Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming up for Blackies.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch for the next 16 days. There’s practically nothing worth paddling out for. The whole period is plagued by onshore and cross-onshore winds, and the swell just isn’t cooperating. The best you can say is that there are some windows where it might be worth a look, but I wouldn’t get my hopes up too high.

The water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is a huge 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual.

Tuesday 8th September kicks off with poor surf. A small 3ft swell from the SSW, period 10 seconds, but with a cross-on wind from the WNW at 9 mph, it’s all choppy and messy. Combined wave energy (444) is moderate, but the conditions are just not there.

Wednesday 9th through to Monday 14th is a write-off. Swell drops to 1ft to 2ft, period is all over the place, and the wind is constantly cross-on. It’s just small, weak, and wind-affected with energy values as low as 176.

Tuesday 15th is also a bust. A tiny 1ft to 2ft, very long period swell (20 seconds) rolls in, but it’s so small and weak (energy at 256) that it won’t break properly. The long period also means it’ll be too straight for a beach break like this.

Wednesday 16th and Thursday 17th show a little more energy. Swell bumps up to 2ft-3ft from the SSW, period 16-18 seconds, and energy hits 382 and 468. The wind is light and cross-on to onshore, which is the best we’ll see. The data calls it “marginal,” and I’d agree. It’s the closest you’ll get to a surfable wave, but it’s still poor.

Friday 18th morning is interesting. A 2ft from the SW, period 19 seconds, with a light offshore wind (WSW, 3 mph). That’s the only snippet of clean conditions in the whole forecast. But the swell is tiny and the period is very long, so it’ll be slow and straight at Blackies. Energy is moderate (436), but it’s just too small to get excited about.

Saturday 19th to Wednesday 23rd sees the same pattern: 2ft to 3ft, long period, and cross-on winds. The energy stays moderate (292-483), but the quality never improves. A few mornings show “marginal” conditions with light winds, but the cross-on direction ruins it.

Bottom line: There’s nothing here for a surfer. The setup is better for a kite with the consistent cross-onshore breeze and moderate wave energy. I’d leave the board at home and check back in a couple of weeks.

Rusty

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