Blackies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming our way over the next couple of weeks. I'll be straight with you—it's a tough stretch. We've got one real gem early on, but then things go pretty quiet for a long while.

The first good news is Saturday morning, July 4th, at Blackies. We’ve got a clean 2 ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a 14-second period—that's a nice long-period groundswell. The wind is dead calm, glassy, making for some clean, smooth conditions. The water temp is sitting at 67°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy of all swells hitting here is moderate at 337, and while it’s a bit on the weaker side, for a Saturday morning with offshore wind, it's our standout. Just a heads up, Blackies is an inconsistent spot, so you gotta be in the right place at the right time, and crowds are often a thing here.

Now, for the rest of the run. Saturday afternoon the wind swings cross-onshore and it gets choppy. Sunday morning (July 5th) sees a bigger 18-second period swell come through, and the energy bumps up to 380, but the wind is already on it, messing things up. Monday through the rest of the first week, and right into the second week from July 7th to the 19th, it’s mostly all poor surf conditions. We see a few moments on the morning of Tuesday July 7th and Wednesday July 8th where the swell hits 3 ft and the energy gets into the 700s, but the wind is always cross-onshore or choppy. The pattern is relentless.

From July 9th onward, the swell drops back to 3 ft or 3 ft, and the period starts fading from 15 seconds down to 12 seconds. The combined energy drops from the 400s to the 100s by mid-July second week. We’re looking at a long, dry gap with no surf worth chasing. There’s a tiny flicker on Saturday July 18th morning with a 2 ft SW swell and 17-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore again, and the energy is only 335, so it’s far from a goer.

Bottom line: if you can, get out Saturday morning for that glassy window. After that, the forecast looks pretty grim all the way through to July 19th. Not much else to say, but we know how forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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