Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it, folks. Rusty here, and I’ve got the full 16-day picture for Fenway Beach. Normally, I’d be stoked to give you a green light, but honestly, this is a pretty grim stretch. There’s a big empty gap for the first few days.

We start off on Tuesday, July 14th, and it’s a no-go straight out of the gate. The water’s a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 66°F, which is a reminder winter’s not quite done with us. The swell is weak, with a combined energy of just 156, and it’s coming in at a short, bumpy 6 seconds from the SSW. That's all muddied up by a fresh cross-onshore wind at 22 mph. It’s just lumpy, poor surf. Forget about it.

Wednesday, July 15th, is a little better in the afternoon. The wind backs off and turns cross-off, cleaning things up, but the swell is still small and weak at 4ft from the SW. It’s a “clean” looking wave on paper, but there’s no real energy (only 166) to make it worth paddling out. A flat, weak groomer.

From Thursday, July 16th, through to Saturday, July 18th, it’s almost completely flat. Swell heights drop below 2ft, and the combined energy dips into the pathetic 20 to 56 range. There’s nothing to ride. This is a solid 3-day dead zone.

The pattern starts to shift a little on Sunday, July 19th. The afternoon shows a bit of life with a 4ft, 8-second S swell, and the energy jumps to 201 (moderate). But the wind is a gentle cross-shore, creating a slight chop. It’s rideable, but still poor. The real tease comes on Monday, July 20th, with the same swell size but a longer 9-second period, giving it a bit more shape. The energy is solid at 217 to 222, and the wind is actually directly onshore in the afternoon, but the file labels it “unknown.” Look, on paper, it’s the best we’ve seen, but it’s still not good.

The one and only true standout in this entire 16-day window is Wednesday, July 22nd. The morning brings a 6ft, 10-second S swell, which is the biggest of the whole outlook. The combined energy hits a massive 580, which is a powerful, moderate-to-strong pulse. The wind is cross-shore, moderate, creating a bit of a cross-chop. This is a day for experienced surfers only because 6ft is pushing into the size that’s too much for beginners. The crowd factor at Fenway Beach is “sometimes,” so you might get some company, but it won’t be a circus. If you’re an expert, the 22nd morning is your only real window for a proper session.

Things fade out quickly after that. The 23rd through the 26th are small and weak, with energy dropping back below 100. The 27th and 28th see a rise in size again (4ft to 5ft), but the wind is mostly onshore and choppy, and the energy is strong but messy. The final days, July 29th, are clean and small again, but with no swell to speak of.

Bottom line: This is a tough period for Fenway Beach. There’s a 4-day gap of nothing at the start, and then a whole lot of poor to mediocre conditions. The only day that gets a nod is Wednesday, July 22nd, for the morning session. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty.

Read more