Surf Forecasts:
Blackies surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 17s period, SSW swell with 798 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blackies this week:
The surf forecast for Blackies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blackies in the next 16 days are 1.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 15s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blackies over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty again. Let's talk in feet and miles per hour.
Mate, Blackies is serving up a bit of a mixed plate. The first few days have some proper SW groundswell, but the tide and conditions are gonna keep it from being epic. The best window is early on, so you gotta be on it.
The first real chance is Monday, July 27th. Swell is 4ft from the SW, with a 18-second period – that’s low and slow, plenty of energy but long waits between sets. The water is 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. Wind is light and offshore from the SSW at 6 mph, so the surface should be clean. The combined wave energy is 767 (moderate). The report says it’s marginal due to tide, so the morning is your best bet. Afternoon drops to 3ft but the swell sticks around.
Tuesday, July 28th sees a similar 4ft SSW swell, period back to 17 seconds, but the wind swings to 9 mph from the S, cross-onshore, which will put a bit of a bump on the face. The morning might still be okay for the patient surfer, but the energy is still moderate at 786. By afternoon, the wind goes back to light and offshore, so it could clean up.
Wednesday, July 29th is a no-go. Swell drops to 3ft–3ft, period shortens to 16 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore. The combined energy halves to 424–502 – weak. Report says poor conditions, so skip it.
Thursday, July 30th offers a bit more hope. Swell picks up to 5ft from the S, period 14 seconds, and the wind is light and offshore from the SW at 6 mph. Energy is strong at 815. The morning looks clean and the waves should have a bit of push. Still marked as marginal, but this is one of the better windows.
Friday, July 31st is the standout. Swell hits 5ft from the S, period 14 seconds, and the morning has light offshore wind from the SW at 6 mph. Combined energy is 843 – strong. This is the biggest, cleanest swell of the run. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-onshore, so get on it early.
After that, it’s a slow fade. Saturday, August 1st drops to 4ft, period 12 seconds, and the wind is light and offshore in the morning. Still worth a look, but the quality is tailing off. Sunday, August 2nd through to Tuesday, August 11th is a long stretch of small, weak swell – mostly 1.0ft to 2ft, with periods varying from 12 to 21 seconds. The energy is weak (94 to 499), and the wind is often cross-onshore or choppy. The report calls it poor or marginal at best. There’s a tiny spike on Friday, August 7th with 2ft and 19-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not worth the drive.
Bottom line: if you’re after a wave, your best bet is Friday, July 31st morning at Blackies, with that 5ft S swell, light offshore wind, and strong energy. Thursday morning is a solid backup. The rest of the 16 days is mostly small and messy, with a real gap from Sunday the 2nd onwards. Blackies is inconsistent at the best of times, and this run shows why. It’s not a total blank, but it’s close.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 20°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 21°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 719 | 601 | 742 | 580 | 651 | 392 | 582 | 469 | 790 | 757 | 779 | 609 | 402 | 515 | 373 | 268 | 106 | 73 | 49 | 46 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:36PM1.81m | 10:30AM1.16m | 9:09PM1.83m | 10:53AM1.20m | 9:41PM1.82m | 11:17AM1.24m | 10:14PM1.77m | 11:41AM1.29m | 10:47PM1.67m | 12:08PM1.34m | 11:25PM1.53m | 12:37PM1.40m | 00:07AM1.35m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:24PM0.78m | 3:57AM-0.14m | 2:59PM0.73m | 4:24AM-0.15m | 3:34PM0.69m | 4:50AM-0.13m | 4:10PM0.65m | 5:16AM-0.08m | 4:49PM0.62m | 5:41AM0.01m | 5:33PM0.60m | 6:06AM0.12m | 6:24PM0.58m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | 7:54 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 |
| kJ | 719 | 601 | 742 | 580 | 651 | 392 | 582 | 469 | 790 | 757 | 779 | 609 | 402 | 515 | 373 | 268 | 106 | 48 | 40 | 31 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | S 9 | W 5 | W 6 | W 7 | W 7 | S 12 | SSW 8 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 22 | 32 | 42 | 21 | 276 | 360 | 273 | 181 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 32 | 73 | 24 | 44 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | S 10 | SSE 16 | S 19 | W 6 | W 7 | W 7 | S 16 | — | W 9 | W 7 | — | — | W 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 37 | 7 | 25 | 188 | 19 | 32 | 21 | 192 | — | 2 | 26 | — | — | 9 | 15 | 15 | 88 | 26 | 49 | 46 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 116 | 24 | 48 | 103 | 16 | 48 | 111 | 32 | 48 | 111 | 32 | 48 | 111 | 0 | 111 | 89 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Orange County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blackies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blackies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blackies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blackies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blackies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blackies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Blackies is 1 km (1 miles) from the city of Newport Beach. If you plan a vacation in Orange County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport Beach. Newport Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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