
Surf Forecasts:
Blackies surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SSW swell with 348 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blackies this week:
The surf forecast for Blackies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blackies in the next 16 days are 0.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blackies over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee, let’s see what we’ve got for Blackies over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, mate, this is a tough stretch to call. We’re looking at a long run of tiny, messy surf. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which is 4° warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s a fair bit warmer than you’d expect, so you might get away with a spring suit or even just boardshorts if you’re tough.
Right now, and for the next week or so, the waves are small—hovering around 1 ft to 2 ft. The swell is coming from the SSW and SW with periods mostly in the 13 to 20 second range. That’s a long period groundswell, which usually means good shape, but with these tiny heights, it’s barely breaking. The wind is a killer too—almost always cross-onshore or onshore, so it’s choppy and lumpy. The combined swell energy is mostly weak to moderate, sitting between 151 and 254 (moderate energy), but it’s all poorly directed. Nothing is coming together.
There’s a slight flicker on Wednesday the 16th morning, where the swell bumps up to 3 ft with light cross-onshore wind, and the energy climbs to 370 (moderate). But it’s still rated as marginal at best—tide and shape will be a problem. That’s the only window that even flirts with being rideable in the first week.
The second week doesn’t get much better. Swells stay small, 2 ft to 3 ft, and the wind stays frustratingly cross-onshore or onshore. The energy numbers creep up into the 300s and even 400s by the 20th and 21st (moderate to strong), but without clean wind, it’s just not going to be fun. Blackies is an inconsistent spot anyway, so a blank run like this is pretty normal for the area. It’s a beach and point setup, and with these conditions, it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
No standouts here, folks. The best I can say is keep an eye on Wednesday morning the 16th and maybe Monday the 21st, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a solid two weeks of poor surf.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 9 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 20 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
97 | 89 | 87 | 214 | 108 | 108 | 147 | 93 | 127 | 87 | 348 | 249 | 291 | 198 | 191 | 284 | 236 | 236 | 183 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:51PM1.53m | 11:01AM1.70m | 11:34PM1.34m | 11:29AM1.66m | 00:22AM1.15m | 11:58AM1.59m | 1:27AM0.98m | 12:32PM1.51m | 3:57AM0.88m | 1:20PM1.42m | 2:46PM1.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:48AM0.27m | 5:31PM0.18m | 5:12AM0.44m | 6:17PM0.23m | 5:33AM0.61m | 7:12PM0.30m | 5:47AM0.76m | 8:27PM0.37m | 5:19AM0.88m | 10:13PM0.38m | 11:44PM0.31m | ||||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:53 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 9 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 9 | W 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 6 |
23 | 43 | 31 | 214 | 88 | 38 | 22 | 19 | 40 | 20 | 348 | 249 | 291 | 198 | 191 | 284 | 236 | 236 | 37 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 6 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 21 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
97 | 89 | 87 | 44 | 108 | 108 | 147 | 93 | 88 | 87 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 72 | 67 | 111 | 118 | 104 | 139 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 13 | W 10 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | S 9 | WSW 5 | SW 13 | SW 21 | SW 21 | WSW 4 | W 5 | S 11 | SW 19 |
13 | 12 | 58 | 129 | 44 | 17 | 38 | 37 | 127 | 69 | 15 | 6 | 43 | 116 | 116 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 183 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 2 | SSE 2 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 2 | — | — | W 6 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 15 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 89 | 35 | 48 | 111 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 29 | 48 | 123 | 2 | 121 | 123 | 29 | 111 | 123 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Orange County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blackies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blackies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blackies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blackies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blackies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blackies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Blackies is 1 km (1 miles) from the city of Newport Beach. If you plan a vacation in Orange County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport Beach. Newport Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










