Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Fenway Beach. I gotta be straight with you—this is a tough one to call. The outlook is pretty bleak for the whole 16-day window, with no real surf to get excited about. The first week is a write-off, and even the second week, while things pick up a bit, never really delivers anything worth paddling out for.

Starting from now and right through to the end of September, we’re looking at a long, frustrating gap. For the first several days, the swell is tiny and the wind is all over the place. The best we can say is that on Sunday the 13th, the afternoon glass-off with a light WSW breeze at 5 km/h will make the ocean look like a pond, but with only 3 ft of weak, short-period swell from the SSE, it’s just not going to break. The combined energy is a measly 55 (weak energy), and the 5-second period means it’ll be gutless. The water temp is about 69°F, which is normal for this time of year.

The real story is that there’s just no pulse. The swell direction is mostly from the S to SE, which is off the optimum for the break (SE), but the size never gets over 4 ft, and even that small bump on Thursday the 10th is chopped up by a 16 mph cross-wind. It’s a no-go.

Things do get a little more interesting in the second week. On Monday the 21st, we finally see some proper energy with a combined energy of 104 (moderate) in the morning and 136 by the afternoon. The swell picks up to 4 ft to 4 ft from the ESE with a 6 to 7-second period, which is still short and weak. The wind is a clean cross-off from the ENE at 15 to 16 mph, so conditions will be tidy. But the waves are still small and weak, and the score says it’s poor surf. It’s just not enough.

Then on Tuesday the 22nd, the combined energy jumps to 246 (moderate) with a 2 ft to 4 ft swell from the E and SE, but the wind is a near gale at 31 to 34 mph from the ENE. That’s not surfable. That’s a kite session if you’re into that sort of thing.

The very end of the window, on Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th, offers the only real glimmer. On Wednesday afternoon, we get 3 ft from the SSE with a fresh offshore from the NNW at 19 mph, making for clean conditions. The combined energy is 154 (moderate). It’s described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” and the score is a 1. On Thursday the 24th, the morning has gentle offshore winds and 3 ft from the SE, and by the afternoon it’s glassy with 3 ft. The combined energy drops to 87 (weak). It’s small, it’s clean, but it’s not a standout.

So, what’s the best on offer? Honestly, the standout is probably Thursday the 24th afternoon. The glassy conditions and a clean 3 ft swell from the SE will be about as good as it gets. It’s still small, but for a beginner-friendly break like Fenway Beach, it’s the most user-friendly moment. The other option is Wednesday the 23rd afternoon, with the offshore wind. But neither is a proper session. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a real dry spell. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d give the board a rest.

Rusty.

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