Nuns Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright mate, I’ve gone over the numbers, and it’s a rough run. From the start of July 3rd all the way to the 18th, there isn’t a single surfable day. Not one. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak, and the conditions are mostly messy.

The big picture? Waves stay between about 0.7 ft and 3 ft for the whole 16 days. The best energy reading we get is 108—that’s barely moderate—and most readings are down in the teens and twenties. Swell comes from the SSE and ESE, with periods mostly 4 to 9 seconds, so it’s all short-period windswell. No groundswell to speak of.

Let’s break it down. Friday July 3rd starts with a 0.7 ft ESE swell at 9 seconds, light cross-off wind from the west at 3 mph, so it’s clean but there’s nothing to ride. That afternoon the wind jumps to 12 mph from the southwest, messing up the 1 ft swell. Saturday the 4th is clean in the morning with a light westerly, but the swell is still just 1 ft. Sunday the 5th brings more clouds and onshore wind, and the swell drops to 0.7 ft with a 8-second period—pathetic.

Monday the 6th afternoon shows a tiny bump to 2 ft, but the period is only 3 seconds from the SSE—that’s messy wind chop. Tuesday the 7th is the cleanest day of the whole forecast: a light 6-9 mph cross-off breeze from the WSW, and the swell hits 2 ft with a 6-second period. It’s clean but tiny and gutless. Wednesday the 8th gets a 16 mph NE wind, creating lumpy cross-shore conditions on 2 ft. That afternoon we get the highest energy reading—108—but the swell is only 2 ft from the east with a 9-second period and onshore wind. Not worth it.

From Thursday the 9th through to the 18th of July, it’s the same story: swells of 1 ft to 3 ft, mostly short-period, with onshore or side-shore winds keeping things choppy. There are a few clean windows—like Saturday July 11th morning with a strong cross-off breeze at 19 mph and 2 ft swell, or Tuesday July 14th morning with a light offshore NW wind at 6 mph and clean 1 ft waves—but the size just isn’t there.

If you’re a kite surfer, some afternoons with 12-19 mph side-shore winds and a bit of chop might be interesting, but for paddle surfing, there’s nothing. The water temperature anomaly isn’t given, but it doesn’t matter when the surf is this flat.

The best of a bad bunch is Tuesday July 7th, where you get clean 2-2 ft waves with light side-off winds on a beginner-friendly sandbar. But honestly, that’s scraping the barrel. Nuns Beach is a fairly consistent spot exposed to the SE, but with this tiny, weak run of swell, you’re better off doing something else. The near-term forecast is reliable, and it’s bleak. Things can change, but right now, I’d say enjoy a couple weeks off.

Rusty.

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