Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this outlook for the next 16 days is a tough one. Blackies is the only spot on the radar, and it’s an inconsistent beach-and-point setup that barely flickers to life. We’ve got a big gap of nothing at the start, then a long stretch of poor conditions, with only a handful of marginal windows. If you’re desperate, there’s a tiny glimmer near the end, but don’t hold your breath.

Right off the bat, Thursday 30 July morning sees a pulse of 4ft swell from the south, with a solid 14-second period and a combined energy of 732 (moderate but on the strong side of medium). The wind is onshore from the southwest at 6 mph though, and the call is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” That’s the biggest swell of the whole run, but the onshore wind and tide issues will make it messy. By afternoon, the swell drops to 3ft and the wind picks up to 9 mph onshore—poor.

Friday 31 July is similar: 4ft in the morning from the south with 14-second period, energy at 500, but again onshore wind. The afternoon goes cross-onshore with 3ft and a 13-second period, energy down to 353. Choppy and average.

From Saturday 1 August through to Tuesday 5 August, we’re stuck with tiny swell—1ft to 2ft—and periods around 12 to 13 seconds. Energy drops to triple digits, as low as 96. Winds are mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and every session is rated poor. No surf worth paddling for.

Wednesday 6 August to Friday 7 August offers a tiny bump. On Friday 7 August morning, we see 2ft from the south-southwest with a very long 19-second period, energy at 337. The wind is light and onshore from the south-southwest at 6 mph. It’s marginal—tide and conditions could be off. That long period groundswell might hold up better at a point like Blackies, but with only 2ft, it’s a knee-high gamble. The afternoon is similar but cloudy.

Saturday 8 August and Sunday 9 August see 2ft to 3ft swell from the south-southwest with periods of 15 to 18 seconds, energy around 270 to 301. But winds are cross-onshore, making it choppy and poor. Not worth the drive.

Monday 10 August morning has 2ft from the south-southwest, 14-second period, energy at 297, with light onshore wind. Marginal again. The afternoon fades.

The last real chance comes on Wednesday 12 August and Thursday 13 August. Both mornings show 2ft swell from the south-southwest and southwest, periods of 16 to 17 seconds, energy around 324 to 304. Light onshore wind from the south-southwest at 6 mph. Marginal surf—tide and conditions will be the decider. That 16-second period is a long groundswell, so Blackies as a point might offer a few cleaner lines, but it’s inconsistent and rarely breaks, so don’t expect much.

Water temperature is about average for the time of year—no major anomaly to report.

The standout (if you can call it that) is Friday 7 August morning: the 2ft, 19-second period groundswell with light onshore wind. It’s tiny, but that very long period could give a few fun, glassy waves if the tide lines up. The direction is south-southwest, which matches the optimum west swell direction only loosely—so it’s a long shot. The combined energy of 337 is moderate, but the swell is so small it’s barely rideable. For experts only, given the inconsistency.

Honestly, this stretch looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer—small, onshore, and choppy. The forecast can change, but for now, keep your board in the car and check the tide charts.

Rusty.

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