Nuns Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’ve had a look through the numbers for Nuns Beach. Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a long, flat gap staring us in the face. Don’t expect to get wet for a while.

Right now, through the rest of this week and into the next, it’s mostly small, weak junk. The combined wave energy is just hanging out in the low double digits and barely cracking 30 or 40 (34 for Thursday morning). That’s weak. You’re looking at knee-to-waist high dribble at best, mostly from the south and southeast, but the swell periods are short, around 4 to 6 seconds, so that’s just wind chop and no power. The winds are a bit of a mixed bag, but mostly onshore or cross-shore, not doing us any favors. The water is warm at 78°F, and mate, it feels weird because that’s a whopping 6°F warmer than normal for the time of year – a very unusual anomaly. But there’s zero surf to enjoy it in. Saturday the 12th sees a bit of onshore breeze and a meager 2ft to 3ft swell from the SE, still short period. Poor. Sunday the 13th morning goes glassy, but the swell is just 2ft. Clean but gutless.

Now, there is a tiny flicker of hope way down the track. The 24th of September – that’s Thursday – shows a bit of size bumping up. We’re talking a 4ft to 5ft swell from the east, with wave energy climbing into the low 200s (219 on the morning). That’s a moderate energy pulse. The period clocks in at 7 to 8 seconds, which isn’t long-period groundswell, but it’s better than the 4-second stuff. And here’s the kicker: the wind is fresh offshore from the WNW, and the wave comment says “clean.” That setup could actually be rideable. The swell direction from the east isn’t the optimum SE direction for this spot, but with that clean offshore wind, it’s the only window that looks like it could offer a couple of decent, clean lines at Nuns Beach. But let’s be real, as a 4ft east swell, it’s an option for a surf, not a standout.

That window closes fast. By Friday the 25th, the swell jumps to 6ft, then 7ft, but it gets messy. The wind swings onshore and cross, the energy spikes into the high 300s and 400s (355 to 456), and the wave comment turns back to “poor surf conditions.” That’s just a wind-blown mess. Given it’s a sandbar setup and it gets that big and chopped up, it’d be more fun for kite surfing than trying to paddle out in that lumpy, cross-shore chaos.

The rest of the 16 days after the 24th is a tale of more poor conditions and weak, short-period swell. There’s a couple of glassy mornings with super long-period swell (11 to 12 seconds) on the 18th and 20th, but the swell heights are 0.3ft and 1.0ft. That’s flat, my friends. Pointless.

Basically, Nuns Beach has no good surf to recommend in this entire 16-day run. The one half-decent chance on the 24th is promising but it’s a very short, unreliable window. If you’re itching for a paddle, that Thursday morning looks like your only shot, and it’s a long way off. Things will pick up eventually; forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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