Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the stretch ahead. I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a grim run for Fenway Beach. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. We’ve got a solid two weeks-plus of nothing worth paddling out for, right through to the morning of the 20th of August.

First up, the immediate future is a dead loss. From now through to the middle of the month, it’s a flat spell with poor conditions. The water temp is sitting at 71 °F, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing to get excited about.

From the 8th to the 19th of August, it’s a long, frustrating wait. Swell is tiny, mostly around 2 ft to 4 ft, but it’s all short-period, weak junk. The combined energy is a joke – barely cracking 100 (52 to 104) most days, and often sitting in the teens or twenties. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, chopping up what little there is. The only glimmer of clean conditions comes on the 11th, 12th, and 16th with some offshore or cross-off breezes, but the swell is so small (2 ft to 2 ft) and weak it’s not worth the wax. This is a long, blank stretch, and for this area, that dry run isn't unusual when the patterns lock in like this.

Now, the one and only true standout of the entire forecast shows up on the 20th of August. Thursday morning is our best shot. We finally get a pulse of energy: a 5 ft swell from the S, with an 8-second period. The combined energy jumps to a solid 351. The wind goes cross-off from the NW at gentle breeze speed (9 mph). That means clean, open faces. It’s not huge, but after this drought, it’s the only game in town. Keep in mind, this is over a week away, so while it looks promising, don’t book your flights yet. The break is a breakwater (Fenway Beach), so on a 5 ft S swell during the morning, it should offer some fun, punchy lefts. The afternoon drops to 5 ft and is just marginal.

After that one morning, it’s back to the doldrums. The 21st and 22nd of August see the swell fade back to 2 ft to 2 ft with weak energy, and the wind turns messy again. Crowds at Fenway Beach are only a problem sometimes, but honestly, there won’t be anyone out to compete with.

Bottom line: only one session worth setting the alarm for, and that’s Thursday the 20th of August in the morning. The rest of this thing is a complete dog. Stay patient, lads.

Rusty.

Read more