Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this 16-day outlook for Blackies is a tough one to write. It’s a proper flat spell, with nothing worth paddling out for. The first bit of action we see is on Friday, July 31st, and even that’s a struggle.

We start Friday morning with a 4ft south swell, period at 14 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 500. The wind is a light onshore breeze from the WSW at 6 mph, and it’s got that “marginal” feel to it. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. But honestly, by Friday afternoon, the swell drops to 3ft, the wind picks up and turns cross-onshore, and it’s all downhill from there.

The rest of the first week, from Saturday August 1st through to Thursday August 6th, is a total write-off. We’re looking at swell heights between 1ft and 3ft, with periods around 12 to 13 seconds. The energy is weak, scraping in at just 117 to 295. Winds are light to gentle, but always cross-onshore or onshore, making for choppy, poor conditions. There’s nothing to get excited about.

Then we roll into the second week. Friday August 7th shows a glimmer of hope with a 2ft swell, but check the period—19 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, but unfortunately, it’s tiny. The energy is moderate at 300, but the wind is onshore, and the surf quality is still poor. Saturday August 8th through to Wednesday August 12th is more of the same: 1ft to 3ft swells, long periods between 14 and 19 seconds, but the energy never gets above 300, and the winds are a mix of light onshores and light cross-onshores. It’s flat, it’s weak, and it’s frustrating.

Thursday August 13th and Friday August 14th see a slight increase in wind, with a moderate breeze picking up to 12 mph, making it choppy and cross-onshore. The swell stays small, around 2ft to 2ft, with energy peaking at 354. Still, poor surf conditions across the board.

The final day in the window, Saturday August 15th, gives us a 3ft south-southwest swell with a 16-second period, and energy at 378. The wind is light cross-onshore, creating small wind ripples. It’s the best of a bad bunch, but “best” here still means poor surf. This break is inconsistent, and this run of flat, poor conditions is pretty normal for the area. It’s a blank run, and forecasts can change, but right now, there’s no standout day. Don’t bother waxing up for a while.

Rusty.

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