Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Blackies has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The water is sitting at a very unusual 71°F right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. The week starts with tiny, messy surf. Friday afternoon we’re looking at a weak 2 ft from the SW, but with a cross-on breeze and the combined energy of all swells being only 489, it’s just not worth paddling out. The conditions are poor, with a bit of chop.

Saturday morning shows a little bump up to 3 ft from the SW, but it’s still cross-on and the energy is moderate (745). It’s marginal at best, and the same goes for Sunday and Monday. The swell sticks around the 3 ft to 4 ft mark, but it’s a short-period, onshore-influenced mess. The wind is light, but it’s coming from the wrong direction, keeping things choppy and uninviting. This is a beach and point setup, but it’s been inconsistent, and right now it’s showing why.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are more of the same – poor surf with cross-on winds and low energy. The swell drops off a cliff by Wednesday afternoon, with the combined energy falling to 502.

Then comes a glimmer of hope. Friday the 31st of July, we see a solid pulse of swell. The morning shows 6 ft from the S, with a period of 14 seconds, and the energy jumps to 1249 – strong stuff. The wind is light and offshore from the WSW in the morning. This is the standout window. The wave period is long enough to offer some proper shape, but it’s worth noting that bigger swells over 5 ft can be a handful for beginners, and when it’s a beach and point setup, those long-period S swells can sometimes break a bit too straight. Still, clean conditions with that offshore wind make it the best bet by far.

Saturday the 1st of August, the swell drops back to 5 ft from the S, but the period shortens to 13 seconds and the wind goes cross-on. It’s still a moderate option, but not as clean as Friday. By Sunday the 2nd, we’re back to small, weak surf, and the entire second week of August looks flat. From Monday the 3rd right through to Saturday the 8th, we’re looking at tiny waves – 1.0 ft to 2 ft – with weak energy readings (70 to 152) and poor conditions. The wind is either cross-on or onshore, and the combined energy is barely registering.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a write-off. The only real standout is Friday the 31st of July, with the morning offering the cleanest, most powerful waves of the 16-day window. After that, it’s a long, flat run. This spot is known for being inconsistent, so a blank spell like this is pretty normal for the area. Forecasts can change though, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty, signing off.

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