Farmer Burgers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a pretty drawn-out run of average to poor conditions, with a few specific windows that stand out. The start is quiet, but the first real opportunity comes early on Wednesday the 15th. Farmer Burgers has a super clean, glassy morning with a 3 ft WSW groundswell pushing in at a long 16 seconds. The water is sitting at 57°, about 3° colder than what’s normal for this time of year, so you’ll feel that chill. The energy is moderate (421). It’s not big, but with the wind dead calm and the swell direction right in the optimum zone, it’s the best you’ll see for a few days. Expect a few shoulders to yourself, though crowds are possible here.

After that, things get messy. Wednesday afternoon turns cross-on and choppy, and Thursday sees a bump in size to 6 ft, but the wind is cross and a bit lumpy. The rest of that week and into the weekend is a write-off – cross-onshore winds, poor shape, and deteriorating swell. We’re looking at a big gap of three or four days where I wouldn’t bother paddling out.

It’s not until Tuesday the 21st afternoon that things start to get interesting again. The swell builds to 8 ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 2629 – strong stuff. The wind switches to onshore, which is a bit of a letdown, but the size and power are there. The model is hinting at something better the next morning, Wednesday the 22nd, with a 7 ft WSW swell and a clean cross-off breeze from the north. That’s a solid call for intermediates.

The real standout, though, is Sunday the 26th morning. This is the best of the whole outlook. The swell is 7 ft from the WSW at 15 seconds, a very long period groundswell that will wrap in nicely. The wind is a light cross-off from the SE, leaving the waves clean and lined up. The energy is strong (1902). This is a reef break, and that long-period swell is perfect for it – expect proper, powerful waves. It’s going to be a bit much for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it’s a gem. Just keep in mind, long-range forecasts have a bit of uncertainty, but this one is promising.

The end of the run is okay, with a clean offshore morning on Thursday the 30th, but the swell is smaller at 5 ft. Overall, the 16-day window is mostly a waiting game, but if you pick the right windows, there’s some real quality on offer.

Rusty

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