Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for your area. I gotta be straight with you—this 16-day window looks bloody grim. There’s no real swell to get excited about, and the wind just won’t play nice. We’re looking at a long stretch of days where you’re better off servicing your wax or watching the cams, but don’t lose hope; it’s the kind of stretch that can’t last forever.

Alright, let’s start with what’s on offer. The only break in the game is Fenway Beach—a breakwater spot that’s fairly consistent but only works on a SE swell. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is about average for this time of year, so no thermals needed.

Right now, Tuesday afternoon, it’s a total write-off. There’s a tiny 0.7 ft of swell from the ESE with a 9-second period, weak energy (13), and a cross-on wind from the WSW at 9 mph. It’s choppy and messy—zero stars.

We roll into Wednesday morning, and it’s even smaller, 0.3 ft from the SE at 10 seconds, with a direct onshore wind from the SSW. Not worth getting wet. Wednesday afternoon picks up a bit to 3 ft, but it’s all windswell from the SSW with a pitiful 4-second period, and a cross-on breeze at 16 mph making it choppy. No good.

Thursday morning sees the swell bump to 5 ft from the SSW, period 7 seconds, and combined energy of 278 (moderate), but that cross-on wind from the WSW at 16 mph is going to ruin it. It’s a mess. Thursday afternoon drops to 5 ft, same story.

Friday morning and afternoon finally clean up—clear skies, a cross-off wind from the NNW and WNW, and 2 ft from the S. The swell is weak (energy 44 and 57) and the period is short (6-7 seconds), so it’s not going to shape up. It’s clean but tiny.

Saturday morning turns glassy with a 1 ft swell from the S, period 6 seconds, energy 20. It’s pretty, but there’s nothing to ride. Saturday afternoon stays poor.

The whole first week is a washout. From Sunday the 13th through to Saturday the 19th, almost every session is labelled “poor surf conditions.” The swell remains tiny, below 3 ft, with short periods and cross-on or onshore wind. There’s a tiny glimmer on Saturday afternoon, the 19th—a clean 3 ft from the SW at 6 seconds, cross-off wind from the NNW, energy 85. But it’s still weak and short-period, so don’t get your hopes up.

Now, Sunday the 20th we get a nice offshore wind from the N, 9 mph, and a glassy afternoon. The swell is only 1.0 ft from the SE, but the period is a lovely 11 seconds, energy 31. It’s clean, but you’ll be waiting for a set that never comes.

The only half-decent window appears on Monday the 21st. Monday morning: clear skies, a cross-off wind from the ENE at 9 mph, swell 4 ft from the E at 6 seconds, and combined energy of 105 (moderate). The report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s the best we’ve seen, but it’s still short-period and weak. For a beginner, 4 ft is fine, but it won’t be good. Monday afternoon gets onshore and turns to poo.

Tuesday the 22nd morning sees a bigger 7 ft swell from the ESE at 7 seconds, energy 417 (strong), but that cross-on wind from the SSW at 9 mph will chop it up. That’s expert territory if you’re brave, but the wind won’t help.

After that, it’s back to tiny, choppy nothingness for the rest of the outlook.

So, what’s the call? There’s no standout. If I had to pick the best on offer, it’s Monday the 21st morning at Fenway Beach—4 ft from the east, clean cross-off wind, and moderate energy. But it’s still ordinary. For a breakwater spot that needs a SE swell, we’re not getting the right direction or size. This setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the onshore winds and moderate swell sizes.

Hang in there, mate. The blank run is normal for this area, and forecasts can change. I’ll be watching the charts.

- Rusty

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