Farmer Burgers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Farmer Burgers.

First thing you need to know: the water is sitting at 57°, which is a bit colder than what we’d normally expect for this time of year – about 2° cooler. So, you’ll want a good wetsuit.

The action kicks off on Tuesday, July 7th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the WSW with a 12-second period, and the wind is cross-onshore out of the SSW. It’s going to be choppy and messy. The combined energy is moderate (769), but the conditions are just poor.

Wednesday the 8th is a bit of a tease. The morning shows a 5ft WSW swell with a longer 13-second period, but the wind is cross-shore from the south, making it marginal. The afternoon gets worse as the wind picks up to 12 mph from the SSW, making it choppy again. The energy is strong (over 1100), but the quality isn’t there.

Thursday the 9th is similar – a 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind is light cross-onshore. It’s surfable but not great. The energy is still strong (1002).

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday morning, July 10th, is a standout. The swell drops slightly to 5ft from the SW with a 13-second period, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm out of the west. The conditions are described as “very good.” The combined energy is a solid 701. This is the best window of the whole forecast. The morning session is the one to aim for. The afternoon holds the same glassy conditions with a 4ft swell, so you could get a double session in. For a reef break like Farmer Burgers, that longer-period groundswell with clean, glassy conditions is going to produce some nice, lined-up waves.

After that, the weekend drops off. Saturday the 11th sees the swell drop to 3ft with a 12-second period, and the wind turns cross-shore in the morning, then cross-onshore in the afternoon. The energy weakens. Sunday the 12th has a glassy morning with a tiny 3ft swell from the west, but the energy is low (255). From Monday the 13th through to Wednesday the 15th, it’s either very small or blown out. The wind on Wednesday the 15th is howling from the NNW at 22 mph with a 16-second period, but the swell is only 1ft – that’s a lot of wind for no wave. It’s a dead period.

Things start to look interesting again around Thursday, July 16th, but it’s a messy picture. The wind is onshore and strong, with a 4ft WSW swell. The energy picks up (522), but the conditions are poor. The morning of Friday the 17th is a bit better with a light cross-onshore wind and a 5ft swell, but it’s still only marginal.

The real long-range hope comes on Saturday, July 18th. The morning shows a 4ft WSW swell with an 11-second period, and the wind is offshore from the east at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (344), but the conditions are clean. That’s a good call.

Then, Sunday, July 19th, brings a bigger pulse. The morning swell is 6ft from the SW with a 12-second period, and while the wind is a moderate offshore from the ENE at 16 mph, it’s still clean. The energy is strong (949). This is a promising one for later in the window, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it. The afternoon also holds offshore winds, but the swell drops to 5ft.

After that, the surf drops off again through Monday and Tuesday, July 20th and 21st, with small, weak swells. The afternoon of Tuesday the 21st has a glassy 4ft swell from the WNW, but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be weak and disorganized.

Overall, the clear winner is Friday, July 10th. Get on it. The Sunday the 19th window is the other one to watch for a bigger, cleaner swell, but it’s a long way out.

Rusty.

Read more