Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s look at Blackies for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, straight up, the outlook is a tough one. We’ve got a solid 16-day window here, but for the first several days, there’s really nothing to get excited about. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave energy is weak. It’s a real flat spell to start.

We kick things off on Wednesday, August 5th. The swell is tiny at 1 ft from the SW, with a period of 14 seconds – that’s a long period, but there’s just no size to it. The combined energy is a weak 91, and the wind is on it, blowing onshore from the WSW at 6 mph. The water is a warm 74°, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s weirdly toasty, but that doesn’t help the waves. The surf is poor.

That pattern sticks around through Thursday and Friday, August 6th and 7th. The swell bumps up just a hair to 2 ft and 2 ft, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. The energy climbs a bit, hitting 330 on Friday morning, but with that 19-second period, it’s a long-period groundswell that just doesn’t have the size to do anything at a beach-and-point setup like Blackies. It’s still poor.

Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th bring a tiny improvement, with the swell nudging up to 2 ft and 3 ft, and the period dropping to a more reasonable 15-16 seconds. But the wind is still cross-onshore, keeping things choppy and messy. The energy is moderate, around 300-320, but the surf is still rated as poor or marginal. Not a single standout in the first week.

We roll into the second week, and the pattern stays stubborn. Monday the 10th through to the end of the window on Thursday the 20th, it’s the same story. Swell hovers between 2 ft and 3 ft, mostly from the SSW. The wind is a mix of light onshore and cross-onshore breezes. The energy fluctuates, getting as high as 591 on the afternoon of Friday the 14th, but that’s a long-period (18 seconds) swell, and the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be clean. The surf remains poor or marginal.

There is no break in this forecast that rates as a true standout. The entire window is a gap of poor to marginal surf. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the mornings of Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th might offer the best chance, with the swell hitting 3 ft to 3 ft and light cross-onshore winds, but it’s a gamble. The best we can say is that it’s inconsistent, so don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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