Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, let's be straight with you. The next 16 days here at Blackies are looking pretty grim. We’ve got a run of poor conditions with hardly any proper windows to get excited about. The forecast starts off weak, and while there’s a bit of pulse around the end of July, it’s never really going to fire. The water is sitting at a very warm 21°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year—honestly feels more like summer out there.

The first record kicks off on Saturday, July 25th, with a small southwest swell of 0.7m and a very long 21-second period. The wave energy is weak, just 519, and it’s described as poor surf conditions. Winds are light from the SSW, but it’s onshore and the waves are messy. Not worth paddling out.

Sunday morning, July 26th, sees a slight bump to 0.9m from the SSW, with a period of 19 seconds and moderate energy at 736. Still, it’s cross-onshore with light winds and small wind ripples. Marginal at best. The afternoon holds similar size but with a bit more onshore wind.

Monday July 27th brings cleaner conditions with clear skies, but the swell stays small at 1.1m from the SW, period 18 seconds, energy at 781. Cross-onshore wind keeps it bumpy. Tuesday the 28th is more of the same—1.2m from the SSW, period dropping to 17 seconds, energy climbing to 853. Still cross-onshore and marginal.

Wednesday July 29th turns ugly: stronger SSE winds at 15 km/h, cross-onshore and choppy, swell down to 0.9m, and energy dropping to 425. Thursday July 30th shows a bit more push with 1.4m from the south, period 14 seconds, energy jumping to 824, but it’s still onshore and messy.

The best chance in this whole window comes on Friday July 31st. We get 1.6m from the south, period 14 seconds, and the combined energy hits 1013—moderate to strong energy. Morning winds are light and onshore from the WSW, but the afternoon turns cross-onshore and bumpy. It’s marginal, but if you’re keen, the morning might offer something rideable. Still, nothing to write home about.

From Saturday August 1st onward, the swell fades fast. Heights drop below 1m by Sunday and then we’re into a long, flat run of nothing. Swell energy falls to two-digit numbers—weak. From August 2nd through to August 9th, it’s all poor conditions with tiny 0.4m to 0.6m swell, long periods between 15 and 18 seconds, and mostly onshore wind. The energy is gone, the waves are gone. Get the board waxed for something else, mate.

The standout here is a weak one: Friday July 31st morning. It’s the biggest swell of the run at 1.6m from the south, with moderate to strong energy (1013), but the winds aren’t clean. It’s a beach and point setup at Blackies, but the consistency is inconsistent here and the optimum swell direction is from the west. This south swell is not ideal. Honestly, this stretch of days is better suited for other sports—kite surfing if you’ve got the gear, because the wind is clean enough and the surf is poor.

Rusty.

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