Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got to be straight with you – this 16-day window for Fenway Beach is one of the toughest reads I’ve seen in a while. The first couple of weeks are basically a write-off with tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. Don’t get your hopes up until the final few days, where we finally see a pulse of energy, but even then, it’s got its issues.

Let’s start with the long, dry spell. From Friday the 10th of July right through to Monday the 20th of July, it’s a grim run. The swell is barely a ripple, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, with periods between 5 and 7 seconds – that’s short, weak windswell that won’t have any push. The combined energy is a measly 23 to 89 (weak). Winds are cross or cross-onshore most of the time, and the water is a bit off for the season, but honestly, even perfect conditions wouldn’t save this flat spell. This is a solid 10-day stretch of nothing worth paddling for.

We get a slight lift on Monday the 20th, with the swell climbing to 4ft to 5ft, but still with a short period of 9 seconds. The energy ticks up to 215–314 (moderate), but the wave comment is still “poor surf conditions” – the wind is fresh and cross-off, so it’s clean, but the waves are junky. It’s a tease.

The standout window finally arrives on Tuesday the 21st of July. The morning session sees a 7ft swell from the south, with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 441 (moderate). The wind is a gentle breeze from the ENE, which is cross-offshore, and the conditions are clean. This is the one day that offers a genuine look. But – and it’s a big but – that 7ft swell is getting into the size where it’s too much for beginners, and the period is short, so the waves will be a bit dumpy and sectiony. The afternoon takes a step back with marginal tide conditions and a cross-shore breeze. The optimum swell direction for Fenway Beach is SE, and this is a straight S swell, so it’s not hitting the break perfectly.

Wednesday the 22nd sees a drop to 5ft, still with a short 7-second period, and the energy is moderate at 276. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, but the forecast is marginal. From Thursday the 23rd, it’s back downhill into poor surf.

So, the only real standout is Tuesday morning, the 21st of July. Fenway Beach is a breakwater setup, fairly consistent, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot normally, but with 7ft on offer, it’s more suited to intermediates who can handle a bit of a punch. The wind is clean, the energy is there, but don’t expect perfection. For the rest of the window, it’s honestly more interesting for the kite crew than paddle surfers, especially from the 18th onwards when the swell picks up but the quality is poor.

Keep your eyes on the forecasts, because a blank run like this can change, but for now, Tuesday the 21st is your only real shot.

Rusty.

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