Morro Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening for Morro Beach over the next sixteen days.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch. The surf shows up, but it’s fighting a losing battle. The water is running much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 71°, which is a couple of degrees above what we’d usually expect. That’s a bit weird, but it doesn’t change the fact that the waves are a mess.

The first real call is for Monday afternoon, the 27th of July. We’ve got a 3ft swell rolling in from the SSW, with a super long period of 19 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, clocking in at 778 on the energy scale. The problem? The wind is light and onshore from the SW, so it’s not going to be clean. The report says it’s marginal, and that’s the truth. It’s a reef break, and with that long period, it might offer a few workable lines, but the wind is just going to mess it up. This is not the day to get excited.

Tuesday morning, the 28th, the swell drops a fraction to 4ft, still SSW, still a long 17 seconds. The energy is up to 809, but the wind has shifted to a cross-onshore from the S, making it choppy. The forecast is pretty clear: it’s a poor call. Tuesday afternoon swaps to a light onshore breeze, but with the same 3ft swell, it’s still a no-go.

Wednesday and Thursday, the 29th and 30th, are more of the same. We’re looking at 3ft to 5ft swell, with periods dropping from 16 to 14 seconds. The wind stays light and cross-onshore or onshore. The energy is moderate, in the 700s and 800s, but the conditions are just not there. The report calls it marginal or poor. We’re getting a few little waves, but they’re bumpy and not worth paddling out for.

From Friday the 31st of July onwards, it’s a downhill slide. The swell drops to 4ft, then 4ft, and the period falls to 13 seconds. The energy drops to 621 and then 455. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. By Saturday morning, the 1st of August, it’s 4ft from the SSW, period 12 seconds, energy 409. Still a mess. The whole thing is a write-off.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Sunday the 2nd of August through to the 11th of August, the swell disappears. We’re talking 1.0ft to 2ft, with periods all over the place from 12 to 21 seconds. The energy is pitiful, mostly in the 100s, sometimes dipping below 100. The wind is light and cross-onshore or onshore, which is the only thing keeping it clean-ish, but there’s nothing to ride. The reports are all “poor surf conditions” or “marginal” with scores of 0 or 1. There’s a brief moment on the afternoon of the 7th of August where the wind goes glassy, dead calm, but the swell is only 1ft. It’s flat.

Honestly, folks, there isn’t a single standout session in this entire 16-day window. The best you can hope for is a tiny, grovelly wave on a rare glassy moment, but it’s not going to be fun. The first week has a little bit of energy, but it’s always wind-affected. The second week is a complete bust. If you’re a kite surfer, the persistent onshore breeze and small, weak swell might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass. Stay home, wax your board, and wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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