Nuns Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this 16-day stretch for Nuns Beach is a tough one to write up. There are no proper good surf days on offer, so if you’re chasing waves, you’re going to be waiting a while. The entire run is rated as poor, which means we’re looking at a long gap with no worthwhile recommendations right from the start. It’s a blank run, and honestly, that’s not all that unusual for this stretch of coast when the swell window and winds just won’t line up.

The water is sitting at 77° on that first morning, which is a solid 6° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a big deal – the ocean is running well above average, so even if there’s no surf, it’s going to feel like bathwater out there.

Now, if you’re determined to paddle out anyway, the opening days are tiny. Sunday the 13th has ankle-biters around 2ft from the southeast with a short 5-second period, cross-off wind, and clean conditions, but there’s just no push to it. Monday the 14th drops even smaller, down to 1ft with a 9-second period. The swell energy is weak too, sitting at just 40 on Sunday morning and dropping to 23 by Monday. You’d be floating around more than surfing.

Midweek is pretty average, with onshore and cross-onshore winds messing up the surface. Sure, the swell stays small – around 2ft to 2ft – but the sea gets chopped up, and it’s just not worth the effort. The period climbs a bit, but that doesn’t save the quality.

The first real change in energy arrives on Monday the 21st. The swell bumps up to 4ft in the morning from the east-northeast with a fresh cross-off breeze. The energy reading jumps to 195, which is moderate, but it’s still just not enough to get the sandbar doing anything decent. The period is short, around 8 seconds, so the waves are a bit weak and lumpy under the surface chop.

From there, things get messy. That same week builds into the 22nd with a strong cross-onshore wind hitting 22 to 25 mph. It’s a beach setup, so with that kind of wind on it, the surf is going to be blown out and frankly, it looks more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one. It carries over into the weekend with fresh breezes and increasing swell, but it’s all cross-shore and lumpy.

The standout in terms of raw size arrives on Sunday the 27th, but it’s the only day with even a marginal nod. The swell pushes up to 7ft from the east with a 10-second period in the afternoon. That’s a significant jump in energy – we’re talking 1452, which is strong to very strong. But here’s the catch: it’s fresh cross-shore winds, it’s a sandbar, and it’s going to be a lumpy, shifting mess. This is expert-only territory if anyone even attempts it. It’s not clean, it’s not organised, and it’s not going to be fun.

After that, it backs off into the 28th with 3ft and cleaner conditions, but by then the run has been so poor for so long that it’s hard to get excited.

So, what’s the honest verdict? There are no true standouts in this window. If you’ve got a window of freedom, the most interesting conditions line up around Sunday the 27th, but that’s a promise built on size, not quality. Everything else is flat, choppy, or blown out. The good news is that Nuns Beach is fairly consistent as a break, so it tends not to stay this poor for long. Forecasts can change, and we might see something better drop in. But for now, I’d keep the board in the car and maybe enjoy the warm water for a swim.

Signing off,
Rusty

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