
Surf Forecasts:
Fenway Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, S swell with 413 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fenway Beach this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Fenway Beach in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fenway Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it, folks. Rusty here, and I’ve got the full 16-day picture for Fenway Beach. Normally, I’d be stoked to give you a green light, but honestly, this is a pretty grim stretch. There’s a big empty gap for the first few days.
We start off on Tuesday, July 14th, and it’s a no-go straight out of the gate. The water’s a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 66°F, which is a reminder winter’s not quite done with us. The swell is weak, with a combined energy of just 156, and it’s coming in at a short, bumpy 6 seconds from the SSW. That's all muddied up by a fresh cross-onshore wind at 22 mph. It’s just lumpy, poor surf. Forget about it.
Wednesday, July 15th, is a little better in the afternoon. The wind backs off and turns cross-off, cleaning things up, but the swell is still small and weak at 4ft from the SW. It’s a “clean” looking wave on paper, but there’s no real energy (only 166) to make it worth paddling out. A flat, weak groomer.
From Thursday, July 16th, through to Saturday, July 18th, it’s almost completely flat. Swell heights drop below 2ft, and the combined energy dips into the pathetic 20 to 56 range. There’s nothing to ride. This is a solid 3-day dead zone.
The pattern starts to shift a little on Sunday, July 19th. The afternoon shows a bit of life with a 4ft, 8-second S swell, and the energy jumps to 201 (moderate). But the wind is a gentle cross-shore, creating a slight chop. It’s rideable, but still poor. The real tease comes on Monday, July 20th, with the same swell size but a longer 9-second period, giving it a bit more shape. The energy is solid at 217 to 222, and the wind is actually directly onshore in the afternoon, but the file labels it “unknown.” Look, on paper, it’s the best we’ve seen, but it’s still not good.
The one and only true standout in this entire 16-day window is Wednesday, July 22nd. The morning brings a 6ft, 10-second S swell, which is the biggest of the whole outlook. The combined energy hits a massive 580, which is a powerful, moderate-to-strong pulse. The wind is cross-shore, moderate, creating a bit of a cross-chop. This is a day for experienced surfers only because 6ft is pushing into the size that’s too much for beginners. The crowd factor at Fenway Beach is “sometimes,” so you might get some company, but it won’t be a circus. If you’re an expert, the 22nd morning is your only real window for a proper session.
Things fade out quickly after that. The 23rd through the 26th are small and weak, with energy dropping back below 100. The 27th and 28th see a rise in size again (4ft to 5ft), but the wind is mostly onshore and choppy, and the energy is strong but messy. The final days, July 29th, are clean and small again, but with no swell to speak of.
Bottom line: This is a tough period for Fenway Beach. There’s a 4-day gap of nothing at the start, and then a whole lot of poor to mediocre conditions. The only day that gets a nod is Wednesday, July 22nd, for the morning session. The rest is a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 43mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 27°C on Fri afternoon, min 20°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | S 6 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 6 | SSW 6 | S 6 | S 5 | SSE 5 | S 6 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
143 | 216 | 136 | 98 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 22 | 16 | 25 | 23 | 18 | 46 | 46 | 44 | 195 | 214 | 219 | 214 | 191 | 207 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:12PM1.06m | 9:40AM0.81m | 10:03PM1.03m | 10:36AM0.84m | 10:54PM0.98m | 11:29AM0.85m | 11:43PM0.91m | 12:20PM0.86m | 00:30AM0.83m | 1:12PM0.85m | 1:22AM0.75m | 2:12PM0.84m | 2:23AM0.68m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:49PM-0.09m | 3:45AM-0.09m | 3:44PM-0.07m | 4:35AM-0.10m | 4:42PM-0.04m | 5:23AM-0.09m | 5:37PM-0.00m | 6:08AM-0.07m | 6:32PM0.04m | 6:54AM-0.03m | 7:30PM0.09m | 7:46AM0.01m | 8:36PM0.13m | 8:43AM0.05m | |||||||
— | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | |
8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | 8:14 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 7 | — | 4 | 10 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 26 | 30 | 33 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | S 6 | SE 8 | S 6 | S 6 | SE 8 | S 6 | S 5 | SE 8 | S 6 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | — |
13 | 8 | 83 | 60 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 3 | 46 | 44 | 195 | 214 | 219 | 214 | 191 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | S 15 | SE 9 | E 3 | S 14 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 6 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | — |
— | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 17 | S 17 | S 15 | — | S 15 | SE 9 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | — | — | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 5 | 6 | 4 | — | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | — | SSW 6 | — | — | SSW 6 | — | E 2 | SSE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 8 |
143 | 216 | 136 | 98 | — | — | 32 | — | — | 25 | — | 1 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 207 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1290 | 195 | 24 | 8 | 30 | 769 | 256 | 856 | 645 | 2522 | 769 | 310 | 23 | 19 | 13 | 22 | 22 | 137 | 1 | 1 | 225 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rhode Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fenway Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fenway Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fenway Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fenway Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fenway Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fenway Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











