/onshore winds. The energy on the 19th afternoon spikes to 332, but it’s a week of low-period SSE windswell and it’s just not going to turn into anything you’d call a wave. It’s a blank run, and then it just fades away. So, mark your calendar for the 18th. It’s a long shot, but it’s the only shot we’ve got.

That’s all from me.

Rusty

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