Surf Forecasts:
Blackies surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 629 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 19s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blackies this week:
The surf forecast for Blackies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blackies in the next 16 days are 1.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blackies over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me break down what we’re looking at for the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you – it’s a grim picture right out of the gate. The entire 16-day window is one long, flat, and frustrating gap. There are no good surf options on offer whatsoever. From now all the way through to the end of the forecast period, every single session is marked as poor. We're talking about a solid stretch of over two weeks with nothing worth paddling out for.
The swell is tiny, barely scraping 2 ft to 3 ft. The wind, while often light, is consistently cross-onshore or onshore, which just messes up what little bump there is. The combined swell energy stays weak to moderate, ranging from around 128 to 566, which tells you there's just no grunt in the water. Even when we see a bit more energy on Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th, with the combined energy hitting 513 and 566, it’s still paired with poor conditions and a messy wind. The water temperature is a standout though. It’s sitting at a balmy 73 °F, which is a full 6 °F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual and a nice little bonus if you do happen to get wet, but the surf itself is a total write-off.
Now, as for the only break we’ve got info on, Blackies. It’s a beach-and-point setup, inconsistent, and it rarely gets a decent run. This kind of blank stretch isn’t a total shocker for this area. It’s one of those spots that can go quiet for a while. The optimum swell direction is from the west, and we're seeing swell from the SSW and SW, so the direction's not ideal either. The period does hit some nice long numbers – 18 seconds and even 19 seconds on that Friday the 14th – but with such small swell and bad wind, that long-period groundswell energy just doesn't have the size to stand up. It’s a frustrating one to watch.
Honestly, the setup here looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing if you’re desperate for a session. The winds are light to moderate, but the waves are a mess. Keep your board dry, wait for the next system, and hope the forecasts change. Things might not stay poor for long, but right now, there’s nothing to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 163 | 139 | 184 | 95 | 154 | 207 | 143 | 208 | 206 | 201 | 248 | 239 | 197 | 280 | 629 | 302 | 532 | 519 | 419 | 372 | 268 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 9:13AM1.23m | 8:03PM2.06m | 9:46AM1.33m | 8:52PM2.09m | 10:19AM1.41m | 9:37PM2.04m | 10:51AM1.48m | 10:22PM1.92m | 11:24AM1.54m | 11:05PM1.73m | 11:57AM1.56m | 11:50PM1.51m | 12:31PM1.56m | 00:39AM1.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:49PM0.69m | 3:18AM-0.38m | 2:41PM0.57m | 3:56AM-0.37m | 3:29PM0.47m | 4:32AM-0.29m | 4:17PM0.40m | 5:05AM-0.16m | 5:05PM0.37m | 5:37AM0.01m | 5:55PM0.37m | 6:07AM0.21m | 6:49PM0.40m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 163 | 139 | 99 | 95 | 154 | 207 | 143 | 208 | 206 | 201 | 248 | 239 | 171 | 280 | 629 | 302 | 532 | 519 | 419 | 372 | 268 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | SSW 19 | SW 14 | S 9 | SW 14 | S 11 | W 5 | W 5 | S 10 | W 6 |
| kJ | 65 | 97 | 184 | 33 | 57 | 28 | 27 | 47 | 27 | 38 | 40 | 42 | 197 | 169 | 27 | 151 | 21 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 22 | SSW 20 | S 10 | SSW 11 | W 11 | W 5 | W 11 | S 11 | S 11 | W 10 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 3 | 39 | 20 | 50 | 75 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 23 | 45 | 151 | 35 | 64 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 41 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | SW 9 | — | W 5 | SW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | W 4 | — | W 5 | W 5 | — | W 5 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 12 | — | 1 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 8 | — | 11 | 25 | — | 12 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 123 | 123 | 12 | 123 | 123 | 0 | 123 | 123 | 0 | 48 | 121 | 12 | 123 | 111 | 35 | 123 | 103 | 28 | 123 | 89 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Orange County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blackies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blackies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blackies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blackies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blackies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blackies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Blackies is 1 km (1 miles) from the city of Newport Beach. If you plan a vacation in Orange County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Newport Beach. Newport Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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