Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' over at Blackies.

Honestly, it’s a bit of a grim stretch for the next couple of weeks. We've got a pulse of energy coming through right at the start, but after that, things really drop off and stay pretty flat for a long, long time. There's a big gap from September 8th onwards where I wouldn't even bother paddling out. The water is sitting at 74°, which is 6° warmer than it should be for this time of year, so that's a very unusual warm anomaly, but it won't help the wave count.

The only time you might want to get wet is on Sunday, September 6th. The morning is a bit messy with light rain, but we have a solid 5ft south swell running with a 14-second period, giving moderate wave energy (1088). It's a bit of a beast for a beach and point break like Blackies; 5ft is pushing into that territory where it's a handful for beginners. The real treat is Sunday afternoon. The wind swings offshore from the north-northeast at 12 mph, cleaning up that 5ft south swell (energy at 982). It’s not often you get that combo here, so if you’re an intermediate or above, that Sunday afternoon session is your best and only real standout. That swell direction from the south is pretty much on the money for what Blackies likes.

After that, the plug gets pulled. Monday the 7th still has some size, but the wind is all wrong, turning it into a choppy mess. From Tuesday the 8th onwards, the swell drops below 3ft and the wind stays cross-on or onshore for days on end. We're talking about a solid 12 days of poor conditions. There’s a bit of energy left from a long-period swell (over 17 seconds) on the 18th, but it’s tiny and onshore. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, this kind of blank run is pretty standard when the weather patterns set in. This stretch looks more like a kite-surfing zone than a paddle-surfing zone, to be honest.

Keep your eyes on that Sunday afternoon window. That’s your wave.

Rusty.

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