Morro Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, it's a quiet stretch. The forecast is a long run of small, messy conditions with only a couple of windows that might get your heart rate up. Most days are a write-off for a proper paddle session, so you'll need to be patient.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Thursday, July 30th at Morro Beach. We’ve got a 3ft SSW groundswell pushing in with a 15-second period, which gives it a bit of grunt. The combined swell energy is a moderate 608, and the wind is light and offshore from the WSW. That’s clean. The catch is the water temp is 72°, a whopping 5° warmer than normal – that’s very unusual for this time of year, so it’ll feel like a warm bath. The report flags it as poor surf, but for the start of the period, this is the best on offer.

Friday, July 31st the swell bumps up slightly to 4ft from the south with a 14-second period, but the wind stays light offshore. It's labelled marginal, so don't expect perfection, but it’s a step up in size. The energy is a moderate 500. Keep an eye on the tide.

After that, things go flat. From Saturday, August 1st, right through to the morning of Thursday, August 7th, we're looking at a solid week of tiny, weak surf. Swell heights stay below 3ft, period drops to 12-13 seconds, and the combined energy drops into the 90-300 range. The wind is often cross-onshore, so it’s choppy and uninviting. This is a long, dry gap for surfers.

Now, we get an interesting one. On Thursday morning, August 7th, the swell drops to 2ft but the period jumps to a very long 19 seconds from the SSW. The combined energy climbs back to 411. It’s a groundswell with serious legs. The wind is light and offshore from the SW. For a reef break like Morro Beach, that long-period energy can line up beautifully, even if it’s small. This is a standout for the experts. Because it’s a week out, treat it as promising but less certain.

Friday, August 8th holds similar energy with an 18-second period, but the wind turns cross-onshore, so it won't be as clean. From there, the whole second week shows a slow decline. We get small 1ft to 3ft swells, period dropping to 13-15 seconds, and mostly cross-onshore breezes from the SW or W. It’s a long, drawn-out fade-out. The last few days, from Monday, August 11th onward, the wind picks up to 9-12 mph from the W, making it choppy and blown out. For a beach-and-reef setup like this, that’s more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

So, to sum it up: your best shots are Thursday July 30th for a clean, warm-water session, and Thursday morning August 7th for the long-period groundswell that might surprise you. Everything in between is a rest day.

Rusty.

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