Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what we’ve got for our little stretch of coast. To be straight with you, the next 16 days look pretty grim for a proper paddle. We’re looking at a long, drawn-out run of poor surf conditions, with only a few brief moments that might get your hopes up.

The whole outlook centres on Blackies, a beach and point setup that’s inconsistent at the best of times. For the next week and a half, it’s mostly a story of onshore and cross-onshore winds messing things up. The swell is there, but it’s small and choppy. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing special.

We kick off Sunday the 30th of August with a 3.3ft SSW groundswell, but that 9 mph south wind is blowing straight across, making things messy. Combined wave energy is moderate (499), but the word on the beach is “poor surf conditions.” Monday and Tuesday don’t offer anything better – tiny swell, cross-onshore junk.

Wednesday the 2nd of September morning gives you a marginal nod (score 1/10) with a 2.6ft SSW groundswell, but the wind is still cross-onshore. It’s not happening.

There’s a little flicker of hope on Sunday the 6th of September. The morning session has a clean look with a light 6 mph offshore breeze from the NE and a 3.3ft S groundswell. The combined energy is solidly moderate (676) and for the first time in this outlook, the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s the standout of the whole 16-day window. The afternoon holds up okay too, with a 4.3ft S swell and a cross-offshore wind, though the score dips a bit.

After that, it’s back downhill. The swell builds a touch to 5.2ft on Tuesday the 8th, but it’s all cross-on junk. That size might be a bit much for beginners with the choppy conditions.

From Wednesday the 9th onwards, the swell drops, the period gets shorter, and the winds stay poor. The last few days from the 10th to the 14th of September are really dead – tiny 1.3ft to 2.3ft swell, long periods from the SW, but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s barely worth checking.

Honestly, if you want a wave, your best shot is the morning of Sunday the 6th of September at Blackies. That offshore breeze and clean, waist-high swell from the south is the only time this whole run looks like it’ll deliver anything worth paddling for. The rest is a write-off.

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