Linkys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you—the next couple of weeks are a bit of a write-off for Linkys. This is a reef and point setup that’s inconsistent at the best of times, and we’re looking at a long stretch of flat, poor, or just plain ordinary conditions. The biggest issue is that the swell direction is coming from the SE and ESE, but the optimum swell direction for this spot is from the NE. That mismatch is a killer.

The forecast starts with Sunday, August 23rd, and we’re in the doldrums right away. A tiny 1ft ESE swell with a 12-second period, but it’s cross-on from a light easterly breeze and the wave energy is weak (52). It’s going to be a complete non-starter. From Monday the 24th through to Friday the 28th, we’ve got a mix of tiny swell (1ft to 3ft), short periods, and mostly cross or cross-off winds. The wave energy stays low (between 40 and 109), and the comments are all "poor surf conditions" or "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." Not a single session worth paddling out for.

The weekend of the 30th and 31st offers nothing either. A bit of glass on the 30th morning, but the swell is a pathetic 2ft. The energy is almost non-existent (41). On Monday the 31st, we get a very long-period swell of 18 seconds from the ESE, but it’s tiny (0.7ft) and cross-off from a 20 km/h WNW wind. That long period will just be a long, straight wall at the beach break—not the kind of thing that works at Linkys’ reef and point.

Now, we do finally see a pulse of energy from September 1st. The wave energy climbs to 163 on Tuesday morning and 249 on Wednesday afternoon, with swell heights reaching 3ft and periods around 12 to 13 seconds. But the wind is cross or cross-on, and the direction is still all wrong (SE). The forecasts are still calling it poor or marginal. It’s frustrating because the energy is there, but the conditions aren’t lining up.

The real promise shows up in the second week, but it’s a long way out. From September 5th (Saturday) onwards, the models start to look better. The swell direction shifts to ESE and E, and the wind goes cross-off from the SSW or WNW. Wave heights nudge up to 4ft to 4ft, with moderate energy (375 to 385). The comments finally say "expect good surf conditions." This is the best on offer, but it’s over a week away, so treat it as promising but not certain. The morning of September 7th (Monday) has a 2ft E swell with a clean offshore SW wind at 20 km/h, which could be a nice, clean window if it holds.

Given the long gap of nothing, I’d say keep your board waxed for that first week of September. The forecast can change, and it’s been dead quiet for a while, so a pulse is overdue. But right now, this is a kite surfer’s forecast more than a paddle surfer’s.

Rusty.

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