Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Grim times ahead, folks. I’m lookin’ down the barrel of the next sixteen days and, honestly, there’s not a whole lot to get excited about. The swell window for Fenway Beach is just about shut. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and messy conditions comin’ our way.

For the first week, from Wednesday the 5th through to Tuesday the 11th, it’s a write-off. Swell heights are stuck between 2ft and 4ft, with periods mostly at a dismal 6 to 7 seconds. That’s just wind chop, not real surf. The energy readings are weak, all under 100, mostly sitting in the 30s and 50s. The wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore, from the SW or SSW, which is gonna leave the surface all chopped up and bumpy. There’s no power, no shape, no nothing. It’s a week of staring at a lake.

We get a little tease mid-period. On Wednesday the 12th and again on Friday the 14th, there’s a brief shift to a WNW cross-offshore wind. That’s glassy, clean conditions, but the swell is still only 2ft. It’s knee-high perfection on a breakwater at a beginner spot. If you’re desperate for a splash on a foamie, that’s your window, but don’t expect to get your hair wet. The energy is still real weak, below 40.

The only sign of life in the whole forecast comes on Monday the 18th. The swell bumps up to 3ft, but the period only stretches to 8 seconds. The combined energy finally climbs into the moderate range, hitting 144 in the morning and 127 in the afternoon. That’s the biggest push of the whole window, but it’s coming from the ESE, which is cross-onshore for the break. It’s gonna be a bit lumpy. It’s not big, but it’s the best we’ve got on offer, and it’s more than a week out, so I wouldn’t book a flight over it. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Fenway Beach is a fairly consistent break, which is almost a cruel joke given the lack of swell. If you’ve got a log and a lot of patience, the clean mornings on the 12th, 14th, and 16th are the only time the paddle out won’t be a fight. But for the rest of it, with the onshores and weak energy, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. Don’t hold your breath, and keep an eye on the charts—it tends not to stay this bad for long.

Rusty.

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