Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Fenway Beach. I’ve got to be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. The good news is we’ll see a few pulses of energy, but the timing and conditions are going to make it tough to get anything really good.

The overall pattern is a long, flat spell dominating the first week, with a brief, messy bump of swell around the 9th and 10th of September. After that, it’s back to small, weak conditions. The real standout, if you can call it that, is a very short window on the morning of Wednesday the 9th, but even that comes with a big caveat.

Let’s break it down. From now through the end of the first week, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at tiny, weak waves – nothing over 2 ft – with a mix of onshore and cross-shore winds. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy values are all in the double digits, mostly below 100, which is just weak. There’s a glassy moment on Sunday afternoon the 6th, but with only 1 ft of swell, it’s not even worth a look.

Now, the one blip on the radar comes on Wednesday morning, September 9th. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the SSW, with a short period of 6 seconds. The combined energy hits 116 (moderate), and the wind is light and cross-offshore from the east, so the surface will be clean. This is the only surfable window in the whole outlook, but it’s far from perfect. The swell is short-period, which means it’ll be a bit lumpy and weak, and the break itself is a breakwater setup, so it’s not going to handle that energy beautifully. The afternoon sees that swell jump to 6 ft, but it gets blown out by onshore wind, so that’s a no-go.

Thursday the 10th has a bit more size – 6 ft again in the morning from the SSW, with moderate cross-offshore NW winds at 25 km/h and a combined energy of 431 (strong). That’s a lot of water moving around, but the period is still a short 7 seconds. For a breakwater, that’s going to be a bit of a washing machine. It’s really only for experienced surfers who know the spot well, and even then, it’s marginal. The afternoon drops off quickly.

After that, it’s back to small waves and mostly clean but weak conditions, with nothing breaking 3 ft. The weekend of the 12th and 13th offers glassy mornings, but the swell is tiny and from the south, which is off the optimum SE direction for this spot. The combined energy is in the 30s and 50s – just a whisper.

So, if you’re desperate for a surf, the only real window to consider is the morning of Wednesday, September 9th. It’s not great, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. The water will be clean, and there’s enough energy to get a few small, short rides. Don’t expect any barrels. For the rest of the period, you’re better off finding another hobby or waiting for a proper groundswell to show up. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a lean stretch.

Rusty.

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