Fenway Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for anyone wanting to get wet at Fenway Beach. I’ve stared at the charts and there’s just nothing to get excited about. We’re looking at a whole lot of flat, weak, and messy conditions before anything even remotely rideable shows up.

Right now, and honestly for the next several days, we’re scraping the bottom of the barrel. Monday the 14th has a tiny 0.5m of short-period slop out of the south – period around 6 seconds, so it’s all chop and no push. The wind is cross-offshore which keeps the surface clean, but with combined energy of just 36, there’s nothing to work with. Tuesday and Wednesday are even worse, with the swell dropping to 0.3m and even 0.1m. It’s gutless. We’re looking at a solid stretch of nothing here.

We get a little blip on Sunday the 20th. Swell jumps to 1.5m out of the SSW, but the period is still a short 6 seconds, and the energy climbs to 142. It’s more water moving, but it’s all windswell – lumpy, disorganized, and without any real power behind it. The wind is cross-offshore in the morning, which is a plus, but honestly, the wave quality is still rated as poor. It’s not going to be a day you tell your mates about.

Then we hit another dry spell. Monday and Tuesday the 21st and 22nd are back down to 0.2m and 1.0m respectively. We get some size out of that Tuesday the 22nd afternoon, but the period is a shocking 5 seconds. It’s just bumpy chaos. Thursday the 24th is interesting, though. The swell builds to 1.8m – 1.9m from the ESE with a period of 10 seconds. The energy jumps way up into the 598-734 range, which is solid. The wind is cross-offshore, keeping things clean-looking, but the call is only a 1/10 for quality. It’s too raw, too jumbled, and probably closing out all over the place. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s messy.

After that, we’re back to marginal conditions through the end of the period. Friday the 25th has 1.3m and 1.2m of ESE swell with a better 12-second period, and the energy is still decent at 439 and 379. The cross-offshore wind is a plus, but it’s still only a 1/10 for surf quality. It’s clean-ish but weak and unreliable. Saturday the 26th brings in some cross-onshore wind with 0.9m and 0.8m, and it just turns into chop. By Sunday the 27th, we’ve got a strong cross-onshore breeze, 35 km/h, and the swell is back down to 0.6m. It’s a mess.

There’s a bit of a cleaner run right at the very end, the 28th and 29th, but the swell is tiny – 0.4m and 0.7m – and the period is short. The cross-offshore wind keeps it glassy, but there’s no power. It’s flat.

Look, I’m not going to sugarcoat it: there is no good surf in this entire 16-day window. Not once does the rating suggest anything worth paddling out for. The few days with any size – the 24th and 25th – are marred by poor quality. For the most part, this is a blank run. Maybe the conditions will change, and the forecasts will shift, but as it stands, you’re better off leaving the board in the shed for a couple of weeks.

For a break like Fenway Beach, which is a fairly consistent breakwater setup, this kind of prolonged flat spell is pretty abnormal. Usually, it’s more reliable than this. But sometimes the ocean just goes to sleep.

Stay frothy, but stay patient.

Rusty

Read more