Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, let’s talk Blackies. This is a beach and point setup that’s inconsistent, so don’t expect waves every day. The water is sitting at 72°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a real treat for the skin.

The first good chance won’t come until August 23rd, Sunday afternoon, but honestly, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at a weak 1ft swell from the SW with a very long 18-second period, but combined energy is a low 270, and it’s cross-on from the west at 12 mph. The surf is poor and choppy. Not worth a paddle.

Monday the 24th is a bit better, but still marginal. The morning has a 2ft SSW swell at 14 seconds, with light onshore wind from the SSW (3 mph). The combined energy is 333, but the forecast says it’s questionable due to tide. The afternoon is poor again.

Tuesday the 25th is more of the same – small, weak, and cross-on. The morning is marginal with a 2ft SW swell, but the afternoon is poor.

Wednesday the 26th shows a jump in size. The morning has 4ft of S swell at 13 seconds, with combined energy hitting 698 (moderate energy). The wind is light cross-on from the south at 6 mph, but it’s still only marginal due to tide. The afternoon is similar.

Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th are all poor or marginal, with cross-on winds messing up the shape. The swell sticks around 3ft to 2ft from the S/SSW, but the wind is just too onshore.

Saturday the 29th into Sunday the 30th is more of the same – poor conditions with moderate cross-on winds. The swell is around 3ft, but the wind kills it.

There’s a long gap of poor surf through the end of August and into the start of September. Most days are written off with poor surf conditions or are just marginal.

Now, the first real standout appears on Saturday, September 5th. The morning at Blackies is looking clean. We’ve got a 4ft SSW swell (16-second period), combined energy of 593, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW at 6 mph. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the one to circle. The wind will be clean, making for some fun, lined-up waves. It’s inconsistent here, so when it’s on, it’s worth the wait.

After that, Sunday, September 6th morning sees a bigger bump – 5ft from the S (14 seconds) with a very strong combined energy of 1315. The wind is light onshore from the SW at 3 mph. This is getting into the expert zone for size, and the period is still long. It’s marginal, but the energy is huge. The afternoon is 5ft and still marginal.

Monday, September 7th is still solid, with 5ft in the morning, but the wind shifts cross-on, and the surf quality drops off.

So, look, the pick of the whole 16-day window is Saturday morning, September 5th. It’s the only session where the wind and swell truly align for a clean, fun wave. The rest is a lot of waiting for the wind to behave.

Rusty.

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