Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's talk shop. It's looking pretty bleak for Blackies for the first stretch here. We've got small, weak swell and winds that just won't cooperate. The water is warm, coming in at 71°F, which is a good few degrees above normal, but that's about the only highlight.

Thursday the 10th is a washout. There's a 3ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, but that SSE cross-onshore breeze just chops it all up. The wave energy is moderate at 476, but it's all for nothing. Friday and Saturday aren't any better; the swell drops to 3ft and then 2ft with cross-shore winds. It's just messy.

From Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th, we're looking at a proper flat spell. Swell drops to around 1ft to 2ft. It's not even worth suiting up. The numbers are down in the doldrums, energy-wise. This is a dead patch.

Things start to stir again on Wednesday the 16th. Swell bumps back up to 3ft from the SSW with an 18-second period, and energy climbs to 368. The winds are light, but still onshore. It's marginal at best. This pattern carries through the week, with the mornings looking a bit cleaner.

The first real window opens up on the weekend of the 19th and 20th. Saturday morning the 19th has a 2ft SSW swell, but the wind is a light 5 km/h cross-on breeze, almost glassy. Sunday the 20th is similar, with a 3ft SW swell, 18-second period, and a light 5 km/h offshore wind. These two mornings are your best shots for a clean, small wave. Remember, this break is inconsistent, so you'll be doing some waiting.

Into the next week, the 21st and 22nd hold around 3ft from the SW with 16-17 second periods. The mornings have light offshore winds again, which is promising. Monday the 21st looks the best, with energy at 521.

But then the swell fades again late in the week. Then, on Friday the 25th, the swell drops to 2ft, but the period jumps to a massive 21 seconds. That's very long-period groundswell. It brings a ton of energy – 439 in the morning, climbing to 475 in the afternoon. This kind of swell can be tricky at a beach and point setup like Blackies, maybe breaking a bit straight, but it has real potential for a point break. It's a long way out, so consider it promising but uncertain.

So, the first week is a write-off. The second week has a few windows, with the mornings of the 19th and 20th being the most reliable. And that last call on the 25th could be a wildcard. Keep your eyes on it.

Rusty.

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