Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty average for Blackies. The surf is going to be small and the winds are going to be working against us for the most part. It's not a total write-off, but you'll have to pick your moments.

The water is sitting at a warm 71°, which is notably warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least you won't need a thick suit.

We kick things off this Saturday, the 15th, with a small 3ft SSW swell pushing through. The period is a long 16 seconds, which is nice, but a cross-on W breeze will have it looking a bit messy. The combined energy is moderate at 602, so there’s a bit of push, but the conditions are just poor. Not worth getting too excited about.

Sunday the 16th is a marginal call. The swell drops slightly to 3ft, still from the SSW with a 16-second period. The morning looks cleaner with a light WSW cross-on, but it's still not great. The afternoon sees the wind pick up and it gets choppy. I'd say it's a maybe, but don't expect much.

Monday the 17th, the swell eases to 3ft. Morning looks a bit better with a light SW onshore wind, making things clean-ish. But again, it's marginal. The rest of the week pretty much follows the same pattern: small swells from the SSW dropping from 3ft down to 1ft by the 22nd. Periods shorten a bit, and winds keep flipping between light cross-on and onshore. There's just no real push or clean window to get excited about.

We get a slight change around the 23rd and 24th as the swell direction shifts to the SW and the periods get longer, with one reading at 19 seconds. But the heights are tiny, only 1ft to 2ft. The energy is still moderate, but it's not going to translate to anything rideable for most. There's a little glimmer on the morning of the 25th with a light 5 km/h SW wind, but the swell is still only 2ft.

The standout, and I mean the only one that gets my heart rate up, is the morning of Saturday the 29th of August. We’ve got a 3ft SSW swell with a long 18-second period, and the combined energy jumps right up to a strong 777. The wind is light and from the SW, which is that clean, offshore direction for Blackies. This is the pick of the fortnight. It’s a week and a half away, so don’t book your flights yet, but it’s looking promising. It won't be huge, but with that long period and clean conditions, it could be a fun one for the intermediate crew. The beach and point setup here can get a bit inconsistent, but when a window like this lines up, it's worth the wait.

Before that, the morning of Friday the 28th looks marginal, and the afternoon on the 29th gets chopped by a cross-on W breeze. So that Saturday morning window is the one.

After that, the 30th looks like it gets a bit messier again with a cross-on SSE breeze.

So, in short: the next week and a half is pretty poor. The one to circle on the calendar is the morning of the 29th of August. It's not a classic, but it's the best we've got.

Rusty.

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