Jelly Bowl Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s in store for Jelly Bowl over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – this stretch is looking pretty grim. Right from Thursday afternoon, July 30th, through to the end of the forecast on August 14th, every single report is flagged as poor surf conditions. That’s two full weeks of nothing to get excited about. The swell never climbs above a tiny 3 ft, and the combined wave energy is weak, barely cracking 406 (moderate) on that first afternoon, then dropping into the two-digit gutter for most of the run. The wind is stuck in a cross-onshore groove, mostly from the WSW, keeping things choppy and messy.

The only real pulse of energy we see comes from a very long-period groundswell, but the size is just too small to make use of it. On Thursday afternoon, July 30th, there’s a 3 ft swell from the S with a period of 15 seconds, giving a combined energy of 406. That’s the biggest number we get, but the wind is a cross-on 9 mph from the WSW, so it’s not going to be clean. The water temperature is 69°F, which is 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year – a very unusual anomaly, so the water will feel much warmer than normal.

After that, it’s a slow bleed. By Monday morning, August 3rd, the swell drops to 2 ft from the W with a short period of 9 seconds, energy down to 106. A few days later, on Saturday morning, August 8th, we see a 1 ft swell from the SSW with a period of 18 seconds, giving a combined energy of 156 – still tiny, still cross-onshore. That same pattern holds through to the end: small, long-period SSW swells that never amount to anything because the wind is always wrong. There’s no standouts here, no day to circle on the calendar. For a beginner-friendly reef break that’s fairly consistent, it’s a real bummer, but sometimes the ocean just shuts down for a while. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the boards in the car.

Rusty.

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