Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer down at Blackies. This is a beach and point setup that’s pretty inconsistent, so it’s not the kind of place that fires all the time. The water’s sitting at a very warm 72°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit at most.

The first thing you need to know is that the opening of the period is pretty grim. From Wednesday 12 August right through to the end of the window, we’re looking at a run of poor surf conditions. The swell is tiny, mostly around 2ft to 3ft, and it’s coming from the SW. The combined energy is weak to moderate, with readings like 198 (weak) and 292 (moderate) early on, but it’s all wind-affected or just not lining up. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, which is a killer for a spot like this – it’s going to keep things choppy and messy.

There’s a bit of a tease on Friday 14 August morning, with a long period swell of 19 seconds and the combined energy jumping to 403 (moderate wave energy), but the wind is still onshore and the wave comment says “poor surf conditions.” That long period groundswell is a good sign for energy, but at a beach and point, it can break too straight, and with the wind pushing across, it’s just not going to be clean.

Honestly, there’s no standout session in this entire 16-day outlook. The best you’ll get is a few “marginal” mornings, like Saturday 15 August morning and Tuesday 18 August morning, where the swell is around 2ft to 3ft and the wind is light and onshore. But even then, the wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” The crowds are often here, so even those marginal moments will be a bit of a scrum for very little reward.

The second week is even quieter. From 22 August onwards, the swell drops to 1ft, the energy falls to under 200 (weak), and the wind stays cross-onshore or light onshore. It’s a real flat spell. If you’re desperate, you might find a knee-high ripple on the board, but it’s not surf worth paddling for.

Because the swell is so small and the conditions are poor, this setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle. The winds are cross-onshore and consistent, so if you’ve got a kite, you could have some fun. For a surfer? Leave the boards in the car and check back in a week or two. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a blank run.

Rusty.

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