Surf Forecasts:
Blackies surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 826 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blackies this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Blackies in the next 16 days are 1.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 14s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blackies over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you on this one. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and choppy conditions ahead at Blackies (beach and point). The water is a balmy 69.3°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least you won't freeze while you're staring at it.
The first real chance of anything rideable doesn't kick in until Sunday, July 19th. Through the weekend and into the following week, we see a bit of a bump, but it’s nothing to write home about. The swell stays small, mostly around 1.3 ft to 4.3 ft, coming from the SW and S, but the wind is a constant problem—cross-onshore and choppy for most of it. The whole period is a graveyard of “poor surf conditions” notes.
There is one little window that might be worth a look if you’re desperate. On Thursday, July 23rd, we see a solid pulse of S swell hitting 4.6 ft (cross-onshore) and building to 4.9 ft (onshore) in the afternoon. The combined energy jumps right up to 1041 (moderate energy) and then 1055. It’s still messy, but the wind is light, so it might be cleaner than the rest of the slop. That carries into Friday, July 24th with the swell holding at 4.9 ft to 6.2 ft, period stretching to 16 seconds, and energy hitting a massive 1935 to 1977. That’s a lot of juice, but at 6.2 ft, it’s pushing into expert-only territory at a beach break, and with that long period, it’s likely to be too straight and dumpy. Still, if you’ve got a step-up and a death wish, that Friday morning might be the best of a bad bunch.
Other than that, it’s a slog. The 26th has a flicker of 2.6 ft, 19-second groundswell, but it’s cross-onshore again. The 27th and 28th mornings have light onshore winds and small swell, but it’s marginal. Honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, with the constant cross-breeze and building swell.
Hang in there. It’s a dry spell, but forecasts change.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 15 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 78 | 96 | 90 | 64 | 88 | 126 | 130 | 74 | 77 | 246 | 255 | 275 | 581 | 582 | 826 | 540 | 506 | 294 | 397 | 358 | 362 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:32AM1.30m | 10:33PM2.02m | 12:13PM1.35m | 11:21PM1.85m | 12:54PM1.40m | 00:11AM1.62m | 1:37PM1.44m | 1:04AM1.37m | 2:22PM1.46m | 2:10AM1.12m | 3:11PM1.48m | 3:43AM0.93m | 4:03PM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:24PM0.57m | 5:42AM-0.37m | 5:19PM0.56m | 6:21AM-0.22m | 6:18PM0.56m | 7:00AM-0.02m | 7:23PM0.57m | 7:37AM0.19m | 8:40PM0.56m | 8:15AM0.39m | 10:11PM0.50m | 8:56AM0.58m | 11:42PM0.39m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | W 7 | W 9 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 15 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 15 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 65 | 50 | 90 | 48 | 62 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 77 | 246 | 139 | 275 | 581 | 582 | 826 | 540 | 506 | 294 | 397 | 358 | 362 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | SW 16 | WSW 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 18 | S 11 | SW 17 | SW 18 | W 5 | W 6 | S 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | W 6 |
| kJ | 8 | 96 | 12 | 64 | 88 | 77 | 130 | 74 | 47 | 99 | 255 | 154 | 305 | 300 | 13 | 10 | 149 | 232 | 112 | 114 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 5 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | W 6 | SW 6 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WNW 15 | W 15 | W 15 | S 14 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | 78 | 8 | 48 | 28 | 27 | 126 | 54 | 51 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 44 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 28 | 24 | 16 | 46 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSE 2 | SSE 2 | SSE 3 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 111 | 24 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 111 | 43 | 48 | 123 | 16 | 48 | 123 | 2 | 45 | 123 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Orange County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blackies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blackies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blackies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blackies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blackies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blackies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Blackies is 1 km (1 miles) from the city of Newport Beach. If you plan a vacation in Orange County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport Beach. Newport Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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