Southerndown Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Southerndown’s looking at a long, quiet spell before a late bloomer might finally give us something to paddle for. No standout sessions at all, unfortunately.

We start the forecast period with absolutely nothing worth the drive. From Friday the 4th right through until Wednesday the 16th, the water’s flat or just plain slop. The first few days see a solid pulse of swell – up to 6 ft on Friday morning from the WSW, with moderate wave energy (414) – but it’s wrapped in a nasty 35 km/h cross-onshore wind. Raining too. That combo is just whitewash and chaos. A bigger, longer-period pulse rolls in Monday the 7th: 5 ft to 6 ft, 13-second groundswell from the WSW, and combined energy jumping to 746 and 903. Sounds promising, but the wind is smashing it – fresh cross-onshore both sessions. That’s a beach break getting torn apart. For a beginner break like Southerndown, that size with that wind is no fun for anyone.

Through that first week and into the second, it’s a parade of small, weak, wind-affected waves. Loads of cross-on and cross-shore wind, with heights mostly under 4 ft and periods under 8 seconds. Energy readings sit well under 200 most days. The water’s running at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – over 5° above the long-term average, so that’s a proper anomaly. Still doesn’t make the surf any better.

There’s a gap from the 4th all the way to the 17th with no surf worth mentioning. On Thursday the 17th, we finally see a shift: a 4 ft morning session with a light offshore from the NNE, clean conditions. Combined energy is moderate at 136. Afternoon stays clean with a 4 ft swell. The ratings are still low – just surfable but ordinary. Not a standout, just the first sign of life.

The real promise, though, lands on Friday the 18th. Morning brings 5 ft from the W, a light cross-offshore from the N, and combined energy jumps to 471. Conditions are clean. The period’s short at 7 seconds, so it’s not a classic groundswell, but it’s the best shape we’ve seen by a long shot. That’s the pick of the entire 16 days – still a ways off, so lock it in as promising but not guaranteed. After that, Saturday the 19th goes glassy in the morning with 3 ft, but it’s pretty weak.

Honestly, for a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a rough run. But it tends not to stay poor for long around here, and forecasts change. Keep an eye on that Friday the 18th session.

Rusty.

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